Southerly Winds Research Articles (Page 10)

The influences of sea surface wind on the oceanic mesoscale eddy are complex. By integrating our self-developed surface drifters with satellite observations, we examined the influence of sea surface wind on the distribution of water masses and biomass within the interior of an anticyclonic eddy. Ten drifters were deployed in the northern South China Sea in the spring of 2021. Eventually, six were trapped in an anticyclonic mesoscale eddy for an extended period. Interestingly, the drifters’ trajectories were not symmetric around the eddy center, displaying a significant offset of the distance from the wind turns to the southerly wind. Particle tracking experiments demonstrated that this departure could mainly be attributed to wind-driven ageostrophic currents. This is due to the strength of wind-driven ageostrophic currents being more comparable to geostrophic currents when accompanied by a deflection between the directions of the wind-driven current and the eddy’s translation. The drifters’ derived data indicated that sub-mesoscale ageostrophic currents within the eddy contributed to this asymmetric trajectory, with Ekman and non-Ekman components playing a role. Furthermore, the evolution of ocean color data provided corroborating evidence of these dynamic processes, highlighting the importance of ageostrophic processes within mesoscale eddies.

Clouds play an important role in the climate system; nonetheless, the relationship between climate change in general and regional cloud occurrence is not yet well understood. This particularly holds for remote areas such as the iconic Galapagos archipelago in Ecuador. As a first step towards a better understanding, we analyzed the spatio-temporal patterns of cloud cover over Galapagos. We found that cloud frequency and distribution exhibit large inter- and intra-annual variability due to the changing influence of climatic drivers (trade winds, sea surface temperature, El Niño/La Niña events) and spatial variations due to terrain characteristics and location within the archipelago. The highest cloud frequencies occur in mid-elevations on the slopes exposed to the southerly trade winds (south-east slopes). Towards the highlands ( >900 m a.s.l), cloud frequency decreases, with a sharp leap towards high-level crater areas mainly on Isabela Island that frequently immerse into the trade inversion layer. With respect to the diurnal cycle, we found a lower cloud frequency over the islands in the evening than in the morning. Seasonally, cloud frequency is higher during the hot season (January–May) than in the cool season (June–December). However, spatial differences in cloudiness were more pronounced during the cool season months. We further analyzed two periods beyond average atmospheric forcing. During El Niño 2015, the cloud frequency was higher than usual, and differences between altitudes and aspects were less pronounced. La Niña 2007 led to negative anomalies in cloud frequency over the islands, with intensified differences between altitude and aspect.

Abstract. Although China's air quality has substantially improved in recent years due to the vigorous emissions reduction, the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei (BTH) region, especially its central and southern plains at the eastern foot of the Taihang Mountains, has been the most polluted area in China, with persistent and severe haze in winter. Combining meteorology–chemistry coupled model simulations and multiple observations, this study explored the causes of several heavy haze events in this area in January 2017, focusing on local circulations related to mountain terrain. The study results showed that on the weather scale, the configuration of the upper, middle, and lower atmosphere provided favorable weather and water vapor transport conditions for the development of haze pollution. Under the weak weather-scale systems, local circulation played a dominant role in the regional distribution and extreme values of PM2.5. Influenced by the Taihang and Yanshan mountains, vertical circulations and wind convergence zone were formed between the plain and mountain slopes. The vertical distribution of pollutants strongly depended on the intensity and location of the circulation. The circulation with high intensity and low altitude was more unfavorable for the vertical and horizontal diffusion of near-surface pollutants. More importantly, we found that the aerosol–radiation interaction (ARI) significantly amplified the impacts of local vertical circulations on heavy haze by two mechanisms. First, the ARI strengthened the vertical circulations at the lower levels, with the zonal wind speeds increasing by 0.3–0.8 m s−1. Meanwhile, the ARI could cause a substantial downward shift in the vertical circulations (∼ 100 m). Second, the ARI weakened the horizontal diffusion of pollutants by reducing the westerly winds and enhancing wind convergence and southerly winds. Under these two mechanisms, pollutants could only recirculate in a limited space. This superposition of the typical local circulation and the ARI eventually contributed to the accumulation of pollutants and the consequent deterioration of haze pollution in the region.

Abstract Glacier surface albedo dominates glacier energy balance, thus strongly affecting the glacier mass balance. Glaciers in the Western Nyainqentanglha Mountains (WNM) experienced large mass losses in the past two decades, but long-term changes of glacier albedo and its drivers are less understood. In this study, we retrieved glacier albedo with MODIS reflectance data to characterize the spatiotemporal variability of albedo from 2001 to 2020. Air temperature, rainfall, snowfall and deposition of light-absorbing impurities (LAIs) were evaluated as potential drivers of the observed variability in glacier albedo. The results showed that: (1) the glacier albedo experienced large inter-annual fluctuations, with the mean albedo being 0.552 ± 0.002 and a clear decreasing trend of 0.0443 ± 2 × 10−4 dec−1 in the WNM. The fastest decline was observed in autumn and in the vicinity of the equilibrium line altitude, indicating an extended melt season and an expansion of the ablation region to higher elevation; (2) local meteorology and LAIs deposition are the main drivers of glacier albedo change, but their effects on seasonal albedos are different due to different glacier processes. Both air temperature and the balance between liquid and solid precipitation affect summer and autumn albedos due to glacier ablation. Air temperature is the main driver of spring and winter albedos due to sublimation and metamorphism of snow, while snowfall carried by westerlies has limited influence on these two seasonal albedos due to less snowfall. LAIs mainly affect spring albedo due to high concentration coupled with the southerly wind in spring. These findings highlight the significance of changes in glacier albedo and the key role of local meteorology and LAIs deposition in determining such changes, which play an important role in glaciological and cryosphere processes.

The Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) significantly impacts the climate of the Asian continent. During the summer of 2022, the penetration of monsoonal waves towards higher latitudes led to severe and unprecedented floods in various parts of Iran, Pakistan, and southern Afghanistan. In this study, we utilized meteorological data from weather stations, satellite remote sensing, reanalysis data, and teleconnection indices to investigate the penetration of monsoonal waves at higher latitudes in Iran. We also employed outputs from two global models, the Global Forecast System (GFS) and Climate Forecast System (CFS), and the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) regional model, to examine their forecasts of heavy monsoon rains. Our analysis of teleconnection indices revealed that La Niña, combined with a negative or neutral Dipole Mode Index (DMI) and a positive Indian Monsoon Index (IMI), intensified monsoon-related rainfall in the region. The low-pressure system over India weakened, while the system over central Iran strengthened. Additionally, we observed a meridional rotation of the Somali low-level jet. Generally, southern to southwestern Iran, as well as central and eastern regions, receive moisture from the Arabian Sea due to southerly and easterly winds from water surfaces. Comparing forecasts with 2–7 days lead times and extended 10–15 days from the CFS and GFS global models demonstrated that neither of models accurately predicted the observed range of rainfall over Iran in the extended period. However, the WRF regional model predictions were significantly better. We also discovered that the 48-hour forecast from the WRF model outperformed other forecasts for this case study.

Driven by precursor emissions, meteorological conditions, and other factors, atmospheric ozone (O3) has become the main pollutant affecting urban air quality in summer. The current deductive models driven by physical and chemical mechanisms require a large number of parameters for the analysis of O3 pollution, and the calculation timeliness is poor. The data-driven inductive models are efficient but have problems such as poor explanation. In this study, an explainable model of data-driven Correlation-ML-SHAP was established to reveal the strongly correlated influencing factors of O3 concentration. Additionally, the machine learning ML module coupled with the explainable SHAP module was used to calculate the contributions of driving factors to O3 concentration, so as to realize the quantitative analysis of driving factors. The O3 pollution process in the summer of 2021 in Jincheng City was used as an example to carry out the application research. The results showed that the Correlation-ML-SHAP model could reveal and use strong driving factors to simulate O3 concentration and quantify influence contribution, and the ML module used the XGBoost model to achieve the best simulation accuracy. Air temperature, solar radiation, relative humidity, and precursor emission level were the strong driving factors of O3 pollution in Jincheng City in summer 2021, and the contribution weights were 32.1%, 21.3%, 16.5%, and 15.6%. The contribution weights of air temperature, solar radiation, and precursor emission level increased by 3.4%, 1.2%, and 1.2% on polluted days, respectively, and the contribution weights of precursor emission level rose to third place on polluted days. Each driving factor had a nonlinear interaction effect on O3 concentration. When the air temperature exceeded 24℃, or the relative humidity was lower than 70%, there was a 94.9% and 94.1% probability of positive contribution to O3 pollution, respectively. Under such meteorological conditions, ρ(NO2) exceeded 9 μg·m-3, or ρ(CO) exceeded 0.7 mg·m-3, and there was a 94.9% and 99.3% probability of positive contribution to O3 pollution, respectively. The southeast wind speed was lower than 5.8 m·s-1, or the south wind speed was lower than 5.3 m·s-1, both of which contributed positively to O3 pollution. The model quantitatively analyzed the influence contribution of various driving factors on urban O3 concentration, which could provide a basis for the prevention and control of urban atmospheric O3 pollution in summer.

Subseasonal transition of Barents–Kara sea-ice anomalies in winter related to the reversed warm Arctic–cold Eurasia pattern

Distinct impacts of two kinds of El Niño on precipitation over the Antarctic Peninsula and West Antarctica in austral spring

Abstract To understand the impact of the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation (BSISO) propagation on summer precipitation in North China, this study analysed the quantitative relationship between the BSISO and summer precipitation in North China and its influence mechanism using summer precipitation data from 1981 to 2020, the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data and the NOAA outgoing longwave radiation (OLR). The results show that there is a strong correlation between summer precipitation in North China and the BSISO. Over the past 40 years, the variance in summer precipitation anomalies in North China caused by BSISO1 accounted for 16.8%, whereas the impact of BSISO2 accounted for 13.1%. Their combined impact accounted for 30% of the variance in summer precipitation in North China. The BSISO influences summer precipitation process in North China primarily through upper tropospheric circulation and lower‐level water vapour transport. At 500 and 200 hPa, the BSISO excited some disturbance centres of a deep barotropic structure propagating from west to east along the upper‐tropospheric westerly jet. North China is controlled by the blocking circulation pattern of “high in the east and low in the west” while there is a negative (positive) anomaly near Lake Baikal and a positive (negative) anomaly near the Korean Peninsula. At 850 hPa, the BSISO stimulates an anticyclonic circulation anomaly on the north side of its convective area, and the southerly winds on the west side of the anticyclone enhance water vapour transport to North China. This high‐ and low‐level circulation configuration is favourable for precipitation processes in North China. The results suggest that the influence of both low‐frequency signals in the middle and high latitudes and the BSISO signal in the tropics should be considered to make extended‐range forecasts of precipitation processes in North China.

A strong short-duration convection near Poyang Lake in daytime of warm season

Abstract Midlatitude cyclones approaching coastal mountain ranges experience flow modifications on a variety of scales including orographic lift, blocking, mountain waves, and valley flows. During the 2015/16 Olympic Mountain Experiment (OLYMPEX), a pair of scanning ground radars observed precipitating clouds as they were modified by these orographically induced flows. The DOW radar, positioned to scan up the windward Quinault Valley, conducted RHI scans during 285 h of precipitation, 80% of which contained reversed, down-valley flow at lower levels. The existence of down-valley flow in the Quinault Valley was found to be well correlated with upstream flow blocking and the large-scale sea level pressure gradient orientated down the valley. Deep down-valley flow occurred in environments with high moist static stability and southerly winds, conditions that are common in prefrontal sectors of midlatitude cyclones in the coastal Pacific Northwest. Finally, a case study of prolonged down-valley flow in a prefrontal storm sector was simulated to investigate whether latent heat absorption (cooling) contributed to the event. Three experiments were conducted: a Control simulation and two simulations where the temperature tendencies from melting and evaporation were separately turned off. Results indicated that evaporative cooling had a stronger impact on the event’s down-valley flow than melting, likely because evaporation occurred within the low-level down-valley flow layer. Through these experiments, we show that evaporation helped prolong down-valley flow for several hours past the time of the event’s warm frontal passage. Significance Statement This paper analyzes the characteristics of down-valley flow over the windward Quinault Valley on the Olympic Peninsula of Washington State using data from OLYMPEX, with an emphasis on regional pressure differences and blocking metrics. Results demonstrate that the location of precipitation over the Olympic Peninsula is shifted upstream during events with deep down-valley flow, consistent with blocked upstream airflow. A case study of down-valley flow highlights the role of evaporative cooling to prolong the flow reversal.

Abstract Prediction of summer precipitation in north China (NCP) has long been a challenge partly because its low correlation with previous sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies (SSTA) limits the application of SST in NCP prediction. This study aims to extract optimal predictors of NCP from the SST field using an objective method—empirically optimal screening (EOS). It finds that the optimal precursory signal of NCP lies in the change of SSTA from winter to spring rather than the SSTA itself. This study identifies two optimal precursory signs predicting a positive (negative) NCP anomaly: the anomalous SST cooling (warming) from winter to spring in the coastal area of Somalia and Peru. Interestingly, these two presummer conditions have considerable independence, but they lead to a similar summer development of La Niña (El Niño). In summer, the tropical precipitation anomaly pattern associated with La Niña (El Niño) development excites a meridional wave train over the western Pacific and the circumglobal teleconnection in the Northern Hemisphere. Both of the anomalous wave trains show abnormal high (low) pressure over northeast Asia, which induces the south (north) wind anomalies over north China and produces abundant (deficient) precipitation there. These results highlight the importance of the SST evolution from winter to spring, break through the limitation of SST application in NCP prediction, and thus bring a prospect of improving NCP forecast skills. Significance Statement Sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies are most used as predictors in climate prediction. However, the forecast of summer precipitation in north China is limited by its low correlation with prior SST anomalies. In this paper, we find that the optimal precursory signal of north China precipitation (NCP) is not the SST anomaly itself, but the changes of SST anomalies from winter to spring in the coastal area of Somalia and Peru. These two precursory signals are almost independent yet indicate similar summer situations leading to NCP anomaly. These results highlight the importance of the dynamic evolution of sea surface temperature in improving the forecast skill of NCP.

Abstract To understand why a large‐scale monsoon does not exist in North America, we performed a series of sensitivity simulations to investigate orographic effects of the Rocky Mountains (RMs) using the Community Atmosphere Model version 5.1. Results show that the height of the RMs plays a fundamental role in shaping the monsoon over North America that is confined to a small area from northwestern Mexico to the southwestern United States. When the RMs' height is increased by five times their actual height, a larger part of the non‐monsoon region over North America becomes a monsoon region. The mechanical effects of the RMs uplift dominate in winter, while thermal effects dominate in summer. During winter the mechanical effects induce an equivalent barotropic atmospheric response in the troposphere. With the uplift of the RMs, the ridge and trough located on the western and eastern sides of Canada are strengthened. Most areas of North America are influenced by the northerlies during winter such that enhanced descending motion over the eastern RMs favours a dry winter climate. However, thermal effects dominate during summer through enhanced baroclinic atmospheric responses. The Mexico high and lower‐level cyclonic circulation are strengthened with the RMs uplift, triggering large‐scale ascending motion. Eastern North America is mainly controlled by the enhanced southerly wind along the western flank of the North Atlantic subtropical high. Thus, the enhanced water‐vapour transport and upward motion on the eastern side of the RMs increase summer precipitation. As a result, an obvious seasonal variation with the feature of ‘dry winter and wet summer’ finally develops, indicating that the height of the RMs plays a crucial role in shaping the monsoon over the central United States. Additional experiments show that the base area of the RMs has little effect on the large‐scale monsoon formation over North America.

Abstract During the second half of the twentieth century, the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) has undergone significant warming at more than twice the global mean and thus is regarded as one of the most rapidly warming regions on Earth. However, a reversal of this trend was observed in the 1990s, resulting in regional cooling. In particular, during 1999–2018, the observed annual average surface air temperature had decreased at a statistically significant rate, with the strongest cooling in austral spring. The spring cooling correlates significantly with the second leading modes (EOF2) derived from empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis on the sea level pressure over Antarctica during 1999–2018, associated with the negative phase of the interdecadal Pacific oscillation with an average of cooling of central and eastern tropical Pacific surface sea temperature (SST) anomalies. The EOF2 results in the enhanced cold southerly winds on the continental WAIS through the cyclonic conditions over the Amundsen Sea region and a blocking high in the Drake Passage and northern Antarctic Peninsula, causing the WAIS cooling trend.

Wind-induced switch of estuarine residual circulations and sediment transport in microtidal bay

Sediment settling process revealed by a bottom-tethered sediment trap at the east tip of the Shandong Peninsula

Occurrence of microplastics in the seawater and atmosphere of the South China Sea: Pollution patterns and interrelationship

Abstract Marine heatwaves (MHWs) are extreme climatic events that can have a significant impact on marine ecosystems and their services across the world. We examine the spatiotemporal variation of summer MHWs in the north Indian Ocean (NIO) and find that the whole NIO Basin exhibits a pronounced spatial variability as well as a significant increasing trend in MHW frequency. We show that the NIO has two leading MHW modes linked to two distinct sea surface temperature (SST) patterns during summer. The first MHW mode is associated with basinwide warming, which is preconditioned by a decaying El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and sustained throughout the summer by anomalous northeasterlies extending from the anticyclonic circulation of the western North Pacific subtropical high (WNPSH). The combined effect of thermocline warming due to downwelling oceanic planetary waves, decreased wind-induced evaporative cooling, and enhanced insolation cause basinwide summer MHWs. The second MHW mode exhibits a zonal dipole pattern, which has unfavorable cooling conditions in the previous seasons. The second MHW mode is associated with a phase change of ENSO and is greatly influenced by the formation of an interhemispheric pressure difference (IHPD) due to strengthening of the Australian high (AH) and weakening of the WNPSH. The IHPD induces cross-equatorial southerly winds across the eastern Indian Ocean. These winds favor the transformation of basinwide cooling conditions into zonal SST patterns via wind–evaporation–SST and thermocline–SST feedback, causing MHWs with a zonal dipole pattern. These MHW modes have a significant influence on the distribution and intensity of summer precipitation in the NIO.

Abstract This study explores the linkage of the circumglobal teleconnection (CGT) on the variability of early spring diabatic heating over the Southeast Asian low-latitude highlands (SEALLH) using ERA5 data. The early spring diabatic heating over the SEALLH shows significant interannual variability with a quasi-3-yr period. Anomalies in the advection of the early spring diabatic heating in the troposphere over the SEALLH associated with CGT are mainly responsible for the interannual variability of early spring diabatic heating over the SEALLH. When CGT is in phase with an anomalous cyclone over the eastern midlatitude North Atlantic, an anomalous cyclone usually dominates the west SEALLH throughout the troposphere. Stronger-than-normal southerly winds located on the east flank of the anomalous cyclone in the lower–upper troposphere transport more high-enthalpy air mass from lower latitudes to the SEALLH and then result in stronger-than-normal early spring diabatic heating over the SEALLH. When CGT is in phase with an anomalous anticyclone over the eastern North Atlantic, the opposite conditions occur, and weaker-than-normal early spring diabatic heating is observed over the SEALLH. Such significant correlation between CGT and early spring diabatic heating over the SEALLH can persist from winter to early summer. The key physical processes revealed in the observational analysis are mostly confirmed by the historical simulation performed with the EC-EARTH3 model. Significance Statement The low-latitude highlands in Southeast Asia are one of the earliest diabatic heating sources in the Asian summer monsoon region. Variability of diabatic heating over the low-latitude highlands in Southeast Asia significantly regulates the weather and climate over the Asian summer monsoon region. However, the interannual variability of early spring diabatic heating over the low-latitude highlands in Southeast Asia remains unclear. This study determines that the circumglobal teleconnection links with the interannual variability of early spring diabatic heating over the low-latitude highlands in Southeast Asia via modulating the local advection process from the previous winter. These results build a bridge connecting the anomalous signals occurring in the upper reaches of the low-latitude highlands in Southeast Asia with the weather and climate in the local and lower reaches of the low-latitude highlands in Southeast Asia.

Impacts of East Asian winter monsoon circulation on interannual variability of winter haze days in Guangdong Province