ABSTRACTBackground and ObjectiveInterstitial lung disease (ILD) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc). The disease course of SSc‐related ILD (SSc‐ILD) is heterogeneous, and several risk‐based models have been developed. This study aimed to quantitatively measure volume loss and disease extent and subsequently evaluate their associations with the development of end‐stage lung disease (ESLD).MethodsLung volume (LV) and disease extent were retrospectively and quantitatively evaluated in two cohorts (exploratory: n = 70; validation: n = 42) using high‐resolution computed tomography at the time of SSc‐ILD diagnosis, compared to controls (n = 70). LV was quantitatively measured using three‐dimensional imaging (3D‐image) and standardised by predicted forced vital capacity (standardised LV). The ratio of the normally attenuated LV (range, −950 to −750 Hounsfield units) to the whole‐LV (NL%) was also measured using 3D‐image. The associations of these variables with ESLD were evaluated.ResultsVolume loss and normal lung area loss were noted in patients with SSc‐ILD compared with controls, especially in the lower lobes. Meanwhile, extended ILD lesions without volume reduction were observed in the upper lobes. Both decreased standardised LV and NL% were associated with ESLD development, and age and NL% were significant risk factors for ESLD independent of pulmonary function test parameters and standardised LV. A composite model consisting of age and NL% successfully stratified patients with SSc‐ILD based on the risk of ESLD.Conclusion3D‐image may be a useful technique for assessing disease severity and predicting the risk for ESLD in patients with SSc‐ILD. image
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