Climate Warming Research Articles

Higher temperatures exacerbate effects of antibiotics on methanogenesis in freshwater sediment

Methane (CH4) emissions from natural systems are rising in a concerning manner with an incomplete understanding of its drivers. Recently, chemical stressors such as antibiotics have been suggested as a thus far overlooked factor increasing methanogenesis in freshwaters. Since usage and toxicological impact of antibiotics could increase in a warming climate, we assessed the temperature-dependence of antibiotic effects on methanogenesis. In this light, we conducted anaerobic incubations with freshwater sediment at 10, 15, and 20 °C in presence of a mixture of five antibiotics at field-relevant concentrations. Weekly measurements of CH4 showed a strong temperature dependence of antibiotic effects by changing effect sizes, directions and dynamics. While antibiotics reduced CH4 production at 10 °C, methanogenesis was elevated at 15 °C with the most pronounced increase occurring at 20 °C. Furthermore, antibiotics changed the prokaryotic assemblage at all temperatures and effect patterns of CH4 producing Methanomicrobia strongly followed the patterns observed for methanogenesis. While analyses of compound-specific stable isotopes and the metatranscriptome suggest the acetoclastic pathway as most relevant, linking prokaryotic structure to function remains one of the most significant research challenges. Nevertheless, the evidence provided by this study suggests a positive relationship between temperature and the stimulating effects of antibiotics on CH4 production.

Biogeographic Patterns in Density, Recruitment, Body Size and Zonation of Rocky Intertidal Predators Suggest Increased Population Vulnerability Near Southern Range Limits

ABSTRACTAimSurveying the demography of populations near species range edges may indicate their vulnerability to range contractions or local extinction as the climate changes. In the rocky intertidal, not only are latitudinal ranges constricted by thermal stress, but tides also create zonation or a ‘vertical range’ driven by sharp environmental gradients. By investigating demographics along the latitudinal and vertical ranges simultaneously, we can investigate whether populations may be vulnerable to a changing climate.LocationRocky intertidal habitats along west coast of the United States.TaxaOchre sea star Pisaster ochraceus, six‐armed sea star Leptasterias spp., emarginate whelks (Nucella ostrina and N. emarginata) and channeled whelk N. canaliculata.MethodsIn 2018, we surveyed the demographics of the taxa above at 33 sites spanning > 11° latitude from central Oregon to southern California, near the southern range limits of each taxon. We counted and sized individuals from the high to low intertidal zone. To understand how environmental stress changed with latitude, we evaluated intertidal temperatures in situ, as well as tidal extremes, tidal amplitude and wave exposure using offshore buoys.ResultsFor all taxa, population density, the relative proportion of smaller individuals (except for emarginate whelks) and the upper vertical limits on the shore declined from north to south as temperatures increased and high tide height, tidal amplitude and wave heights decreased. In addition, smaller individual Leptasterias spp. generally inhabited lower shore levels while smaller individual emarginate whelks inhabited higher shore levels coastwide. For N. canaliculata, smaller animals were higher on shore northward, but lower on shore southward.Main ConclusionsWhile this study is a snapshot in time and cannot assess impacts of climate change, our surveys suggest environmentally‐related demographic limitation toward southern range limits and demographically vulnerable southern populations. Therefore, a warming climate may cause local extinctions or range contractions near southern limits.

Changes in the Yield Effect of the Preceding Crop in the US Corn Belt Under a Warming Climate.

Crop rotation has been widely used to enhance crop yields and mitigate adverse climate impacts. The existing research predominantly focuses on the impacts of crop rotation under growing season (GS) climates, neglecting the influences of non-GS (NGS) climates on agroecosystems. This oversight limits our understanding of the comprehensive climatic impacts on crop rotation and, consequently, our ability to devise effective adaptation strategies in response to climate warming. In this study, we examine the impacts of both GS and NGS climate conditions on the yield effect of the preceding crop in corn-soybean rotation systems from 1999 to 2018 in the US Midwest. Using causal forest analysis, we estimate that crop rotation increases corn and soybean yields by 0.96 and 0.22 t/ha on average, respectively. We then employ statistical models to indicate that increasing temperatures and rainfall in the NGS reduce corn rotation benefits, while warming GS enhances rotation benefits for soybeans. By 2051-2070, we project that warming climates will reduce corn rotation benefits by 6.74% under Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) 1-2.6 and 17.18% under SSP 5-8.5. For soybeans, warming climates are expected to increase rotation benefits by 8.36% under SSP 1-2.6 and 13.83% under SSP 5-8.5. Despite these diverse climate impacts on both crops, increasing crop rotation could still improve county-average yields, as neither corn nor soybean was fully rotated. If we project that all continuous corn and continuous soybeans are rotated by 2051-2070, county-average corn yields will increase by 0.265 t/ha under SSP 1-2.6 and 0.164 t/ha under SSP 5-8.5, while county-average soybean yields will gain 0.064 t/ha under SSP 1-2.6 and 0.076 t/ha under SSP 5-8.5. These findings highlight the effectiveness of crop rotation in the face of warming NGS and GS in the future and can help evaluate opportunities for adaptation.

Fifty percent overestimation of black carbon concentration measured in aerosols of the Tibetan Plateau

Elemental carbon (EC), also known as black carbon, plays an important role in climate change. Accurately assessing EC concentration in aerosols remains challenging due to the overestimations caused by carbonates and organic carbon (OC) during thermal-optical measurement in the Tibetan Plateau (TP). This study evaluates the extent of EC overestimated by carbonates and OC at four remote sites (Nyalamu, Lulang, Everest and Ngari) in southern and western of the TP using different treatments. The average overestimation of EC concentration due to acid treatment was consistent across all sites (25.5 ± 2.4 %). After correction, the proportion of EC overestimated by carbonates were approximately 8.5 ± 7.3 %, 12.3 ± 6.9 %, 18.1 ± 11.8 % and 22.7 ± 13.3 %, respectively, revealing an increasing trend from humid to arid regions. Methanol-soluble OC (MSOC) concentrations were significantly correlated with the reduction of EC concentrations, indicating that the methanol extraction effectively mitigates EC overestimation. Seasonal variation of carbonaceous aerosol concentrations was significantly affected by sources from South Asia. Despite the variations in climate and aerosol sources, the average overestimations of measured EC concentration by carbonates and OC were similar at Nyalamu (49.4 ± 14.0 %), Lulang (47.8 ± 8.4 %), Everest (48.7 ± 15.9 %) and Ngari (49.3 ± 13.7 %) sites. Therefore, the actual EC concentrations were only about 51.2 ± 13.1 % of the original values. This estimation will significantly enhance the contribution of brown carbon (BrC) to radiative forcing relative to EC, highlighting a critical area for future research. Investigating the actual concentrations of EC in the TP provides critical data to support model simulation and validate model accuracy, further enhancing our understanding of EC’s impacts on climate warming and glacier melting.

Managing the Global Wetland Methane-Climate Feedback: A Review of Potential Options.

Methane emissions by global wetlands are anticipated to increase due to climate warming. The increase in methane represents a sizable emissions source (32-68 Tg CH4 year-1 greater in 2099 than 2010, for RCP2.6-4.5) that threatens long-term climate stability and poses a significant positive feedback that magnifies climate warming. However, management of this feedback, which is ultimately driven by human-caused warming and thus "indirectly" anthropogenic, has been largely unexplored. Here, we review the known range of options for direct management of rising wetland methane emissions, outline contexts for their application, and explore a global scale thought experiment to gauge their potential impact. Among potential management options for methane emissions from wetlands, substrate amendments, particularly sulfate, are the most well studied, although the majority have only been tested in laboratory settings and without considering potential environmental externalities. Using published models, we find that the bulk (64%-80%) of additional wetland methane will arise from hotspots making up only about 8% of global wetland extent, primarily occurring in the tropics and subtropics. If applied to these hotspots, sulfate might suppress 10%-21% of the total additional wetland methane emissions, but this treatment comes with considerable negative consequences for the environment. This thought experiment leverages results from experimental simulations of sulfate from acid rain, as there is essentially no research on the use of sulfate for intentional suppression of additional wetland methane emissions. Given the magnitude of the potential climate forcing feedback of methane from wetlands, it is critical to explore management options and their impacts to ensure that decisions made to directly manage-or not manage-this process be made with the best available science.

Functional Traits Predict Outcomes of Current and Novel Competition Under Warmer Climate.

Functional traits offer a potential avenue to generalize and forecast the impacts of changing competition on plant communities, including changing outcomes of competition among species that currently interact (current competition) or that will interact in the future following range shifts (novel competition). However, it remains unclear how well traits explain variation in the outcomes of current and novel competition as well as the underlying processes determining coexistence or competitive exclusion, under changing climate. Here, we interacted pairs of high and low-elevation species in three sites across an elevation gradient in the Swiss Alps. For each species pair, we quantified the population-level outcomes of competition (invasion growth rates), relative fitness differences, and niche overlap and related these to 15 functional traits that were measured in each site. Most traits were significantly associated with invasion growth rates at the low elevation, where species had greater relative fitness differences, but these associations were much weaker towards higher elevations. This appears to be because traits, particularly those associated with light competition, captured species' relative fitness differences at lower elevations, but not at the high elevation site, highlighting that the predictive ability of traits can depend on environmental context. The amplified relative fitness differences towards lower elevations suggest that climate warming may increase the likelihood of competitive exclusion. In addition, novel competitors tended to show greater niche overlap than current competitors, leading to stronger overall competitive effects. However, in general, trait differences predicted competitive outcomes of novel and current competitors similarly well, suggesting that traits can predict interactions between species that do not yet interact. Our study reinforces the importance of considering changing interactions for predicting species responses to climate change and provides experimental evidence supporting the usefulness of functional trait differences in forecasting the impacts of future plant interactions under changing climate.

Experimental investigation on the temperature-dependent shear strength of frozen coarse-grained soil-rock interfaces by considering three-dimensional roughness

Climate warming has led to landslides, especially the slopes containing soil-rock interfaces. A series of shear tests were conducted on the coarse-grained soil (CGS) rock interface at low temperatures. The interface shear strength comprises the pre-peak bonding strength produced by ice and post-peak residual strength created by friction between the CGS and rock surface. As the temperature rose from −15 to −1 °C, the bonded ice strength at different rough interfaces rapidly decreased by a maximum of 82.99 %, because more than 21.29 % of the pore ice had thawed within the CGS. However, the average interface residual strength had decreased by only 18.56 %, which is consistent with the variation of the internal friction angle of the frozen CGS. The interfacial shear strength was much lower than the shear strength of the frozen CGS below −1 °C and that the shear slide typically occurred at the interface. In addition, as the freezing temperature increased, the impact of the three-dimensional roughness to the interfacial shear strength decreased, because the warm frozen CGS could easily shear rupture and adhere to the interface, reducing the influence of the roughness. Finally, it was demonstrated that the Mohr-Coulomb failure criterion could be employed to predict the interface peak shear strength for different normal stresses. This study aims to determine the mechanism responsible for shear strength reduction at a frozen CGS-rock interface during warming and to provide some references for preventing landslides caused by rising temperatures.

Mowing mitigates the negative impacts of long-term warming on community composition and niche characteristics of alpine meadow on the Tibetan Plateau

Climate warming and human disturbance are supposed to have significantly impacted the alpine grasslands. However, it is still unclear how human activity affects the community composition and niche characteristics in response to warming. We conducted a two-factorial experiment in an alpine meadow, and set up four treatments: warming, mowing, warming with mowing, and control. Based on the investigation of community composition and niche characteristics, we evaluated the impacts of soil carbon, nitrogen, and phosphorus on species niche overlap. The results showed that mowing significantly increased species richness of Grass, Sedge, Forbs and the importance value of Sedge compared to warming (P < 0.05). The niche breadth of species (>50%) was reduced by warming, but increased under mowing. The niche overlap mainly occurred between Grass and Forbs in warming, while it was evenly distributed among species after mowing, which alleviated the negative effects of warming on interspecific competitiveness. Warming increased the number of species pairs with a niche overlap value >0.9 by 24.15%, while warming with mowing decreased it by 2.7%. The number of species pairs with niche overlap was significantly correlated with soil total nitrogen and soil available nitrogen (P < 0.05). In particular, the species pairs with highly competitive showed a greater dependency on soil nitrogen. Our work highlights that moderate utilization and soil nitrogen are two crucial factors influencing the response of community structure in alpine meadows to future climate change. The study provides an important reference for predicting and addressing the impact of global climate change on adaptive management and grassland protection.

Balancing Water Yield and Water Use Efficiency Between Planted and Natural Forests: A Global Analysis.

Climate warming is projected to affect hydrological cycle in forest ecosystems and makes the forest-water relationship more controversial. Currently, planted forests are gaining more public attention due to their role in carbon sequestration and wood production relative to natural forests. However, little is known about how the global patterns and drivers of water yield and water-use efficiency (WUE) differ between planted and natural forests. Here, we conduct a global analysis to compare water yield and WUE in planted and natural forests using 946 observations from 112 published studies. The results showed that global average water yield coefficient was 0.29 for planted forests and 0.34 for natural forests. Planted forests exhibited lower water yield coefficient (p < 0.05) in three climatic regions (arid, dry subhumid, and humid regions), but higher (p < 0.01) WUE only in arid region, compared with natural forests. Both water yield coefficient and WUE in planted forests were significantly lower (p < 0.05) than that in natural forests for stand characteristic groups (stand density, average tree height, leaf area index [LAI], and basal area). Additionally, stand density within the ranging between 1000 to 2000 stem ha-1 can maximize the water yield and WUE in planted and natural forests. Water yield coefficient in planted forests was primarily controlled by the factors related to tree growth (i.e., tree height, DBH), while that of natural forest mainly affected by stand structure (i.e., LAI, stand density, DBH). WUE in planted forest was more sensitive to climate than in natural forests. This work highlights the critical role of natural forests in water supply and the importance of tree species selection and stand management (e.g., stand density adjustment) in plantations in future forest restoration policies and climate change mitigation.

The history of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation and sea surface salinity during 1376–1500 CE reconstructed by Porites coral δ18O from Huangyan Island, South China Sea

The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the most influential climatic phenomenon affecting global ecosystems, water use, and agriculture on an interannual scale. However, limited instrumental records make it difficult to fully understand the characteristics of ENSO events. In this study, we used both monthly-resolved Porites coral δ18O records, i.e., living Porites corals of δ18O–HYDL4 (1992–2015) and subfossil Porites corals of δ18O–HYD3 (1376–1500 CE), from Huangyan Island in the South China Sea (SCS), to reconstruct the moderate intensity ENSO and sea surface salinity (SSS) during 1376–1500 CE. The results show that the SSS was higher but the frequency of moderate-to-high intensity ENSO events was lower than the present during 1376–1500 CE. ENSO activity was generally similar to or slightly lower than that of today, but it included several very strong ENSO events in the first substage of 1376–1450 CE, while it was relatively quiet in the second substage of 1451–1500 CE. More moderate-intensity ENSO events may have occurred in the relatively warm climate. The variation in coral δ18O was dominated by multiple factors in this region. SST, ENSO and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) may be the dominant factors influencing the changes in coral δ18O at different timescales.

Contrasting Future Growth of Norway Spruce and Scots Pine Forests Under Warming Climate.

Forests are essential to climate change mitigation through carbon sequestration, transpiration, and turnover. However, the quantification of climate change impacts on forest growth is uncertain and even contradictory in some regions, which is the result of spatially constrained studies. Here, we use an unprecedented network of 1.5 million tree growth records from 493 Picea abies and Pinus sylvestris stands across Europe to predict species-specific tree growth variability from 1950 to 2016 (R2 > 0.82) and develop 21st-century gridded projections considering different climate change scenarios. The approach demonstrates overall positive effects of warming temperatures leading to 25% projected conifer growth increases under the SPP370 scenario, but these additional carbon gains are spatially inhomogeneous and associated with geographic climate gradients. Maximum gains are projected for pines in Scandinavia, where growth trajectories indicate 50% increases by 2071-2100. Smaller but significant growth reductions are projected in Mediterranean Europe, where conifer growth shrinks by 25% in response to warmer temperatures. Our results reveal potential mitigating effects via forest carbon sequestration increases in response to global warming and stress the importance of effective forest management.

Spatiotemporal changes and management measure to enhance ecosystem services in the Mongolian Plateau

The eco-environment in many underdeveloped areas is vulnerable. Elucidating the changes and relationships in ecosystem services (ESs) is a fundamental basis for achieving sustainable development in these regions. Utilizing multiple data sources and models, we quantified water provision (WP), habitat quality (HQ), carbon fixation (CF), soil conservation (SC), and wind erosion prevention (WEP) on the Mongolian plateau during 1992-2018. We then analyzed the spatial-temporal changes, trade-offs/synergies, and bundles relationship of these ESs. The results indicated there was high spatial variability in five ESs across the plateau, with overall higher ESs in forested areas, and grassland and cropland areas had higher WEP values. The annual mean values of WP, HQ, CF, SC, and WEP in the plateau during 1992-2018 were 27.15 mm, 0.57, 176.17 gC·m2, 48.83 t·hm2, and 58.31 t·hm2, respectively. Due to fluctuations in precipitation, vegetation cover and land use, the five ESs decreased from 1992 to 2000s, but increased from 2000s to 2018, Notably, the HQ changed most significantly (p<0.01), while the WP changed insignificantly (p>0.05). The different ESs on the plateau overall exhibited synergistic effects, trade-offs between several pairs of ESs related to HQ, were observed in cropland areas. We further identified five distinct categories of ES bundles and proposed targeted recommendations for spatial planning and management of these ESs, tailored to their characteristics. The findings offer a valuable reference for high-quality environmental management, as well as the restoration and enhancement of ESs in arid inland areas in a warming climate.

Atmospheric Moisture Decreases Midlatitude Eddy Kinetic Energy

Abstract There is compelling evidence that atmospheric moisture may either increase or decrease midlatitude eddy kinetic energy (EKE). We reconcile these findings by using a hierarchy of idealized atmospheric models to demonstrate that moisture energizes individual eddies given fixed large-scale background winds and temperatures but makes those background conditions less favorable for eddy growth. For climates similar to the present day, the latter effect wins out, and moisture weakens midlatitude eddy activity. The model hierarchy includes a moist two-layer quasigeostrophic (QG) model and an idealized moist general circulation model (GCM). In the QG model, EKE increases when moisture is added to simulations with fixed baroclinicity, closely following a previously derived scaling. But in both models, moisture decreases EKE when environmental conditions are allowed to vary. We explain these results by examining the models’ mean available potential energy (MAPE) and by calculating terms in the models’ Lorenz energy cycles. In the QG model, the EKE decreases because precipitation preferentially forms on the poleward side of the jet, releasing latent heat where the model is relatively cold and decreasing the MAPE, hence the EKE. In the moist GCM, the MAPE primarily decreases because the midlatitude stability increases as the model is moistened, with reduced meridional temperature gradients playing a secondary role. Together, these results clarify moisture’s role in driving the midlatitude circulation and also highlight several drawbacks of QG models for studying moist processes in midlatitudes. Significance Statement Dry models of the atmosphere have played a central role in the study of large-scale atmospheric dynamics. But we know that moisture adds much complexity, associated with phase changes, its effect on atmospheric stability, and the release of latent heat during condensation. Here, we take an important step toward incorporating moisture into our understanding of midlatitude dynamics by reconciling two diverging lines of literature, which suggest that atmospheric moisture can either increase or decrease midlatitude eddy kinetic energy. We explain these opposing results by showing that moisture not only makes individual eddies more energetic but also makes the environment in which eddies form less favorable for eddy growth. For climates similar to the present day, the latter effect wins out such that moisture decreases atmospheric eddy kinetic energy. We demonstrate this point using several different idealized atmospheric models, which allow us to gradually add complexity and to smoothly vary between moist and dry climates. These results add fundamental understanding to how moisture affects midlatitude climates, including how its effects change in warmer and moisture climates, while also highlighting some drawbacks of the idealized atmospheric models.

Cynometroxylon aegyptiacum n. sp. (Fabaceae-Detarioideae) from the Miocene of Egypt with palaeoclimatic and biogeographic insights

A new morphospecies of Cynometroxylon is described from the early Miocene deposits of the Gebel El-Khashab Formation exposed along the Cairo-Bahariya desert road in the north Western Desert of Egypt. It is compared with the 13 currently recognized fossil wood species of Cynometroxylon/Cynometra recorded worldwide. The characteristics of this fossil wood align with those typical of the non-seasonal tropical climate during the Miocene period, indicating its habitat at that time. This habitat is consistent with that of some living species of its analogue Cynometra. Upon reviewing the worldwide biogeography of the genus, its extensive distribution in Africa and Asia was observed. Furthermore, the biogeography of the subfamily Detarioideae was compiled, tracing its evolutionary history back to Africa. This confirms the possibility that family Fabaceae likely originated in Africa during the Late Cretaceous to early Paleogene, with subsequent dispersal into Asia and South America. The present record is indicative of a subtropical to warm tropical climate which prevailed in the Miocene of Egypt.

Sedimentary provenance and paleogeographic environment of a Mississippian coal-bearing unit in South China: Constraints from detrital zircon U-Pb ages and sedimentologic and geochemical evidence

The Mississippian Xiangbai Formation in South China is one of the oldest coal-bearing sedimentary units in China. However, the sedimentary provenance, paleogeography, and coal formation patterns of the coal-bearing strata are not well constrained. We address this key issue by using a combination of detrital zircon U-Pb data, geochemical analyses of mudstone and shale, drilling data, and geologic field observations. With the exception of the early Paleozoic orogenic events (ca. 440–420 Ma) in the eastern part of the study area, the samples from the Xiangbai Formation exhibit similar detrital zircon U-Pb age distribution with major age peaks at ca. 980–960 Ma and several subordinate age peaks at ca. 800–780 and 600–500 Ma. These detrital zircon grains mainly originated from recycled sedimentary units. Field and drilling data reveal that the Xiangbai Formation was formed in a tidal flat environment with water depth gradually increasing from the bottom to the top, indicating an overall trend of transgression. The Mississippian Xiangbai Formation was deposited in an interglacial period. The Lower Xiangbai Formation was deposited in a relatively cold paleoclimate, gradually transitioning upwards to a warm and humid climate, creating favorable conditions for coal formation. The alternation of warming and cooling climates triggered high-frequency eustatic fluctuations, which led to multiple sedimentary cycles and resulted in thin, unstable coal seams within the Xiangbai Formation. Mississippian sedimentary paleogeography, palaeoclimate, and sedimentary provenance together dominate the coal-bearing clastic sediments in southwestern South China.

Spatiotemporal Evolution Analysis of Surface Deformation on the Beihei Highway Based on Multi-Source Remote Sensing Data

Under the interference of climate warming and human engineering activities, the degradation of permafrost causes the frequent occurrence of geological disasters such as uneven foundation settlement and landslides, which brings great challenges to the construction and operational safety of road projects. In this paper, the spatial and temporal evolution of surface deformations along the Beihei Highway was investigated by combining the SBAS-InSAR technique and the surface frost number model after considering the vegetation factor with multi-source remote sensing observation data. After comprehensively considering factors such as climate change, permafrost degradation, anthropogenic disturbance, and vegetation disturbance, the surface uneven settlement and landslide processes were analyzed in conjunction with site surveys and ground data. The results show that the average deformation rate is approximately −16 mm/a over the 22 km section of the study area. The rate of surface deformation on the pavement is related to topography, and the rate of surface subsidence on the pavement is more pronounced in areas with high topographic relief and a sunny aspect. Permafrost along the roads in the study area showed an insignificant degradation trend, and at landslides with large surface deformation, permafrost showed a significant degradation trend. Meteorological monitoring data indicate that the annual minimum mean temperature in the study area is increasing rapidly at a rate of 1.266 °C/10a during the last 40 years. The occurrence of landslides is associated with precipitation and freeze–thaw cycles. There are interactions between permafrost degradation, landslides, and vegetation degradation, and permafrost and vegetation are important influences on uneven surface settlement. Focusing on the spatial and temporal evolution process of surface deformation in the permafrost zone can help to deeply understand the mechanism of climate change impact on road hazards in the permafrost zone.

Extreme rainfall events eliminate the response of greenhouse gas fluxes to hydrological alterations and fertilization in a riparian ecosystem

Riparian ecosystems are essential carbon dioxide (CO2) sources, which considerably promotes climate warming. However, the other greenhouse gas fluxes (GHGs), such as methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O), in the riparian ecosystems have not been well studied, and it remains unclear whether and how these GHG fluxes respond to extreme weather, fertilization and hydrological alterations associated with reservoir management. Here, we assessed the impacts of hydrological alterations (i.e., flooding frequency) and fertilization (nitrogen and/or phosphorus) induced by human activities (hydroengineering construction and agricultural activities) on GHG fluxes, and further investigated the underlying mechanisms in two contrasting years (normal vs. extreme rainfall years) in a reservoir riparian zone dominated by grasses. The significant combined effects of extreme rainfall events and human activities (hydrological alterations and fertilization) on the GHGs were observed. Continuous flooding reduced CO2 emissions by 24% but increased CH4 emissions by ∼4 times in a normal rainfall year. In addition, nitrogen fertilization promoted CO2 emissions by 37%. However, these phenomena were not observed in the year with extreme rainfall events, which made the flooding levels homogeneous across the treatments. Furthermore, we found that CO2 fluxes were driven by the soil moisture, nutrient content, aboveground biomass, and root carbon content, while CH4 and N2O fluxes were merely driven by the soil properties (pH, moisture, and nutrient content). This study provides valuable insights into the crucial role of extreme rainfall events, hydrological alteration, and fertilization in regulating GHG fluxes in riparian ecosystems, as well as supports the integration of these changes in GHG emission models.

Effects of climate warming and declining water quality on the eco-environmental evolution of Jinmucuo Lake: Evidence from sedimentary diatom assemblages

The problem of lake pollution on the Tibetan Plateau has become prominent in recent years because of the warming climate and increased human activity. However, it is difficult to obtain effective indicators to explain the long-term eco-environmental changes in plateau lakes. In this study, a sediment core from Jinmucuo Lake was taken as the research object, and the 210Pb and 137Cs isotopes, diatom assemblages, and climatic and environmental factors were analyzed. The results revealed that the lake had a sedimentation rate of 0.47 cm/a, and the age of the 30-cm sediment core was approximately 1876 AD. Diatom abundances at different ages tend to decrease. During 1876∼1999, abundant diatom species, such as Cymbella lanceolata, Navicula sp., Surirella ovalis, Synedra sp., Epithemia adnata, Cymbella pusilla, Amphora ovalis and Tabularia tabulata, which included oligotrophic, mesotrophic, and eutrophic indicator species were detected, and the dominant species were Cymbella lanceolata, Navicula sp., Surirella ovalis and Synedra sp.. After 2000, diatoms declined dramatically, and were undetected in most samples. Similarly, the species richness and Shannon‒Wiener index plummeted to 0 in approximately 2002. Canonical correspondence analysis revealed that total nitrogen and organic matter were the main influencing factors of diatom assemblages before 2000, whereas As and mean annual temperature were the main influencing factors after 2000. These findings indicate that diatom habitats have been rapidly destroyed by increasing temperatures and As inputs, even in the presence of abundant nutrients in the lake.

Phylogeography of Pleurospermum foetens (Apiaceae) From the Sky Islands of Southwest China.

Sky islands provide insights on how glacial-interglacial cycles have shaped species distribution and help for predicting species' responses to climate warming. The alpine subnival belt of southwest China, especially in the Hengduan Mountains and adjacent areas, is sky island-like. Among them, the Yunnan-Kweichow Plateau harbors several isolated mountains with well-developed alpine subnival vegetation, sharing a similar species composition with the Hengduan Mountains. However, the relationship between the sky islands of the Hengduan Mountains and the Yunnan-Kweichow Plateau remains insufficiently explored. Pleurospermum foetens (Apiaceae) is a species endemic to the alpine screes of the Yunnan-Kweichow Plateau and the Hengduan Mountains. We used DNA sequence data from 59 individuals across 9 populations, combined with ecological niche modeling, to investigate the evolution history and future distribution of P. foetens within this sky island region. The results indicate the following: (1) P. foetens exhibits a significant phylogeographic structure and can be classified into three nrDNA clades and two cpDNA clades, respectively, (2) a nuclear-plastid discordance observed in P. foetens and its relatives based on phylogenetic analysis. P. foetens is monophyletic in the nrDNA phylogeny, while two major clades (HDM and YGP) are present in the cpDNA phylogeny, each forming a clade with other congeneric species. (3) Ecological niche modeling of P. foetens indicated that the species had the most extensive suitable habitat during the last glacial maximum (LGM). However, anticipated climate warming in the coming decades is expected to reduce the suitable range of P. foetens, posing a significant threat to isolated marginal populations (e.g., Shizi Mountain) with restricted alpine scree habitats. In conclusion, our study highlights the substantial effect of sky island and glacial-interglacial cycles on the population divergence of P. foetens. Conservation efforts for marginal populations of alpine plants in the Yunnan-Kweichow Plateau require increased attention and prioritization.

Temporal increase in ticks and pathogen prevalence in the small mammal part of the Lyme disease cycle in northern Europe

AbstractLyme disease is an emerging infectious disease and the most common vector‐borne zoonosis in the northern hemisphere. The pathogen that causes Lyme disease in Europe is vectored by the generalist tick Ixodes ricinus, and the emergence of Lyme disease is partly linked to how climate warming affects tick distribution and abundance. However, we lack long‐term data on tick infestations and infection prevalence in the main hosts involved in the transmission cycle. Here, we quantified the temporal trends (2014–2022) of I. ricinus infestations and the prevalence of Borrelia burgdorferi sensu lato in small mammalian hosts and linked annual variation to host abundance and climate in Norway. We found that tick infestations for both larvae (21% per year [95% CI 18–25]) and nymphs (18% [11–26]), and infection prevalence (14% [8–20]) increased over the period and were negatively associated with rodent abundance. Additionally, warmer years were associated with increased larval tick infestations on hosts. The combination of a temporal increase in both larval tick infestation and infection prevalence in hosts likely results in increased production of infected nymphs. Thus, we provide one mechanistic step toward understanding the Lyme disease emergence at northern latitudes of Europe.