Development Trend Research Articles

Trends of stomach cancer incidence and mortality in Shandong province from 2012 to 2012 and predictions from 2023 to 2030

Objective: We aimed to analyse the trend of incidence and mortality of stomach cancer in Shandong province from 2012 to 2022 and predict the development trend from 2023 to 2030. Methods: Data on incidence and mortality of stomach cancer in Shandong province from 2012 to 2022 were obtained from Shandong Cancer Registry. The incidence, age-specific incidence, mortality and age-specific mortality in different years, sexes and urban and rural areas were calculated, the rates were standardized based on the age composition of the Chinese standard population in 2000. The average annual percent change (AAPC) of incidence and mortality was calculated using Joinpoint software. The Bayesian age-period-cohort model was used to predict the trend of stomach cancer incidence and mortality from 2023 to 2030. Results: From 2012 to 2022, the stomach cancer age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) showed a decreasing trend. The ASIR decreased from 27.47/100 000 in 2012 to 16.06/100 000 in 2022 (AAPC=-5.10%, P＜0.001), and the ASMR decreased from 17.69/100 000 to 11.09/100 000 (AAPC=-5.52%, P＜0.001). The ASIR and ASMR of male, female, urban and rural population also showed downward trends. The incidence and mortality rates of men were always higher than those of women, and the difference between urban and rural areas is gradually narrowing. In 2022, the ASIR (16.09/100 000 in urban and 16.03/100 000 in rural) and the ASMR (11.10/100 000 in urban and 11.08/100 000 in rural) of stomach cancer between urban and rural areas were nearly identical. The Bayesian age-period-cohort model predicted that the ASIR of stomach cancer in Shandong would further decrease from 2023 to 2030 (AAPC=-0.51%, P=0.001), but the change tended to be smooth. The incidences in male (AAPC=-1.46%, P=0.010) and rural areas (AAPC=-1.21%, P＜0.001) were still expected to have a little room for decline. The trend of incidences in female and urban areas were not statistically significant. The trend of mortality was consistent with the incidence. Conclusions: The stomach cancer incidence and mortality in Shandong shows a decreasing trend and it is expected to decrease further by 2030. However, the trend tends to be smooth, and the disease burden should be reduced as early as possible for high-risk population and high-risk factors of stomach cancer.

Trends in Development: A Comparative Analysis of Nigeria and Ghana (2003-2023)

Trends in Development: A Comparative Analysis of Nigeria and Ghana (2003-2023)

Library Trends and Developments in a Technologically Driven Era

The rapid evolution of digital technologies has significantly impacted how libraries operate and serve their communities, leading to a transformative shift in library services internationally. Despite the widespread acknowledgment of this digital shift, there remains a substantial gap in understanding of how libraries are adapting to these changes, particularly in terms of integrating digital innovations to enhance user access and engagement. This study aims to bridge this knowledge gap by examining the directional trends of library development in the context of digital transformation. By analysing library services in three regions - Europe, the United States of America, and Asia - critical adaptations and innovations are identified that are shaping the future of library services. The goal is to illuminate the current landscape and propose strategic directions to help library stakeholders with planning and implementation.

Changes in Spatiotemporal Pattern and Its Driving Factors of Suburban Forest Defoliating Pest Disasters

Forest defoliating pests are significant global forest disturbance agents, posing substantial threats to forest ecosystems. However, previous studies have lacked systematic analyses of the continuous spatiotemporal distribution characteristics over a complete 3–5 year disaster cycle based on remote sensing data. This study focuses on the Dendrolimus superans outbreak in the Changbai Mountain region of northeastern China. Utilizing leaf area index (LAI) data derived from Sentinel-2A satellite images, we analyze the extent and dynamic changes of forest defoliation. We comprehensively examine the spatiotemporal patterns of forest defoliating pest disasters and their development trends across different forest types. Using the geographical detector method, we quantify the main influencing factors and their interactions, revealing the differential impacts of various factors during different growth stages of the pests. The results show that in the early stage of the Dendrolimus superans outbreak, the affected area is extensive but with mild severity, with newly affected areas being 23 times larger than during non-outbreak periods. In the pre-hibernation stage, the affected areas are smaller but more severe, with a cumulative area reaching up to 8213 hectares. The spatial diffusion characteristics of the outbreak follow a sequential pattern across forest types: Larix olgensis, Pinus sylvestris var. mongolica, Picea koraiensis, and Pinus koraiensis. The most significant influencing factor during the pest development phase was the relative humidity of the year preceding the outbreak, with a q-value of 0.27. During the mitigation phase, summer precipitation was the most influential factor, with a q-value of 0.12. The combined effect of humidity and the low temperatures of 2020 had the most significant impact on both the development and mitigation stages of the outbreak. This study’s methodology achieves a high-precision quantitative inversion of long-term disaster spatial characteristics, providing new perspectives and tools for real-time monitoring and differentiated control of forest pest infestations.

Self-Presentational Communication in Context Digital Realities of Modern Society

Introduction. In the age of the digital economy and hyper-competition, self-presentation communication as a type of self-promotion, as the ability to present oneself to a communication partner, employer, business partner or target audience, is considered by experts as a key skill of the 21st century. It is also considered as one of the significant factors of competition both in the modern highly competitive labor market and in the consumer market, both global and local. The article discusses the theoretical foundations of self-presentational communication in its historical retrospective, traditions, innovations and development trends in the conditions of new realities.Methodology and sources. The methodology of philosophical, sociological and interdisciplinary approaches is used. The article uses the following sources: specialized literature from domestic and foreign authors, scientific research, publications and websites that allow one to explore the specifics of digital self-presentation, its new formats and current practices.Results and discussion. Digital society is a society whose distinctive feature is the electronic-digital method of receiving, storing and distributing information, as well as the electronic-digital mediation of social relations and communicative interaction. One of the ways of such interaction is digital self-presentation, which combines the traditions of this content and innovations caused by the development of new technologies.Conclusion. Self-presentational communication, like the entire communicative component of modern society, including the «human-AI» interface, is carried out in three spatial dimensions: real/offline/Physics, virtual/online/Digital, as well as in their interaction offline online/Phygital. In each dimension, self-presentational communication has its own specifics and could can be considered both as a separate phenomenon and in the process of continuity and development.

Recent advances in microenvironment regulation for electrocatalysis

Abstract High-efficiency electrocatalysis could serve as the bridge that connects renewable energy technologies, hydrogen economy and carbon capture/utilization, promising a sustainable future for humankind. It is therefore of paramount significance to explore feasible strategies to modulate the relevant electrocatalytic reactions and optimize the device performances so as to promote their large-scale practical applications. Microenvironment regulation at the catalytic interface has been demonstrated capable of effectively enhancing the reaction rates and improving the selectivities for specific products. In this review we summarize the latest advances in microenvironment regulation in typical electrocatalytic processes (including water electrolysis, hydrogen–oxygen fuel cells, and carbon dioxide reduction) and the related in situ/operando characterization techniques and theoretical simulation methods. At the end of this article, we present an outlook on the development trends and possible future directions.

Study on the evolution of fractures in overlying strata during repeated mining of coal seams at extremely close distances

In particular, the secondary development of overlying strata fractures can easily lead to the upper goaf, resulting in gas and water gathered in the goaf entering the working face of the lower coal seam through the overlying strata fractures, threatening the safety of coal mine production. Security risks may arise. To further understand the caving and evolution law of overlying strata during repeated mining in extremely close distance coal seam down mining, 9# coal and 10# coal in the Nanyaotou Coal Industry were used as the engineering background. The caving characteristics and fracture evolution law of overlying strata during single and repeated mining were analyzed through similar material simulation tests. Based on fractal geometry theory, the relationship between the advancing distance of the working face and the fractal dimension of the overlying strata fracture is established to reflect the changing trend of fracture development. The calculation formula is derived from the tensile rate of rock strata to predict the development height of water-conducting fractures. The results show that the overlying strata failure structure is mainly a “hinged structure” and a “step structure,” which respectively promotes and inhibits the development of overlying strata fractures. Repeated mining causes mining-induced fractures in the lower coal seam to pass through the goaf of the upper coal seam and develop more vigorously in the upper coal seam, and the fractal dimension can effectively reflect the development of overlying strata fractures. The height of the water-conducting fracture zone increases in four stages: incubation, gradual increase, further gradual increase, and stability, eventually stopping development under the influence of the key layer (thick mudstone) bearing the load above. The development height of water-conducting fractures predicted by on-site water injection measurement is similar to that predicted by simulation experiments and theoretical calculations, verifying the feasibility of predicting the development height of water-conducting fractures through simulation tests and theoretical analysis. This study provides a reference for coal seam mining under similar conditions.

Visual analysis of coal mine safety using CiteSpace V

AbstractTo intuitively and systematically grasp the development status and trend of safety evaluation research in China's coal mining operations, we consulted relevant literature in the fields of “coal mine” and “safety evaluation” collected by China Knowledge Network, and deployed CiteSpace V software to summarize and analyze research pertaining to safety evaluation in China's coal mines from three aspects: research institutions, authors, and hot keywords. With respect to research institutions, the results show that although many researchers have conducted in‐depth evaluations of coal mine safety, most of these studies were independent, and two‐way information exchange and cooperation between research institutions remains scarce. With respect to authors, most cooperation between authors has been limited to team members, and relatively stable research teams have been formed. However, most of these research teams are independent. With respect to hot keywords, the trends of coal mine safety evaluation studies exhibit continuous change, with an overall increase in richness. According to the frequency burst times of important keywords, “entropy weight method” and “mining with pressure” are expected to remain important keywords in future evaluations of coal mine safety in China.

Symantic Literatur Review Riset Etnomatematika Menggunakan Bibliometrix R Studio Bibblioshiny

The aim of this literature review is to analyze the trend of development of articles published by Scopus with a time span of 40 years from 1984-2024, as a material for study to forecast research that will be carried out by the next researcher. The method of writing this article uses a semantic literature review with the tools used is bibliometric analysis with R Studio biblioshiny. The stages of analysis activities by collecting articles through Scopus API Key with the keyword Ethnomathmematics found as many as 618 documents from journals, books, book chapters and others. Furthermore, an analysis of the results of data visualization from biblioshiny is carried out. The results of the study found that Indonesia,both authors and institutions, wrote many articles related to ethnomathematics. New themes were found that are relevant for ethnomathematics research that are linked to cryptography, curriculum, augmented reality and others, so that prospective researchers can link ethnomathematics with interdisciplinary studies

Lunar Exploration Based on Ground-Based Radar: Current Research Progress and Future Prospects

Lunar exploration is of significant importance in the development and utilization of in situ lunar resources, water ice exploration, and astronomical science. In recent years, ground-based radar (GBR) has gained increasing attention in the field of lunar exploration due to its flexibility, low cost, and penetrating capabilities. This paper reviews the scientific research on lunar exploration using GBR, outlining the basic principles of GBR and the progress made in lunar exploration studies. Our paper introduces the fundamental principles of lunar imaging using GBR and systematically reviews studies on lunar surface/subsurface detection, the dielectric properties inversion of the lunar regolith, and polar water ice detection using GBR. In particular, the paper summarizes the current development status of the Chinese GBR and forecasts future development trends in China. This review will enhance the understanding of lunar exploration results using GBR radar, systematically demonstrate the main applications and scientific achievements of GBR in lunar exploration, and provide a reference for GBR radar in future lunar exploration missions.

Theories, Techniques and Materials for Sealing Coalbed Methane Extraction Boreholes in Underground Mines: A Review

To further enhance the intelligent technology, platformisation, and systematisation of coalbed methane extraction sealing technology, this paper analyses the research progress of theories, technologies, and sealing materials related to coalbed methane extraction sealing and systematically summarises the latest achievements of the basic theories, key technologies, and sealing materials of coalbed methane extraction. Considering the increasing mining depth, advancements in intelligent technology, and the evolving landscape of coalbed methane development, it is particularly important to establish a more comprehensive coalbed methane extraction borehole sealing system. Based on this, future development trends and research prospects are proposed: In terms of coalbed-methane-extraction-related theories, there should be a stronger focus on fundamental research such as on gas flow within the coal matrix. For coalbed methane extraction borehole sealing technologies and devices, efforts should be made to enhance research on intelligent, platform-based, and systematic approaches, while adapting to the application of directional long borehole sealing processes. In terms of coalbed methane extraction borehole leakage detection, non-contact measurement and non-destructive monitoring methods should be employed to achieve dynamic monitoring and early warning of methane leaks, integrating these technologies into coalbed methane extraction system platforms. For coalbed methane extraction borehole sealing materials, further development is needed for liquid sealing materials that address borehole creep and the development of fractures in surrounding rock, as well as solid sealing materials with Poisson’s ratios similar to that of the surrounding rock mass.

Applications and challenges of photodynamic therapy in the treatment of skin malignancies

Photodynamic Therapy (PDT), as a minimally invasive treatment method, has demonstrated its distinct advantages in the management of skin malignant tumors. This article examines the current application status of PDT, assesses its successful cases and challenges in clinical treatment, and anticipates its future development trends. PDT utilizes photosensitizers to interact with light of specific wavelengths to generate reactive oxygen species that selectively eradicate cancer cells. Despite PDT’s exceptional performance in enhancing patients’ quality of life and prognosis, the limitation of treatment depth and the side effects of photosensitizers remain unresolved issues. With the advancement of novel photosensitizers and innovative treatment technology, the application prospects of PDT are increasingly expansive. This article delves into the mechanism of PDT, its application in various skin malignancies, its advantages and limitations, and envisions its future development. We believe that through continuous technological enhancements and integration with other treatment technologies, PDT has the potential to assume a more pivotal role in the treatment of skin malignancies.

Estimation of Urban High-Quality Development Level Using a Three-Stage Stacks-Based Measure Model: A Case Study of Urban Agglomerations in the Yellow River Basin

The high-quality development paradigm, which emphasizes the organic unity of efficiency, equity, and sustainability, has gained increasing global recognition as an extension of the concept of sustainable green development. In this study, we use green development efficiency as a metric of high-quality development and employ a three-stage Stacks-based Measure Model (SBM) in order to assess the true green development efficiency (GDE) levels of urban agglomerations in China’s Yellow River Basin (YRB) from 2011 to 2020. The results indicate that external environmental factors significantly impacted the green development efficiency levels of these urban agglomerations; after removing these factors, their green development efficiency shifted from trendless fluctuations to more consistent upward trends. Additionally, the disparities between different urban agglomerations are the primary sources of overall differences in green development efficiency in the YRB. Influenced by economic development levels and administrative divisions, the degree of internal development imbalance varies among urban agglomerations; however, regional disparities show a decreasing trend, indicating a catch-up effect. Based on these findings, we further propose relevant policy recommendations in this paper. The results of this study help us to understand the current status and trends of high-quality development in the urban agglomerations of the YRB, providing empirical evidence for policy formulation.

Advances in Photoacoustic Endoscopic Imaging Technology for Prostate Cancer Detection

The rapid progress in biomedical imaging technology has generated considerable interest in new non-invasive photoacoustic endoscopy imaging techniques. This emerging technology offers significant benefits, including high spectral specificity, strong tissue penetration, and real-time multidimensional high-resolution imaging capabilities, which enhance clinical diagnosis and treatment of prostate cancer. This paper delivers a thorough review of current prostate cancer screening techniques, the core principles of photoacoustic endoscopy imaging, and the latest research on its use in detecting prostate cancer. Additionally, the limitations of this technology in prostate cancer detection are discussed, and future development trends are anticipated.

Urban community security system model from the perspective of resilience: a study on Chinese cities

To enhance urban governance and bolster community disaster resilience, it is urgent to innovate and develop an urban community security system to cope with the complex and volatile social security situation. From the perspective of resilience, the concept, layout, and structure of the security system are organized. Considering the current situation and development trend of the social security system, and based on the constructed cost-capability model, the cost and benefit of the two modes are analyzed and compared. Subsequently, from the perspective of multi-agent participation, a game model between governments and enterprises is constructed. The evolutionary stability strategies of enterprises are analyzed, and simulation analysis is conducted on the factors influencing enterprises. Finally, to propose targeted improvement measures based on the community security capabilities of different communities, a grey fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is employed. The community security comprehensive capabilities of the top 10 cities in China are quantitatively analyzed and evaluated. The results indicate that the urban community security system from a resilience perspective is more comprehensive compared to the traditional security system. Adopting mode 2 is relatively effective to improving government emergency management capability. In a certain range, reducing C, increasing F, reducing R2, and increasing h can achieve the effect of promoting enterprise to participate in construction. The urban community security capability is within the upper-medium level in general, close to the level of good. The urban community security system constructed in this paper can provide a theoretical basis for the government to formulate policies of the urban community security system and serve as a reference for strengthening the comprehensive capability of the urban community security.

An Investigation into the Feedback of Automated Writing Evaluation System on EFL Learners’ Writing

Computer technology has developed at a rapid pace in recent decades. The combination of artificial intelligence and writing teaching has become an important development trend. For better utilization of Automated Writing Evaluation System in teaching, the quality of its feedback on various types of errors in compositions is one of the issues worth exploring. In order to investigate this issue, this study compares the diagnosis of EFL learners' compositions by Automated Writing Evaluation System with the actual errors in the compositions, and calculates the Precision and Recall of the iWrite system's feedback. Unlike previous studies, this study synthesizes macro discourse elements such as propositional logic, across-sentence logic, and discourse structure, and categorizes the actual errors in learners' compositions into seven kinds. The results show that the iWrite system performs excellent in detecting three kinds of errors, which are lexical errors, grammatical errors, and other detail-type errors, and is moderately effective in detecting pragmatic errors, while it fails to provide feedback on propositional logic, discourse cohesion and coherence, and paragraph structure, which are the high-level error types, indicating that iWrite system is completely unable to capture errors in terms of macro-discourse elements. These findings provide a strong basis for improving Automated Writing Evaluation System, and at the same time provide English teachers with a reference for writing teaching, which helps to better serve the field of foreign language education.

Performance evaluation of industry-education integration in higher education from the perspective of coupling coordination-an empirical study based on Chongqing.

The coupling coordination between higher education and regional industries is an effective way to enhance the performance of industry-education integration and an important driving force for promoting sustainable economic and social development. This article aims to evaluate the performance level of industry-education integration in higher education from the perspective of coupling coordination between industry and education, and to analyze its sustainable development trends. To achieve this, a framework for the industry-education complex system is constructed based on the theory of coupling coordination, and a performance evaluation model for industry-education integration is established. The "structure-conduct-performance" (S-C-P) analysis paradigm of industrial organization theory is used to design a performance evaluation indicator system, and the entropy weight method is applied to assign weights to the indicator system. Empirical research is conducted on Chongqing based on statistical data from 2000 to 2022. The results show that: (1) During the sample period, the construction effectiveness of industry-education integration in higher education in Chongqing is relatively significant, and the coordination level between regional industries and higher education continues to rise. (2) The orderly development level of the two subsystems of regional industries and higher education alternately rises, jointly promoting the continuous improvement of the performance level of industry-education integration, which is the main driving factor for performance improvement. (3) The stagnation of the coupling strength between regional industries and higher education is a key obstacle to further improving the performance of industry-education integration. Industry-education integration is a systematic project that should be promoted collaboratively from the perspectives of the regional industrial subsystem, higher education subsystem, industry-education complex system, and external environment to continuously enhance the performance level.

A review on recent applications of machine learning in mechanical properties of composites

AbstractComposites are undergoing extensive research and utilization due to their excellent mechanical properties, driven by human needs. Traditionally, the research methods in materials science predominantly rely on empirical theory or experimental trial and error approaches. However, the increased complexity of composite materials results in a greater intricacy in their mechanical behavior. Consequently, the utilization of traditional research methods may not achieve sufficient efficiency. Materials science is rapidly transitioning into a data‐driven era, with machine learning (ML) emerging as a potent tool to expedite materials development and enhance properties prediction. Significant advancements have been achieved in the application of ML to the study of composite mechanics. In this review article, we elucidate various ML methods employed in the construction of constitutive models for isotropic and anisotropic composites, and delve into the research on construction ML models that leverage input data derived from composite processes, structures, and environmental conditions to predict material mechanical properties. Additionally, we summarize recent noteworthy ML applications in composite design and optimization. Finally, possible prospective viewpoints are proposed for future development, with the aim of providing essential scientific guidance for advancing material science and technology through ML.Highlights Machine learning can address complexity in constitutive model of the anisotropic composites. Machine learning predicts mechanical properties of composites well by process and structure. Machine learning enhances efficiency in inverse design to optimize composites. Limitations, challenges, development trends of ML in composites.

English in academic and professional contexts Editorial

This special issue of Nordic Journal of English Studies explores anumber of themes related to the spread of English as a global language inacademic and professional domains. This spread is closely linked toglobal trends in technological development, population mobility,transnational business organization, and education, which is increasinglydriven by market forces (e.g. Ek, Ideland, Jönsson and Malmberg inpress) and neo-liberal ideologies (e.g. Block, Gray and Holborow 2012).

Advances in Catalytic Hydrogenation of Liquid Organic Hydrogen Carriers (LOHCs) Using High‐purity and Low‐purity Hydrogen

Liquid Organic Hydrogen Carriers (LOHCs) are emerging as a promising solution for global hydrogen logistics. The LOHC process involves two primary chemical reactions: hydrogenation for hydrogen storage and dehydrogenation for hydrogen reconversion. In the exothermic hydrogenation reaction, hydrogen‐lean compounds are converted to hydrogen‐rich compounds, storing hydrogen from various sources such as water electrolysis, fossil fuel reforming, biomass processing, and industrial by‐products. Conversely, hydrogen is extracted from hydrogen‐rich compounds through an endothermic dehydrogenation reaction and supplied to several hydrogenation utilization offtakers. This review article discusses the development trends in catalytic hydrogenation processes for various LOHC materials, including benzene, toluene, naphthalene, biphenyl, diphenylmethane, benzyltoluene, dibenzyltoluene, and N‐ethylcarbazole. It introduces references for catalytic hydrogenation processes utilizing both high‐purity and low‐purity (alternatively, mixed) hydrogen feedstocks, with particular emphasis on low‐purity hydrogen applications. The direct storage of hydrogen with minimal purification, using by‐product hydrogen and mixed hydrogen from hydrocarbon and biomass reforming, is crucial for the economic viability of this hydrogen carrier system.