Abstract

The purpose of the study is to estimate of probable predictors for the probable predictors of
 knee joint osteoarthritis progression in X-ray negative stage based on ultrasound examination.
 The sixty five patients with X-ray negative gonarthritis were selected into the study. Both X-ray and ultrasound
 examinations were performed for each of the patients (before the study and since one year). The authors
 determined degeneration of the medial meniscus and articular surfaces roughness had the most degree of sensitivity
 (91%), and cartilage thickness of medial joint parts (86%). The degenerative changes of the posterior cruciate
 ligament had the lowest sensitivity (42%), and degeneration in the lateral meniscus (47%). During the regression
 analysis only two quality indicator such as cartilage thickness of the medial parts, and articular surfaces
 brought significant contribution to the risk prediction of the osteoarthritis progression (odds ratio=22.7 and 71.4;
 p=0.018 and 0.002, respectively). The degeneration in the anterior cruciate ligament was not significant for the
 model (odds ratio= 26,3; p=0.05).

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