Emergency Department Data Research Articles

Parental risk factors and children entering out-of-home care: The effects of cumulative risk and parent’s sex

BackgroundParental difficulties, including mental ill health, substance misuse, domestic violence and learning disability have been associated with children entering out-of-home care. There is also evidence that these issues may co-occur within families. Understanding how the co-occurrence of these difficulties is associated with care entry is complex because they may co-occur in the same or different household members and have different impacts on the likelihood of care entry when they occur in mothers, fathers or in single parent households. MethodAdministrative data from local authority children’s services in Wales were linked with demographic data to identify households in which children lived prior to entering care. Linkage to birth data identified biological mothers. Linkage with primary care, emergency department, hospital admissions and substance misuse services data enabled indicators of substance misuse, mental health, assaults in the home, learning disability and neurodivergence in the adults in those households to be identified. A series of multilevel binary logistic regression models were used to explore the odds of a household having one or more children entering care if risk factors were present. These considered the effects of individual risks, and cumulative risk both in individual adults in the household, and across the whole household. The effects of the number of adults, having adults with no risks and the differential impacts of risks in biological mothers, other women or men were also explored. Additional models explored these factors in single adult households. ResultsCumulative risks increased the likelihood of care entry, however this effect disappeared when individual risks were controlled for. The presence of an individual with no risks in the household acted as a protective factor. Overall, the impact of the risks on the odds of care entry was substantially greater if the risks were present in the biological mother than if they occurred in other adults (men or women) in the household. In single adult households risk factors had a much greater impact when they occurred in households headed by women as opposed to men. ConclusionSubstantial differences in the effects of risk factors in female and male adults are apparent and further research is needed to understand why this is occurring to ensure that parents are treated equally in terms of support and statutory intervention regardless of their sex.1Throughout this paper we refer to the “sex” of the parents /adults in households, as opposed to their “gender.” This is because in the analysis we carried out the sex of these individuals was determined by their GP records. We have chosen to use the term “sex,” rather than “gender,” as we believe this data is more likely to reflect their biological sex, rather the gender that the individuals identify as.1

Cohort profile: A population-based record linkage platform to address critical epidemiological evidence gaps in respiratory syncytial virus and other respiratory infections

IntroductionThe Western Australia (WA) Respiratory Infections Linked Data Platform is a population-based cohort established to investigate the epidemiology of RSV and other respiratory infections in children aged 0-10 years, incorporating microbiological testing patterns, hospital admissions, emergency department presentations, and socio-demographic data. MethodsThe cohort was formed through individual linkages between datasets from the WA Department of Health including the Birth and Death Registry, Midwives Notification System (MNS), Hospital Morbidity Data Collection, Emergency Department Data Collection, WA Notifiable Diseases Database, WA Register of Developmental Anomalies, WA Cerebral Palsy Register, WA Antenatal Vaccination Database, WA Family Connections, and PathWest Respiratory Virus Surveillance Data. Hospitalisations and emergency department presentations were temporally linked to routine respiratory viral surveillance data. ResultsThe cohort consists of 368,830 WA births between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2020 with accompanying perinatal and demographic data, and with secondary care follow-up to 30 June 2022. Of these births, 24,660 (6.7%) identify as Aboriginal. A total of 4,077 (1.1%) children died from all causes during the study period (2010-2020), and 9.2% (33,818) of children were born preterm (<37 weeks). ConclusionThe Respiratory Infections Linked Data Platform enables epidemiological investigations, identifying virus-specific risk groups, risk factors, clinical presentation, viral testing patterns, long-term impacts and accurate measures of viral incidence rates in risk and population sub-groups This will not only aid in the calculation of cost-effectiveness estimates of interventions such as immunisations, but also provide guidance for design and implementation of such programs to priority groups. The Respiratory Infections Linked Data Platform will also enable evaluation of the direct and indirect effects of maternal and infant vaccines and new therapeutics. Analyses using this platform will also generate epidemiological data needed for other respiratory viruses on the vaccine pipeline such as parainfluenza virus and human metapneumovirus.

Who do freestanding emergency departments treat? Comparing Texas hospitals to satellite and independent freestanding departments in 2021 and 2022.

The objective was to describe characteristics of emergency department visits to Texas satellite and independent freestanding emergency departments (FrEDs) relative to hospital emergency departments (EDs). The study used all 2021-2022 hospital and FrED discharges from the publicly available Texas Emergency Department Public Use Data Files (PUDF). We conducted a descriptive analysis, comparing patient and visit characteristics at satellite and independent FrEDs and hospital EDs using chi-square tests. We characterized the top 20 diagnoses and procedures ranked by volume, treatment intensity, and potentially avoidable ED use. Discharge data from 2021 to 2022 were combined for the analysis, and ED data at critical access hospitals were excluded. Our sample consisted of 21,605,421 ED visits, 76% occurring at hospitals, 12% at satellite FrEDs, and 12% at independent FrEDs. Compared with hospitals and satellite FrEDs, patients to independent FrEDs were younger, healthier, more likely covered by private insurance, and less likely to be identified as non-Hispanic Black or Hispanic. Visits at satellite and independent FrEDs were more likely to be of moderate and low intensity and potentially avoidable. Our results underscore the need to address potentially avoidable utilization of emergency services.

A Nationwide Emergency Department Data Analysis to Predict Patterns Beers List Medications Use Among Older Adults

BackgroundThe use of potentially inappropriate medications (PIMs) is considered an important quality indicator for older adults seen in the ambulatory care setting. ObjectiveTo evaluate the pattern of potentially inappropriate medication (PIMs) use as specified in the Beers Criteria, for older adults during emergency department (ED) visits in the United States. MethodsUsing data from the National Hospital Ambulatory Care Survey (NHAMCS) we identified older adults (age 65 or older) discharged home from an ED visit in 2019. We defined PIMs as those with an ‘avoid’ recommendation under the American Geriatrics Society (AGS) 2019 Beers Criteria in older adults. Logistic regression models were used to assess demographic, clinical, and hospital factors associated with the use of any PIMs upon ED discharge. ResultsOverall, 5.9 % of visits by older adults discharged from the ED included administration or prescriptions for PIMs. Among those who received any PIMs, 25.5% received benzodiazepines, 42.5 % received anticholinergics, 1.4% received nonbenzodiazepine hypnotics, and 0.5% received barbiturates. A multivariable model showed statistically significant associations for age 65-74 (OR 1.91, 95% CI 1.39-2.62 vs age >=75), dementia (OR 0.45, 95%CI 0.21-0.95), lower immediacy (OR 2.45, 95%CI 1.56-3.84 vs higher immediacy), and Northeastern rural region (OR 0.34, 95%CI 0.21-0.55 vs Midwestern rural). ConclusionWe found that younger age and lower immediacy were associated with increased prescriptions of PIMs for older adults seen, while dementia and Northeastern rural region was associated with reduced use of PIMs seen and discharged from EDs in United States.

Reinforcing informed medication prescription for low back pain in the emergency department (RIME): a controlled interrupted time series implementation study protocol

IntroductionManagement guidelines for low back pain (LBP) recommend exclusion of serious pathology, followed by simple analgesics, superficial heat therapy, early mobilisation and patient education. An audit in a large metropolitan...

Characteristics and outcomes of emergency department presentations brought in by police with and without an emergency examination authority: A state-wide cohort study

BackgroundThe aim of this study was to describe and compare the demographic characteristics, clinical characteristics and patient and health service outcomes of emergency department (ED) presentations brought in by police with and without an emergency examination authority. MethodsA retrospective cohort study of adult (≥ 18 years old) presentations brought in by police to EDs in Queensland, Australia from 01 January 2018 to 31 December 2020. Routinely collected ED data were used to describe and compare the demographic characteristics, clinical characteristics, and outcomes of people brought in by police with and without an emergency examination authority. ResultsA total of 42 502 adult ED presentations were brought in by police over the three-year period, of which 22 981 (44.7%) had an emergency examination authority. Compared with presentations brought in by police without an emergency examination authority, those brought in by police with an emergency examination authority had a higher proportion of presentations for mental health problems, were from major cities, and were allocated more urgent Australasian Triage Scale categories. Presentations brought in by police with an emergency examination authority were less likely to be seen within their Australasian Triage Scale timeframe and experienced a longer length of stay than those brought in by police without an emergency examination authority whether admitted (217 mins vs. 186 mins, p < 0.001) or discharged (212 mins vs. 97 mins, p < 0.001). ConclusionsThe characteristics and outcomes of people brought in by police with emergency examination authorities differed to those brought in by police without emergency examination authorities. Further research is required to enhance understanding of this relatively unexplored group of people and foster interagency collaborations.

Patterns and predictors of ten-year mortality after discharge from community-based post-acute care for acquired brain injury: A retrospective cohort study (ABI-RESTaRT), Western Australia, 1991–2017

BackgroundSurvivors of acquired brain injury (ABI) are left with long-term disability and an increased risk of mortality years post-injury. ObjectiveTo examine 10-year mortality in adults with ABI after discharge from post-acute care and identify modifiable risk factors to reduce long-term mortality risk. MethodsRetrospective cohort study of 586 adults with traumatic (TBI) or non-traumatic brain injury (NTBI), or neurologic condition, consecutively discharged from a post-acute rehabilitation service in Western Australia from 1-Mar-1991 to 31-Dec-2017. Data sources included rehabilitation records, and linked mortality, hospital, and emergency department data. Survival status at 10 years post-discharge was determined. All-cause and cause-specific age- and sex-adjusted standardised mortality ratios (SMR) by ABI diagnosis were calculated using Australian population reference data. Risk factors were examined using multilevel cox proportional hazards regression. ResultsCompared with the Australian population, 10-year all-cause mortality was significantly elevated for all diagnosis cohorts, with the first 12 months the highest risk period. Accidents or intentional self-harm deaths were elevated in TBI (13.2, 95%CI 5.4; 12.1). Neurodegenerative disease deaths were elevated in Neurologic (21.9, 95%CI 13.0; 30.9) and Stroke (19.8; 95%CI 2.4; 27.2) cohorts. Stroke (20.8; 95%CI 7.9; 33.8) and circulatory disease deaths (6.2; 95%CI 2.3; 9.9) were also elevated in Stroke. Psychiatric comorbidity was the strongest risk factor followed by older age, geographical remoteness, and cardiac, vascular, genitourinary and renal comorbidity. Clinically significant improvement in functional independence and psychosocial functioning significantly reduced mortality risk. ConclusionsIndividuals with ABI have an elevated risk of mortality years post-injury. Comorbidity management, continuity of care, and rehabilitation are important to reduce long-term mortality risk.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and lockdowns on emergency data related to mental health disorders in Nouvelle-Aquitaine, France

This study estimates the association between emergency department (ED) visits for mental health disorders (MHDs) and the health context of the COVID-19 pandemic in the French region of Nouvelle-Aquitaine. This retrospective study took place between 2018 and 2021 using ED data. We defined the main exposure according to five periods: “Pre-pandemic (reference)”, “First lockdown”, “Second lockdown”, “Third lockdown”, and “Pandemic out-of-lockdown.” We constructed the daily indicators for each MHD-related ED visit based on medical diagnoses. We described and then modeled the daily time series using generalized additive models with a quasi-Poisson regression. The analysis included 5,693,341 ED visits of which MHDs accounted for 4%. We observed a decline in ED use for most indicators, particularly during the first lockdown. Models revealed a statistically significant relative increase in ED visits for almost all MHDs during the first lockdown; for anxiety and child psychiatric disorders during the second lockdown; and only for child psychiatric disorders during the pandemic out-of-lockdown period. The public health crisis and lockdowns associated with the COVID-19 pandemic have been important sources of stress that could partially explain the deterioration of MHD indicators, thus leading to new public health concerns (notably among the youngest age group). Mental health is a major determinant of overall health and should therefore be considered in the management of crises that may require similar responses in the future.

A New Statistical Method to Detect Disease Outbreaks from Hospital Emergency Department Data.

Early detection and prediction of disease outbreaks are crucial for public health service delivery, containment response, saving patient lives, and reducing costs. We propose a new data-driven statistical methodology for outbreak detection and prediction based on routinely collected hospital Emergency Department data. The time between consecutive ED presentations matching a diagnosis of interest forms the basis of a novel index measure to signal that an outbreak has occurred. We validate the method using historical presentations of influenza-like illness made to a large sample of public hospital EDs in 2020 and compare outbreaks identified by the method with the start of the first wave of COVID-19. The method shows promise within the field of disease outbreak detection.

Effects of socioeconomic status and greenspace on respiratory emergency department visits under short-term temperature variations: An age-stratified case time-series study

IntroductionNeighborhood socioeconomic status (SES) and greenspace can affect respiratory health. However, it is unclear whether effects of neighborhood SES and greenspace on respiratory health still exist regardless of temperature variations. MethodsThis paper conducted a two-stage, age-stratified case time-series study. The first goal is to examine the associations between two temperature metrics (daily mean temperature [DMT] and diurnal temperature range [DTR]) and respiratory emergency department (ED) visits among four age groups in New York City. The second goal is to evaluate whether neighborhood SES and greenspace would be determinants of respiratory ED visits independent from temperature varying factors. A distributed lag nonlinear model was applied on ED data from 135 zip codes (October 2016 - February 2020). ResultsOur first-stage analysis indicated that older adults aged 65+ had higher risk of ED visits (RR=2.78, 95% eCI: 2.41, 3.22; with 7 days of lag) on days with low DMT (-10°C), followed by adults aged 18-64 (RR=2.48, 95% eCI: 2.32, 2.65), children and youth aged 5-17 (RR=1.38, 95% eCI: 1.24, 1.53), and young children aged 0-4 (RR=1.04, 95% eCI: 0.96, 1.13). However, no excess respiratory ED visits were observed on days with high DMT (30°C). Higher DTR was associated with higher risk, with children and youth more susceptible when DTR was high (DTR 20°C; RR=5.70, 95% eCI: 3.42, 9.49; with 7 days of lag). The second-stage analysis indicated neighborhood SES and greenspace had significant associations with respiratory ED visits regardless of temperature variations. Specifically, Higher income and greenspace exposure were negatively associated with ED visits among all age groups. ConclusionsNeighborhood SES and greenspace could affect respiratory morbidity regardless of weather conditions. Daily temperature variations accelerated the short-term risk among population subgroups under different weather conditions (e.g., higher risk of days with low DMT among older adults, higher risk of days with high DTR among children and youth aged 5-17), which could create co-effects with neighborhood SES and greenspace on respiratory health.

A retrospective analysis of concussion and post-concussional syndrome diagnoses in Western Australian emergency departments

Objective(s)To determine the rate of concussion diagnoses per capita recorded in hospital emergency departments in Western Australia (WA) from 2002–2018 for ICD-10-AM concussion diagnoses S06.00-S06.05, and post-concussional syndrome (PCS) (F07.2). Design, setting and analysisRetrospective analysis of hospital Emergency Department (ED) presentations and hospital admissions from all WA hospitals for all patients with an ICD-10-AM diagnosis code for concussion and post-concussional syndrome (PCS) over the period 2002–2018. Data pertaining to concussion and PCS presentations were extracted from the WA Department of Health Emergency Department Data Collection (EDDC). Total case numbers were aggregated by year (2002–2018) and regions of WA. Main outcome measuresThe rates of diagnoses were calculated based on the population in the specific region and expressed as incidence rate per 100,000 person-years. The overall trends of diagnoses across the regions were analysed using negative binomial regression models and expressed as incidence rate ratio (IRR) with the corresponding 95 % CI, whilst adjusting for region. Tests for linearity were also performed. ResultsThe rate of concussion diagnosis had significantly increased linearly over the years (p for trend: p < 0.001) whilst the rate of PCS diagnosis had significantly declined linearly over the same period (p for trend: p < 0.001). ConclusionThere was significant increase in all-cause ICD-10-AM concussion diagnoses in WA emergency departments. To further clarify the incidence and prevalence of all-cause concussion in Australia, investigation must focus on truly reflective S06.0 codes and include data linkage to primary care data. Conversely PCS ED presentations reduced; whether this relates to a change in where presentations occur for management of such a diagnosis, improved early intervention or an alternative explanation warrants further investigation.

Racial and ethnic disparities in emergency department transfers to public hospitals.

To examine racial/ethnic differences in emergency department (ED) transfers to public hospitals and factors explaining these differences. ED and inpatient data from the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project for Florida (2010-2019); American Hospital Association Annual Survey (2009-2018). Logistic regression examined race/ethnicity and payer on the likelihood of transfer to a public hospital among transferred ED patients. The base model was controlled for patient and hospital characteristics and year fixed effects. Models II and III added urbanicity and hospital referral region (HRR), respectively. Model IV used hospital fixed effects, which compares patients within the same hospital. Models V and VI stratified Model IV by payer and condition, respectively. Conditions were classified as emergency care sensitive conditions (ECSCs), where transfer is protocolized, and non-ECSCs. We reported marginal effects at the means. We examined 1,265,588 adult ED patients transferred from 187 hospitals. Black patients were more likely to be transferred to public hospitals compared with White patients in all models except ECSC patients within the same initial hospital (except trauma). Black patients were 0.5-1.3 percentage points (pp) more likely to be transferred to public hospitals than White patients in the same hospital with the same payer. In the base model, Hispanic patients were more likely to be transferred to public hospitals compared with White patients, but this difference reversed after controlling for HRR. Hispanic patients were - 0.6 pp to -1.2 pp less likely to be transferred to public hospitals than White patients in the same hospital with the same payer. Large population-level differences in whether ED patients of different races/ethnicities were transferred to public hospitals were largely explained by hospital market and the initial hospital, suggesting that they may play a larger role in explaining differences in transfer to public hospitals, compared with other external factors.

Incidence and Time Course of Symptomatic Thromboembolic Outcomes After Lower Extremity Arthroscopic Surgery, Ankle Fracture Surgery, and Achilles Tendon Repair.

The incidence and time course of acute venous thromboembolism (VTE) after ambulatory surgery for lower extremity orthopaedic conditions is not well-defined. The purpose of this study was to analyze the incidence, the time course, and risk factors associated with clinically diagnosed acute deep vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism within 3 months of surgery in patients undergoing specific operations for lower extremity injuries. Patients undergoing arthroscopic procedures of the knee, ankle fracture surgery, Achilles tendon repair, and ankle arthroscopy from January 1, 2005, to December 31, 2010, were identified in the California Ambulatory Surgery database with linkage to hospital discharge data, emergency department data, and a death registry. Outcomes were acute VTE and death within 90 days. Time courses were compared using Kaplan-Meier analysis, and risk factors were analyzed using proportional hazard modeling. Analysis of data from 468,699 surgeries showed that the cumulative incidence of acute VTE was significantly higher after Achilles tendon repair (0.72%, P < 0.001) than ankle fracture surgery (0.33%), knee arthroscopy procedures (range, 0.29% to 0.41%), or ankle arthroscopy (0.24%). The time course of diagnosis of VTE was similar for all arthroscopic procedures (median postoperative day for diagnosis = 9 to 10; 80% by 22 to 36 days), whereas for Achilles tendon surgery, the time course was protracted (median postoperative day for diagnosis = 29 days; 80% by 51 days). Ninety-day mortality was low (<0.06%) after all procedures except ankle fracture (0.12%). Predictors of pulmonary embolism included age older than 60 years (HR, 3.1; 95% CI; 2.0 to 4.8, versus younger than 30 years), Achilles tendon repair (HR, 3.8; 95% CI; 2.8 to 5.3), and ankle fracture surgery (Hazard Ratio [HR], 2.1; 95% Confidence Interval [CI]; 1.5 to 2.8); Asian/Pacific Islander (HR, 0.3; 95% CI; 0.1 to 0.6) and Hispanic patients (HR, 0.5; 95% CI; 0.4 to 0.7) had significantly lower risk. The incidence and time course of onset of acute VTE after lower extremity orthopaedic surgeries varies significantly depending on the surgical procedure. These findings have implications regarding the use and duration of pharmacologic thromboprophylaxis.

Late venous thromboembolism in survivors of adolescent and young adult cancer: A population-based study in California

IntroductionVenous thromboembolism (VTE), a common complication in cancer patients, occurs more often during the initial phase of treatment. However, information on VTE beyond the first two years after diagnosis (‘late VTE’) is scarce, particularly in young survivors. MethodsWe examined the risk of, and factors associated with, late VTE among adolescents and young adults (AYA, 15–39 years) diagnosed with cancer (2006–2018) who survived ≥2 years. Data were obtained from the California Cancer Registry linked to hospitalization, emergency department and ambulatory surgery data. We used non-parametric models and Cox proportional hazard regression for analyses. ResultsAmong 59,343 survivors, the 10-year cumulative incidence of VTE was 1.93 % (CI 1.80–2.07). The hazard of VTE was higher among those who had active cancer, including progression from lower stages to metastatic disease (Hazard Ratio (HR) = 10.41, 95 % confidence interval (CI): 8.86–12.22), second primary cancer (HR = 2.58, CI:2.01–3.31), or metastatic disease at diagnosis (HR = 2.38, CI:1.84–3.09). The hazard of late VTE was increased among survivors who underwent hematopoietic cell transplantation, those who received radiotherapy, had a VTE history, public insurance (vs private) or non-Hispanic Black/African American race/ethnicity (vs non-Hispanic White). Patients with leukemias, lymphomas, sarcoma, melanoma, colorectal, breast, and cervical cancers had a higher VTE risk than those with thyroid cancer. ConclusionsVTE risk remained elevated ≥2 years following cancer diagnosis in AYA survivors. Active cancer is a significant risk factor for VTE. Future studies might determine if late VTE should prompt evaluation for recurrence or second malignancy, if not already known.

Utility of Cardiac POCUS in the Evaluation of Pediatric Chest Pain in the Emergency Department

Background/Objective:Chest pain in children is rarely caused by a life-threatening pathology. Despite the rarity of potentially life-threatening disease, most children presenting to EDs are evaluated with chest radiographs and laboratory tests without yielding helpful information that significantly changes immediate management. While the utilization of cardiac Point-of-Care Ultrasound (POCUS) by adult emergency physicians has become standard of practice, the data in pediatric emergency departments (PED) is not as robust. This study aims to describe practice patterns in the evaluation of pediatric chest pain presenting in a PED and determine clinical outcomes.&#x0D; Methods:We reviewed charts of previously healthy children aged &lt;18 years old who presented to Riley Children’s Hospital from January 2019 to July 2020 with a chief complaint of chest pain. Patients with known medical history, prior evaluations by a pediatric cardiologist, transfers from other hospital with existing workup were excluded. Patient demographics, laboratory tests and imaging ordered while in the ED, electrocardiography (EKG), consults with subspecialties, disposition and follow up plans were analyzed. We categorized clinical significance of PED interventions as minor, moderate, or major.&#x0D; Results:Out of three hundred and nineteen patients included in the study, 79.6% (254) received chest radiographs, 93.4% (298) underwent EKG, and 4.1% (13) received cardiac POCUS. The findings of these orders prompted minor interventions in 92.8% (296) of patients, moderateintervention in 4.7% (15) of patients, and major intervention in 2.5% (8) of patients.&#x0D; Conclusion and Implications:These results show a lack of use for POCUS in pediatric patients presenting with chest pain while chest radiography is preferred in the ED. Additionally, POCUS did not result in any moderate or major significant clinical outcomes.

Concordance in Medical Urgency Classification of Discharge Diagnoses and Reasons for Visit

Current policies to divert emergency department (ED) visits for less medically urgent conditions to more cost-effective settings rely on retrospective adjudication of discharge diagnoses. However, patients present to the ED with concerns, making it challenging for clinicians. To characterize ED visits based on the medical urgency of the presenting reasons for visit and to explore the concordance between discharge diagnoses and reasons for visit. In this retrospective, cross-sectional study, a nationwide sample of ED visits by adults (aged ≥18 years) in the US from the 2018 and 2019 calendar years' ED data of the National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey was used. An algorithm to probabilistically assign ED visits into medical urgency categories based on the presenting reason for visit was developed. A 3-step, look-back method was applied using an updated version of the New York University ED algorithm, and a map of all possible discharge diagnoses to the same reasons for visit was developed. Analyses were conducted in July and August 2023. The main outcome was probabilistic medical urgency classification of reasons for visits and discharge diagnoses and their concordance. We analyzed 27 068 ED visits (mean age, 48.2% years [95% CI, 47.5%-48.9% years]) representing 190.7 million visits nationwide. Women (mean, 57.0% [95% CI, 55.9%-58.1%]) and patients with public health insurance coverage, including Medicare (mean, 24.9% [95% CI, 21.9%-28.0%]) and Medicaid (mean, 25.1% [95% CI, 21.0%-29.2%]), accounted for the largest share of ED visits, and a mean of 13.2% (95% CI, 11.4%-15.0%) of all visits resulted in a hospital admission. Overall, about 38.5% and 53.9% of all ED visits were classified with 100% and 75% probabilities, respectively, as injury related, emergency care needed, emergent but primary care treatable, nonemergent, or mental health or substance use disorders related based on discharge diagnosis compared with 0.4% and 12.4%, respectively, of all encounters based on patients' reason for visit. Among discharge diagnoses assigned with high certainty to only 1 urgency category using the New York University ED algorithm, between 38.0% (95% CI, 36.3%-39.6%) and 57.4% (95% CI, 56.0%-58.8%) aligned with the probabilistic categorical assignments of their corresponding reasons for visit. In this cross-sectional study of 190.7 million ED visits among adults aged 18 years or older, a smaller percentage of reasons for visit could be prospectively categorized with high accuracy to a specific medical urgency category compared with all visits based on discharge diagnoses, and a limited concordance between reasons for visit and discharge diagnoses was found. Alternative methods are needed to identify the medical necessity of ED encounters more accurately.

Healthcare utilization for asthma exacerbation among children of migrant and seasonal farmworkers

Latino children of Migrant and Seasonal Farmworkers (MSFWs) with asthma are at risk for poor health outcomes due to medical access barriers. We compared differences in acute care utilization for asthma exacerbations among migrant and non-migrant Latino and non-Hispanic white (NHW) children at U.S. community health centers.A retrospective observational study utilizing electronic health record data from the ADVANCE Clinical Research Network of United States community health centers included 13,423 children ages 3–17 with a primary care visit between 2005 and 2017 from eight states. Emergency department (ED) and hospitalization data came from Oregon Medicaid claims. Outcomes included acute clinic visits, ED visits, and hospitalizations for asthma exacerbation. Regression analyses adjusted for patient-level covariates.Latino children had higher odds of acute clinic visits for asthma exacerbation compared to NHW children (MSFW odds ratio [OR] = 1.17, 95 % CI = 1.03–1.33; without migrant status OR = 1.13, 95 % CI = 1.03–1.23). MSFW children using Oregon Medicaid had fewer ED visits (rate ratio [RR] = 0.72, 95 % CI = 0.52–0.99) and hospitalizations (RR = 0.47, 95 % CI = 0.26–0.86) compared to NHW children.Increased community health center visits may help mitigate disparities in acute asthma care for MSFW children.

Evaluating the Reliability of a Remote Acuity Prediction Tool in a Canadian Academic Emergency Department

There is increasing interest in harnessing artificial intelligence to virtually triage patients seeking care. The objective was to examine the reliability of a virtual machine learning algorithm to remotely predict acuity scores for patients seeking emergency department (ED) care by applying the algorithm to retrospective ED data. This was a retrospective review of adult patients conducted at an academic tertiary care ED (annual census 65,000) from January 2021 to August 2022. Data including ED visit date and time, patient age, sex, reason for visit, presenting complaint and patient-reported pain score were used by the machine learning algorithm to predict acuity scores. The algorithm was designed to up-triage high-risk complaints to promote safety for remote use. The predicted scores were then compared to nurse-led triage scores previously derived in real time using the electronic Canadian Triage and Acuity Scale (eCTAS), an electronic triage decision-support tool used in the ED. Interrater reliability was estimated using kappa statistics with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). In total, 21,469 unique ED patient encounters were included. Exact modal agreement was achieved for 10,396 (48.4%) patient encounters. Interrater reliability ranged from poor to fair, as estimated using unweighted kappa (0.18, 95% CI 0.17 to 0.19), linear-weighted kappa (0.25, 95% CI 0.24 to 0.26), and quadratic-weighted kappa (0.36, 95% CI 0.35 to 0.37) statistics. Using the nurse-led eCTAS score as the reference, the machine learning algorithm overtriaged 9,897 (46.1%) and undertriaged 1,176 (5.5%) cases. Some of the presenting complaints under-triaged were conditions generally requiring further probing to delineate their nature, including abnormal lab/imaging results, visual disturbance, and fever. This machine learning algorithm needs further refinement before being safely implemented for patient use.

Comparison of Clinical Frailty Scale and Edmonton Frail Scale in older adults presenting to the emergency department

Introduction: This study aimed to compare the prognostic values of Edmonton Frail Scale and Clinical Frailty Scale in the emergency department and determine their suitability for patient management. Materials and Method: This study was conducted as a single-center prospective observational study. Patients aged 65 and older who presented to the emergency department were included. Clinical Frailty Scale and Edmonton Frail Scale scores, the emergency department outcomes, length of stay in the emergency department, 30-day mortality, and 30-day readmission data of the patients were recorded. ROC analysis was performed to examine the predictive values on outcomes. DeLong Test was used to compare the predictive values. Results: This study included 400 patients. Intensive care unit admission was significantly more frequent in the frail group according to both Edmonton Frail Scale and Clinical Frailty Scale. The length of stay in the emergency department was significantly longer in the frail group in both classifications. The mortality rate was significantly higher in the frail group in both classifications. The optimal cut off value for predicting mortality was found to be 9 for Edmonton Frail Scale and 7 for Clinical Frailty Scale. There was no significant difference between the predictive values of two scales. Conclusion: We found that two frail scales have good predictive values for adverse outcomes, such as mortality and the need for Intensive care unit admission in the emergency department. We believe that both scores would be valuable in guiding decisions for the emergency department usage due to their similar predictive values. Keywords: Geriatrics; Emergency Service; Hospital; Frailty; Frail Elderly; Mortality.

Impact of multimorbidity on health care utilisation in Australian older adults aged 45 years and over: a large population-based data linkage cohort study

Background: Multimorbidity (MM), co-occurrence of two or more chronic health conditions in an individual, is often used in the assessment of complex healthcare needs and their impact on health outcomes. Management of MM is complex, but little is known about the impact of MM on health care services.&#x0D; Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional study among people aged 45+ years in New South Wales, Australia, who completed baseline questionnaires in the 45 and Up Study between 2005-2009. Baseline questionnaire data were linked to hospital, primary care Medicare billings, emergency department (ED), and deaths registry data. Our outcome of interest was high use of health care services within the 3-year baseline period (averaged over the years before, during and after recruitment). People who died during that period were excluded. High use was defined as: ≥11 General Practice (GP) visits, ≥2 ED visits, and ≥2 hospital admissions. Prevalence ratios (PRs) were used to measure the impact of MM, and Poisson regression models were used to estimate adjusted and unadjusted PRs with 95% confidence intervals.&#x0D; Results: Among 251,689 participants (46.5% male, and 46.1% aged &lt;60 years), the overall prevalence of MM was 44.1% and prevalence increased with age: 32.2% in 45-59 years, 50.3% in 60-74 years, and 63.3% in 75+ years.  After adjusting for confounding, MM was associated with high service use: adjusted PR (95% CI) was 2.27 (2.06-2.51) for high hospital use, 2.02 (1.98-2.06) for high GP use, and 2.04 (1.90-2.21) for high ED use. The impact of MM on health care utilisation was higher among the younger age group.&#x0D; Conclusion: This study illustrates the burden of multimorbidity on service use within the health system. It also highlights the need to examine and rationalise service provision and utilisation across the health system to assist people with multimorbidity efficiently manage their conditions.