Моделювання сценаріїв розвитку підприємств дорожньої галузі на основі аналізу їхнього потенціалу

Abstract

Introduction. Modeling scenarios for the development of road industry enterprises in conditions of instability is an urgent problem, since the industry plays a key role in the development of infrastructure and the economy of Ukraine. Without proper modeling and planning, the development of the industry can become unmanageable, deepening the economic crisis. The study of this problem is of significant scientific and practical interest, as the results can be used for the recovery and further development of the industry in difficult conditions. Problems. The special state, which began in 2022, significantly affected the state of enterprises, which led to the destruction of infrastructure, a reduction in the number of enterprises and a decrease in their profitability. In this connection, there is a need to assess the potential of enterprises and develop scenarios for their further development. Development of scenarios will make it possible to prepare for possible options for the development of events and ensure the sustainability of enterprises in the future. Goal. Develop models that take into account various macroeconomic factors, such as inflation, unemployment and devaluation of the hryvnia. Simulate development scenarios of road industry enterprises based on the analysis of their potential in crisis and post-crisis situations.