Slopes are increasingly exposed to elevated temperatures owing to extreme climates or human activities, such as droughts, heat waves, and shallow geothermal technologies. This phenomenon has worsened with global warming. However, the influence of temperature changes on slope stability has not been fully investigated from the perspective of safety. This study introduces an analytical framework for calculating the safety of three-dimensional reinforced slopes which considers the effects of temperature changes and different unsaturated flow conditions. With temperatures ranging from 10 °C to 40 °C, the matric suction of unsaturated soil is thermally sensitive, which causes change in the shear strength of unsaturated soil. To incorporate the temperature effect into the reinforced slope stability assessment, the temperature dependence of the apparent cohesion of unsaturated soil was quantified using a temperature-related effective stress model and soil–water characteristic curves. Thus, the safety factors and reinforcement strength of the slopes were deduced based on the upper-bound theorem of limit analysis. For validation, the proposed method was compared to two previously reported analytical methods, and its effectiveness was further verified through numerical simulations. Finally, the temperature effect was fully investigated and discussed by performing a series of parametric analyses, and suggestions were provided for practical engineering reference.
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