Abstract
The subject of the research is foresight as an innovative tool for managing the agrarian personnel policy of the region. The purpose of the study is to determine the place of foresight research in the management system of the agrarian personnel policy of the region. The study of the problem was carried out on the basis of an analysis of the composition and structure of the personnel market in the agricultural sector of the Orel region, using monographic, economic and statistical, comparison and graphic methods. Foresight is a system of methods for expert assessment of strategic directions of socio-economic and innovative development, capable to influence economy and society in the future. The prerequisites for the use of foresight research for agricultural production are: increasing competition; limitation of government funding; the need for and increasing complexity in the use of innovative technologies. The analysis of the current state and identification of the prerequisites for the implementation of foresighting in the agrarian personnel policy of the region, showed the possibility of using a foresight platform in the Orel region. Foresight should be applied and incorporated into practice - into regional development programs, in particular, into programs to improve regional personnel policy. Foresight will be aimed at optimizing and improving the quality level of the regional agro-industrial complex personnel. For the effective functioning of the foresight platform, the result of which can be an assessment of the personnel development of the region, it is necessary to create a number of conditions: increasing the share of agricultural organizations capable of implementing an innovation-oriented personnel policy; creation of a unified information, consulting and training system; conducting a systematic assessment of the entire scientific potential of agricultural science; promoting the development of a modern agricultural personnel market. The implementation of foresighting into the agrarian personnel policy of the region can become a part of the programs for the development of innovative clusters, as well as long-term and mediumterm forecasts of the socio-economic development of the Orel region.
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