Abstract
У статті проаналізовано дослідження щодо впливу комплексних факторів невизначеності на безпеку польотів та потоки повітряного руху в термінальних диспетчерських районах та суміжних диспетчерських зонах. Розглянуто питання щодо моделей, придатних для оцінки впливу невизначеності на безпеку потоків повітряного руху. Запропоновано принципи детальної оцінки та аналізу впливу невизначеності на потоки повітряного руху в термінальних диспетчерських районах.
Highlights
In the international civil aviation, European countries and Ukraine in recent years there has been a continual increase of flights in controlled airspace
Similar integrated solutions in air traffic flow management are being implemented in other regions, such as North America
To take into account all major factors it is necessary to investigate all aspects of the safety of air traffic flows – the totality of aircraft, simultaneously flying in the airspace
Summary
In the international civil aviation, European countries and Ukraine in recent years there has been a continual increase of flights in controlled airspace. A detailed study, classification and synthesis of uncertainties and further efficient management are based on the methodologies of the International Civil Aviation Organisation (ICAO) regarding Safety Management Systems (SMS) [1] and Eurocontrol on problematic aspects in the work of air traffic controllers [2,3] Their successful implementation will provide an opportunity to increase the overall level of safety of flights in air navigation system of Ukraine [4,5,6,7,8,9,10]. 3. Applied models for accounting of the influence of uncertainty factors on air traffic flows and safety of flights in terminal control areas. A prediction confidence interval is provided with the updated model as the quantification of the uncertainty
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