AbstractBackgroundThe role of white matter (WM) neurodegeneration in Alzheimer’s disease (AD) is poorly understood. Fine‐grained sequencing of WM neurodegeneration could provide new avenues for early diagnosis and novel disease‐modifying therapies to slow or halt AD progression. Previous approaches are limited by their coarse granularity and incomplete disease coverage. In this study, we apply event‐based disease progression modelling (DPM) (Fonteijn et al, Neuroimage, 2012), which can provide fine‐grained ordering, to estimate progression of regional WM abnormality in AD.MethodDiffusion tensor imaging (DTI) markers of WM abnormality and Freesurfer volumetric markers of grey matter (GM) atrophy were obtained from ADNI. DTI markers were hemisphere‐averaged and GM volumes were normalised by head size. Eleven WM ROIs with reported AD abnormality and 4 reference GM ROIs were selected for sequencing (abbreviations in Table 1), yielding complete data for 83 cognitively normal subjects, 40 AD patients and 102 MCI subjects. Event‐based DPM (github.com/ucl‐pond/kde_ebm) was used to estimate a data‐driven sequence of neurodegeneration and its uncertainty (positional variance), and individuals were assigned to their most likely stage (Young et al., Brain, 2014). Resampling analysis assessed the robustness of the estimated sequence.ResultFig. 1 shows the first data‐driven sequence of WM abnormalities in AD, including positional variance, with GM abnormality events for reference. The earliest WM events are increases in mean diffusivity (MD) in CGH and axial diffusivity (AxD) in FX and BCC. Subsequently, a cascade of AxD events in corpus callosum regions precedes abnormality in other medial temporal lobe WM structures.Fig. 2 shows the sequence is relatively robust under resampling, with low positional variance and similar median positions for most ROIs. Subject staging (Fig. 3, 4) shows that the fine‐grained approach splits MCI subjects with hippocampal atrophy into those with hippocampal atrophy and those with additional increased MD in CGH.ConclusionThis study finds WM microstructural abnormality among the earliest events in AD. Early hippocampal WM abnormality and corpus callosum ordering are consistent with early memory deficits in AD and inferences from cruder group‐based comparisons. The order suggests Wallerian degeneration rather than retrogenesis is the primary driver of WM neurodegeneration in AD.
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