Abstract
In 2023, Nassim Taleb's book "Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails" was published in Russia, which does not correspond at all to the philosophical style of his previous works, but thematically continues them and deepens them instrumentally. Unlike the author's previous books, his latest work is overflowing with mathematical constructions against the background of meaningful statements of actual and large-scale problems of our time. However, acquaintance with the book novelty causes ambiguous impressions. The article discusses the main scientific passages of Taleb, which can be reduced to the following thesis: we know different statistical distribution laws that real events obey, but the available number of observations is usually very small and does not make it possible to determine which class of these laws the observed sample belongs to and what are the true statistical characteristics of phenomena. To reveal this statement, Taleb deduces various formulas, proves theorems, and performs calculations. From this point of view, the book is a useful set of instrumental problems for working with statistical samples. However, a broader reading of the book allows its author to address a lot of technical (instrumental), methodological (epistemological) and philosophical (theoretical) questions that remained unanswered in the book. It is shown that some provisions of Taleb's new book come into conflict with the methodological paradigm of his earlier works.
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