National Natural Science Foundation Research Articles

Efficient and Flexible Long-Tail Recommendation Using Cosine Patterns

With the increasing use of recommender systems in various application domains, many algorithms have been proposed for improving the accuracy of recommendations. Among various dimensions of recommender systems performance, long-tail (niche) recommendation performance remains an important challenge in large part because of the popularity bias of many existing recommendation techniques. In this study, we propose CORE, a cosine pattern–based technique, for effective long-tail recommendation. Comprehensive experimental results compare the proposed approach with a wide variety of classic, widely used recommendation algorithms and demonstrate its practical benefits in accuracy, flexibility, and scalability in addition to the superior long-tail recommendation performance. 1 History: Accepted by Ramaswamy Ramesh, Area Editor for Data Science & Machine Learning. Funding: This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China [Grants 72031001, 72072091, 72242101]. Supplemental Material: The software that supports the findings of this study is available within the paper and its Supplemental Information ( https://pubsonline.informs.org/doi/suppl/10.1287/ijoc.2022.0194 ) as well as from the IJOC GitHub software repository ( https://github.com/INFORMSJoC/2022.0194 ). The complete IJOC Software and Data Repository is available at https://informsjoc.github.io/ .

Palmitic acid impairs human and mouse placental function by inhibiting trophoblast autophagy through induction of acyl-coenzyme A-binding protein (ACBP) upregulation.

Can exposure to palmitic acid (PA), a common saturated fatty acid, modulate autophagy in both human and mouse trophoblast cells through the regulation of acyl-coenzyme A-binding protein (ACBP)? PA exposure before and during pregnancy impairs placental development through mechanisms involving placental autophagy and ACBP expression. High-fat diets, including PA, have been implicated in adverse effects on human placental and fetal development. Despite this recognition, the precise molecular mechanisms underlying these effects are not fully understood. Extravillous trophoblast (EVT) cell line HTR-8/SVneo and human trophoblast stem cell (hTSC)-derived EVT (hTSCs-EVT) were exposed to PA or vehicle control for 24 h. Female wild-type C57BL/6 mice were divided into PA and control groups (n = 10 per group) and subjected to a 12-week dietary intervention. Afterward, they were mated with male wild-type C57BL/6 mice and euthanized on Day 14 of gestation. Female ACBPflox/flox mice were also randomly assigned to control and PA-exposed groups (each with 10 mice), undergoing the same dietary intervention and mating with ACBPflox/floxELF5-Cre male mice, followed by euthanasia on Day 14 of gestation. The study assessed the effects of PA on mouse embryonic development and placental autophagy. Additionally, the role of ACBP in the pathogenesis of PA-induced placental toxicity was investigated. The findings were validated using real-time PCR, Western blot, immunofluorescence, transmission electron microscopy, and shRNA knockdown approaches. Exposure to PA-upregulated ACBP expression in both human HTR-8/SVneo cells and hTSCs-EVT, as well as in mouse placenta. PA exposure also induced autophagic dysfunction in HTR-8/SVneo cells, hTSCs-EVT, and mouse placenta. Through studies on ACBP placental conditional knockout mice and ACBP knockdown human trophoblast cells, it was revealed that reduced ACBP expression led to trophoblast malfunction and affected the expression of autophagy-related proteins LC3B-II and P62, thereby impacting embryonic development. Conversely, ACBP knockdown partially mitigated PA-induced impairment of placental trophoblast autophagy, observed both in vitro in human trophoblast cells and in vivo in mice. N/A. Primary EVT cells from early pregnancy are fragile, limiting research use. Maintaining their viability is tough, affecting data reliability. The study lacks depth to explore PA diet cessation effects after 12 weeks. Without follow-up, understanding postdiet impacts on pregnancy stages is incomplete. Placental abnormalities linked to elevated PA diet in embryos lack confirmation due to absence of control groups. Clarifying if issues stem solely from PA exposure is difficult without proper controls. Consuming a high-fat diet before and during pregnancy may result in complications or challenges in successfully carrying the pregnancy to term. It suggests that such dietary habits can have detrimental effects on the health of both the mother and the developing fetus. This work was supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (82171664, 82301909) and the Natural Science Foundation of Chongqing Municipality of China (CSTB2022NS·CQ-LZX0062, cstc2019jcyj-msxmX0749, and cstc2021jcyj-msxmX0236). The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest. N/A.

Effects of triaxial deformation on the fission barrier in the Z = 118 − 120 nuclei* *Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 12205076 and 12047504), the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (Grant No. 2020M670012), and the Launching Fund of Henan University of Technology (Grant No. 2021BS047).

By using potential energy surface (PES) calculations in the three-dimensional space (β 2, γ, β 4) within the framework of the macroscopic-microscopic model, the fission trajectory and fission barrier for Z = 118(Og), 119, 120 nuclei has been systematically investigated. The calculated PES includes macroscopic liquid-drop energy, microscopic shell correction and pairing correction. Taking the 294Og176 nucleus as an example, we discuss the next closed shell after Z = 82 and N = 126 with the calculated Woods–Saxon single-particle levels. Then, the results of PES in 294Og is illustrated from the (X, Y) scale to the (β 2, γ) scale. The γ degree of freedom reveals the shape evolution clearly during the fission process. The structure near the minimum and saddle point of the PES in the Z = 118, 119, 120 nuclei is demonstrated simultaneously. Based on the potential energy curves, general trends of the evolution of the fission barrier heights and widths are also studied. The triaxial deformation in these superheavy mass regions plays a vital role in the first fission barrier, showing a significant reduction in both triaxial paths. In addition, the model-dependent fission barriers of proton-rich nuclei 295Og, 296119, and 297120 are analyzed briefly. Our studies could be valuable for synthesizing the superheavy new elements in the forthcoming HIAF and other facilities.

Incentivizing Organ Donation Under Different Priority Rules: The Role of Information

This paper examines the incentive to register for deceased organ donation under alternative organ allocation priority rules, which may prioritize registered donors and/or patients with higher valuations for organ transplantation. Specifically, the donor priority rule grants higher priority on the organ waiting list to those who have previously registered as donors. The dual-incentive priority rules allocate organs based on donor status, followed by individual valuations within the same donor status, or vice versa. Both theoretical and experimental results suggest that the efficacy of the donor priority rule and the dual-incentive priority rules critically depends on the information environment. When organ transplantation valuations are unobservable prior to making donation decisions, the hybrid dual-incentive rules generate higher donation rates. In contrast, if valuations are observable, the dual-incentive priority rules create unbalanced incentives between high- and low-value agents, potentially undermining the efficacy of the hybrid dual-incentive rules in increasing overall donation rates. This paper was accepted by Marie Claire Villeval, behavioral economics and decision analysis. Funding: This research is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China [Grants 72173103, 72373127, and 71988101], the Singapore Ministry of Education (MOE) Academic Research Fund Tier 1 [RG57/20], and the Open Foundation of Key Laboratory of Interdisciplinary Research of Computation and Economics (Shanghai University of Finance and Economics), Ministry of Education of China. Supplemental Material: The online appendices and data files are available at https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2022.01530 .

Higher-dimensional integrable deformations of the classical Boussinesq–Burgers system* *This work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 11871396, 12271433).

In this paper, the (1+1)-dimensional classical Boussinesq–Burgers (CBB) system is extended to a (4+1)-dimensional CBB system by using its conservation laws and the deformation algorithm. The Lax integrability, symmetry integrability and a large number of reduced systems of the new higher-dimensional system are given. Meanwhile, for illustration, an exact solution of a (1+1)-dimensional reduced system is constructed from the viewpoint of Lie symmetry analysis and the power series method.

The (Surprising) Sample Optimality of Greedy Procedures for Large-Scale Ranking and Selection

Ranking and selection (R&S) aims to select the best alternative with the largest mean performance from a finite set of alternatives. Recently, considerable attention has turned toward the large-scale R&S problem which involves a large number of alternatives. Ideal large-scale R&S procedures should be sample optimal; that is, the total sample size required to deliver an asymptotically nonzero probability of correct selection (PCS) grows at the minimal order (linear order) in the number of alternatives, k. Surprisingly, we discover that the naïve greedy procedure, which keeps sampling the alternative with the largest running average, performs strikingly well and appears sample optimal. To understand this discovery, we develop a new boundary-crossing perspective and prove that the greedy procedure is sample optimal for the scenarios where the best mean maintains at least a positive constant away from all other means as k increases. We further show that the derived PCS lower bound is asymptotically tight for the slippage configuration of means with a common variance. For other scenarios, we consider the probability of good selection and find that the result depends on the growth behavior of the number of good alternatives: if it remains bounded as k increases, the sample optimality still holds; otherwise, the result may change. Moreover, we propose the explore-first greedy procedures by adding an exploration phase to the greedy procedure. The procedures are proven to be sample optimal and consistent under the same assumptions. Last, we numerically investigate the performance of our greedy procedures in solving large-scale R&S problems. This paper was accepted by Baris Ata, stochastic models and simulation. Funding: This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China [Grants 72091211, 72071146, 72161160340]. Supplemental Material: The e-companion and data files are available at https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.00694 .

Use of waste plastic oil as a fuel in reactivity-controlled compression ignition engines: a bibliometric investigation from 2017–23

Abstract Waste plastic oil, generated through the pyrolysis of plastic without oxygen, known as plastic-to-fuel conversion, stands as a promising alternative fuel. This research employs bibliometric analysis, a quantitative method, to comprehensively assess publications in the domain of waste plastic oil integration within reactivity-controlled compression ignition engines. Utilizing Scopus as the primary repository post-2017, the study categorizes information into pivotal aspects, including influential journals, countries, authors, affiliations, document types, thematic areas, sponsors and keywords. The analysis reveals significant contributions from diverse nations, prominently India, China, Turkey and Malaysia. Noteworthy is the prevalence of Energy, Engineering and Chemical Engineering as thematic focal points, with the journal Fuel leading the count followed by the journal Energy emerging as a prominent conduit. Institutional contributions are prolific, led by Gandhi Institute of Technology and Management University and Vellore Institute of Technology. Renowned authors ‘Gugulothu S.K’ and ‘He Z’ play a pivotal role in shaping the discourse. The National Natural Science Foundation of China stands out as a primary patron. This bibliometric analysis provides a structured understanding of waste plastic oil integration in reactivity-controlled compression ignition engines, laying the groundwork for future research avenues. The study identifies potential research platforms beyond Scopus, including Web of Science, CrossRef, Science Direct and Google Scholar, as valuable repositories for further exploration. Moreover, after careful observation of the research articles published by the top 10 authors as found in the study, it was found that the authors share a few common characteristics that helped them in advancing the understanding and application of waste plastic oil in reactivity-controlled compression ignition engines. These are also summarized in the present study with supporting data.

Robust Drone Delivery with Weather Information

Problem definition: Drone delivery has recently garnered significant attention due to its potential for faster delivery at a lower cost than other delivery options. When scheduling drones from a depot for delivery to various destinations, the dispatcher must take into account the uncertain wind conditions, which affect the delivery times of drones to their destinations, leading to late deliveries. Methodology/results: To mitigate the risk of delivery delays caused by wind uncertainty, we propose a two-period drone scheduling model to robustly optimize the delivery schedule. In this framework, the scheduling decisions are made in the morning, with the provision for different delivery schedules in the afternoon that adapt to updated weather information available by midday. Our approach minimizes the essential riskiness index, which can simultaneously account for the probability of tardy delivery and the magnitude of lateness. Using wind observation data, we characterize the uncertain flight times via a cluster-wise ambiguity set, which has the benefit of tractability while avoiding overfitting the empirical distribution. A branch-and-cut (B&C) algorithm is developed for this adaptive distributionally framework to improve its scalability. Our adaptive distributionally robust model can effectively reduce lateness in out-of-sample tests compared with other classical models. The proposed B&C algorithm can solve instances to optimality within a shorter time frame than a general modeling toolbox. Managerial implications: Decision makers can use the adaptive robust model together with the cluster-wise ambiguity set to effectively reduce service lateness at customers for drone delivery systems. Funding: This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China [Grants 72101049 and 72232001], the Natural Science Foundation of Liaoning Province [Grant 2023-BS-091], the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities [Grant DUT23RC(3)045], and the Major Project of the National Social Science Foundation [Grant 22&ZD151]. Supplemental Material: The online appendices are available at https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2022.0339 .

Abstract PO2-27-06: ANXA9 facilitates the exocrine secretion of S100A4 and promotes pleural metastasis in breast cancer

Abstract Metastasis to distant organs stands as the primary contributor to mortality in cases of breast cancer. While localized breast cancer boasts a 5-year survival rate of roughly 99%, this figure drastically declines to approximately 26% for patients afflicted with distant metastasis. Regrettably, the current therapeutic landscape lacks efficacious and targeted interventions for the treatment of metastatic breast cancer. Our investigation has revealed a significant upregulation of S100A4 in metastatic breast cancer tissues, with notably high expression observed in the malignant pleural effusion of patients in advanced stages of the disease. Upon acceptance of the effective treatment, the expression of S100A4 in malignant pleural effusion decreased, along with a decrease in several cytokines, including IL-6, IL-8, CCL2, and CCL5. The breast cancer cellular models demonstrated that ANXA9 has the ability to regulate the excretion of S100A4 from cells into the surrounding medium. Similarly, the mice model of pleural metastasis indicated that the downregulation of ANXA9 (sh-ANXA9) resulted in decreased levels of S100A4 and cytokines IL-6, IL-8, CCL2, and CCL5 in the mice's hydrothorax. Additionally, our findings suggest that ANXA9 regulates the excretion of S100A4 through phosphorylation of ANXA9. The cellular membrane harbored phosphorylated ANXA9, which exhibited two phosphorylation sites. Upon mutation of these sites, the level of ANXA9 phosphorylation decreased, leading to a reduction in the exocrine release of ANXA9 from cells into the medium. Our research further revealed the significant involvement of ANXA9 in facilitating the progression of breast cancer, thereby suggesting that therapeutic interventions targeting ANXA9 could prove efficacious in treating metastatic breast cancer. This work was supported by Shanghai Sailing Program to Dengfeng Li (No. 20YF1437800), grant from the National Natural Science Foundation of China to Dengfeng li (No. 82103454) and grant from the National Natural Science Foundation of China to Lin Fang (No. 82073204). Citation Format: Xiqian Zhou, Dengfeng Li, Lin Fang, Junyong Zhao. ANXA9 facilitates the exocrine secretion of S100A4 and promotes pleural metastasis in breast cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr PO2-27-06.

Intratumoral CD38+CD19+B cells associate with poor clinical outcomes and immunosuppression in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

The widespread involvement of tumor-infiltrating B cells highlights their potential role in tumor behavior. However, B cell heterogeneity in PDAC remains unexplored. Studying TIL-Bs in PDAC aims to identify new treatment strategies. We performed single-cell RNA sequencing to study the heterogeneity of B cells in PDAC. The prognostic and immunologic value of the identified CD38+ B cells was explored in FUSCC (n=147) and TCGA (n=176) cohorts. Flow cytometry was conducted to characterize the relationship between CD38+ B cells and other immune cells, as well as their phenotypic features. Invitro and in vivo experiments were performed to assess the putative effect of CD38+ B cells on antitumor immunity. The presence of CD38+ B cells in PDAC was associated with unfavorable clinicopathological features and poorer overall survival (p<0.001). Increased infiltration of CD38+ B cells was accompanied by reduced natural killer (NK) cells (p=0.021) and increased regulatory T cells (p=0.016). Molecular profiling revealed high expression of IL-10, IL-35, TGF-β, GZMB, TIM-1, CD5 and CD21, confirming their putative regulatory B cell-like features. Co-culture experiments demonstrated suppression of NK cell cytotoxicity by CD38+ B cell-derived IL-10 (p<0.001). Finally, invivo experiments suggested adoptive transfer of CD38+ B cells reduced antitumor immunity and administration of a CD38 inhibitor hampered tumor growth (p<0.001). We discovered regulatory B cell-like CD38+ B cell infiltration as an independent prognostic factor in PDAC. The use of CD38 inhibitor may provide new possibilities for PDAC immunotherapy. This study was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (U21A20374), Shanghai Municipal Science and Technology Major Project (21JC1401500), Scientific Innovation Project of Shanghai Education Committee (2019-01-07-00-07-E00057), Special Project for Clinical Research in the Health Industry of the Shanghai Health Commission (No. 20204Y0265) and Natural Science Foundation of Shanghai (23ZR1479300).

VHL mutation drives human clear cell renal cell carcinoma progression through PI3K/AKT-dependent cholesteryl ester accumulation

Cholesteryl ester (CE) accumulation in intracellular lipid droplets (LDs) is an essential signature of clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC), but its molecular mechanism and pathological significance remain elusive. Enabled by the label-free Raman spectromicroscopy, which integrated stimulated Raman scattering microscopy with confocal Raman spectroscopy on the same platform, we quantitatively analyzed LD distribution and composition at the single cell level in intact ccRCC cell and tissue specimens in situ without any processing or exogenous labeling. Since we found that commonly used ccRCC cell lines actually did not show the CE-rich signature, primary cancer cells were isolated from human tissues to retain the lipid signature of ccRCC with CE level as high as the original tissue, which offers a preferable cell model for the study of cholesterol metabolism in ccRCC. Moreover, we established a patient-derived xenograft (PDX) mouse model that retained the CE-rich phenotype of human ccRCC. Surprisingly, our results revealed that CE accumulation was induced by tumor suppressor VHL mutation, the most common mutation of ccRCC. Moreover, VHL mutation was found to promote CE accumulation by upregulating HIFα and subsequent PI3K/AKT/mTOR/SREBPs pathway. Inspiringly, inhibition of cholesterol esterification remarkably suppressed ccRCC aggressiveness invitro and invivo with negligible toxicity, through the reduced membrane cholesterol-mediated downregulations of integrin and MAPK signaling pathways. Collectively, our study improves current understanding of the role of CE accumulation in ccRCC and opens up new opportunities for treatment. This work was supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. U23B2046 and No. 62027824), National Key R&D Program of China (No. 2023YFC2415500), Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (No. YWF-22-L-547), PKU-Baidu Fund (No. 2020BD033), Peking University First Hospital Scientific and Technological Achievement Transformation Incubation Guidance Fund (No. 2022CX02), and Beijing Municipal Health Commission (No. 2020-2Z-40713).

Cost-effectiveness of population-based screening for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in China: a simulation modeling study

China has the highest disease burden of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in the world; however, the diagnosis rate remains low. Screening for COPD in the population may improve early diagnosis and long-term health outcomes for patients with COPD. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of population-based COPD screening policies in China. We developed a microsimulation model that simulated incidence, natural history, and clinical management of COPD over a lifetime horizon among the general population aged 35-80 years in China. We evaluated population-based screening policies with different screening methods (one-step with COPD Screening Questionnaire or two-step with additional portable spirometer test) and frequencies (one-time or every 1-10 years). We calculated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of the screening policies compared with the status quo (without screening) and identified the most cost-effective screening policy. Scenario and sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the impact of key parameters and the robustness of model results. Compared with the status quo, all population-based COPD screening policies were cost-effective with estimated ICERs ranging between $8034 and $13,209 per quality-adjusted-life-year (QALY), all under the willingness-to-pay value of $38,441/QALY (three times China's gross domestic product per capita). A total of 0.39%-8.10% of COPD-related deaths and 0.58%-2.70% of COPD exacerbations were projected to be averted by COPD screening. Among all screening policies, annual two-step screening was the most cost-effective. Improving the linkage from screening to diagnosis and treatment could further increase population health benefits and the cost-effectiveness of COPD screening. Population-based screening for COPD could be cost-effective in China. Offering public programs for COPD screening similar to existing preventive health services for other chronic diseases could be a promising strategy to improve population health outcomes and mitigate the disease burden of COPD in China. Alexander von Humboldt Foundation, National Natural Science Foundation of China, CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Science, Chinese Academy of Engineering project, and Horizon Europe.

Chemically engineered mTOR-nanoparticle blockers enhance antitumour efficacy

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a highly prevalent and deadly type of cancer, and although pharmacotherapy remains the cornerstone of treatment, therapeutic outcomes are often unsatisfactory. Pharmacological inhibition of mammalian target of rapamycin (mTOR) has been closely associated with HCC regression. Herein, we covalently conjugated AZD8055, a potent mTORC1/2 blocker, with a small panel of unsaturated fatty acids via a dynamically activating linkage to enable aqueous self-assembly of prodrug conjugates to form mTOR nanoblockers. Cell-based experiments were carried out to evaluate the effects of the nanoblocker against hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) cells. The orthotopic and subcutaneous HCC mouse models were established to examine its antitumour activity. Among several fatty acids as promoieties, linoleic acid-conjugated self-assembling nanoblocker exhibited optimal size distribution and superior physiochemical properties. Compared with free agents, PEGylated AZD8055 nanoblocker (termed AZD NB) was pharmacokinetically optimized after intravenous administration. Invivo investigations confirmed that AZD NB significantly suppressed tumour outgrowth in subcutaneous HCCLM3 xenograft, Hepatoma-22, and orthotopic Hepa1-6 liver tumour models. Strikingly, treatment with AZD NB, but not free agent, increased intratumour infiltration of IFN-γ+CD8+ T cells and CD8+ memory T cells, suggesting a potential role of the mTOR nanoblocker to remodel the tumour microenvironment. Overall, a single conjugation with fatty acid transformed a hydrophobic mTOR blocker into a systemically injectable nanomedicine, representing a facile and generalizable strategy for improving the therapeutic index of mTOR inhibition-based cancer therapy. The mTOR inhibition by chemically engineered nanoblocker presented here had enhanced efficacy against tumours compared with the pristine drug and thus has the potential to improve the survival outcomes of patients with HCC. Additionally, this new nanosystem derived from co-assembling of small-molecule prodrug entities can serve as a delivery platform for the synergistic co-administration of distinct pharmaceutical agents. This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (32171368,81721091), the Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China (LZ21H180001), the Jinan Provincial Laboratory Research Project of Microecological Biomedicine (JNL-2022039c and JNL-2022010B), State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases (zz202310), and Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province (ZR2023ZD59).

Impact of ambient air pollution on colorectal cancer risk and survival: insights from a prospective cohort and epigenetic Mendelian randomization study

This study investigates the associations between air pollution and colorectal cancer (CRC) risk and survival from an epigenomic perspective. Using a newly developed Air Pollutants Exposure Score (APES), we utilized a prospective cohort study (UK Biobank) to investigate the associations of individual and combined air pollution exposures with CRC incidence and survival, followed by an up-to-date systematic review with meta-analysis to verify the associations. In epigenetic two-sample Mendelian randomization analyses, we examine the associations between genetically predicted DNA methylation related to air pollution and CRC risk. Further genetic colocalization and gene-environment interaction analyses provided different insights to disentangle pathogenic effects of air pollution via epigenetic modification. During a median 12.97-year follow-up, 5767 incident CRC cases among 428,632 participants free of baseline CRC and 533 deaths in 2401 patients with CRC were documented in the UK Biobank. A higher APES score was associated with an increased CRC risk (HR, 1.03, 95% CI= 1.01-1.06; P=0.016) and poorer survival (HR, 1.13, 95% CI= 1.03-1.23; P=0.010), particularly among participants with insufficient physical activity and ever smokers (Pinteraction > 0.05). A subsequent meta-analysis of seven observational studies, including UK Biobank data, corroborated the association between PM2.5 exposure (per 10μg/m3 increment) and elevated CRC risk (RR,1.42, 95% CI= 1.12-1.79; P=0.004; I2=90.8%). Genetically predicted methylation at PM2.5-related CpG site cg13835894 near TMBIM1/PNKD and cg16235962 near CXCR5, and NO2-related cg16947394 near TMEM110 were associated with an increased CRC risk. Gene-environment interaction analysis confirmed the epigenetic modification of aforementioned CpG sites with CRC risk and survival. Our study suggests the association between air pollution and CRC incidence and survival, underscoring the possible modifying roles of epigenomic factors. Methylation may partly mediate pathogenic effects of air pollution on CRC, with annotation to epigenetic alterations in protein-coding genes TMBIM1/PNKD, CXCR5 and TMEM110. Xue Li is supported by the Natural Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars of Zhejiang Province (LR22H260001), the National Nature Science Foundation of China (No. 82204019) and Healthy Zhejiang One Million People Cohort (K-20230085). ET is supported by a Cancer Research UK Career Development Fellowship (C31250/A22804). MGD is supported by the MRC Human Genetics Unit Centre Grant (U127527198).

Projecting heat-related cardiovascular mortality burden attributable to human-induced climate change in China

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) has been found to be particularly vulnerable to climate change and temperature variability. This study aimed to assess the extent to which human-induced climate change contributes to future heat-related CVD burdens. Daily data on CVD mortality and temperature were collected in 161 Chinese communities from 2007 to 2013. The association between heat and CVD mortality was established using a two-stage time-series design. Under the natural forcing, human-induced, and combined scenarios, we then separately projected excess cause-/age-/region-/education-specific mortality from future high temperature in 2010-2100, assuming no adaptation and population changes. Under shared socioeconomic pathway with natural forcing scenario (SSP2-4.5-nat), heat-related attributable fraction of CVD deaths decreased slightly from 3.3% [95% empirical confidence interval (eCI): 0.3, 5.8] in the 2010s to 2.8% (95% eCI: 0.1, 5.2) in the 2090s, with relative change of-0.4% (95% eCI:-0.8, 0.0). However, for combined natural and human-induced forcings, this estimate would surge to 8.9% (95% eCI: 1.5, 15.7), 14.4% (95% eCI: 1.5, 25.3), 21.3% (95% eCI:-0.6, 39.4), and 28.7% (95% eCI:-3.3, 48.0) in the 2090s under SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, respectively. When excluding the natural forcing, the number of human-induced heat-related CVD deaths would increase from approximately eight thousand (accounting for 31% of total heat-related CVD deaths) in the 2010s to 33,052 (68%), 63,283 (80%), 101,091 (87%), and 141,948 (90%) in the 2090s under SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, respectively. Individuals with stroke, females, the elderly, people living in rural areas, and those with lower education level would exhibit heightened susceptibility to future high temperature. In addition, Southern and Eastern regions of China were expected to experience a faster increase in heat-related attributable fraction of CVD deaths. Human activities would significantly amplify the future burden of heat-related CVD. Our study findings suggested that active adaptation and mitigation measures towards future warming could yield substantial health benefits for the patients with CVD. National Natural Science Foundation of China.

Loss of function variant in CIP2A associated with female infertility with early embryonic arrest and fragmentation

BackgroundEarly embryonic arrest and fragmentation (EEAF) is a common cause of female infertility, but the genetic causes remain to be largely unknown. CIP2A encodes the cellular inhibitor of PP2A, playing a crucial role in mitosis and mouse oocyte meiosis. MethodsExome sequencing and Sanger sequencing were performed to identify candidate causative genes in patients with EEAF. The pathogenicity of the CIP2A variant was assessed and confirmed in cultured cell lines and human oocytes through Western blotting, semi-quantitative RT-PCR, TUNEL staining, and fluorescence localization analysis. FindingsWe identified CIP2A (c.1510C > T, p.L504F) as a novel candidate disease-causing gene in human EEAF from a consanguineous family. L504 is highly conserved throughout evolution. The CIP2A variant (c.1510C > T, p.L504F) reduced the expression level of the mutant CIP2A protein, leading to the abnormal aggregation of mutant CIP2A protein and cell apoptosis. Abnormal aggregation of CIP2A protein and chromosomal dispersion occurred in the patient's oocytes and early embryos. We further replicated the patient phenotype by knockdown CIP2A in human oocytes. Additionally, CIP2A deficiency resulted in decreased levels of phosphorylated ERK1/2. InterpretationWe first found that the CIP2A loss-of-function variant associate with female infertility characterized by EEAF. Our findings suggest the uniqueness and importance of CIP2A gene in human oocyte and early embryo development. FundingThis work was supported by National Key Research and Development Program of China (2023YFC2706302), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (81000079, 81170165, and 81870959), the HUST Academic Frontier Youth Team (2016QYTD02), and the Key Research of Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Tongji Hospital (2022A20).

Alterations in the gut mycobiome with coronary artery disease severity

BackgroundCoronary artery disease (CAD) is a prevalent cardiovascular condition, and numerous studies have linked gut bacterial imbalance to CAD. However, the relationship of gut fungi, another essential component of the intestinal microbiota, with CAD remains poorly understood. MethodsIn this cross-sectional study, we analyzed fecal samples from 132 participants, split into 31 healthy controls and 101 CAD patients, further categorized into stable CAD (38), unstable angina (41), and acute myocardial infarction (22) groups. We conducted internal transcribed spacer 1 (ITS1) and 16S sequencing to examine gut fungal and bacterial communities. FindingsBased on ITS1 analyses, Ascomycota and Basidiomycota were the dominant fungal phyla in all the groups. The α diversity of gut mycobiome remained unaltered among the control group and CAD subgroups; however, the structure and composition of the mycobiota differed significantly with the progression of CAD. The abundances of 15 taxa gradually changed with the occurrence and progression of the disease and were significantly correlated with major CAD risk factor indicators. The mycobiome changes were closely linked to gut microbiome dysbiosis in patients with CAD. Furthermore, disease classifiers based on gut fungi effectively identified subgroups with different degrees of CAD. Finally, the FUNGuild analysis further categorized these fungi into distinct ecological guilds. InterpretationIn conclusion, the structure and composition of the gut fungal community differed from healthy controls to various subtypes of CAD, revealing key fungi taxa alterations linked to the onset and progression of CAD. Our study highlights the potential role of gut fungi in CAD and may facilitate the development of novel biomarkers and therapeutic targets for CAD. FundingThis work was supported by the grants from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 82170302, 92168117, 82370432), National clinical key specialty construction project- Cardiovascular Surgery, 2024 Reform and Development Program of Beijing Institute of Respiratory Medicine, the Beijing Natural Science Foundation (No. 7222068); the Reform and Development Program of Beijing Institute of Respiratory Medicine (No. Ggyfz202308); and the Clinical Research Incubation Program of Beijing Chaoyang Hospital Affiliated to Capital Medical University (No. CYFH202209).

Mucosal-associated invariant T cells promote ductular reaction through amphiregulin in biliary atresia

Biliary atresia (BA) is a neonatal fibro-inflammatory cholangiopathy with ductular reaction as a key pathogenic feature predicting poor survival. Mucosal-associated invariant T (MAIT) cells are enriched in human liver and display multiple roles in liver diseases. We aimed to investigate the function of MAIT cells in BA. First, we analyzed correlations between liver MAIT cell and clinical parameters (survival, alanine transaminase, bilirubin, histological inflammation and fibrosis) in two public cohorts of patients with BA (US and China). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and spearman correlation analysis were employed for survival data and other clinical parameters, respectively. Next, we obtained liver samples or peripheral blood from BA and control patients for bulk RNA sequencing, flow cytometry analysis, immunostaning and functional experiments of MAIT cells. Finally, we established two invitro co-culture systems, one is the rhesus rotavirus (RRV) infected co-culture system to model immune dysfunction of human BA which was validated by single cell RNA sequencing and the other is a multicellular system composed of biliary organoids, LX-2 and MAIT cells to evaluate the role of MAIT cells on ductular reaction. Liver MAIT cells in BA were positively associated with low survival and ductular reaction. Moreover, liver MAIT cells were activated, exhibited a wound healing signature and highly expressed growth factor Amphiregulin (AREG) in a T cell receptor (TCR)-dependent manner. Antagonism of AREG abrogated the proliferative effect of BA MAIT cells on both cholangiocytes and biliary organoids. A RRV infected co-culture system, recapitulated immune dysfunction of human BA, disclosed that RRV-primed MAIT cells promoted cholangiocyte proliferation via AREG, and further induced inflammation and fibrosis in the multicellular system. MAIT cells exhibit a wound healing signature depending on TCR signaling and promote ductular reaction via AREG, which is associated with advanced fibrosis and predictive of low survival in BA. This work was funded by National Natural Science Foundation of China grant (82001589 and 92168108), National Key R&D Program of China (2023YFA1801600) and by Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation of Guangdong (2020A1515110921).

An artificial intelligence model for detecting pathological lymph node metastasis in prostate cancer using whole slide images: a retrospective, multicentre, diagnostic study

The pathological examination of lymph node metastasis (LNM) is crucial for treating prostate cancer (PCa). However, the limitations with naked-eye detection and pathologist workload contribute to a high missed-diagnosis rate for nodal micrometastasis. We aimed to develop an artificial intelligence (AI)-based, time-efficient, and high-precision PCa LNM detector (ProCaLNMD) and evaluate its clinical application value. In this multicentre, retrospective, diagnostic study, consecutive patients with PCa who underwent radical prostatectomy and pelvic lymph node dissection at five centres between Sep 2, 2013 and Apr 28, 2023 were included, and histopathological slides of resected lymph nodes were collected and digitised as whole-slide images for model development and validation. ProCaLNMD was trained at a dataset from a single centre (the Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University [SYSMH]), and externally validated in the other four centres. A bladder cancer dataset from SYSMH was used to further validate ProCaLNMD, and an additional validation (human-AI comparison and collaboration study) containing consecutive patients with PCa from SYSMH was implemented to evaluate the application value of integrating ProCaLNMD into the clinical workflow. The primary endpoint was the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of ProCaLNMD. In addition, the performance measures for pathologists with ProCaLNMD assistance was also assessed. In total, 8225 slides from 1297 patients with PCa were collected and digitised. Overall, 8158 slides (18,761 lymph nodes) from 1297 patients with PCa (median age 68 years [interquartile range 64-73]; 331 [26%] with LNM) were used to train and validate ProCaLNMD. The AUROC of ProCaLNMD ranged from 0.975 (95% confidence interval 0.953-0.998) to 0.992 (0.982-1.000) in the training and validation datasets, with sensitivities > 0.955 and specificities > 0.921. ProCaLNMD also demonstrated an AUROC of 0.979 in the cross-cancer dataset. ProCaLNMD use triggered true reclassification in 43 (4.3%) slides in which micrometastatic tumour regions were initially missed by pathologists, thereby correcting 28 (8.5%) missed-diagnosed cases of previous routine pathological reports. In the human-AI comparison and collaboration study, the sensitivity of ProCaLNMD (0.983 [0.908-1.000]) surpassed that of two junior pathologists (0.862 [0.746-0.939], P=0.023; 0.879 [0.767-0.950], P=0.041) by 10-12% and showed no difference to that of two senior pathologists (both 0.983 [0.908-1.000], both P>0.99). Furthermore, ProCaLNMD significantly boosted the diagnostic sensitivity of two junior pathologists (both P=0.041) to the level of senior pathologists (both P>0.99), and substantially reduced the four pathologists' slide reviewing time (-31%, P<0.0001;-34%, P<0.0001;-29%, P<0.0001; and-27%, P=0.00031). ProCaLNMD demonstrated high diagnostic capabilities for identifying LNM in prostate cancer, reducing the likelihood of missed diagnoses by pathologists and decreasing the slide reviewing time, highlighting its potential for clinical application. National Natural Science Foundation of China, the Science and Technology Planning Project of Guangdong Province, the National Key Research and Development Programme of China, the Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Centre for Urological Diseases, and the Science and Technology Projects in Guangzhou.

Politically Affiliated Analysts

Government ownership of financial intermediaries is pervasive around the world. In this study, we examine the impact of common government ownership between the brokerage and listed firms on the information production role of brokerage firms. We show that affiliated analysts tend to issue more optimistic recommendations for stocks of firms controlled by the same government entity that controls their brokerage firms. This optimistic bias is particularly pronounced during periods of economic shocks. Our study demonstrates this by utilizing additional tariff impositions and tariff exemptions during the U.S.–China trade war as exogenous negative and positive shocks, respectively. Additionally, our study indicates that stocks recommended by politically affiliated analysts tend to underperform those recommended by independent analysts, implying that the optimism stems from conflicts of interest rather than superior information. Furthermore, our research highlights that sophisticated investors perceive the potential bias and incorporate it into their trading. Consistent with an exchange of favors story, politically affiliated brokerage firms receive a larger allocation during the issuance of local government debt, whereas governments subscribe for more shares during seasoned equity offerings by these affiliated brokerage firms. This paper was accepted by Kay Giesecke, finance. Funding: The authors gratefully acknowledge the financial support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China [Grants 71972088, 72132002, and 71991473], the National Social Science Foundation of China [Grants 21ZDA010 and 22VRC145], and the Innovation and Talent Base for Digital Technology and Finance [Grant B21038]. Supplemental Material: The online appendix and data files are available at https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2022.00579 .