Abstract
The article proposes a generalized algorithm for predicting the place, time, scale of a possible economic crisis situation of various origins for use in the interests of ensuring the functioning of the information system of a constituent entity of the Russian Federation in the event of a threat of an economic crisis situation of a regional nature. It is based on the use of the method of correlation data analysis. A feature of the obtained solution is the result of comparing the initial data with the reference function, which makes it possible to determine the time for the implementation of the simulated process of predicting the development of a crisis situation of a different nature. The developed algorithm is based on the interaction model of the main parameters of the emergence of an economic crisis situation (ECS). On the basis of the analysis carried out, quantitative estimates of the duration of the interval of development of individual elements of the ECS with its possible development were obtained.
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