Определение потребности в подготовке кадров для индустрии туризма Московской области

Abstract

This article deals with the issues of identification of the demand for training the personnel for the Moscow
 region tourism industry. The range of issues raised in the article covers (1) the causes of the trained personnel
 shortage in the region; (2) the employers’ general approaches to candidates’ applications processing; (3)
 the current and expected enrollment in Tourism- and Hospitality-related training programmes; and (4) the
 creation of forecast scenarios of Moscow region tourism industry development, which vividly demonstrate a growing demand for personnel. The article focuses on the evaluation methodology of the demand for the
 tourism industry personnel and its approbation in a number of Moscow-region-based municipal entities.
 The evaluation methodology is based on the trend analysis of the tourism industry development indices,
 strategic and standard-and-goal programming, the multiplier theory, extrapolative and scenario forecasting.
 The strategic guidelines for Moscow region tourism industry development correspond to the performance
 targets of the development of domestic and inbound tourism in the Moscow region in effect until 2018: a
 twofold increase in the number of tourists using collective accommodation facilities, a 30% increase in the
 tourist companies’ customership, up to a 4-% increase in the number of foreign tourists using collective
 accommodation facilities, etc. The application of the methodology developed by the authors of the article
 allows of the conclusion that, for the innovative development scenario, the number of jobs in the Moscow
 region tourism industry should have reached 6,000 by 2018. The methodology can be applied to assess the
 current and expected demand for personnel as observed in a variety of business domains in different regions
 of the Russian Federation.