We analyzed the spatiotemporal changes in the displacement and strain fields in the Niigata–Kobe tectonic zone (NKTZ), central Japan, with temporal resolutions of one and 3 years, respectively, using Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) time series data provided by the Geospatial Information Authority of Japan (GSI) over a long period of time from 1997 to 2022. We also attempted to extract steady-state variations without assuming linearity, which have never been obtained. The results show that the contraction rates of the dilatation rate, maximum shear strain rate and principal strain rate when postseismic deformations associated with large earthquakes were removed were consistently greater in the northern part of the NKTZ than in the central and southern parts of the NKTZ, reaching a maximum absolute value of 5.1 × 10–6 of contraction in the accumulated dilatation and an accumulated maximum shear strain of 3.0 × 10–6 for the 26 year period except for the years 2011 and 2012. These results are considered to result from the continuous expression of the elastic deformation of the thick sedimentary layer in the Echigo Plain and the viscous deformation of the lower crust, in addition to the effects of subduction of the oceanic Pacific plate. For the maximum shear strain, the central part of the NKTZ also has relatively large values, which may be caused by lateral deformation due to creep along the Atotsugawa and Ushikubi Fault Zones. Unlike before the Mw 9.0 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake, after the event, the dilatation rate was lower in the east‒west direction, and the variation in the dilatation rate appeared to return to the preearthquake dilatation rates both in terms of the spatial patterns and amplitudes over time within several years. The short-wavelength component of the dilatation rate in the east‒west direction in the northern part of the NKTZ shows that the spatial variations in the dilatation rate were similar before and after the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake at 37.0° N, indicating continuous contraction. However, at 37.5° N, the spatial distribution of the dilatation rate changed from before to after the occurrence of the earthquake, and the characteristic large contractions that were identified before the earthquake were not observed after the event. Furthermore, Mj 4.0 or greater earthquakes were relatively uniformly distributed in the southern and central parts of the NKTZ. On the other hand, in the northern part of the NKTZ, there was a seismic gap, especially in areas with high strain concentrations in the Echigo Plain, where only large deformations could be caused by the low elasticity in the thick sedimentary layer. These results might indicate that a large earthquake will occur in the seismic gap in the future. In addition, a relatively large number of past major destructive earthquakes have occurred in the northern part of the NKTZ. In this area, since the Eastern Margin Fault Zone of the Takada Plain has a relatively high probability of an earthquake occurring in the next 30 years, additional detailed investigations of this area are needed.
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