Отраслевая структура занятости и факторы структурных сдвигов в экономике современной России

Abstract

The aim of the work was to study the dynamics and factors of development of the sectorial structure of employment in the period 2005-2019. To obtain estimates of the dynamics and factors of development of the sectorial structure of employment, we used regression analysis, factor analysis based on the model of principal components, and data on the structure of employment from Rosstat. Steadily growing and steadily shrinking industries are identified. It been established that the first main factor in the change in the sectorial structure of employment in the period under review can be char-acterized as a factor in the development of the export-raw material orientation of the economy and the development of the service sector, including scientific and technical, and the social sphere. The first main factor in the development of the sectorial structure of employment only partially contributed to the strengthening of the export-raw material orientation of the economy, and to greater extent contributed to the development of the modern post-industrial structure of the economy. The second and third main factors of changes in the sectorial structure of employment in the period under review are a reflec-tion of cyclical processes characteristic of modern economic systems. The fourth main factor in changes in the sectorial structure of employment reflects the phenomenon of the modern economy's insensitivity to the use of modern information technologies. There is a lack of susceptibility to scientific and technological progress by the modern economy of Russia at the macroeconomic level.