ПРОБЛЕМЫ И СЦЕНАРНЫЕ СТРАТЕГИИ ГРАДОСТРОИТЕЛЬНОГО РОСТА ВОЛГОГРАДА В АСПЕКТЕ УСТОЙЧИВОГО ЭКОЛОГИЧЕСКОГО РАЗВИТИЯ

Abstract

The regressing of Volgograd's landscaping has led to a deterioration of the ecological situation in the city. The analysis of the Green Ring of Volgograd is presented in the article. The Green ring is basic element of the green frame of the city. It reveals negative factors that in the near future may lead to its complete destruction. The purpose of the study is to predict the further development of the situation and to create scenario concepts that will preserve the Green Ring, to solve the problems of urban development, to create prerequisites and vectors for sustainable urban development in the ecological aspect. The authors analyze the state and development of the Green Ring in Volgograd. They proposed four scenarios for the further fate of this unique formation. The scenarios are conventionally designated as “regressive”, “recreational”, “innovative” and “promising”. Each scenario is based on the inevitability of absorption of the green belt by urban infrastructure due to the growth of urban development and the expansion of the city's boundaries. However, the further development of this process, depending on the prevailing conditions and the measures taken, leads to polar results. The most pessimistic "regressive" scenario is the complete disappearance of the city's Green Ring in the near future. Other scenarios imply the development of the existing Green Ring as part of the urban infrastructure, the creation of a forest belt duplicating it outside the city limits, as well as the development of ecovillages within the Green Ring, turning it into an economically viable project.