Анализ межкомпонентных связей в метагеосистемах на основе имитационного моделирования

Abstract

The article focuses on solving the scientific problem of quantitative analysis of intercomponent relationships in metageosystems of different hierarchical levels by using the method of simulation modeling. Studying the structure and properties of metageosystems proved to be based on the analysis of the regularities of interaction of the territorial components distributed in space. A list of requirements for the framework of simulation models of spatial processes is formulated, an algorithm for developing a model that describes the spatial-temporal processes occurring in territorial systems is presented. There have been singled out two directions for developing the framework of simulation modeling of spatial processes: deductive, in which the model building system must be initially designed in order to achieve the coverage 
 of solutions to the maximum number of tasks, and inductive, in which positive changes in the particular models turn into the basis for the development of the simulation framework. The combined use of deductive and inductive strategies will evolutionize the upgraded modeling framework and optimize the particular solutions developed on its basis. As an example of implementation of a software package that demonstrates the possibilities of simulation modeling for solving the problem of analyzing intercomponent relations in metageosystems there has been developed an information system for modeling traffic flows in urban metageosystems. The developed system consists of the following modules: a map editor, a component for working with a database, a subsystem for visualizing interactive graphical web interfaces, an auxiliary module for performing the necessary mathematical calculations, a subsystem for modeling urban traffic, and a recommender subsystem for generating recommendations based on rules. The implemented software package for simulating traffic flows in urban metageosystems can be used to create dynamic transport models able to predict the flow depending on the situation. The model serves as a tool for making strategic decisions regarding the development of the spatial struc-ture of a city or region. The system modules aggregate interacting with each other and ensure the reliable and uninterrupted operation of the simulation system as a whole.