Загрози національній безпеці у військовій сфері України на короткострокову та середньострокову перспективу

Abstract

The article considers the main factor influencing the development of the situation around Ukraine and is the main threat to its national security in the military sphere remains armed aggression of the Russian Federation, which, despite some decrease in the intensity of the fighting in the Donbass, prepared for a military invasion of Ukraine, including in the form of a full-scale offensive. Of the Russian Federation in the framework of the “hybrid” war against Ukraine intensified the practice of political terrorism, which is evidence of its failure to destabilize the situation in the Ukrainian territory the organization of mass social unrest.Another factor is the governments of the countries bordering Ukraine, under the influence of the local media and the pressure of political, radical parties put forward territorial claims on the territory, “unfairly” lost in the XIX and XX centuries, which are now Western Ukraine: Hungary (Transcarpathian region), Poland (Lviv, Ternopil, Rivne and Ivano-Frankivsk region), Romania (Northern Bukovina, Southern Bessarabia).Note that the main tendency of development of the geopolitical situation in the world is the process of formation of a new multipolar system of international relations. At the same time, growing globalization of all spheres of human activity.Intensification of contradictions between the USA, NATO, EU and the Russian Federation with the Ukrainian and other issues exacerbated the confrontation of the parties in fact to the level of the cold war. Given this, the most dangerous trend is the increasing military activity of the United States, NATO and Russia as at the strategic level in the nuclear missile sphere and the main directions of their direct clashes in the black sea region.In such circumstances it is fundamentally important for Ukraine that the US, NATO and the EU remain in their positions, adhering to a policy of strategic deterrence of the Russian Federation, consistently increasing sanctions against it, reinforcing the support of Kyiv and strengthening the security of Europe from the East. The leading Western countries and international organizations have actually taken a fundamental decision regarding its responsibility for Ukraine, for its further integration into the EU and NATO in one form or another.This also shows that the Russian Federation tries in vain to change the policy of the US and Europe on Russian and Ukrainian destinations, to undermine the unity of the EU and NATO methods of conducting hybrid war, including influencing the election results in Western countries.