Abstract Background: The response to systemic therapy against metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) is currently assessed by radiologic imaging. However, an increasing number of studies have shown that circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) as liquid biopsy can be used as an alternative method to assess therapy efficacy. We conducted a systematic review with subsequent meta-analysis of primary studies to assess the predictive value of sequential liquid biopsies in patients with colorectal cancer treated with systemic therapy. Methods: Randomized, non-randomized, as well as prospective observational studies, reporting on the change in ctDNA concentration in total cell-free DNA over the course of systemic therapy of patients treated for metastatic colorectal cancer to predict treatment response according to RECIST criteria were included. Results: Forty-one studies involving 4546 evaluable patients with metastatic colorectal cancer were included in the meta-analysis. ctDNA increase during systemic therapy as compared to baseline was significantly associated with progression-free survival (HR: 2.47, 95%CI: 1.97-3.10) and overall survival (HR: 2.18, 95%CI: 1.66-2.86), which were reported in 31 and 22 studies, respectively. Conclusion: Longitudinal plasma-based ctDNA liquid biopsy has prognostic value and may help to identify those patients that benefit of continuing therapy or therapy switch. Although further standardization and randomized controlled clinical trials are required, based on the available data, we recommend longitudinal ctDNA measurements to be included in clinical practice and inclusion in the RECIST criteria. Protocol registration: The protocol for this review was registered on PROSPERO (CRD42023420012). Citation Format: Anja Holz, Bidisha Paul, Antonia Zapf, Klaus Pantel, Simon A. Joosse. ctDNA as predictor for systemic therapy response in patients with colorectal cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2025; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2025 Apr 25-30; Chicago, IL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2025;85(8_Suppl_1):Abstract nr 5876.
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