세종시 출범 이후 수도권과 충청권 주택 가격변동의 연계성 분석

Abstract

This study proposed the answers of the following questions: have housing markets in Chungcheong province been dependent on those in Seoul since the establishment of Sejong or the other around? and how have a spillover effect of housing price fluctuations among districts in Chungcheong been? The results were as follows. Since the start of Sejong, housing markets in Chungcheong including Sejong have formed different ones from Seoul and been influenced more by Gyeonggi than by Seoul. Housing price fluctuations of Chungcheong proved to play an important role in those of Daejeon. The price fluctuations of Daejeon had a larger impact on those of Chungcheong than the metropolitan province did. The fluctuations of Sejong had a little influence on those of Chungcheong relatively. It also was an evidence that the housing markets in Chungcheong were different from those in Seoul. Recent housing policies concentrated on demand reduction to stabilize housing prices in metropolitan areas as well as Seoul. The housing supply rate was over 100% in non-metropolitan regions, but under 100% in metropolitan ones. If restrictions against the non-metropolitan is the same as the metropolitan, it is likely to shrink the housing demand and distort the housing market in the non-metropolitan. In terms of conditions of the both regions, policy discrimination of the metropolitan from the non-metropolitan is expected on the basis of consideration of the housing markets in the non-metropolitan.