To investigate the vehicle-induced fatigue damage evolution of fastener clips and their impact on the vehicle-track (VT) system, a numerical dynamic model is established to achieve probabilistic evaluation. The “rain flow” counting method is adopted to describe the stress cycles of the hazard area of the clips, and the S-N curve is used to predict the fatigue life of the clips. The solution of the dynamic equation of motion is obtained by the time-domain Green's function method, which is an effective method to improve computational efficiency. A versatile iterative algorithm is adopted to solve the nonlinear system considering the damaged clips. In the probabilistic evaluation framework, a novel random field method is employed to depict the spatial variability of clips’ strength. The applicability of the model established in this work in aspects of expressing random damage of fasteners and evaluating the dynamic behavior of the system is demonstrated by different numerical examples. The results show that the dynamic responses of the train and track system significantly exacerbate as the number of train cycles increases, which is closely related to the variability and non-uniform damage of the fasteners. The probability of cumulative damage to the fasteners induced by the train follows a three-stage rule, and the fatigue damage of the non-uniform fastener system caused by the train is greater than that of the uniform situation. In addition, the short wave components of track irregularity will significantly exacerbate the damage to fasteners and therefore degrade the status of the railway line. As the driving speed increases, the damage to the fasteners also increases, but the impact of vehicle speed on the fastener damage is smaller than that of track irregularity, especially in the range of fatigue damage greater than 0.9. Therefore, maintaining the geometric smoothness of the track, controlling the uniformity of the mechanical properties of the fasteners, and reducing the driving speed are feasible measures to extend the service life of the fastener system, thereby ensuring the operation of high-speed trains.
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