Влияние возраста и стажа на производительность экспертов при анализе дорожно-транспортных происшествий

Abstract

Abstract. One of the most important problems facing road transport today is improving traffic safety. To solve it, it is necessary to promptly investigate road traffic accidents (accidents) to establish the causes and take measures to eliminate them. Therefore, the solution of this problem largely depends on the effectiveness of the work of expert services. At the same time, examinations are carried out for a long time due to the overload of expert services. This is due to the lack of methods for determining their structure, taking into account the conditions of a particular region. Research in the field of accident examination is mainly aimed at improving the methods of accident analysis. The influence of the main factors on the need for expertise, as well as the influence of expert qualifications on the intensity of application processing, has not been studied. Therefore, the purpose of research in general is to increase the efficiency of the functioning of the system of expert investigation of accidents, and the article presents a fragment of the results aimed at establishing the regularity of the influence of age and seniority on the performance of experts. To achieve this goal, an experiment was conducted to collect statistics on the number of applications processed by experts of different ages with different work experience. Using correlation and regression analysis, the significance of the factors under consideration is proved, and regression models of their influence on the intensity of application processing are obtained. It has been established that with an increase in age and length of service, the intensity of processing applications first increases, then stabilizes. Processing of the experimental results showed that the influence of both the age and the experience of experts on their performance is described by logarithmic models. Therefore, when determining the performance of an expert, it is necessary to take into account only his experience, since it has a greater impact on the indicator under consideration. The scientific novelty of the results obtained is the establishment of a pattern of the wagging of the expert’s experience on his performance in the analysis of an accident. Practical significance is the possibility of using the results in the development of methods for forming the structure of the expert service. Further research should be carried out in the direction of developing a simulation model of the expert system and a methodology for determining the structure of the expert service.