Ross Ice Shelf Research Articles

Ross Ice Shelf frontal zone subjected to increasing melting by ocean surface waters.

Solar-warmed surface waters subduct beneath Antarctica's ice shelves as a result of wind forcing, but this process is poorly observed and its interannual variability is yet to be assessed. We observe a 50-meter-thick intrusion of warm surface water immediately beneath the Ross Ice Shelf. Temperature in the uppermost 5 meters decreases toward the ice base in near-perfect agreement with an exponential fit, consistent with the loss of heat to the overlying ice. Ekman forcing drives a heat transport into the cavity sufficient to contribute considerably to near-front melting; this transport has increased over the past four decades, driven by the increasing heat content of the ice-front polynya. Interannual variability of the heat transport is driven by zonal wind stress. These results provide a benchmark against which model performance may be assessed as we seek to reduce uncertainty around the contribution of basal melting to sea level rise.

Sleep, Fatigue, and Recovery Profiles of the Longest Solo Unsupported One-Way Polar Ski Journey Across Antarctica.

Antarctic expeditions are exceptional physiological challenges. Sleep plays a critical role in athletic performance, recovery, and wellness, with sleep disturbances having a negative impact on health and performance. The authors investigated sleep, fatigue, and recovery profiles of the longest solo unsupported one-way polar ski journey across Antarctica. A 33-year-old woman covered 1484.53km from Hercules Inlet to the South Pole, finishing at the Ross Ice Shelf, in 70days and 16hours. Questionnaires on sleep (Pittsburgh Insomnia Rating Scale and Karolinska Sleepiness Scale), fatigue (Subjective Assessment of Fatigue), recovery (Total Quality Recovery), and wellness were completed at different time points (before, during, and after the expedition). Average daily sleep time was between 4 and 5hours, increasing to 7hours for the final part of the expedition. Satisfaction of sleep and lack of energy deteriorated as the expedition progressed, alongside signs of clinical insomnia. Fatigue and muscle soreness increased with increasing milage, with extreme levels and very poor recovery toward the end of the expedition. Despite this, the adventurer continued to perform on extremely high levels. Postexpedition scores returned to baseline, demonstrating the incredible adaptation and ability to recovery. The postexpedition interview showed that prior experience of an Antarctic expedition may have prepared the athlete and made her more resilient for this challenge. The data provide unique insights into Antarctic expeditions and may help us understand the limits of human performance when planning future expeditions of this nature. Female athletes are capable of extreme challenges, breaking established performance boundaries.

Recent sedimentology at the grounding zone of the Kamb Ice stream, West Antarctica and implications for ice shelf extent

Sediment accumulating beneath floating ice contains a record of ice dynamics in polar regions where in situ observations are rare. In 2019 a hole was melted through a 590m-thick region of the Ross Ice Shelf ∼5 km seawards of the Kamb Ice Stream (KIS) grounding line (82.7841°S, 155.2626°W) to access the seafloor. Imagery from a remotely operated vehicle (ROV, Icefin) shows ocean current-generated ripples likely formed by tidal flow parallel to the grounding line (GL). Observed current speeds <0.15 m s−1 suggest these bedforms may be relict. Larger, dm-scale, ‘furrows’ parallel to the former direction of KIS flow may relate to past grounding line processes. A 0.49 m-long gravity core collected from the seafloor contains weakly stratified diamicton. The sediment matrix comprises variable mixtures of reworked Tertiary biogenic silica, predominantly diatoms, and arkose material. Sediment εNd values of ∼7 are consistent with derivation from the WAIS, as is the U-Pb age distribution and modelled late Holocene ice flows. Ramped pyrolysis 14C analysis shows all fractions are either >30 ka or 14C dead. By contrast, 210Pb-210 activity of >30 Bq Kg−1 indicates deposition within the last 120 years. The combination of features suggests rapid rainout deposition from melting of a sediment-laden basal debris layer as the GL retreated, followed by some reworking by ocean currents and little modern accumulation. Although Tertiary diatoms are abundant, unambiguously Late Quaternary forms are absent and we speculate on the implications for Ross Ice Shelf stability. [239 wds]

The long-term sea-level commitment from Antarctica

Abstract. The evolution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet is of vital importance given the coastal and societal implications of ice loss, with a potential to raise sea level by up to 58 m if it melts entirely. However, future ice-sheet trajectories remain highly uncertain. One of the main sources of uncertainty is related to nonlinear processes and feedbacks between the ice sheet and the Earth System on different timescales. Due to these feedbacks and ice-sheet inertia, ice loss may already be triggered in the next decades or centuries and will then unfold thereafter on timescales on the order of multiple centuries to millennia. This committed Antarctic sea-level contribution is not reflected in typical sea-level projections based on mass balance changes of the Antarctic Ice Sheet, which often cover decadal-to-centennial timescales. Here, using two ice-sheet models, we systematically assess the long-term multi-millennial sea-level commitment from Antarctica in response to warming projected over the next centuries under low- and high-emission pathways. This allows us to bring together the time horizon of stakeholder planning and the much longer response times of the Antarctic Ice Sheet. Our results show that warming levels representative of the lower-emission pathway, SSP1-2.6, may already result in an Antarctic mass loss of up to 6 m of sea-level equivalent on multi-millennial timescales. This committed mass loss is due to a strong grounding-line retreat in the West Antarctic Amundsen Sea embayment as well as potential drainage from the Ross Ice Shelf catchment and onset of ice loss from Wilkes subglacial basin in East Antarctica. Beyond the warming levels reached by the end of this century under the higher-emission trajectory, SSP5-8.5, a collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet is triggered in the entire ensemble of simulations from both ice-sheet models. Under enhanced warming, next to ice loss from the marine subglacial basins, we also find a substantial decline in ice volume grounded above sea level in East Antarctica. Over the next millennia, this gives rise to a sea-level increase of up to 40 m in our simulations, stressing the importance of including the committed Antarctic sea-level contribution in future projections.

The effect of ice shelf rheology on shelf edge bending

Abstract. The distribution of pressure on the vertical seaward front of an ice shelf has been shown to cause downward bending of the shelf if the ice is assumed to have vertically uniform viscosity. Satellite lidar observations show that many shelf edges bend upward and that the amplitude of upward deflections depends systematically on ice shelf thickness. A simple analysis is presented showing that upward bending of shelf edges can result from vertical variations in ice viscosity that are consistent with field observations and laboratory measurements. Resultant vertical variations in horizontal stress produce an internal bending moment that can counter the bending moment due to the shelf-front water pressure. Assuming a linear profile of ice temperature with depth and an Arrhenius relation between temperature and strain rate allows derivation of an analytic expression for internal bending moments as a function of shelf surface temperatures, shelf thickness and ice rheologic parameters. The effect of a power-law relation between stress difference and strain rate can also be included analytically. The key ice rheologic parameter affecting shelf edge bending is the ratio of the activation energy, Q, and the power-law exponent, n. For cold ice surface temperatures and large values of Q/n, upward bending is expected, while for warm surface temperatures and small values of Q/n downward bending is expected. The amplitude of bending should scale with the ice shelf thickness to the power 3/2, and this is approximately consistent with a recent analysis of shelf edge deflections for the Ross Ice Shelf. These scaling relations should help guide fully two-dimensional numerical simulations of shelf bending.

Remote Forcing for a Circulation Pattern Favorable to Surface Melt over the Ross Ice Shelf

Abstract The Ross Ice Shelf (RIS) experiences surface melt events in summer, which could accelerate ice loss and destabilize the ice sheet in a warming world. This study links the interannual variability of RIS surface melt to the northerly wind anomaly over the Ross Sea sector, which is established in association with the quasigeostrophic barotropic Rossby wave trains from the tropical Pacific and subtropical Australia toward West Antarctica. Atmospheric general circulation model experiments suggest that these Rossby wave trains are regulated by El Niño–related sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the tropical central–eastern Pacific and atmospheric heating anomalies over western Australia. El Niño provides an important forcing of the atmospheric circulation anomalies over the Ross Sea via inducing a Rossby wave train, and most surface melt events over the RIS happen during El Niño years. In addition, the anomalous atmospheric heating over western Australia, which is independent of El Niño, is another important forcing that triggers a Rossby wave train extending from subtropical Australia to the Ross Sea. The northerly flow toward the Ross Sea induces strong poleward moisture and heat transport, which further contributes to surface melt over the RIS. Significance Statement During austral summer, surface melt occurs over the Ross Ice Shelf, accelerates ice loss, and poses ice-sheet destabilization risks in a warming world. The northerly wind anomaly over the Ross sector provides strong poleward heat and moisture transport and is favorable for the surface melt. This wind anomaly is influenced by two remote forcings, El Niño and heating anomaly over western Australia, through generating Rossby wave trains from the tropics and subtropical Australia. This study reveals a previously unexplored relationship that atmospheric heating over western Australia influences large-scale circulation, contributing to surface melt.

Return to the Ross Ice Shelf Project (RISP), Site J-9 (1977–1979): perspectives of West Antarctic Ice Sheet history from Miocene and Holocene benthic foraminifera

Abstract. In 1977–1978 and 1978–1979, the Ross Ice Shelf Project (RISP) recovered sediments from beneath the largest ice shelf in Antarctica at Site J-9 (∼82° S, 168° W), ∼450 km from open marine waters at the calving front of the Ross Ice Shelf and 890 km from the South Pole, one of the southernmost sites for marine sediment recovery in Antarctica. One important finding was the discovery of an active macrofauna, including crustaceans and fish, sustained below the ice shelf far from open waters. The sediment has a thin, unconsolidated upper unit (up to 20 cm thick) and a texturally similar but compacted lower unit (&gt;1 m thick) containing reworked early, middle, and late Miocene diatom and calcareous benthic foraminiferal assemblages. A probable post-Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) disconformity separates the upper unit containing a dominantly agglutinated foraminiferal assemblage, from the lower unit consisting mostly of reworked Miocene calcareous benthic species, including Trifarina fluens, Elphidium magellanicum, Globocassidulina subglobosa, Gyroidina sp., and Nonionella spp. The presence of the polar planktic foraminiferal species Neogloboquadrina pachyderma and the endemic Antarcticella antarctica supports the late Miocene diatom age for the matrix of the lower unit. The microfossil assemblages indicate periods of ice sheet collapse and open-water conditions south of Site J-9 during warm intervals of the early, middle, and late Miocene, including the Miocene Climatic Optimum (∼17–14.7 Ma), demonstrating the dynamic nature of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) and Ross Ice Shelf during the Neogene. The foraminiferal assemblage of the upper unit is unique to the Ross Sea and suggests the influence of a sub-ice-shelf water mass proximal to the retreating post-LGM grounding zone. This unique assemblage is strongly dominated by the bathyal, cold-water agglutinated genus Cyclammina.

The Response of Ross Sea Shelf Water Properties to Enhanced Amundsen Sea Ice Shelf Melting

AbstractIce shelves in the Amundsen Sea have experienced the most rapid melting in the Antarctic and are expected to accelerate throughout this century under climate warming. In this study, a high‐resolution ocean‐sea ice‐ice shelf model is employed to conduct sensitivity experiments to explore the effects of increasing melt rates of the Amundsen Sea ice shelves on hydrography, sea ice and ice shelf in the Ross Sea. The results indicate that the substantial inflow of meltwater significantly freshens the Ross Sea, inhibiting the formation and export of the Dense Shelf Water, the volume of which is reduced by 19%–33% on the shelf. Temperatures in the eastern and western Ross Sea exhibit different responses to the enhanced meltwater input. The freshening of the western Ross Sea weakens the mesoscale eddy activities which are efficient in carrying warm Circumpolar Deep Water onto the shelf, leading to an average temperature decrease of 0.02–0.08°C. Conversely, in the eastern Ross Sea, there is a marked warming outside the shelf under increased meltwater, which results from zonal pressure gradients associated with the meltwater distributions. This consequently causes stronger on‐shelf heat transport and shows warming of 0.12–0.22°C on the eastern Ross Sea shelf. The narrow shelf in the eastern Ross Sea allows the warmer water to reach the Ross Ice Shelf (RIS) front, resulting in an about 6%–9% increase in the RIS melting. These results suggest a possible mechanism for acceleration in the RIS melting in the future that is associated with enhanced meltwater inflow.

Psychological aspects of the longest, solo, unsupported one-way polar ski expedition in Antarctica by a female adventurer

IntroductionAntarctic expeditions present exceptional physiological and mental challenges. Research data are lacking on psychological aspects of such endeavours. The aim of our study is to provide data on changes in...

Towards the systematic reconnaissance of seismic signals from glaciers and ice sheets – Part 2: Unsupervised learning for source process characterization

Abstract. Given the high number and diversity of events in a typical cryoseismic dataset, in particular those recorded on ice sheet margins, it is desirable to use a semi-automated method of grouping similar events for reconnaissance and ongoing analysis. We present a workflow for employing semi-unsupervised cluster analysis to inform investigations of the processes occurring in glaciers and ice sheets. In this demonstration study, we make use of a seismic event catalogue previously compiled for the Whillans Ice Stream, for the 2010–2011 austral summer (outlined in Part 1, Latto et al., 2024). We address the challenges of seismic event analysis for a complex wave field by clustering similar seismic events into groups using characteristic temporal, spectral, and polarization attributes of seismic time series with the k-means++ algorithm. This provides the basis for a reconnaissance analysis of a seismic wave field that contains local events (from the ice stream) set in an ambient wave field that itself contains a diversity of signals (mostly from the Ross Ice Shelf). As one result, we find that two clusters include stick-slip events that diverge in terms of length and initiation locality (i.e., central sticky spot and/or the grounding line). We also identify a swarm of high-frequency signals on 16–17 January 2011 that are potentially associated with a surface melt event from the Ross Ice Shelf. Used together with the event detection presented in Part 1, the semi-automated workflow could readily be generalized to other locations and, as a possible benchmark procedure, could enable the monitoring of remote glaciers over time and comparisons between locations.

Evolution of Antarctic Sea Ice Ahead of the Record Low Annual Maximum Extent in September 2023

AbstractThe 2023 Antarctic sea ice extent (SIE) maximum on 7 September was the lowest annual maximum in the satellite era (16.98 × 106 km2), with the largest contributions to the anomaly coming from the Ross (37.7%, −0.57 × 106 km2) and Weddell (32.9%, −0.49 × 106 km2) Seas. The SIE was low due to anomalously warm (&gt;0.3°C) upper‐ocean temperatures combined with anomalously strong northerly winds impeding the ice advance during the fall and winter. Northerly winds of &gt;12 ms−1 in the Weddell Sea occurred because of negative pressure anomalies over the Antarctic Peninsula, while those in the Ross Sea were associated with extreme blocking episodes off the Ross Ice Shelf. The Ross Sea experienced an unprecedented SIE decrease of −1.08 × 103 km2 d−1 from 1 June till the annual maximum. The passage of quasi‐stationary and explosive polar cyclones contributed to periods of southward ice‐edge shift in both sectors.

Ross Ice Shelf Displacement and Elastic Plate Waves Induced by Whillans Ice Stream Slip Events

AbstractIce shelves are assumed to flow steadily from their grounding lines to the ice front. We report the detection of ice‐propagating extensional Lamb (plate) waves accompanied by pulses of permanent ice shelf displacement observed by co‐located Global Navigation Satellite System receivers and seismographs on the Ross Ice Shelf. The extensional waves and associated ice shelf displacement are produced by tidally triggered basal slip events of the Whillans Ice Stream, which flows into the ice shelf. The propagation velocity of 2,800 m/s is intermediate between shear and compressional ice velocities, with velocity and particle motions consistent with predictions for extensional Lamb waves. During the passage of the Lamb waves the entire ice shelf is displaced about 60 mm with a velocity more than an order of magnitude above its long‐term flow rate. Observed displacements indicate a peak dynamic strain of 10−7, comparable to that of earthquake surface waves that trigger ice quakes.

Larval fish community in the Bay of Whales (eastern Ross sea): Species composition, relative abundance and spatial distribution

Early life stages of fish represent a key component in the food chain of the pelagic ecosystem of the Southern Ocean, connecting producer trophic levels to those of higher predators. Pelagic larvae and early juveniles of notothenioid fishes overwhelmingly dominate the ichthyoplankton community living on the continental shelf. Scientific research surveys targeting early life stages of fish in the pelagic realm have been mainly carried out in the western Ross Sea, whereas the eastern side can be considered unexplored. As source of high primary production, the presence and timing of formation of wide ice-free areas throughout the year in the Ross Sea play a fundamental role in structuring larval fish community. The Ross Ice Shelf Polynya (RISP) is a large coastal polynya, which is driven and maintained by local prevailing winds and oceanic currents. In the present study, we report the first data on species composition, relative abundance and spatial distribution of larval fish community found off the Bay of Whales in the eastern Ross Sea. As reported for other areas of the Ross Sea, the Antarctic silverfish Pleuragramma antarcticum was by far the most abundant species, followed by other nototheniids and channichthyids in smaller amounts. The huge abundance of P. antarcticum early larvae supports the hypothesis of a potential nursery area near the Bay of Whales. Present results strongly advocate for future investigations in these poorly known and remote areas.

Extreme precipitation event at the Ross Ice Shelf during the 1911–1912 South Pole run

AbstractIn March 1912, Captain Robert Falcon Scott and his companions perished on their return journey from the South Pole. The Final Blizzard delivered a terminal blow. However, it was only a part of this story of endurance and tragedy. In December 1911, en route to the South Pole, the men had been tent-bound for 4 days due to an exceptionally warm, wet blizzard. This article compares the meteorological situation that the polar party encountered in December 1911 to a similar situation in the modern time and suggests a possible climatology behind the 1911 event.

Antarctic-wide ice-shelf firn emulation reveals robust future firn air depletion signal for the Antarctic Peninsula

Antarctic firn is critical for ice-shelf stability because it stores meltwater that would otherwise pond on the surface. Ponded meltwater increases the risk of hydrofracture and subsequent potential ice-shelf collapse. Here, we use output from a firn model to build a computationally simpler emulator that uses a random forest to predict ice-shelf effective firn air content, which considers impermeable ice layers that make deeper parts of the firn inaccessible to meltwater, based on climate conditions. We find that summer air temperature and precipitation are the most important climatic features for predicting firn air content. Based on the climatology from an ensemble of Earth System Models, we find that the Larsen C Ice Shelf is most at risk of firn air depletion during the 21st century, while the larger Ross and Ronne-Filchner ice shelves are unlikely to experience substantial firn air content change. This work demonstrates the utility of emulation for computationally efficient estimations of complicated ice sheet processes.

Chronology and Sedimentary Processes in the Western Ross Sea, Antarctica since the Last Glacial Period

The stability of contemporary ice shelves is under threat due to global warming, and the geological records in the Ross Sea offer such an opportunity to test the linkage between them. However, the absence of calcareous microfossils in the sediments of the Ross Sea results in uncertainties in establishing a precise chronology for studies. Hence, three sediment cores were collected and studied in terms of radiocarbon dating, magnetic susceptibility, and sediment grain size to reconstruct the environmental processes in the Ross Sea since the last glacial period. The main results are as follows: (1) two grain-size components were identified for the studied cores, which can be correlated to ice-shelf and sea-ice transport, respectively; (2) due to old-carbon contamination and an inconsistent carbon reservoir, the radiocarbon dates were generally underestimated, and as an alternative, changes in magnetic susceptibility of the studied cores can be tuned to the ice-core records to establish a reliable age–depth model and; (3) integrating sediment grain-size changes and comparisons with other paleoenvironmental proxies in the Antarctic, a process from a sub-ice sheet in the last glacial period to a sub-ice shelf in the glacial maximum, and, finally, to a glaciomarine state since the last deglacial period was identified in the western Ross Sea. Integrating these findings, the warming processes in the Antarctic were highlighted in the retreat processes of the Ross Ice Shelf in the past.

A Model Study of Buoyancy Driven Cross‐Isobath Transport Over the Ross Sea Continental Shelf Break

AbstractThe intrusion of circumpolar deep water (CDW) onto the Antarctic continental shelf plays an important role in the heat budgets of the Antarctic shelf sea. In the Ross Sea, the Antarctic Slope Current is a strong vorticity barrier that prevents cross‐slope CDW exchange, yet observation evidence shows that CDW is able to get through this barrier in certain locations and reaches the edge of the Ross Ice Shelf (RIS). Previous studies often attribute the cross‐slope exchange to surface wind forcing, eddy and tide‐mediated fluxes. In this work, we highlight the role of buoyancy forcing from the continental shelf in the cross‐isobath exchange on the continental shelf break. The cross‐isobath transport along the Ross Sea continental shelf break is diagnosed with the depth‐averaged vorticity budget equation, using results from an ice‐ocean coupled numerical model. Our results show that the leading‐order balance of vorticity is between the advection of planetary vorticity and the joint effect of baroclinicity and relief (JEBAR). The JEBAR effect supplies negative vorticity and drives onshore transport over the eastern Ross Sea. The heterogeneous transport over eastern and western Ross Sea results in a zonal sea level gradient, with higher sea level over the eastern Ross Sea. The magnitude of JEBAR is determined by horizontal density gradient along the Ross Sea shelf break edge; numerical tracer experiments suggest that the along‐isobath density gradient is set up by the dense shelf water formed over the RIS and the inflow of glacial basal melt water from the Amundsen Sea.

Simulating 0.4–2.5 GHz Brightness Temperatures of the Ross Ice Shelf, Antarctica

Simulating 0.4–2.5 GHz Brightness Temperatures of the Ross Ice Shelf, Antarctica

Viruses under the Antarctic Ice Shelf are active and potentially involved in global nutrient cycles

Viruses play an important role in the marine ecosystem. However, our comprehension of viruses inhabiting the dark ocean, and in particular, under the Antarctic Ice Shelves, remains limited. Here, we mine single-cell genomic, transcriptomic, and metagenomic data to uncover the viral diversity, biogeography, activity, and their role as metabolic facilitators of microbes beneath the Ross Ice Shelf. This is the largest Antarctic ice shelf with a major impact on global carbon cycle. The viral community found in the cavity under the ice shelf mainly comprises endemic viruses adapted to polar and mesopelagic environments. The low abundance of genes related to lysogenic lifestyle (<3%) does not support a predominance of the Piggyback-the-Winner hypothesis, consistent with a low-productivity habitat. Our results indicate a viral community actively infecting key ammonium and sulfur-oxidizing chemolithoautotrophs (e.g. Nitrosopumilus spp, Thioglobus spp.), supporting a “kill-the-winner” dynamic. Based on genome analysis, these viruses carry specific auxiliary metabolic genes potentially involved in nitrogen, sulfur, and phosphorus acquisition. Altogether, the viruses under Antarctic ice shelves are putatively involved in programming the metabolism of ecologically relevant microbes that maintain primary production in these chemosynthetically-driven ecosystems, which have a major role in global nutrient cycles.

Basin-scale tracer replacement timescales in a one-degree global OGCM

This study investigates basin-scale tracer replacement timescales of the two polar oceans and the Atlantic, Indian, and Pacific Oceans using a one-degree global ocean-sea ice model that represents oceans under the largest Antarctic ice shelves, the Filchner-Ronne and Ross Ice Shelf (FRIS and RIS). After a long spin-up with present-day surface boundary conditions, we confirm that the model has a typical representation of wind-driven and thermohaline circulations in one-degree ocean models. We use virtual passive tracers placed in the five oceans and examine the behavior of the passive tracers to estimate the tracer replacement timescales and pathways of the basin-scale ocean waters. Replacement timescales in the polar oceans (114 years for the Southern Ocean and 109 years for the Arctic Ocean) are found to be shorter than those in the three oceans (217 years for the Atlantic Ocean, 163 years for the Indian Ocean, and 338 years for the Pacific Ocean). The Southern Ocean tracer has two clear pathways to the Northern Hemisphere: the surface route in the Atlantic Ocean and the bottom route in the Pacific and Indian Oceans. This surface route is a rapid conduit to transport the Southern Ocean signal to the North Atlantic and Arctic Oceans. The Atlantic Ocean tracer is transported to both polar regions along the North Atlantic Current and the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC). The tracer experiments clearly demonstrate that Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) plays a vital role in transporting the water masses in the Atlantic and Arctic Oceans to the Southern Ocean. The southward flow of the AMOC at the intermediate depths carries the northern waters to the ACC region, and then the water spreads over the Southern Ocean along the eastward-flowing ACC. The decay timescales of water in the ice-shelf cavities exposed to the water outside the Southern Ocean are estimated to be approximately 150 years for both the FIRS and RIS. The decay timescales in the Antarctic coastal region are short at the surface and long in the deep layers, with a noticeable reduction in the areas where ACC flows southward toward the Antarctic continent.