Abstract

Due to the global impact of COVID-19, the use of non-face-to-face learning is increasing. For non-face-to-face learning, it is important to create a learning path based on efficiency. This study introduces the hidden Markov model (HMM) as a method of creating a learning path known as a network in which knowledge concepts are arranged in order, that is, the path of experience that students may encounter in class. and it aims to improve the accuracy of path prediction by using a variable selection technique that includes least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), and random forest (RF) before performing HMM. In addition, this study aims to show that the learning path based on higher-order concepts made of precedence relationships from HMM is more accurate than other candidate paths. As a result of using data shared by AI-hub (https://aihub.or.kr/), the performance of HMM when selecting relational pairs using LASSO, and RF was improved significantly, and the case of using HMM when evaluating the learning path consisting of higher concepts was excellent in terms of model goodness of fit compared to other models.

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