Restoration Scenarios Research Articles

From marginal croplands to natural habitats: A methodological framework for assessing the restoration potential to enhance wild-bee pollination in agricultural landscapes

ContextIntensive agriculture increases crop yields, but harms biodiversity and associated ecosystem services such as pollination. To sustain wild-bee pollination in intensive agricultural landscapes, a minimum of (semi-) natural habitat is needed in the vicinity of crop fields. However, restoration of (semi-) natural habitat is a challenge, especially when most land is allocated to commodity production.ObjectivesTo evaluate the restoration potential of marginal lands to enhance pollination in intensive agricultural landscapes.MethodsWe simulated restoration scenarios in marginal agricultural lands (abandoned and degraded fields, and field edges) in La Vallée-du-Richelieu (Quebec, Canada), aimed at enhancing pollination provision and increasing (semi-) natural habitat coverage by at least 20% within 1 km from crop fields, the estimated minimum amount required to sustain wild-bee populations. We then evaluated the extent to which restoration targets were reached in our scenarios.ResultsMore than half of the agricultural region studied remained with less than 20% (semi-) natural area coverage, and wild-bee pollination provision could not be ensured across the whole agricultural region after restoration. However, our results show that there is still an important potential for increasing natural habitat coverage by restoring marginal agricultural lands alone.ConclusionRestoration of marginal lands has a key role to play in the transition towards multifunctionality of production landscapes but might not be sufficient to achieve goals such as those adopted at the COP15 (e.g., restoring 30% of degraded land). Our framework can assist landscape planners in evaluating the restoration potential of agricultural landscapes, as well as its limitations.

A Test of Activated Carbon and Soil Seed Enhancements for Improved Sub-Shrub and Grass Seedling Survival With and Without Herbicide Application.

Re-establishing native plants while controlling invasive species is a challenge for many dryland restoration efforts globally. Invasive plants often create highly competitive environments so controlling them is necessary for effective establishment of native species. In the sagebrush steppe of the United States, invasive annual grasses are commonly controlled with herbicide treatments. However, the same herbicides that control invasive annual grasses also impact the native species being planted. As such, carbon-based seed technologies to protect native seeds from herbicide applications are being trialed. In addition to controlling invasive species, ensuring good seed-to-soil contact is important for effective establishment of native species. In this grow room study, we explored the impact of different seed ameliorations when no herbicide was applied and when herbicide was applied. We selected two native species that are important to the sagebrush steppe for this study-the sub-shrub Krascheninnikovia lanata and the perennial bunchgrass Pseudoroegneria spicata-and used three different seed ameliorations-seed pelleting with local soil alone, local soil plus activated carbon and activated carbon alone-to ensure both greater seed-to-soil contact and protection against herbicides. Shoot and root biomass data were collected eight weeks after planting. We found that when herbicide was not applied, K. lanata had the strongest response to the soil alone amelioration, while P. spicata had the strongest response to the activated carbon alone amelioration. However, when herbicide was applied, K. lanata performed best with the soil plus activated carbon treatments, with an average 1500% increase in biomass, while P. spicata performed best with the activated carbon alone treatments, with an over 4000% increase in biomass, relative to bare seed. The results from our study indicate that there is a positive effect of local soils and activated carbon as seed ameliorations, and further testing in the field is needed to understand how these ameliorations might perform in actual restoration scenarios.

An Inertial-relaxed Conjugate Gradient Algorithm Based on the Mathematical Model of Rural Pipeline Network in Image-restoration

Abstract As time progresses, the complexity of nonlinear systems continues to escalate, presenting significant challenges in problem-solving, particularly with increasing dimensions. To address this challenge, based on solving nonlinear equation systems, we propose an inertial-relaxed modified NLS (N Liu-Storey) CG(conjugate gradient) method tailored for image restoration. By employing inertial acceleration technique and a modified secant equation, this method presents a novel approach to image restoration. The search direction of algorithm integrates sufficient descent and trust region feature, incorporating gradient, modified convex combination, and function value, thereby enhancing adaptability and global convergence. Numerical experiments substantiate the efficacy of this algorithm in image restoration tasks. Through the equilibrium of local and global search dynamics via inertial acceleration technique and modified secant equations, this method expedites convergence and enhances solution accuracy. Its versatility enables robust performance across various image restoration scenarios, underscoring its potential as a valuable tool in solving nonlinear equation systems and optimization.

Influence of an innovative IMTA system (Mediterranean Sea, Italy) on environmental and biological parameters: Seasonal analysis

The influence of benthic suspension feeders as bioremediating organisms on water column seston and their ability to mitigate fish farm waste was assessed by monthly analyses for one year. A monthly monitoring from July 2020 to October 2021 of physico-chemical and biochemical variables of the water column and the sediment was performed in an in-shore mariculture plant located in the Mar Grande of Taranto (Italy), comparing two adjacent areas that differ in type of farming. The first (reference site) is a fish monoculture, while the second consists of an innovative Integrated Multi-Trophic Aquaculture system (IMTA site). The annual cycle of chlorophyll-a concentration showed values corresponding to mesotrophic/eutrophic conditions, with peak production in early fall (4.64 μg L−1). During the spring and summer sampling times, when the amount of aquaculture waste is greater than during the rest of the year, the reference site showed the highest lipid (151.73 μg L−1) and organic matter (189.00 mg g−1) values with respect to those at the IMTA site. The IMTA bioremediating organisms possibly acted as underwater gardens changing the seston quality and availability and providing protection and food for the zooplankton community, which showed higher abundance of individuals for most sampling times at the IMTA site, peaking during September and October in both 2020 and 2021 (max 232,985.20 ind m−3). Our results demonstrate the effectiveness of the considered IMTA system in mitigating the negative impact of organic matter release into the environment due to fish farming activities. The influence of bioremediating organisms on seston composition and concentration opened up mitigation as well as restoration scenarios.

Estimating nutrient load targets for lakes at a regional scale

Abell JM, Özkundakci D, Mcbride CG, Allan MG. 2024. Estimating nutrient load targets for lakes at a regional scale. Lake Reserv Manag. XXX–XXX. Estimating target nutrient loads to achieve desired lake water quality is challenging due to complex relationships between nutrient loading and in-lake concentrations. We analyzed lake water quality data and existing catchment model output to evaluate empirical nutrient loading models for 21 lakes in the Waikato region of New Zealand that had varying total nitrogen (TN) and total phosphorus (TP) concentrations. The optimum model, which included water residence time (τw) and inflow concentrations as predictors, was used to estimate target TN and TP loads necessary to meet target in-lake nutrient concentrations. Uncertainty in load estimates was estimated using bootstrapping. Results highlighted the substantial challenge facing lake managers: for lakes with in-lake concentrations exceeding targets, current TN loads were 21 times greater than target loads on average (standard deviation = 39 times), whereas current TP loads were ∼3 times greater than target loads on average (standard deviation = 3.1 times). To inform management more broadly, models were used to estimate target inflow concentrations for hypothetical lake restoration scenarios comprising varying target in-lake concentrations and τw. Scenario analysis quantified the major role of τw, with lower target inflow concentrations (i.e., greater load reductions) required to achieve in-lake nutrient targets in lakes with lower τw. For the scenarios analyzed, results showed the lakes are phosphorus sinks, but may switch from being a sink to a source of nitrogen as τw decreases. The approach used provides a reference for other jurisdictions faced with managing lakes with limited datasets and the results can inform lake management policy for similar lakes.

Wetland-mediated nitrate reductions attenuate downstream: Insights from a modeling study

Connections between agricultural runoff and excess nitrogen in the Upper Mississippi River Basin are well-documented, as is the potential role of constructed wetlands in mitigating this surplus nitrogen. However, limited knowledge exists about the “best” placement of these wetlands for downstream nitrogen reductions within a whole watershed context as well as how far downstream these benefits are realized. In this study, we simulate the cumulative impacts of diverse wetland restoration scenarios on downstream nitrate reductions in different subbasins of the Raccoon River Watershed, Iowa, USA, and spatially trace their relative effects downstream. Our simulated results underscore previous work demonstrating that the total area of wetlands and the wetland-catchment-to-wetland area ratio are both significant factors for determining the nitrate load reduction benefits of wetlands at subbasin scales. Simulated wetland conservation scenarios resulted in nitrate load decreases ranging from 7.5 to 43.2% of our baseline model loads. However, we found these wetland-mediated nitrate reduction benefits are quickly attenuated downstream: load reductions were <1% at the watershed outlet across all model scenarios, despite the magnitude of the subbasin-scale nitrate decreases. The relatively rapid attenuation of wetland effects is largely due to downstream nitrate load contributions from untreated subbasins. However, higher subbasin-scale nitrate reductions from wetland-based conservation practices resulted in longer downstream distances prior to attenuation. This study highlights the importance of considering the spatial location of constructed or restored wetlands relative to the area within the watershed where nitrogen reductions are most needed.

Integrating Habitat Suitability and Larval Drift Modeling for Spawning‐To‐Nursery Functional Habitat Connectivity Analysis in Rivers

AbstractHabitat suitability modeling is a commonly used methodology to plan and assess in‐stream habitat enhancement in rivers, such as for the key fish life stages spawning and juvenile development. However, their use only allows modeling the spatial distribution of habitats, but not their connectivity. By integrating micro‐scale habitat modeling and a larval drift model, we assess the functional connectivity between spawning and larval nursery habitats for four rheophilic and litophilic fish species in a channelized and hydropower impacted reach of the lower Inn River (Bavaria, Germany), in which two restoration measures, a bypass channel and an island side‐channel system, have been constructed to improve longitudinal connectivity and habitat conditions. The study aims to (a) map spawning and larval nursery habitats, (b) quantify their connectivity, and (c) optimize functional habitat connectivity through an alternative bypass channel location. Results show that the channel's morphological complexity influences quantity and quality of available spawning and nursery habitats and their connectivity. Despite the presence of nursery habitats across the analyzed channel, the slow lateral larval dispersion during drift limits their accessibility to only the left river bank, making only 33% of available habitats useable. The degree of functional connectivity and hence the percentage of useable habitats can however be increased up to 95.3 % when considering different spatial configurations of habitats, which were explored in two alternative restoration scenarios. The results demonstrate the importance of considering functional habitat connectivity in habitat assessments and restoration planning.

Plants Restoration Drives the Gobi Soil Microbial Diversity for Improving Soil Quality.

Desertification and salt stress are major causes of terrestrial ecosystem loss worldwide, and the Gobi, representing a salt-stressed area in inland China, has a major impact on the ecosystems and biodiversity of its surrounding environment. The restoration of the Gobi Desert is an important way to control its expansion, but there are few studies on the evaluation of restoration. In this study, soils under different restoration scenarios, namely, soils in restored areas (R1, R2), semi-restored areas (SR1, SR2), and unrestored control areas (C1, C2), were used to investigate differences in microbial diversity and physicochemical properties. The results showed that the soil was mainly dominated by particles of 4-63 μm (26.45-37.94%) and >63 μm (57.95-72.87%). Across the different restoration levels, the soil pH (7.96-8.43) remained basically unchanged, salinity decreased from 9.23-2.26 to 0.24-0.25, and water content remained constant (10.98-12.27%) except for one restored sample in which it was higher (22.32%). The effective Al, Cu, and Zn in the soil increased, but only slightly. Total organic matter (TOM) decreased from 3.86-5.20% to 1.31-1.47%, and total organic nitrogen (TON) decreased from 0.03-0.06% to 0.01-0.02%, but the difference in total organic carbon (TOC) was not significant. High-throughput testing revealed that the bacterial population of the restored area was dominated by A4b (6.33-9.18%), MND1 (4.94-7.39%), and Vicinamibacteraceae (7.04-7.39%). Regarding archaea, samples from the restored areas were dominated by Marine Group II (76.17-81.49%) and Candidatus Nitrososphaera (6.07-9.75%). PCoA showed that the different restoration levels were the main cause of the differences between the samples. Additionally, salinity was the dominant factor that induced this difference, but it was inhibited by the restoration and targeted enrichment of some of these functional genera. Desert restoration should therefore focus on conserving water rather than adding nutrients. Planting salt- and drought-tolerant vegetation will contribute to the initial restoration of the desert and the restoration of the microbiological content of the soil as it migrates over time, creating a cycle of elements. Restoration stimulates and enhances the microbial diversity of the soil via beneficial microorganisms.

Impact of Land Use Change on Water-Related Ecosystem Services under Multiple Ecological Restoration Scenarios in the Ganjiang River Basin, China

Ecological restoration programs (ERPs) can lead to dramatic land use change, thereby affecting ecosystem services and their interaction. Determining the optimal ERPs is a crucial issue for ecological restoration in ecologically fragile regions. This study analyzed the impacts of land use change on four water-related ecosystem services (WESs), namely water yield, soil retention, water purification, and food production in the Ganjiang River basin, China during the past two decades. Then, trade-off and synergy between WESs were detected based on correlation analysis. Finally, to quantify the effect of ERPs on WESs, we comprehensively considered the types and intensity of ERPs and designed four categories of scenarios: returning farmland to forest (RFF) scenarios; planting forest (PF) scenarios; riparian forestland buffer (RFB) scenarios; and riparian grassland buffer (RGB) scenarios. Each category contains five scenarios of different intensities. The results showed that water yield, soil retention, and food production increased while water purification decreased from 2000 to 2020. The deterioration of water quality was mainly due to transitions from forestland to farmland and built-up land. Trade-offs only occurred between regulating services and provisioning services. Among all ecological restoration scenarios, only the RFF scenarios can significantly improve soil retention and water purification at the same time, although food production will decrease. Considering food security, returning farmland with a slope greater than 10 degrees to forestland was the optimal scenario in the study area. This study highlighted that both the type and intensity of ERPs should be considered in ecological restoration. This study can contribute to ecological restoration in the Ganjiang River basin and other subtropical mountainous regions.

Distributionally robust risk-resistant synergistic restoration strategy for integrated electricity and gas system with high-fidelity gas dynamic modeling

A synergistic restoration strategy offers a promising solution for expediting restoration of integrated electricity and gas system (IEGS) following blackouts, particularly under the increasing energy interdependence between these two subsystems. However, achieving synergistic restoration is challenging in 1) distinct operational characteristics between electric and gas flow rates, leading to difficulties in accurately modeling the restoration processes with significantly varying system states; 2) potential risks posed by uncertainties, such as fluctuating renewable energy and random contingencies, undermining the effectiveness of restoration strategy. To address these challenges, this paper proposes a novel distributionally robust risk-resistant synergistic restoration strategy for IEGS. Firstly, to accurately capture the dynamics of slow gas flow relative to instantaneous power flow, we propose a high-fidelity linear dynamic gas flow model with multiparametric disaggregation technique, demonstrating satisfactory accuracy in restoration scenarios. Then, the risks by uncertainties of renewable energy and contingencies are handled within distributionally robust framework. Moreover, the IEGS restoration problem is reformulated as a two-stage robust optimization problem by convex conservative approximation and strong duality theory, which is solved by a nested column-and-constraint generation algorithm. Finally, simulation results validate the effectiveness of the proposed restoration strategy, showing the improved restoration efficiency, security, and risk-resistant performance.

Ecological restoration enhanced the stability of epiphytic microbial food webs of submerged macrophytes: Insights from predation characteristics of epiphytic predators

The application of various submerged macrophytes for ecological restoration has gained increasing attention in urban lake ecosystems. The multitrophic microbial communities that colonized in various submerged macrophytes constitute microbial food webs through trophic cascade effects, which affect the biogeochemical cycles of the lake ecosystem and directly determine the effects of ecological restoration. Therefore, it is essential to reveal the diversity, composition, assembly processes, and stability of the microbial communities within epiphytic food webs of diverse submerged macrophytes under eutrophication and ecological restoration scenarios. In this study, we explored the epiphytic microbial food webs of Vallisneria natans and Hydrilla verticillata in both eutrophic and ecological restoration regions. The obtained results indicated that the two regions with different nutrient levels remarkably affected the diversity and composition of epiphytic multitrophic microbial communities of submerged macrophytes, among them, the community composition of epiphytic predators were more prone to change. Secondly, environmental filtering effects played a more important role in driving the community assembly of epiphytic predators than that of prey. Furthermore, the generality and intraguild predation of epiphytic predators were significantly improved within ecological restoration regions, which increased the stability of epiphytic microbial food webs. Additionally, compared with Hydrilla verticillata, the epiphytic microbial food webs of Vallisneria natans exhibited higher multitrophic diversity and higher network stability regardless of regions. Overall, this study focused on the role of the epiphytic microbial food webs of submerged macrophytes in ecological restoration and uncovered the potential of epiphytic predators to enhance the stability of microbial food webs, which may provide new insights into the development of ecological restoration strategies.

To Harvest or not to Harvest: Management Intensity did not Affect Greenhouse Gas Balances of Phalaris Arundinacea Paludiculture

The cultivation of flooding-tolerant grasses on wet or rewetted peatlands is a priority in climate change mitigation, balancing the trade-off between atmospheric decarbonisation and biomass production. However, effects of management intensities on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and the global warming potential (GWP) are widely unknown. This study assessed whether intensities of two and five annual harvest occurrences at fertilisation rates of 200 kg nitrogen ha− 1 yr− 1 affects GHG exchange dynamics compared to a ‘nature scenario’ with neither harvest nor fertilisation. Fluxes of carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), and nitrous oxide (N2O), using opaque and transparent chambers, were measured on a wet fen peatland with a mean water table depth of -10 cm below soil surface. Overall, no treatment effect was found on biomass yields and GHG emissions. Annual cumulative CH4 emissions were low, ranging between 0.3 and 0.5 t CO2-C eq ha− 1 yr− 1. Contrary to this, emissions of N2O were high, ranging between 1.1 and 1.5 t CO2-C eq ha− 1 yr− 1. For magnitudes of CH4 and N2O, soil moisture conditions and electrical peat properties were critical proxies. Atmospheric uptake of CO2 by net ecosystem exchange was higher for the treatments with management. However, this benefit was offset by the export of carbon in biomass compared to the treatment without management. In conclusion, the results highlighted a near-equal GWP in the range of 10.5–11.5 t CO2-C eq t ha− 1 yr− 1 for all treatments irrespectively of management. In a climate context, a restoration scenario but also intensive paludiculture practices were equal land-use options.

Island restoration to rebuild seabird populations and amplify coral reef functioning.

Mobile organisms like seabirds can provide important nutrient flows between ecosystems, but this connectivity has been interrupted by the degradation of island ecosystems. Island restoration (via invasive species eradications and the restoration of native vegetation) can reestablish seabird populations and their nutrient transfers between their foraging areas, breeding colonies, and adjacent nearshore habitats. Its diverse benefits are making island restoration increasingly common and scalable to larger islands and whole archipelagos. We identified the factors that influence breeding seabird abundances throughout the Chagos Archipelago in the Indian Ocean and conducted predictive modeling to estimate the abundances of seabirds that the archipelago could support under invasive predator eradication and native vegetation restoration scenarios. We explored whether the prey base exists to support restored seabird populations across the archipelago, calculated the nitrogen that restored populations of seabirds might produce via their guano, and modeled the cascading conservation gains that island restoration could provide. Restoration was predicted to increase breeding pairs of seabirds to over 280,000, and prey was predicted to be ample to support the revived seabird populations. Restored nutrient fluxes were predicted to result in increases in coral growth rates, reef fish biomasses, and parrotfish grazing and bioerosion rates. Given these potential cross-ecosystem benefits, our results support island restoration as a conservation priority that could enhance resilience to climatic change effects, such as sea-level rise and coral bleaching. We encourage the incorporation of our estimates of cross-ecosystem benefits in prioritization exercises for island restoration.

Forest management for water yield: Assessing the barriers and impacts of privately-owned open pine woodlands in the Southeastern United States

In the Southeastern United States, freshwater resources are stressed due to human development, population growth, expansion of agricultural irrigation, and climate change. Restoring land to a low-density, fire-maintained longleaf pine (Pinus palustris) savanna and woodland ecosystem may provide distinct ecosystem services such as increases in water quantity for vulnerable watersheds. To understand how economic incentives may bolster restoration programs, we analyze the economic and hydrologic impacts of longleaf pine restoration scenarios. We compare these scenarios against other common land uses in the Coastal Plain of Georgia, a major forestry state located in the Southern United States, identifying the financial barriers and water use impacts of alternative forest management regimes. Longleaf pine restoration shows the greatest increase in water yield per acre at 66 % over baseline timber production scenarios but at a lower timber value return. Thinning planted loblolly pine (Pinus taeda) stands to low-density woodlands may offer a more cost-efficient, immediate alternative that improves water yields by 38 %. Current incentives to restore native habitats on private lands increase financial returns but lack sufficient incentives and governance to meet or exceed baseline forest income levels by $90-$235 ha-1 annually for longleaf savanna restoration. In the future, the emerging ecosystem service market in Georgia may steer decisions about competing values of carbon storage, water yield, and native habitat restoration.

Integrating Life Cycle Cost Analysis for Sustainable Maintenance of Historic Buildings

This study examines the strategic use of life cycle cost analyses (LCCAs) in the management and conservation of heritage sites, emphasizing the need for comprehensive financial planning. With an increasing number of heritage sites showing signs of deterioration, our aim was to improve the sustainability and effectiveness of restoration practices. We used dynamic life cycle costing methods and developed the MONUREV software V2 to simulate different restoration scenarios, providing accurate, data-driven projections for maintaining structural, functional and aesthetic integrity. The field research involved testing these methods through case studies of heritage buildings in the Czech Republic, focusing on holistic cost management from initial analysis to practical application. The results showed that LCC analysis can significantly assist in making informed decisions, balancing economic and cultural values, and ensuring long-term conservation outcomes. This study concludes that the integration of a detailed LCC analysis into heritage conservation strategies represents a methodological advance that can significantly improve the economic and operational planning of the maintenance of heritage buildings, thereby ensuring their preservation for future generations.

Effects of vegetation restoration on runoff and its components in the mountainous Haihe River Basin

Study regionTwo typical mountainous Haihe River Basins: The Xiaojue Basin and the Yehe River Basin Study focusesThe mountainous Haihe River Basin has suffered from a water crisis duo to large-scale restoration. Quantifying the hydrological impacts of vegetation restoration is necessary for local water management. In this study, we used the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) hydrological model, in combination with two vegetation restoration scenarios, to analyze the effects of vegetation restoration on runoff and its runoff components (surface runoff, baseflow, and total runoff) New hydrological insights for the regionOur results indicated a general decrease in surface runoff and an increase in baseflow as a result of vegetation restoration. At the seasonal timescale, total runoff and surface runoff decreases mainly concentrated in the flood season, and slightly increased in the non-flood season, and baseflow showed the opposite trend during the flood-season in the Xiaojue and Yehe River Basin. The magnitude of change in runoff components in the Yehe River Basin was higher than that in the Xiaojue Basin, and the Yehe River Basin has a larger water yield capability. This study advances our knowledge on the way in which vegetation affects runoff and offers recommendations for water resources management

The long-term impact of transgressing planetary boundaries on biophysical atmosphere–land interactions

Abstract. Human activities have had a significant impact on Earth's systems and processes, leading to a transition of Earth's state from the relatively stable Holocene epoch to the Anthropocene. The planetary boundary framework characterizes major risks of destabilization, particularly in the core dimensions of climate and biosphere change. Land system change, including deforestation and urbanization, alters ecosystems and impacts the water and energy cycle between the land surface and atmosphere, while climate change can disrupt the balance of ecosystems and impact vegetation composition and soil carbon pools. These drivers also interact with each other, further exacerbating their impacts. Earth system models have been used recently to illustrate the risks and interacting effects of transgressing selected planetary boundaries, but a detailed analysis is still missing. Here, we study the impacts of long-term transgressions of the climate and land system change boundaries on the Earth system using an Earth system model with an incorporated detailed dynamic vegetation model. In our centennial-scale simulation analysis, we find that transgressing the land system change boundary results in increases in global temperatures and aridity. Furthermore, this transgression is associated with a substantial loss of vegetation carbon, exceeding 200 Pg C, in contrast to conditions considered safe. Concurrently, the influence of climate change becomes evident as temperatures surge by 2.7–3.1 °C depending on the region. Notably, carbon dynamics are most profoundly affected within the large carbon reservoirs of the boreal permafrost areas, where carbon emissions peak at 150 Pg C. While a restoration scenario to reduce human pressure to meet the planetary boundaries of climate change and land system change proves beneficial for carbon pools and global mean temperature, a transgression of these boundaries could lead to profoundly negative effects on the Earth system and the terrestrial biosphere. Our results suggest that respecting both boundaries is essential for safeguarding Holocene-like planetary conditions that characterize a resilient Earth system and are in accordance with the goals of the Paris Climate Agreement.

Spatial and Temporal Changes in Ecological Resilience in the Shanxi–Shaanxi–Inner Mongolia Energy Zone with Multi-Scenario Simulation

The energy-driven expansion of artificial surfaces has resulted in severe ecological problems. Scientific evaluation of regional ecological resilience under different scenarios is crucial for promoting ecological restoration. This study chose the Shanxi–Shaanxi–Inner Mongolia Energy Zone (SEZ) and modeled an ecological resilience evaluation based on resistance, adaptability, and recovery. Land-use change and ecological resilience from 1980 to 2020 were then analyzed. Moreover, the SEZ land-use patterns and ecological resilience in 2030 were simulated under business as usual (BAU), energy and mineral development (EMD), and ecological conservation and restoration (ECR) scenarios. The results showed that (1) the SEZ was dominated by cultivated land, grassland, and unused land. (2) Ecological resilience showed a changing trend of decreasing and then increasing, with high ecological resilience areas mainly located in the Yellow River Basin, whereas low ecological resilience areas spread outward from the central urban areas. (3) The ecological resilience level was the lowest under the EMD scenario and the highest under the ECR scenario. This study not only expands the analysis framework of ecological resilience research but also provides scientific support for ecological conservation in ecologically fragile areas with intensive human activity worldwide.

Multi-objective ecological restoration priority in China: Cost-benefit optimization in different ecological performance regimes based on planetary boundaries

In the context of the “United Nations Decade on Ecosystem Restoration”, optimizing spatiotemporal arrangements for ecological restoration is an important approach to enhancing overall socioecological benefits for sustainable development. However, against the background of ecological degradation caused by the human use of most natural resources at levels that have approached or exceeded the safe and sustainable boundaries of ecosystems, it is key to explain how to optimize ecological restoration by classified management and optimal total benefits. In response to these issues, we combined spatial heterogeneity and temporal dynamics at the national scale in China to construct five ecological performance regimes defined by indicators that use planetary boundaries and ecological pressures which served as the basis for prioritizing ecological restoration areas and implementing zoning control. By integrating habitat conservation, biodiversity, water supply, and restoration cost constraints, seven ecological restoration scenarios were simulated to optimize the spatial layout of ecological restoration projects (ERPs). The results indicated that the provinces with unsustainable freshwater use, climate change, and land use accounted for more than 25%, 66.7%, and 25%, respectively, of the total area. Only 30% of the provinces experienced a decrease in environmental pressure. Based on the ecological performance regimes, ERP sites spanning the past 20 years were identified, and more than 50% of the priority areas were clustered in regime areas with increased ecological stress. As the restoration area targets doubled (40%) from the baseline (20%), a multi-objective scenario presents a trade-off between expanded ERPs in areas with highly beneficial effects and minimal restoration costs. In conclusion, a reasonable classification and management regime is the basis for targeted restoration. Coordinating multiple objectives and costs in ecological restoration is the key to maximizing socio-ecological benefits. Our study offered new perspectives on systematic and sustainable planning for ecological restoration.

RT5ELinkages of peatland degradation and rural poverty in development scenarios of peatland restoration

RT5ELinkages of peatland degradation and rural poverty in development scenarios of peatland restoration