Abstract
Long-term variations in wind speed and capacity factor(CF)on Seongsan wind farm of Jeju Island, South Korea were derived statistically. These lected areas for this study were Subji, having a year wind data at 30 m above ground level, Sinsan, having 30-year wind data at 10 m above ground level and Seongsan wind farm, where long-term CF was predicted.The Measure-Correlate-Predict module of WindPRO was used to predict long-tem wind characteristics at Seongsan wind farm. Each year’s CF was derived from the estimated 30-year time series wind data by running WAsP module. As are sult, for the 30-year CFs, Seongsan wind farm was estimated to have 8.3% for the coefficient of variation, CV, and-16.5% ∼ 13.2% for the range of variati on, RV. It was predicted that the annual CF at Seongsan wind farm varied within about ±4%.
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