American Joint Committee On Cancer Staging System Research Articles

Abstract PO5-27-01: Comparison between the 7th and the 8th edition of TNM Staging System of American joint committee on Cancer(AJCC) for Breast Cancer Patients, diagnosed and treated at King Abdulaziz Medical City

Abstract Breast cancer is a heterogeneous disease with different biological and molecular characteristics that affect local recurrence, metastases, prognoses, and response to available therapies. The 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system for breast cancer has incorporated the biological and molecular characteristics, tumor grade, estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR), human epidermal growth factor receptor status(Her-2)and tumor grade, into the traditional anatomical 7th edition that only considers tumor size, lymph nodes status, and distant metastases. The aim of this study is to compare the 7th to 8th editions of the AJCC staging system for prognostic impact, assess the effect of the new edition on the treatment and treatment outcome Method A retrospective cohort study was performed for all breast cancer patients, diagnosed between (2013 -2019) and underwent upfront surgery at King Abdulaziz Medical City (KAMC).Patients’ clinicopathological, immunohistochemical, surgical, therapeutic, and follow-up data were retrieved. Overall survival (OS) and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) were estimated using the Kaplan–Meier method. Univariate analysis using Fisher's exact test was used to compare staging systems' prognostic accuracy. Multivariable analysis using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was performed to identify factors independently associated with disease outcome Results A total of 169 female patients were included, the 8th AJCC staging system resulted in a reallocation of 108 (63.9%) of the patients to a different stage group. The majority were downstaged(60.9%) while only 3% were upstaged, most of the upstaged patients had a triple-negative subtype (80%). The change in overall stage for the 8th edition was most significant in stage I (an increase by 140.3%), followed by stage II (downstaged by 74.3%) and stage III (downstaged by 49.7%) compared to the 7th edition. Critically 42.8% of all downstaged patients treated with adjuvant chemotherapy were found to have received unnecessary chemotherapy after applying the 8th AJCC staging system as per National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) clinical practice guidelines recommendations. The 8th AJCC staging system was a better prognostic predictor of disease survival, patients in 8th AJCC stage 3 had a higher tendency to develop metastases and die because of their disease (P-value 0.03, 0.051, respectively). Conclusions: Our comparison revealed that the AJCC 8th edition staging system is superior and more comprehensive than the 7th, in term of prognostic value, and in defining the precise adjuvant therapy Figure 1 Comparison of the 7th AJCC and the 8th AJCC staging system Citation Format: Nafisa Abdelhafiez, Abdulmohsen Alkushi, Lolwah Alriyees, Mohammad Arabi, Faris Alsalamah, Emad Masuadi, Ahmad Omair, Mohammad Alkaiyat, Hussam Shehata. Comparison between the 7th and the 8th edition of TNM Staging System of American joint committee on Cancer(AJCC) for Breast Cancer Patients, diagnosed and treated at King Abdulaziz Medical City [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr PO5-27-01.

A nomogram incorporating treatment data for predicting overall survival in gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine tumors: a population-based cohort study.

Over the last few decades, the annual global incidence of gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine tumours (GEP-NETs) has steadily increased. Because of the complex and inconsistent treatment of GEP-NETs, the prognosis of patients with GEP-NETs is still difficult to assess. The study aimed to construct and validate the nomograms included treatment data for prediction overall survival (OS) in GEP-NETs patients. GEP-NETs patients determined from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-13 registry database (1992-2018) and with additional treatment data from the SEER-18 registry database (1975-2016). In order to select independent prognostic factors that contribute significantly to patient survival and can be included in the nomogram, multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed using the minimum value of Akaike information criterion (AIC) and we analyzed the relationship of variables with OS by calculating hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs. In addition, we also comprehensively compared the nomogram using to predict OS with the current 7th American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system. From 2004 to 2015, a total of 42662 patients at diagnosis years with GEP-NETs were determined from the SEER database. The results indicated that the increasing incidence of GEP-NETs per year and the highest incidence is in patients aged 50-54. After removing cases lacking adequate clinicopathologic characteristics, the remaining eligible patients ( n =7564) were randomly divided into training (3782 patients) and testing sets (3782 patients). In the univariate analysis, sex, age, race, tumour location, SEER historic stage, pathology type, TNM, stage, surgery, radiation, chemotherapy, and CS tumour size were found to be significantly related to OS. Ultimately, the key factors for predicting OS were determined, involving sex, age, race, tumour location, SEER historic stage, M, N, grade, surgery, radiation, and chemotherapy. For internal validation, the C-index of the nomogram used to estimate OS in the training set was 0.816 (0.804-0.828). For external validation, the concordance index (C-index) of the nomogram used to predict OS was 0.822 (0.812-0.832). In the training and testing sets, our nomogram produced minimum AIC values and C-index of OS compared with AJCC stage. Decision curve analysis (DCA) indicated that the nomogram was better than the AJCC staging system because more clinical net benefits were obtained within a wider threshold probability range. A nomogram combined treatment data may be better discrimination in predicting overall survival than AJCC staging system. The authors highly recommend to use their nomogram to evaluate individual risks based on different clinical features of GEP-NETs, which can improve the diagnosis and treatment outcomes of GEP-NETs patients and improve their quality of life.

Evaluation of AJCC staging system and proposal of a novel stage grouping system in retroperitoneal liposarcoma: the Fudan Zhongshan experience.

Overall survival (OS) varies significantly among individuals with heterogeneous retroperitoneal liposarcoma (RPLS), even among those with the same clinical stage. Improved staging of RPLS is a critical unmet need, given the disappointing results of external validations of the 8th American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) TNM staging system. The cohort study included 220 consecutive patients who underwent surgical resection for primary RPLS at the largest sarcoma centre of Fudan University in China from September 2009 to August 2021, combined with 277 adult patients with RPLS in the SEER database from 1975 to 2020. Data analysis was performed from December 2021 to December 2022. Patients were retrospectively restaged according to the 8th and 7th editions of the TNM staging system as well as the new TNM (nTNM) staging system. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS). Comparative analysis of postoperative survival was performed using the Kaplan-Meier method, and differences between subgroups were tested using the log-rank test. The OS prediction nomogram was generated based on baseline variables and tumour characteristics. Harrell's consistency index (C-index), area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC), and calibration curves were used to evaluate the performance of the nomogram. A total of 497 patients were enrolled in the study, including 282 (56.7%) male patients. The median follow-up was 51 months (interquartile range, IQR, 23-83), and the OS rates at 1, 3, and 5 years were 87.9%, 75.3%, and 64.9%, respectively. According to the staging distribution of the AJCC 7th edition, 6 patients were stage IA (1.2%), 189 patients were stage IB (38%), 12 patients were stage IIA (2.4%), 150 patients were stage IIB (30.1%), 131 patients were stage III (26.3%), and 9 patients were stage IV (1.8%). With the 8th edition staging, this distribution changed: 6 patients (1.2%) were stage IA, 189 patients (38%) were stage IB, 12 patients (2.4%) were stage II, 24 patients (4.8%) were stage IIIA, 257 patients (51.7%) were stage IIIB, and 9 patients (1.8%) were stage IV. 182 patients (36.6%) were reclassified according to the nTNM staging system with the new T stage classification. The C-index and log-rank score improved after implementation of nTNM implementation. The nTNM system was associated with improved identification of high-risk patients compared with the AJCC 7th and 8th TNM. The FNCLCC stage proved to be highly prognostic with significant intergroup differences in OS. The calibration curve shows a high degree of agreement between the actual OS rate and the nomogram estimated OS rate. Compared with 8th AJCC TNM, 7th AJCC TNM staging system showed a more homogeneous staging distribution and a slight improvement in the prognostic accuracy of RPLS. The revised T-stage and nTNM systems showed better risk stratification performance. The FNCLCC stage was found to have high prognostic value, further emphasising histological grade is the least negligible prognostic factor in predicting patient survival. The constructed nomogram model enables individualized prognostic analysis and helps to develop risk-adapted therapy for RPLS patients.

Prognostic nomogram for predicting the overall survival rate of patients with uterine clear-cell carcinoma: Based on SEER database.

To evaluate the risk factors for uterine clear-cell carcinoma (UCCC) and construct nomograms predicting 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival rates of patients with UCCC. The demographic and clinical information of 1674 patients diagnosed with UCCC between 2004 and 2015, including age, race, marital status, tumor size, American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) stage, and details of surgery and radiotherapy/chemotherapy, was collected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. After excluding patients with unknown AJCC stage, race, marital status, or lymph node information, 1469 patients remained. Risk factors were determined using univariate and multivariate analyses, and nomograms were developed to predict 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival of UCCC. Various indicators were used to evaluate the performance of the nomogram, such as the C-index, net classification improvement (NRI) and decision curve analysis (DCA). Age, log odds of positive lymph nodes, AJCC stage, surgery status, and chemotherapy status were independent risk factors for UCCC. The C-indexes of the training group and AJCC stage groups were 0.771 and 0.697, respectively. The results for the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve, NRI, and calibration curves indicated that the nomogram had good predictive ability. DCA revealed that the nomogram had greater clinical applicability than AJCC stage alone. Internal validation using the validation cohort also demonstrated that this nomogram had good predictive performance. A new nomogram comprising a combination of demographic and clinical characteristics provided better survival predictions than the AJCC staging system alone, which will facilitate prognostic assessments and clinical decision-making.

Development and validation of web-based nomograms for predicting survival status in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma depending on the surgical status: a SEER database analysis

This study aimed to develop and validate prognostic nomograms that can estimate the probability of 1-, 3- and 5-year overall survival (OS) as well as cancer-specific survival (CSS) for Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICCA) patients. Clinical data of 1446 patients diagnosed with ICCA between 2010 and 2017 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database were analyzed. In both the OS and the CSS group, the training cohort and validation cohort were divided into a 7:3 ratio. Age, sex, AJCC T stage, AJCC N stage, AJCC M stage, surgical status, and tumor grade were selected as independent prognostic risk factors to build the nomograms. To compare the efficacy of predicting 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS and CSS rates of the nomogram with the 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system, we evaluated the Harrell’s index of concordance (C-index), area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and decision curve analysis (DCA) in both cohorts. The results showed the nomogram for 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS and CSS prediction performed better than the AJCC staging system. In the subgroup analysis for patients could not receive surgery as the primary treatment. We developed two nomograms for predicting the 1-, and 2-year OS and CSS rates following the same analysis procedure. Results indicate that the performance of both nomograms, which contained sex, AJCC T stage, AJCC M stage, chemotherapy, and tumor grade and prognostic factors, was also superior to the AJCC staging system. Meanwhile, four dynamic network-based nomograms were published. The survival analysis showed the survival rate of patients classified as high-risk based on the nomogram score was significantly lower compared to those categorized as low-risk (P < 0.0001). Finally, accurate and convenient nomograms were established to assist clinicians in making more personalized prognosis predictions for ICCA patients.

LASSO-derived prognostic model predicts cancer-specific survival in advanced pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma over 50 years of age: a retrospective study of SEER database research.

This study aimed to develop a prognostic model for patients with advanced ductal adenocarcinoma aged ≥50 years. Patient information was extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression analysis was performed to screen the model variables. Cases from Nanchang Central Hospital were collected for external validation. The new nomogram and the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) criteria were evaluated using integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) and net reclassification index (NRI) indicators. Survival curves presented the prognosis of the new classification system and AJCC criteria. In total, 17,621 eligible patients were included. Lasso Cox regression selected 4 variables including age, chemotherapy, radiotherapy and AJCC stage. The C-index of the training cohort was 0.721. The C-index value of the validation cohort was 0.729. The AUCs for the training cohorts at 1, 2, and 3 years were 0.749, 0.729, and 0.715, respectively. The calibration curves showed that the predicted and actual probabilities at 1, 2, and 3 years matched. External validation confirmed the model's outstanding predictive power. Decision curve analysis indicated that the clinical benefit of the nomogram was higher than that of the AJCC staging system. The model evaluation indices preceded the AJCC staging with NRI (1-year: 0.88, 2-year: 0.94, 3-year: 0.72) and IDI (1-year: 0.24, 2-year: 0.23, 3-year: 0.22). The Kaplan-Meier curves implied that the new classification system was more capable of distinguishing between patients at different risks. This study established a prognostic nomogram and risk classification system for advanced pancreatic cancer in patients aged ≥50 years to provide a practical tool for the clinical management of patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

Development and Validation of Nomograms to Predict Risk and Prognosis in Salivary Gland Carcinoma Patient with Distant Metastases.

Background: Salivary gland carcinoma (SGC) patients with distant metastasis (DM) are rare, and understanding this disease is insufficient. Nomograms can predict the prognostic probability of patients, while few studies have examined diagnostic and prognostic factors in SGC patients with DM. The purpose of this study was to establish and validate the risk and prognostic nomograms of SGC patients with DM. Methods: Based on the SEER database, we analyzed the data of SGC patients between 2004 and 2015. Logistic regression analyses and Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were used to identify risk and prognostic factors for DM in SGC patients. Based on the Akaike information criterion (AIC) value and likelihood ratio test, the best-fitting model was selected to build risk and prognostic nomograms, and the results were evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, decision curve analysis (DCA), and Kaplan-Meier (K-M) survival curves. ROC curves were also used to compare the nomograms with the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system. Results: 7418 SGC patients were included in the study, and 307 (4.14%) of them were diagnosed with DM. This study identified that there are variables (age ≥ 80, no-parotid gland primary site, histologic type of mucoepidermoid carcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma, T stage ≥ T2, N staged ≥ N1, histologic grade ≥ III, and tumor size ≥ 41 mm) associated with the occurrence of DM in SGC patients. Therefore, we constructed diagnostic and prognostic nomograms after incorporating these variables. ROC curves illustrated the better predictive efficacy of 2 nomograms over the AJCC staging system. DCA curves, calibration curves, and K-M survival curves showed that 2 nomograms can accurately predict the occurrence and prognosis of DM among SGC patients in training and validation sets. Conclusion: It was shown that the nomograms were highly discriminative in predicting the diagnosis and prognosis of SGC patients with DM, and could identify high-risk patients, thereby providing SGC patients with individualized treatment plans.

Prediction of postoperative recurrence in resectable pancreatic body/tail adenocarcinoma: a novel risk stratification approach using a CT-based nomogram.

To identify prognostic CT features that predict recurrence in patients with resectable pancreatic body/tail adenocarcinoma (PBTA) and construct a CT-based nomogram for preoperative risk stratification. A total of 258 patients with resectable PBTA who underwent upfront surgery were retrospectively enrolled (development cohort, n = 172; validation cohort, n = 86), and their clinical and CT features were analyzed. Stepwise Cox proportional hazard analysis was performed to identify prognostic features and construct a predictive nomogram for recurrence-free survival (RFS). The prognostic performance of the CT-based nomogram was validated and compared to the 8th American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) pathological staging system. In the development cohort, the following five CT features for predicting recurrence were identified to construct the nomogram: tumor density in the venous phase, tumor necrosis, adjacent organ invasion, splenic vein invasion, and superior mesenteric vein/portal vein abutment. In the validation cohort, the CT-based nomogram showed a concordance index of 0.65 (95% confidence interval: 0.58-0.73), which was higher than the 8th AJCC staging system. The area under the curves of the nomogram for predicting recurrence at 0.5, 1, and 2years were 0.66, 0.71, and 0.72, respectively. Patients were categorized into high- and low-risk groups with 1-year recurrence probabilities of 0.73 and 0.43, respectively. The proposed nomogram provided accurate recurrence risk stratification for patients with resectable PBTA in a preoperative setting and may be used to facilitate clinical decision-making. The proposed CT-based nomogram, based on easily available CT features, may serve as an effective and convenient tool for stratifying further the recurrence risk of patients with pancreatic body/tail adenocarcinoma. • The CT-based nomogram, incorporating five commonly used CT features, successfully preoperatively stratified patients with resectable PBTA into distinct prognosis groups. • Tumor density in the venous phase, tumor necrosis, splenic vein invasion, adjacent organ invasion, and superior mesenteric vein/portal vein abutment were associated with RFS in patients with resectable PBTA. • The CT-based nomogram exhibited better predictive performance for recurrence than the 8th AJCC staging system.

The prognostic value of 11th Japanese classification and 8th AJCC staging systems in Chinese patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

BackgroundTwo staging systems, the 8th staging system by the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) and the 11th Japanese classification by Japan Esophageal Society (JES), are currently applied in the clinic for predicting the prognosis of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). The differences between the two staging systems have been widely researched. However, little studies focus on the differences in specific staging between the two systems. Therefore, we aimed to compare the performance of different staging in predicting overall survival (OS) of Chinese patients with ESCC.MethodsThis retrospective study included 268 patients who underwent radical esophagectomy and mediastinal lymph node dissection for ESCC between January 2008 and December 2013. Patients were staged by the 8th AJCC and 11th JES staging systems. OS was estimated using the Kaplan–Meier method and compared between N stages and between stage groupings using the log-rank test. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was performed to identify factors independently related to outcome. Further, we compared the concordance indexes (C-indexes) of the two staging systems.ResultsThe mean age was 61.25 ± 7.056 years, median follow-up was 44.82 months, and 5-year OS rate was 47%. The OS was well predicted by the 8th AJCC N staging (P < 0.001) and the 11th JES N staging (P < 0.001), with a c-index of 0.638 (95% CI: 0.592–0.683) for AJCC N staging and 0.627 (95% CI: 0.583–0.670) for JES N staging (P = 0.13). In addition, the OS was also well predicted by stage groupings of the 8th AJCC (P < 0.001) and the 11th JES systems (P < 0.001), with a c-index of 0.658 (95% CI: 0.616–0.699) for 8th AJCC stage grouping and 0.629 (95% CI: 0.589–0.668) for the11th JES stage grouping (P = 0.211).ConclusionsThe prognostic effect of 11th JES staging system is comparable with that of AJCC 8th staging system for patients with ESCC. Therefore, both systems are applicable to clinical practice.

Proposal for a new N-stage classification system for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma.

The number of metastatic lymph nodes (MLNs) is not considered in the nodal status (N classification) of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) in the current 8thEdition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system. The aim of this study was to find out the optimal cut-off point based on the number of MLNs and establish a modified AJCC staging system for ICC according to the new N category. A total of 675 ICC patients diagnosed between 2004 and 2015 were retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. The optimal cut-off value of MLNs affecting survival was determined by X-tile software. The relative discriminative power was assessed by Harrell's concordance index (C-index) and Akaike information criterion (AIC). The proposed new nodal category subdivided patients into three groups (N0, no MLN; N1, 1-3 MLNs; and N2, ≥ 4 MLNs) with significantly different overall survival (P < 0.001). Multivariable analysis revealed that the new nodal category was an independent prognostic factor (P < 0.001). Both the C-index and AIC for our modified staging system were better than those for the 8th AJCC edition (0.574 [95% confidence interval 0.533-0.615] versus 0.570 [95% confidence interval 0.527-0.613], and 853.30 versus 854.21, respectively). The modified AJCC staging system based on the number of MLNs may prove to be a useful alternative for predicting survival of ICC patients in clinical practice.

The novel dynamic nomogram and risk classification system constructed for predicting post-surgical overall survival and mortality risk in primary chondrosarcoma: a population study based on SEER database.

Surgery is the predominant method to improve the prognosis of primary chondrosarcoma patients. We aimed to construct the first reliable nomogram to predict the post-surgical overall survival (OS) of primary chondrosarcoma patients. We downloaded all primary chondrosarcoma patients treated with surgery between 2004 and 2015 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, and randomized them into training set (60%) and validation set (40%). Cox proportional regression analysis was applied to the training set to identify independent prognostic variables, and then constructed a nomogram for predicting 3-, 5-, and 8-year OS. The Harrell's concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), the area under curve (AUC), calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to assess the predictive efficacy and clinical applicability of the nomogram. The nomogram was also compared with The American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system. A total of 1005 post-surgical primary chondrosarcoma patients were included in this study. We finally identified five independent prognostic variables to construct the nomogram, being age, grade, tumor size, disease stage and histological type. The C-index results showed that the prediction performance of the nomogram was significantly better than the AJCC staging system. In the training set, (C-index: 0.805, 95% CI 0.879-0.730 vs 0.686, 95% CI 0.606-0.766); in the validation set, (C-index: 0.811, 95% CI 0.895-0.727 vs 0.697, 95% CI 0.647-0.799). Additionally, the AUC values generated by the ROC were all greater than 0.8, which also indicated the excellent predictive performance of the nomogram. The calibration curves showed that the predicted survival rate was highly similar to the actual. Time-dependent ROC and DCA showed that the nomogram has better predictive performance and net clinical benefits than the AJCC staging system. Finally, a risk stratification system based on nomogram was constructed. We successfully constructed and validated the first nomogram that could reliably predict 3-, 5-, and 8-year post-surgical OS in primary chondrosarcoma patients. Furthermore, the web-based dynamic nomogram could be more conveniently applied to clinic, providing assistance to surgeons and patients.

A prognostic nomogram for the cancer-specific survival of white patients with invasive melanoma at BANS sites based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database.

The purpose of this study was to develop a comprehensive nomogram for the cancer-specific survival (CSS) of white patients with invasive melanoma at back, posterior arm, posterior neck, and posterior scalp (BANS) sites and to determine the validity of the nomogram by comparing it with the conventional American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system. This study analyzed the patients with invasive melanoma in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. R software was used to randomly divide the patients into training and validation cohorts at a ratio of 7:3. Multivariable Cox regression was used to identify predictive variables. The new survival nomogram was compared with the AJCC prognosis model using the concordance index (C-index), area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), net reclassification index (NRI), integrated discrimination index (IDI), calibration plotting, and decision-curve analysis (DCA). A novel nomogram was established to determine the 3-, 5-, and 8-year CSS probabilities of patients with invasive melanoma. According to the nomogram, the Age at Diagnosis had the greatest influence on CSS in invasive melanoma, followed by Bone Metastasis, AJCC, Stage, Liver Metastasis, Histologic Subtype, Brain Metastasis, Ulceration, and Primary Site. The nomogram had a higher C-index than the AJCC staging system in both the training (0.850 versus 0.799) and validation (0.829 versus 0.783) cohorts. Calibration plotting demonstrated that the model had good calibration ability. The nomogram outperformed the AJCC staging system in terms of AUC, NRI, IDI, and DCA. This was the first study to develop and evaluate a comprehensive nomogram for the CSS of white patients with invasive melanoma at BANS sites using the SEER database. The novel nomogram can assist clinical staff in predicting the 3-, 5-, and 8-year CSS probabilities of patients with invasive melanoma more accurately than can the AJCC staging system.

Survival outcomes used to validate version 9 of the American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system for appendiceal cancer.

The standard for cancer staging in the United States for all cancer sites, including primary carcinomas of the appendix, is the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system. AJCC staging criteria undergo periodic revisions, led by a panel of site-specific experts, to maintain contemporary staging definitions through the evaluation of new evidence. Since its last revision, the AJCC has restructured its processes to include prospectively collected data because large data sets have become increasingly robust and available over time. Thus survival analyses using AJCC eighth edition staging criteria were used to inform stage group revisions in the version 9 AJCC staging system, including appendiceal cancer. Although the current AJCC staging definitions were maintained for appendiceal cancer, incorporating survival analysis into the version 9 staging system provided unique insight into the clinical challenges in staging rare malignancies. This article highlights the critical clinical components of the now published version 9 AJCC staging system for appendix cancer, which (1) justified the separation of three different histologies (non-mucinous, mucinous, signet-ring cell) in terms of prognostic variance, (2) demonstrated the clinical implications and challenges in staging heterogeneous and rare tumors, and (3) emphasized the influence of data limitations on survival analysis for low-grade appendiceal mucinous neoplasms.

Positive margin and advanced depth of invasion as the indicators for assessing the necessity of adjuvant chemoradiotherapy in early-stage oral cavity squamous cell carcinoma.

e18052 Background: Adjuvant therapy was indicated for patients with a high risk of disease progression after curative therapy, and RTOC 9501/EORTC 22931 were the landmark studies for assessing the necessity of adjuvant therapy in oral cavity squamous cell carcinoma (OCSCC). However, the role of adjuvant therapy in early-staging OCSCC, which was redefined by the 8th edition American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system, was unknown. Methods: A total of 485 early-staging OCSCC patients (pT1-2N0) diagnosed between Jan 2010 and Dec 2019 were retrospectively enrolled. All of them were newly diagnosed and reevaluated to meet the criteria of the 8th edition AJCC staging system. Adjuvant therapy was discussed and concluded in the combined conference of the head and neck multidisciplinary team at Chung Shan Medical University Hospital. And the enrolled patients were divided into the groups with or without adjuvant therapy. The effectiveness of adjuvant therapy and prognostic factor for locoregional recurrence-free survival (LRFS) were analyzed. Results: Nearly one-sixth (16.1%, 78/485) of the enrolled patients received adjuvant therapy. The patients with adjuvant therapy were worse in pathologic T staging ( P &lt; 0.001), histologic grade ( P &lt; 0.001), and pathologic features (depth of invasion [DOI] &gt; 4mm, P &lt; 0.001; perineural invasion, P &lt; 0.001) than those without. Positive margin and advanced DOI ( &gt; 4mm) were the independent factors for LRFS. Adjuvant therapy did not improve LRFS that the 3-year LRFS of the patients with or without adjuvant therapy were 79.7% and 81.5%, respectively ( P = 0.718)(hazard ratio [HR], 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.10 [0.67-1.80]). However, adjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) indeed prolonged LRFS in some subgroups, such as those with positive margin or advanced DOI (the subgroup with positive margin, 3-year LRFS of those with or without adjuvant therapy, 100% and 58.8%, HR[95% CI]: 0.04[0.00-267.330]; the subgroup with advanced DOI, 3-year LRFS, 83.3% and 73.1%, HR[95% CI]: 0.48[0.16-2.01]). In addition to positive margin, advanced DOI was the most critical correlation coefficient factor among the pathologic features, including pathologic T staging, perineural invasion, lymphovascular invasion, poorly differentiated, and close margin. For the patients eligible for evaluation, forty percent (40.1%, 180/439) of the patients were diagnosed with positive margins or advanced DOI and these patients might be considered to receive adjuvant CRT in the future. Conclusions: Positive margin and DOI were the most important indicators to evaluate the necessity of adjuvant CRT in early-staging OCSCC. Future warranted studies were needed.

Survival outcomes used to generate version 9 American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system for anal cancer.

The American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system for all cancer sites, including anal cancer, is the standard for cancer staging in the United States. The AJCC staging criteria are dynamic, and periodic updates are conducted to optimize AJCC staging definitions through a panel of experts charged with evaluating new evidence to implement changes. With greater availability of large data sets, the AJCC has since restructured and updated its processes, incorporating prospectively collected data to validate stage group revisions in the version 9 AJCC staging system, including anal cancer. Survival analysis using AJCC eighth edition staging guidelines revealed a lack of hierarchical order in which stage IIIA anal cancer was associated with a better prognosis than stage IIB disease, suggesting that, for anal cancer, tumor (T) category has a greater effect on survival than lymph node (N) category. Accordingly, version 9 stage groups have been appropriately adjusted to reflect contemporary long-term outcomes. This article highlights the changes to the now published AJCC staging system for anal cancer, which: (1) redefined stage IIB as T1-T2N1M0 disease, (2) redefined stage IIIA as T3N0-N1M0 disease, and (3) eliminated stage 0 disease from its guidelines altogether.

Development and validation of a novel nomogram for postoperative overall survival of patients with primary gastric signet-ring cell carcinoma: a population study based on SEER database.

Gastric signet ring cell carcinoma (GSRCC) is a highly malignant subtype of gastric cancer. We tried to establish and validate a nomogram using common clinical variables to achieve more personalized management. We analyzed patients with GSRCC in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database between 2004 and 2017. The survival curve was calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method, and the difference in survival curve was tested by log-rank test. We used the cox proportional hazard model to evaluate independent factors of prognosis, and established a nomogram to predict 1-, 3- and 5- overall survival (OS). Harrell's consistency index and calibration curve were used to measure the discrimination and calibration of the nomogram. In addition, we used decision curve analysis (DCA) to compare the net clinical benefits of the nomogram and American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system. The prognosis nomogram predicting 1-, 3- and 5-years OS for patients with GSRCC is established for the first time. The C-index and AUC of nomogram were higher than that of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system in the training set. Our model also shows better performance than the AJCC staging system in the validation set, and importantly, DCA shows that our model has a better net benefit than the AJCC stage. We have developed and validated a new nomogram and risk classification system, which is better than the AJCC staging system. It will help clinicians manage postoperative patients with GSRCC more accurately.

Estimating postsurgical outcomes of patients with a single hepatocellular carcinoma using gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI: risk scoring system development and validation.

To develop and validate risk scoring systems using gadoxetic acid-enhanced liver MRI features and clinical factors that predict recurrence-free survival (RFS) of a single hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Consecutive 295 patients with treatment-naïve single HCC who underwent curative surgery were retrospectively enrolled from two centers. Cox proportional hazard models developed risk scoring systems whose discriminatory powers were validated using external data and compared to the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) or American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging systems using Harrell's C-index. Independent variables-tumor size (per cm; hazard ratio [HR], 1.07; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.02-1.13; p = 0.005), targetoid appearance (HR, 1.74; 95% CI: 1.07-2.83; p = 0.025), radiologic tumor in vein or tumor vascular invasion (HR, 2.59; 95% CI: 1.69-3.97; p < 0.001), the presence of a nonhypervascular hypointense nodule on the hepatobiliary phase (HR, 4.65; 95% CI: 3.03-7.14; p < 0.001), and pathologic macrovascular invasion (HR, 2.60; 95% CI: 1.51-4.48; p = 0.001)-with tumor markers (AFP ≥ 206ng/mL or PIVKA-II ≥ 419 mAU/mL) derived pre- and postoperative risk scoring systems. The risk scores showed comparably good discriminatory powers in the validation set (C-index, 0.75-0.82) and outperformed the BCLC (C-index, 0.61) and AJCC staging systems (C-index, 0.58; ps < 0.05). The preoperative scoring system stratified the patients into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk for recurrence, whose 2-year recurrence rate was 3.3%, 31.8%, and 85.7%, respectively. The developed and validated pre- and postoperative risk scoring systems can estimate RFS after surgery for a single HCC. • The risk scoring systems predicted RFS better than the BCLC and AJCC staging systems (C-index, 0.75-0.82 vs. 0.58-0.61; ps < 0.05). • Five variables-tumor size, targetoid appearance, radiologic tumor in vein or vascular invasion, the presence of a nonhypervascular hypointense nodule on the hepatobiliary phase, and pathologic macrovascular invasion-combined with tumor markers derived risk scoring systems predicting postsurgical RFS for a single HCC. • In the risk scoring system using preoperatively-available factors, patients were classified into three distinct risk groups, with 2-year recurrence rates in the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups being 3.3%, 31.8%, and 85.7% in the validation set.

Features of T1 pancreatic cancer and validation of the eighth edition AJCC staging system definition using a Korean-Japanese joint cohort and the SEER database.

Little is known about the features of T1 pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and its definition in the eighth edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system needs validation. The aims were to analyze the clinicopathologic features of T1 PDAC and investigate the validity of its definition. Data from 1506 patients with confirmed T1 PDAC between 2000 and 2019 were collected and analyzed. The results were validated using 3092 T1 PDAC patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. The median survival duration of patients was 50 months, and the 5-year survival rate was 45.1%. R0 resection was unachievable in 10.0% of patients, the nodal metastasis rate was 40.0%, and recurrence occurred in 55.2%. The current T1 subcategorization was not feasible for PDAC, tumors with extrapancreatic extension (72.8%) had worse outcomes than those without extrapancreatic extension (median survival 107 vs. 39 months, p < .001). Extrapancreatic extension was an independent prognostic factor whereas the current T1 subcategorization was not. The results of this study were reproducible with data from the SEER database. Despite its small size, T1 PDAC displayed aggressive behavior warranting active local and systemic treatment. The subcategorization by the eighth edition of the AJCC staging system was not adequate for PDAC, and better subcategorization methods need to be explored. In addition, the role of extrapancreatic extension in the staging system should be reconsidered.

Clinical features and prognostic factors in patients diagnosed with lymphovascular invasion of testicular germ-cell tumors: Analysis based on the SEER database.

Lymphovascular invasion (LVI) is a high-risk factor for testicular germ-cell tumors (TGCT), but a prognostic model for TGCT-LVI patients is lacking. This study aimed to develop a nomogram for predicting the overall survival (OS) of TGCT-LVI patients. A complete cohort of 3288 eligible TGCG-LVI patients (training cohort, 2300 cases; validation cohort, 988 cases) were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Variables screened by multivariate Cox regression analysis were used to construct a nomogram, which was subsequently evaluated using the consistency index (C-index), time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), and calibration plots. The advantages and disadvantages of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system and the nomogram were assessed by integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) and net reclassification improvement (NRI). Decision-analysis curve (DCA) was used to measure the net clinical benefit of the nomogram versus the AJCC staging system. Finally, Kaplan-Meier curves were used to evaluate the ability to identify different risk groups between the traditional AJCC staging system and the new risk-stratification system built on the nomogram. Nine variables were screened by multivariate Cox regression analysis to construct the nomogram. The C-index (training cohort, 0.821; validation cohort, 0.819) and time-dependent ROC of 3-, 5-, and 9-year OS between the two cohorts suggested that the nomogram had good discriminatory ability. Calibration curves showed good consistency of the nomogram. The NRI values of 3-, 5-, and 9-year OS were 0.308, 0.274, and 0.295, respectively, and the corresponding values for the validation cohort were 0.093, 0.093, and 0.099, respectively (P<0.01). Additionally, the nomogram had more net clinical benefit as shown by the DCA curves, and the new risk-stratification system provided better differentiation than the AJCC staging system. A prognostic nomogram and new risk-stratification system were developed and validated to assist clinicians in assessing TGCT-LVI patients.

New staging systems for left-sided colon cancer based on the number of retrieved and metastatic lymph nodes provide a more accurate prognosis.

Objectives: We aimed to explore reasonable lymph node classification strategies for left-sided colon cancer (LCC) patients. Methods: 48,425 LCC patients from 2010 to 2015 were identified in the US Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. We proposed an innovative revised nodal (rN) staging of the 8th American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) Tumor/Node/Metastasis (TNM) classification based on the cut-off value of retrieved lymph nodes and survival analyses in patients with LCC. Log odds of positive lymph nodes (LODDS) stage is a numerical classification strategy obtained by a formula that incorporates the numbers of retrieved and positive lymph nodes. To develop the TrN or TLODDS classification, patients with similar survival rates were grouped by combining T and rN or LODDS stage. The TrN or TLODDS classification was further evaluated in a validation set of 12,436 LCC patients from 2016 to 2017 in the same database and a Chinese application set of 958 LCC patients. Results: We developed novel TrN and TLODDS classifications for LCC patients that incorporated 7 stages with reference to the AJCC staging system. In comparison to the 8th AJCC TNM and TrN classifications, TLODDS classification demonstrated significantly better discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.650 vs. 0.656 vs. 0.661, p < 0.001), better model-fitting (Akaike information criteria, 309,287 vs. 308,767 vs. 308,467), and superior net benefits. The predictive performance of the TrN and TLODDS classifications was further verified in the validation and application sets. Conclusion: Both the TrN and TLODDS classifications have better discriminatory ability, model-fitting, and net benefits than the existing TNM classification, and represent an alternative to the current TNM classification for LCC patients.