Abstract
Purpose: Evaluation of the expected effectiveness of radiation therapy based on models of the local tumor control probability (Tumor Control Probability – TCP) for the head-neck cancer. 
 Material and methods: The study used data from 11 patients with locally advanced head-neck cancer (larynx, oropharynx, and oral cavity). For each patient two dosimetric treatment plans have been prepared: SIB-VMAT (70 Gy per tumor, 50 Gy per lymph nodes, 25 fractions) and SEQ-VMAT (70 Gy per tumor, 50 Gy per lymph nodes, 35 fractions). The developed plans were analyzed using A. Niemierko's TCP model with parameters obtained by B. Maciejewski (TCD50 = 70.26 Gy with a 49-day total treatment time), taking into account the dose–volume histograms and the total treatment time.
 Results: The developed plans ensured a high level of coverage (98–98 %) of the Clinical treatment volume (CTV) in all but one patient. The average TCP SIB-VMAT is 99.9 % due to the very short total treatment time. The average TCP for SEQ-VMAT is 61.0%. For one patient, both SIB-VMAT and SEQ-VMAT showed zero expected efficacy due to 95–95 % CTV coverage.
 Conclusion: The use of TCP model allows analyzing personalized treatment plans for patients and developing adaptive treatment regimens with an increase in the total dose, dose per fraction, and a decrease in the total treatment time.
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