Urban Energy Modeling Research Articles

Investigating the Heterogeneity Effects of Urban Morphology on Building Energy Consumption from a Spatio-Temporal Perspective Using Old Residential Buildings on a University Campus

The significant increase in building energy consumption poses a major challenge to environmental sustainability. In this process, urban morphology plays a pivotal role in shaping building energy consumption. However, its impact may exhibit latent heterogeneity due to differences in temporal resolution and spatial scales. For urban energy planning and energy consumption modeling, it is crucial to pinpoint when and where urban morphology parameters matter, an overlooked aspect in prior research. This study quantitatively explores this heterogeneity, utilizing a detailed dataset from old residential buildings within a university campus. Spatial lag models were employed for cross-modeling across various temporal and spatial dimensions. The results show that annual and seasonal spatial regression models perform best within a 150 m buffer zone. However, not all significant indicators fall within this range, suggesting that blindly applying the same range to all indicators may lead to inaccurate conclusions. Moreover, significant urban morphology indicators vary in quantity, category, and directionality. The green space ratio exhibits correlations with energy consumption in annual, summer, and winter periods within buffer zones of 150 m, 50~100 m, and 100 m, respectively. It notably displays a negative correlation with annual energy consumption but a positive correlation with winter energy consumption. To address this heterogeneity, this study proposes a three-tiered framework—macro-level project decomposition, establishing a key indicator library, and energy consumption comparisons, facilitating more targeted urban energy model and energy management decisions.

UBEM calibration method by energy consumption disaggregation using a change-point model

Urban Building Energy Modeling (UBEM) is valuable for analyzing urban energy demand, but uncertainties can create gaps between predictions and actual usage. Calibration often uses utility bill data due to its urban-scale accessibility. However, comparing this data with simulation results for specific energy uses like cooling and heating is challenging. This study introduces a UBEM calibration method using a change-point model to disaggregate energy into heating, cooling, and base load. Applied to 222 office buildings in Seoul, this method provided more appropriate calibration results by considering individual energy consumption characteristics rather than just total consumption. The CVRMSE for base load, heating, and cooling energy decreased compared to uncalibrated simulations. This research highlights the importance of energy disaggregation when calibrating UBEM with utility bill data, offering a more nuanced approach to urban energy modeling.

Comparative assessment of simple and detailed energy performance models for urban energy modelling based on digital twin and statistical typology database for the renovation of existing building stock

The renovation wave calls for an integrated, participatory, and neighbourhood to neighbourhood approach tailored to the local environments. This can be hindered by the lack of geometric and performance input data about the existing building stock. A parametric digital urban building energy modelling (UBEM) tool was developed for local municipalities to automate calculations for comprehensive renovation strategies utilizing public databases specifically at the neighbourhood level. This article compares the accuracy of two energy performance calculation models (seasonal heat balance method and hourly resistance–capacitance method) used within the tool to detailed energy simulation software and measured energy consumption data of existing group of residential buildings in a same neighbourhood. The accuracy for estimating the total primary energy demand was roughly below 10 % for both simplified models. The seasonal calculation method showed consistent overestimation of space heating, depending on building characteristics. Solar and internal heat gains significantly affect the accuracy of simplified heat balance calculations, particularly in well-insulated buildings, while the more detailed 5R1C lumped capacitance hourly method provides improved accuracy for space heating demand. The comparison of uniform (proportional) and project based window area distribution used in the calculation models showed only marginal difference. The study validated simple seasonal and 5R1C hourly calculation methods using data from an apartment building neighbourhood with 22 apartment buildings. Despite larger deviations in the case of individual buildings, the average deviation from measured heating demand was only around 3 %, the seasonal method slightly overestimating and the 5R1C hourly method slightly underestimating the measured values. The primary energy demand including typical values of domestic hot water and household electricity was overestimated by both simplified methods due to lower electricity and water consumption in reality although the difference was below 7 % for the entire district. This concludes that pooling the building envelope heat loss calculation on a district level improves accuracy on average allowing better assessment of comparative renovation strategies.

The Impact of Building Level of Detail Modelling Strategies: Insights into Building and Urban Energy Modelling

The Impact of Building Level of Detail Modelling Strategies: Insights into Building and Urban Energy Modelling

Balancing construction and operational carbon emissions: Evaluating neighbourhood renovation strategies

Compliance with the global decarbonisation commitments set out in Horizon 2050 undoubtedly involves optimising the conditions of the housing stock. In this respect, the massive energy renovation of obsolete housing blocks in southern EU countries holds the key for the achievement of such compliance.This research strives to demonstrate the suitability of intervention strategies at district scale. For this purpose, an innovative methodology that combines open data, Geographic Information Systems (GIS), Urban Energy Modelling (UBEM), and Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) is proposed and tested in a case study, whilst considering several renovation and new-building hypotheses.As an innovative approach, this study concurrently analyses greenhouse gas emissions arising from both use-related energy consumption (operational carbon footprint) and the construction process (embodied carbon footprint). This dual perspective provides added value to the results obtained, since it offers a more comprehensive representation of reality. Based on the results from the LCA and UBEM models, this study unveils the entire impact of residential energy use combined with either the carbon footprint of energy renovation or that of new buildings.The case study analysis reveals that total emissions, encompassing both embodied and operational aspects, are lower for retrofitting existing buildings when compared to new construction, up to Horizon 2050. Remarkably, this preference for renovation persists even as far as 2100. The study underscores the critical importance of upgrading the existing residential stock in order to achieve the ambitious goal of net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050.

Modeling and mapping solar energy production with photovoltaic panels on Politecnico di Torino university campus

Educational institutions have significant impacts on the society and environment they are inhabiting, and they can have a big role in influencing various development fields, including sustainability. The environmental sustainability of universities was critically analyzed recently. These bodies can contribute to the sustainability of cities due to their social role in shaping the future generations. The aim of this work is to analyze Urban Building Energy Modeling with a place-based approach using the open-source software QGIS in predicting energy production with photovoltaic solar technologies on the rooftops of the central university campus of Politecnico di Torino. This modeling can help in assessing the energy security and affordability of current and future sustainable scenarios considering their impact on climate change. This study evaluates the accuracy of urban scale QGIS-based energy modeling with a comparison of measured data available from the monitoring activity of LivingLab of Politecnico di Torino, the free tool PVGIS, and the web tools of ENEA. The QGIS modeling accuracy depends on the different precisions of the Digital Surface Model used to describe the built environment (i.e., 1 m or 5 m) and the climate input data (monthly and annual diffuse-to-global radiation and Linke turbidity factor). Moreover, this assessment can be used to map the results of new photovoltaic systems improving the energy and environmental performance of university campuses. The results of this work shed light on the significance of different input data for energy simulation tools at neighborhood-urban scale. The result shown accuracies in PV production of 10 to 37% with different spatial resolutions of the 3D built environment and of 14 to 15.2% for temporal resolution of solar irradiation variables.

Advancing Urban Building Energy Modeling: Building Energy Simulations for Three Commercial Building Stocks through Archetype Development

Urban building energy models (UBEMs), developed to understand the energy performance of building stocks of a region, can aid in key decisions related to energy policy and climate change solutions. However, creating a city-scale UBEM is challenging due to the requirements of diverse geometric and non-geometric datasets. Thus, we aimed to further elucidate the process of creating a UBEM with disparate and scarce data based on a bottom-up, physics-based approach. We focused on three typically overlooked but functionally important commercial building stocks, which are sales and shopping, healthcare facilities, and food sales and services, in the region of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. We harvested relevant local building information and employed photogrammetry and image processing. We created archetypes for key building types, designed 3D buildings with SketchUp, and performed an energy analysis using EnergyPlus. The average annual simulated energy use intensities (EUIs) were 528 kWh/m2, 822 kWh/m2, and 2894 kWh/m2 for sales and shopping, healthcare facilities, and food sales and services, respectively. In addition to variations found in the simulated energy use pattern among the stocks, considerable variations were observed within buildings of the same stock. About 9% and 11% errors were observed for sales and shopping and healthcare facilities when validating the simulated results with the actual data. The suggested energy conservation measures could reduce the annual EUI by 10–26% depending on the building use type. The UBEM results can assist in finding energy-efficient retrofit solutions with respect to the energy and carbon reduction goal for commercial building stocks at the city scale. The limitations highlighted may be considered for higher accuracy, and the UBEM has a high potential to integrate with urban climate and energy models, circular economy, and life cycle assessment for sustainable urban planning.

Virtual energy sharing and energy communities for the Municipality of Milan: The case of the Chiaravalle area

The development of virtual energy sharing in complex realities such as the territory of the Municipality of Milan requires the integration of political and social strategies, technical analyses and the use of more advanced urban modelling techniques. This work aims to describe the strategy developed by the Municipality of Milan for the implementation of energy communities and virtual energy sharing, on the basis of current legislation, with reference to the case study of the Chiaravalle area. In order to carry out studies on the area, UBEM (Urban Energy Modelling) models were developed and various intervention scenarios were analysed. The results of the analysis and the technical and strategic evaluations developed are presented.

A study of the impact of landscape heterogeneity on surface energy fluxes in a tropical climate using SUEWS

This study employs an evaluated Surface Urban Energy and Water Balance Scheme (SUEWS) model driven by Local Climate Zone (LCZ)-derived urban canopy parameters to explore landscape heterogeneity's impacts on the partitioning of surface energy fluxes and heat stress variations in Lagos, Nigeria. The results reveal that LCZ-based SUEWS effectively replicates the diurnal patterns of air temperature (Tair), relative humidity (RH), and land surface temperature (LST). The root mean square error (RMSE) for simulated Tair and RH ranges from 0.4 °C to 1.2 °C and 1.8% to 8.0%, respectively. While a nighttime warm bias in LST is observed, it reduces during the daytime. Significant spatial variability in turbulent heat fluxes and LST among LCZs is noted, with core urban LCZs experiencing notable increases in sensible heat flux and LST, while suburban LCZs exhibit higher latent heat flux values. Anthropogenic heat flux peaks in high compact low-rise LCZ 3, reaching a maximum of 95 W/m2. Remarkably, no significant difference is found in the diurnal heat stress cycle among LCZs, despite consistently elevated heat stress levels in high compact LCZs. These findings offer valuable insights into quantifying surface energy flux variabilities and spatio-temporal heat stress patterns in a densely populated tropical city- Lagos Nigeria.

Leveraging campus-scale Wi-Fi data for activity-based occupant modeling in urban energy applications

The widespread availability of open datasets in urban areas is transforming how urban energy systems are planned, simulated, and visualized. Urban energy models, however, require an understanding of urban dwellers, as their activities create the demands for energy in buildings. In this paper, we explore using campus-scale Wi-Fi data to identify typical occupant activity patterns as an input to an agent-based model of building occupants at the district scale. The data is taken from a Singaporean university’s Wi-Fi network at high resolution. Each record comprises a timestamp, a device identifier, the location of the device within the campus, and the access point to which it is connected. The Wi-Fi dataset contains 120 different buildings on campus and 10,300 anonymized individual devices. Activities are then assigned to each location on campus according to the building use type. In order to test the methodology, the activity plans of 27,604 undergraduate students, 8,304 graduate students, and 12,018 employees were simulated over a workweek. The results show the model’s ability to produce plausible activity plans but could be improved by implementing sampling rules and expanding the source dataset to include off-peak dates. Nevertheless, using such an agent-based modeling approach at the district scale appears to be a promising methodology to assess the impacts of different planning strategies on occupant behavior and district energy demand.

The more the better? Archetype segmentation in urban building energy modelling

Urban building energy modelling is gaining traction as a planning tool to support widespread decarbonization of the built environment. Building-scale models allow for the evaluation of specific emission reduction policies at an urban scale. Given the limited availability of building-by-building data on construction standard and program, aggregating building information through archetypes is key, but a poorly understood step in the urban energy modelling process. In this study, different levels of archetype segmentation are explored for the city of Oshkosh, WI (∼13,000 buildings). A comparison of actual, city-level energy with UBEM simulations suggests higher levels of archetype segmentation do not necessarily lead to higher accuracy, leading to models that are both accurate and nimble enough to explore a variety of upgrade scenarios. Informing archetypal segmentation with policy-informed metrics is beneficial, but pursuing increased detail could dangerously reduce accuracy without ground-truth data.

Research on the Correlations between Spatial Morphological Indices and Carbon Emission during the Operational Stage of Built Environments for Old Communities in Cold Regions

The escalation of the urban population and energy demands has exacerbated the carbon emission intensity at the operational stage of urban old communities. The spatial elements of the built environments comprising building groups, roads and landscape, and the spatial morphology of these elements, are endowed not only with human activities but also impact local microclimates and overall carbon emissions. Nonetheless, little attention has been paid to the correlation mechanism between the spatial morphology of the urban built environments and carbon emissions. In this paper, the aim is to combine carbon emissions simulation and statistical analysis to find the correlation between the spatial morphological indices and carbon emissions and to bridge the gaps. Thus, guided by the principles of urban energy modeling, this research adopts a parametric process of “information model construction–carbon emission simulation–statistical analysis”. First, taking 60 typical samples of an old community in Jinan, China, as objects, morphological indices such as density, texture and layout are analyzed through regression analysis to highlight their impacts on carbon emissions. Then, a carbon emission prediction model based on spatial morphological indices is established and verified. The results show that the floor area ratio (FAR), building coverage ratio (BCR), enclosure degree (ED), shape factor (SF) and average road aspect ratio (AS) have significant impacts on carbon emissions during the operational stage. Among these indices, the FAR and the ED are identified as the pivotal influencers. The findings confirm the important role of spatial morphological design of old communities in cold regions in improving urban carbon reduction potential, and they provide theoretical underpinnings and empirical data as references for urban morphology design formulated within the context of low-carbon objectives.

China Building Rooftop Area: the first multi-annual (2016–2021) and high-resolution (2.5 m) building rooftop area dataset in China derived with super-resolution segmentation from Sentinel-2 imagery

Abstract. Large-scale and multi-annual maps of building rooftop area (BRA) are crucial for addressing policy decisions and sustainable development. In addition, as a fine-grained indicator of human activities, BRA could contribute to urban planning and energy modeling to provide benefits to human well-being. However, it is still challenging to produce a large-scale BRA due to the rather tiny sizes of individual buildings. From the viewpoint of classification methods, conventional approaches utilize high-resolution aerial images (metric or submetric resolution) to map BRA; unfortunately, high-resolution imagery is both infrequently captured and expensive to purchase, making the BRA mapping costly and inadequate over a consistent spatiotemporal scale. From the viewpoint of learning strategies, there is a nontrivial gap that persists between the limited training references and the applications over geospatial variations. Despite the difficulties, existing large-scale BRA datasets, such as those from Microsoft or Google, do not include China, and hence there are no full-coverage maps of BRA in China yet. In this paper, we first propose a deep-learning method, named the Spatio-Temporal aware Super-Resolution Segmentation framework (STSR-Seg), to achieve robust super-resolution BRA extraction from relatively low-resolution imagery over a large geographic space. Then, we produce the multi-annual China Building Rooftop Area (CBRA) dataset with 2.5 m resolution from 2016–2021 Sentinel-2 images. CBRA is the first full-coverage and multi-annual BRA dataset in China. With the designed training-sample-generation algorithms and the spatiotemporally aware learning strategies, CBRA achieves good performance with a F1 score of 62.55 % (+10.61 % compared with the previous BRA data in China) based on 250 000 testing samples in urban areas and a recall of 78.94 % based on 30 000 testing samples in rural areas. Temporal analysis shows good performance consistency over years and good agreement with other multi-annual impervious surface area datasets. STSR-Seg will enable low-cost, dynamic, and large-scale BRA mapping (https://github.com/zpl99/STSR-Seg, last access: 12 July 2023). CBRA will foster the development of BRA mapping and therefore provide basic data for sustainable research (Liu et al., 2023; https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7500612).

Supporting climate-neutral cities with urban energy modeling: a review of building retrofit scenarios, focused on decision-making, energy and environmental performance, and cost

Climate deadlines are fast approaching, and city action plans must address slashing carbon emissions using scarce financial resources. Urban energy modeling (UEM) supports building sector transformation by quantifying energy use and emissions in baseline and retrofit scenarios. Additionally, many UEM studies evaluate retrofit costs and financial returns. This review of 26 UEM studies critically analyzes how studies decide to model retrofit measures or impose scenario constraints, and how energy, emissions, and costs are quantified. The results show divergent quantification approaches among the reviewed literature, hindering the usefulness and comparability of the studies for policymakers. The findings also indicate challenges with renewable energy production and heating via heat pumps, including increased peak electrical loads and seasonal mismatches in generation and consumption, which are mitigated by measures reducing building energy demand and energy use, demand-response measures to curtail peaks, and district sources of endogenous energy. The value of the decision-making analysis is to signal pathways toward innovation and stakeholder collaboration for city plans, highlighting approaches using context analysis to generate and share energy in districts, economic criteria to mirror real-world conditions, and stakeholder engagement to meet local priorities. Finally, perspectives for future UEM studies support policymakers guiding the transformation to climate neutrality.

How spatio-temporal resolution impacts urban energy calibration

Building Energy Modeling tools help forecast the energy performance of buildings. Urban energy models (UBEMs) emerged as important instruments to analyze the energy performance of buildings aggregated at different spatial resolutions, from the building level to the district level. They heavily rely on available data on geometries and measurements to create accurately calibrated energy models. However, limited research has been conducted to understand the impact of spatial and temporal resolution on the simulation results because of the difficulty of comparing results and not having a standardized procedure to report simulation errors. We review the literature on UBEM validation compared to measured energy data and show the discrepancies in the reporting accuracy. We articulate the need for consistent reporting on model accuracy and introduce a multi-dimensional Level of Detail (LoD) specification for UBEM, including geometry, thermal zoning, and spatio-temporal resolution of the measured data used to calibrate the models. Using a university campus with 70 buildings as an extensive case study, we demonstrate the performance of Bayesian calibration from the building level to the aggregated level. Our results suggest that the accuracy of urban energy prediction with annual temporal resolution can be significantly increased if calibration is performed by using building-level data. However, whenever privacy is a concern, then the data should be provided by aggregating them based on primary use type. Additionally, using monthly data to calibrate uncertain input parameters is not improving the accuracy of the models because the obtained posterior distributions for the selected parameters are not informative for monthly data. To improve this shortcoming, we suggest seasonal calibration, which is computationally costly.

Toward Improved Urban Building Energy Modeling Using a Place-Based Approach

Urban building energy models present a valuable tool for promoting energy efficiency in building design and control, as well as for managing urban energy systems. However, the current models often overlook the importance of site-specific characteristics, as well as the spatial attributes and variations within a specific area of a city. This methodological paper moves beyond state-of-the-art urban building energy modeling and urban-scale energy models by incorporating an improved place-based approach to address this research gap. This approach allows for a more in-depth understanding of the interactions behind spatial patterns and an increase in the number and quality of energy-related variables. The paper outlines a detailed description of the steps required to create urban energy models and presents sample application results for each model. The pre-modeling phase is highlighted as a critical step in which the geo-database used to create the models is collected, corrected, and integrated. We also discuss the use of spatial auto-correlation within the geo-database, which introduces new spatial-temporal relationships that describe the territorial clusters of complex urban environment systems. This study identifies and redefines three primary types of urban energy modeling, including process-driven, data-driven, and hybrid models, in the context of place-based approaches. The challenges associated with each type are highlighted, with emphasis on data requirements and availability concerns. The study concludes that a place-based approach is crucial to achieving energy self-sufficiency in districts or cities in urban-scale building energy-modeling studies.

Erratum to: Ranking parameters in urban energy models for various building forms and climates using sensitivity analysis

Erratum to: Ranking parameters in urban energy models for various building forms and climates using sensitivity analysis

A Review of Multi-Domain Urban Energy Modelling Data

A Review of Multi-Domain Urban Energy Modelling Data

Ranking parameters in urban energy models for various building forms and climates using sensitivity analysis

Ranking parameters in urban energy models for various building forms and climates using sensitivity analysis

Matching energy targets, stakeholders’ needs and modelling choices in developing urban energy scenarios

In order to meet greenhouse gas reduction goals, cities need to develop robust energy transition strategies relying both on the local capacity of combining social, economic and environmental perspectives in the decision-making process and on the collaboration between different actors to achieve knowledge and data integration. Scenarios are well-established methodological instruments to guide decisions in energy and spatial planning and have been employed to compare possible future pathways and envision the consequences of implementing decarbonization measures. However, qualitative and quantitative scenarios approaches are often disconnected. With the primary goal of supporting the implementation of the energy plan, this study develops for the City of Gothenburg a participatory method to support the alignment of qualitative and quantitative scenarios approaches. Decarbonization actions and drivers of change were discussed and prioritized in workshop sessions with representatives from the energy supplier(s), municipal administrations (city planners, environmental department), and researchers to develop relevant qualitative scenarios descriptions. Based on this, a list of requirements for quantitative scenarios analysis is developed to be, in a next step, translated and integrated into urban building energy models. Findings indicate the importance of early knowledge integration from different fields and highlight the lines of advancement in urban energy modelling to facilitate decision-making towards successful implementation of decarbonization targets.