Abstract

Leaks of liquid and gaseous hydrocarbons from pipelines and equipment of transportation, storage and processing facilities lead to fires and explosions. Often the cause of hydrocarbon leaks is corrosion of metal structures, leading to their depressurization. To increase the durability of metal structures, they are protected with anticorrosive coatings. The protective ability of the anticorrosive coating is determined by its continuity (defect). The prediction of the continuity (defectiveness) of the anticorrosive coating is carried out using empirical exponential or power expressions. The disadvantage of these expressions is a large number of hard-to-determine factors and empirical coefficients. An empirical expression is given to assess the defectiveness of the anticorrosive coating at the current time. An empirical expression is proposed for predicting the operational continuity (defectiveness) of an anticorrosive coating, taking into account the production (initial) defectiveness, the permissible service life and the aggressiveness of the environment. It is shown that the aggressiveness of the environment significantly affects the continuity (defectiveness) anticorrosive coating. The results of forecasting the continuity (defectiveness) of the anticorrosive coating are compared according to the currently used expressions and according to the proposed expression.
 The obtained results of forecasting the continuity (defectiveness) of the anticorrosive coating are close. The empirical expression proposed for predicting the continuity (defectiveness) of the anticorrosive coating is promising for practical application.

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