ИСПОЛЬЗОВАНИЕ МЕТОДА «ЗАТРАТЫ – ВЫПУСК» ДЛЯ ОБОСНОВАНИЯ СТРАТЕГИЧЕСКИХ ПРОЕКТОВ ОБЕСПЕЧЕНИЯ ПРОДОВОЛЬСТВЕННОЙ БЕЗОПАСНОСТИ РОССИИ

Abstract

The article contains a theoretical justification for the methods of intersectoral economics of the agri-food complex, based on the use of the author’s modification of input-output tables for the development and implementation of strategic projects to ensure food security in Russia. The key factors for sustainable growth of gross value added and final products in the country’s agri-food complex have been identified. A methodology has been developed for forecasting the vector of Russian food exports as a process with a high level of uncertainty. The influence of the spatial factor on the level and quality of food supply for the regional population has been revealed. The features of the matrices of direct and total cost coefficients have been studied, their relative stability in the medium term has been proven, opening up new opportunities for using the inputoutput method to justify strategic projects. A multi-level system of models is proposed, the basis of which is the inter-product balances of enterprises in the agri-food complex. The priorities for the structural modernization of the agri-food complex have been identified. The strategic directions for the development of institutions that ensure the growth of food consumption by the regional population are substantiated. Methodological recommendations have been developed for managing strategic projects to ensure the country’s food security in the context of new global challenges.