ТЕОРЕТИКО-МЕТОДОЛОГИЧЕСКИЕ АСПЕКТЫ МОДЕЛИРОВАНИЯ СОЦИАЛЬНО-ДЕМОГРАФИЧЕСКОГО РАЗВИТИЯ СЕЛЬСКИХ ТЕРРИТОРИЙ

Abstract

The aim of the study is to develop a system of economic and mathematical tools for modeling the socio-demographic development of rural areas. In preparing the article, theoretical methods of economic research were used. The sustainable development of rural areas is the most important goal of modern state agrarian policy. Different points of view on the problem under study indicate the need for more in-depth scientific study and concretization of practical measures for the stable development of rural areas. The modern socio-economic situation in the countryside is characterized by high unemployment, poverty, negative trends in the social sphere: a worsening demographic situation, destruction of social infrastructure, processes of outflow and degradation of the labor force. Changing the quality characteristics of rural life negatively affects the reproduction of labor resources as the basis for sustainable socio-economic development of rural areas. Modelling the socio-demographic development of rural areas of the region is one of the necessary strategic goals of agricultural, demographic and social policies, the achievement of which will ensure food security, the competitiveness of the national economy and improving the quality of life of the population. The article substantiates and adapts a system of economic and mathematical tools for modeling the socio-demographic development of rural territories, in which, in conjunction with the scientific provisions of known theories, correlation-regression and deterministic factor models with corresponding indicators from the declared methods were used, significantly expanding the field of their practical application.