Abstract

The development of territorial plans for adaptation to climate change requires an analysis of the combined impact of emerging primary climate hazards. At the initial stage, this should be done at the level of the subjects of the Russian Federation to identify priority regions for the development and implementation of adaptation measures. At the same time, the increase in the annual social and economic damage caused by climate change is the main criterion for financing additional measures for mitigation and adaptation to climate change. In this paper, primary climate hazards quantified by trends in the following five indicators: - the average annual temperature and annual precipitation for 1976-2019; - the number of days of the calendar year with temperatures above the 90th percentile for the summer season for 1976-2018; - the number of extreme weather events in 1991-2019 and extreme events on soil drought in 2004-2019 that caused social or economic damage. A comprehensive analysis of these indicators indicates that the most densely populated and leading agricultural regions of the central and southern regions of the European part of Russia are under the increasing pressure of modern climate change. This is true even in the absence of a statistically significant trend in the total number of extreme weather events that caused material damage on the territory of the Russian Federation in the 21st century, as shown in this paper.

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