Методические подходы и программная реализация прогнозирования динамики состояния здоровья и развития стойкой утраты трудоспособности у сотрудников МВД

Abstract

Social orientation held in Russia structural change, actualizes the problem of development of an effective system of monitoring the health and quality of life standards of formation of health of the population and software products as a means of information integration in the socio-economic model of our country. The purpose of
 this work was the comprehensive medical-social study on rendering medical assistance to the officers on the example of the regional hospital of the Interior Ministry, and also studying the ways to predict risk in a disability that may result from the action of risk factors of risk, including those related to their professional activities. Data analysis in medical cards of in-patients, materials of annual reports and computer data base of the system of the CLINIC and also, data of sociological interrogation of police officers was carried out. A promising direction of mathematical
 research in the health care system is the use of modern methods of storage, the data OLAP-technology and classical statistical methods, and Data Mining, based on a large class of various algorithms covering a large number of different types of medical problems. These techniques have been implemented in the creation of software products used to achieve the purpose of this research. As a result, the authors identified the markers from among medical and social data affecting the output of disability and health of police officers. Mathematical models to predict changes in health status and disability of officers have been modeled. Thus, on the basis of the constructed models it is possible to predict the disability of police officers and the change in their health status in the correction of the social-hygienic characteristics for the purpose of choice of rational management decisions. The authors hope that developed products will be interesting as for specialists of practical public health and research workers.