Risk Factors For Severe Disease Research Articles

Feature Identification Using Interpretability Machine Learning Predicting Risk Factors for Disease Severity of In-Patients with COVID-19 in South Florida.

Objective: The objective of the study was to establish an AI-driven decision support system by identifying the most important features in the severity of disease for Intensive Care Unit (ICU) with Mechanical Ventilation (MV) requirement, ICU, and InterMediate Care Unit (IMCU) admission for hospitalized patients with COVID-19 in South Florida. The features implicated in the risk factors identified by the model interpretability can be used to forecast treatment plans faster before critical conditions exacerbate. Methods: We analyzed eHR data from 5371 patients diagnosed with COVID-19 from South Florida Memorial Healthcare Systems admitted between March 2020 and January 2021 to predict the need for ICU with MV, ICU, and IMCU admission. A Random Forest classifier was trained on patients' data augmented by SMOTE, collected at hospital admission. We then compared the importance of features utilizing different model interpretability analyses, such as SHAP, MDI, and Permutation Importance. Results: The models for ICU with MV, ICU, and IMCU admission identified the following factors overlapping as the most important predictors among the three outcomes: age, race, sex, BMI, diarrhea, diabetes, hypertension, early stages of kidney disease, and pneumonia. It was observed that individuals over 65 years ('older adults'), males, current smokers, and BMI classified as 'overweight' and 'obese' were at greater risk of severity of illness. The severity was intensified by the co-occurrence of two interacting features (e.g., diarrhea and diabetes). Conclusions: The top features identified by the models' interpretability were from the 'sociodemographic characteristics', 'pre-hospital comorbidities', and 'medications' categories. However, 'pre-hospital comorbidities' played a vital role in different critical conditions. In addition to individual feature importance, the feature interactions also provide crucial information for predicting the most likely outcome of patients' conditions when urgent treatment plans are needed during the surge of patients during the pandemic.

SARS-CoV-2 infections in patients, health care workers and hospital outbreaks during the first 3 waves of the pandemic: a retrospective analysis in a secondary care hospital network in Germany

BackgroundHospital infections with SARS-CoV-2 continued during the initial waves of the pandemic worldwide. So far, Data on the dynamics of these infections and the economic burden of outbreaks are rare.MethodsWe retrospectively analysed SARS-CoV-2 infections in patients, hospital employees and nosocomial infections resulting in outbreaks in two hospitals of a secondary care hospital network in Germany during the initial 3 pandemic waves (03/2020–06/2021). In addition to hospital infections, we evaluated infection prevention strategies and the economic burden of hospital outbreaks.ResultsA total of 396 patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection were hospitalized in both hospitals. The risk factors for severe disease and death increased with age, male sex and a CRB-65 score > 0. The most frequent symptom was dyspnoea (30.1%). Sixty-five patients died, most of whom were in the 2nd wave. A total of 182 (12.5%) hospital employees were infected, 63 (34.6%) of whom were involved in outbreaks. An occupational risk of infection during outbreaks was particularly common among nurses and HCWs working on regular wards. Eleven hospital outbreaks led to high economic impact on both hospitals through the loss of manpower as result of infected employees, temporary locked wards, blocked beds, a reduced number of total hospitalized patients and increased personnel costs.ConclusionContinuously adaptation of infection prevention strategies is a valuable tool to keep hospitals safe places for patients and employees. We do need more analyses of the different pandemic waves and applied infection prevention strategies to learn from weak points.Trial registrationThis research was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and national standards. The study protocol was approved by the relevant ethics committee of the Chamber of Physicians Westphalia-Lippe and University of Münster (no. 2021–475-f-S). The study was registered on 25th August 2021 at the German Clinical Trials Register (DRKS00025865).

An Increase in Aspartate Aminotransferase Can Predict Worsening Disease Severity in Japanese Patients with COVID-19.

The prognostic significance of liver dysfunction in COVID-19 patients remains unclear. In this study, we investigated the association between liver function test results and severe disease progression in COVID-19 patients. This retrospective study included consecutive Japanese COVID-19 patients admitted between February 2020 and July 2021. Predictive variables for severe disease progression were identified by multivariate logistic regression analysis. Severe disease-free survival was estimated with the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression analysis. Aspartate aminotransferase (AST) was divided into three grades: grade 1, AST < 30 U/L; grade 2, 30 U/L ≤ AST < 60 U/L; and grade 3, AST > 60 U/L. Among 604 symptomatic patients, 141 (23.3%) developed severe disease at a median of 2 days postadmission. The median hospital stay was 10 days, and 43 patients (7.1%) died during hospitalization. Multivariate regression analysis revealed that hypertension, decreased lymphocyte count, and elevated LDH, CRP, and AST levels (grade 2 and grade 3 relative to grade 1) were the significant predictive variables. Severe disease-free survival time was significantly different between the different AST grades (hazard ratio (HR): grade 2 vs. grade 1, 4.07 (95% confidential interval (CI): 2.06-8.03); grade 3 vs. grade 1, 7.66 (95% CI: 3.89-15.1)). The AST level at admission was an independent risk factor for severe disease in hospitalized Japanese patients with COVID-19.

Effect of spirulina on risk of hospitalization among patients with COVID-19: the TOGETHER randomized trial

BackgroundAlgae-derived nutraceuticals, such as spirulina, have been reported to have biological activities that may minimize clinical consequences to COVID-19 infections. ObjectivesThis study aimed to determine whether spirulina is an effective treatment for high-risk patients with early COVID-19 in an outpatient setting. MethodsThe TOGETHER trial is a placebo-controlled, randomized, platform trial conducted in Brazil. Eligible participants were symptomatic adults with a positive rapid test for SARS-CoV-2 older than 50 y or with a known risk factor for disease severity. Patients were randomly assigned to receive placebo or spirulina (1 g twice daily for 14 d). The primary end point was hospitalization defined as either retention in a COVID-19 emergency setting for >6 h or transfer to tertiary hospital owing to COVID-19 at 28 d. Secondary outcomes included time-to-hospitalization, mortality, and adverse drug reactions. We used a Bayesian framework to compare spirulina with placebo. ResultsWe recruited 1126 participants, 569 randomly assigned to spirulina and 557 to placebo. The median age was 49.0 y, and 65.3% were female. The primary outcome occurred in 11.2% in the spirulina group and 8.1% in the placebo group (odds ratio [OR]: 1.24; 95% credible interval: 0.84, 1.86). There were no differences in emergency department visit (OR: 1.21; 95% credible interval: 0.81, 1.83), nor time to symptom relief (hazard ratio: 0.90; 95% credible interval: 0.79, 1.03). Spirulina also not demonstrate important treatment effects in the prespecified subgroups defined by age, sex, BMI, days since symptom onset, or vaccination status. ConclusionsSpirulina has no any clinical benefits as an outpatient therapy for COVID-19 compared with placebo with respect to reducing the retention in an emergency setting or COVID-19–related hospitalization. There are no differences between spirulina and placebo for other secondary outcomes.This trial was registered at clinicaltrials.gov as NCT04727424.

Epidemiological Analysis of Legionella Pneumonia in Japan: A National Inpatient Database Study.

Legionella pneumonia, a severe form of pneumonia, is caused by Legionella bacteria. The epidemiology of Legionnaires' disease in Japan, including seasonal trends, risk factors for severe disease, and fatality rates, is unclear. This study examined the epidemiology of Legionella pneumonia in Japan. This retrospective cohort study included data of adult patients hospitalized for Legionella pneumonia (identified using the International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision code, A481) in the Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination inpatient database, from April 2011 to March 2021. We performed multivariable logistic regression analysis to explore the prognostic factors of in-hospital mortality. Of 7,370 enrolled hospitalized patients from 1,140 hospitals (male, 84.4%; aged >50 years, 87.9%), 469 (6.4%) died during hospitalization. The number of hospitalized patients increased yearly, from 658 in 2016 to 975 in 2020. Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that higher in-hospital mortality was associated with older age, male sex, lower body mass index, worsened level of consciousness, comorbidities (congestive heart failure, chronic renal diseases, and metastasis), hospitalization from November to May, and ambulance use. However, lower in-hospital mortality was associated with comorbidity (liver diseases), hospitalization after 2013, and hospitalization in hospitals with higher case volume. The characterized epidemiology of Legionella pneumonia in Japan revealed a high mortality rate of 6.4%. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to demonstrate a higher mortality rate in winter and in patients with congestive heart failure and metastasis. Further research is needed to understand the complex interplay between the prognostic factors of Legionella pneumonia.

Clinical Picture and Risk Factors for Severity of SARS-CoV-2 and Dengue Coinfection in Children: Experience From a Tertiary Hospital in Vietnam.

Introduction Dengue is an infectious disease that is a burden in Asia-Pacific and Latin America. The COVID-19 pandemic in dengue-endemic areas has caused a "double burden" because of the possibility of coinfection, especially in children who are vulnerable to both COVID-19 and dengue. This study aimed to describe the characteristics and identify risk factors for the severity of the coinfection in Vietnamese children. Methods This was a retrospective cohort study, undertaken at Children's Hospital 1 (Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam) during the fourth wave of the COVID-19 pandemic. All children under 16 years old who were admitted to the hospital from April 27, 2021 to June 30, 2022, and diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2 and dengue coinfection were included. Results From April 2021 to June 2022, a total of 31 patients with the coinfection were included, with 19 of them being male (61.3%). The median age was 10.8 years old (IQR, 5.1-14.1). Fourteen children (45.2%) had preexisting comorbidities, with the most common comorbidity being overweight/obesity (ten children). Nearly two-thirds of the children were diagnosed with dengue without/with warning signs (61.3%) and were classified as having mild COVID-19 (83.9%). The most frequently observed clinical characteristics were fever (n=29, 93.6%), followed by abdominal pain, vomiting, and petechiae. All patients had high serum ferritin, and 83.9% presented with thrombocytopenia. None of thecases died. Overweight/obesity, abdominal pain, and petechiae were factors independently associated with severe disease. Conclusion Most of the children had mild COVID-19 and disease progression similar to patients with dengue alone. However, some children may have severe COVID-19 and dengue coinfection. Obesity, abdominal pain, and petechiae were identified as independent risk factors for disease severity in pediatric cases. Further studies with multicenters and a larger sample size are needed to assess the coinfection more thoroughly.

Enhancing Immune Responses against SARS-CoV-2 Variants in Aged Mice with INDUK: A Chimeric DNA Vaccine Encoding the Spike S1-TM Subunits.

Currently available vaccines against COVID-19 showed high efficacy against the original strain of SARS-CoV-2 but progressively lower efficacy against new variants. In response to emerging SARS-CoV-2 strains, we propose chimeric DNA vaccines encoding the spike antigen, including a combination of selected key mutations from different variants of concern. We developed two DNA vaccines, pVAX-S1-TM-D614G and pVAX-S1-TM-INDUK (INDUK), encoding the SARS-CoV-2 S1 spike subunit in fusion with the transmembrane region that allows protein trimerization as predicted by in silico analysis. pVAX-S1-TM-D614G included the dominant D614G substitution, while the chimeric vaccine INDUK contained additional selected mutations from the Delta (E484Q and L452R) and Alpha (N501Y and A570D) variants. Considering that aging is a risk factor for severe disease and that suboptimal vaccine responses were observed in older individuals, the immunogenicity of pVAX-S1-TM-D614G and INDUK was tested in both young and aged C57BL/6 mice. Two vaccine doses were able to trigger significant anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibody production, showing neutralizing activity. ELISA tests confirmed that antibodies induced by pVAX-S1-TM-D614G and INDUK were able to recognize both Wuhan Spike and Delta variant Spike as trimers, while neutralizing antibodies were detected by an ACE2:SARS-CoV-2 Spike S1 inhibitor screening assay, designed to assess the capacity of antibodies to block the interaction between the viral spike S1 protein and the ACE2 receptor. Although antibody titer declined within six months, a third booster dose significantly increased the magnitude of humoral response, even in aged individuals, suggesting that immune recall can improve antibody response durability. The analysis of cellular responses demonstrated that vaccination with INDUK elicited an increase in the percentage of SARS-CoV-2-specific IFN-γ producing T lymphocytes in immunized young mice and TNF-α-producing T lymphocytes in both young and aged mice. These findings not only hold immediate promise for addressing evolving challenges in SARS-CoV-2 vaccination but also open avenues to refine strategies and elevate the effectiveness of next-generation vaccines.

Clinical characteristics of pediatric noninfectious uveitis and risk factors for severe disease: a single-center study

ObjectivesWe aimed to present the demographic, clinical, laboratory, and treatment data of children with non-infectious uveitis and to evaluate the risk factors for the development of complications and the need for biological treatment.MethodPatients diagnosed with non-infectious uveitis in childhood and followed up for at least 1 year were included in the study. Demographic data, including age, gender, age at diagnosis, uveitis in first-degree relatives, and rheumatologic diseases, were obtained retrospectively from medical records. The presence of complications or the need for biologic therapy was considered a composite outcome suggesting severe disease.ResultsThe study included 123 patients (female: n = 59, 48%). The mean age at diagnosis was 14.89 ± 4.86 years. Uveitis was symptomatic in 104 patients (84.6%). Approximately one-quarter of the patients had at least one rheumatic disease (n = 35, 28.5%), the most common being juvenile idiopathic arthritis. Thirty-three patients (26.8%) had anti-nuclear antibody positivity. Biologic agents were needed in 60 patients (48.8%). Complications developed in 14 patients (11.4%). Early age at disease onset (aOR, 0.875; 95% C.I. 0.795–0.965, p = 0.007) and female gender (aOR, 2.99; 95% C.I. 1.439–6.248, p = 0.003) were significantly associated with the need for biologic treatment, while Behçet’s disease (BD) was strongly associated with uveitis-related complications (aOR, 14.133; 95% C.I. 2.765–72.231, p = 0.001).ConclusionWe suggest that among pediatric patients with non-infectious uveitis, females, those with an early age of disease onset, and those with BD need to be closely monitored due to a significantly increased risk of severe disease.Key Points• Limited data exist on the clinical course of non-infectious uveitis in children and the associated risk factors for severe disease.• Our study reveals that nearly a quarter of pediatric patients with non-infectious uveitis also have a rheumatic disease.• Among pediatric patients diagnosed with non-infectious uveitis, we observed an increased risk of severe disease in those with an earlier onset age, in female patients, and in those diagnosed with Behçet’s disease.

Clinical Features and Risk Factors for Severe Disease of Rickettsiosis: A Military Hospital-Based Study in Bangkok, Thailand

Clinical Features and Risk Factors for Severe Disease of Rickettsiosis: A Military Hospital-Based Study in Bangkok, Thailand

Nutritional status affects immune function and exacerbates the severity of pulmonary tuberculosis.

To comprehensively evaluate the association and impact of nutritional status and immune function on the severity of pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB). This descriptive cross-sectional study involved 952 participants who were diagnosed with active PTB. Severe PTB involves three or more lung field infections based on chest radiography. Nutritional status was evaluated using various indicators, including body mass index (BMI), the nutritional risk screening score (NRS-2002), total protein (TP), prealbumin (PA), transferrin (TRF), and serum albumin (ALB) levels and the prognostic nutritional index (PNI). Immune dysfunction was defined as a CD4+ count <500 cells/µl or a CD4+/CD8+ ratio <1. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) were also calculated. Multivariate logistic and generalized linear regression were used to assess the associations between nutritional status, immune function, the severity of PTB, and the number of infected lung fields, adjusting for age, sex, and diabetes. Mediation analysis was conducted to evaluate the extent to which immune function mediated the impact of nutritional status on the severity of PTB. Sensitivity analysis was performed to enhance the robustness of the results. Compared to those in the general PTB group, patients in the severe PTB group tended to be older men with diabetes. Higher nutritional risk, higher proportion of immune dysfunction and lower lymphocyte counts were observed in the severe group. BMI and the PNI were found to be protective factors, while PLR was identified as a risk factor for disease severity. Immune dysfunction and the PLR are mediators of the relationship between nutritional status and PTB severity. When BMI, the PNI, and the PLR were combined with traditional clinical indicators, these parameters showed promising diagnostic value, and the AUC reached 0.701 (95% CI: 0.668-0.734). The findings suggest that nutritional status is significantly associated with the severity of PTB, and immune function mediates the effects of nutritional status on the severity of PTB. Maintaining adequate BMI, PNI levels, and immune function or reducing PLR levels helps reduce the risk of severe PTB.

Predictors of uncontrolled hypertension among type 2 diabetic patients in Ethiopia: Multicenter cross-sectional study

BackgroundHypertension (HTN) is the commonest comorbidity among people with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Uncontrolled HTN is a major risk factor for several diseases. This study aimed to determine the magnitude and predictors of uncontrolled HTN among T2DM patients. MethodsA multicenter cross-sectional study was conducted among hypertensive from September 19, 2021 to 17 December 2021. Logistic regression model was conducted to identify predictors of uncontrolled HTN. Uncontrolled BP was defined by systolic BP of ≥130 mmHg and/or diastolic BP of ≥80 mmHg. ResultsA total of 400 study participants were included in the analysis, of which 208 (52 %) were females. The mean age of the participants was 60.6 with SD of 10.25 years. The target blood pressure achieved in 156 (39 %) of participants. Age, non-adherence to medications (OR; 2.0; 95 % CI: 1.1–3.6; P = 0.02), not reducing dietary salt (OR; 2.4; 95 % CI: 1.5–3.8; P < 0.001), uncontrolled blood sugar (OR:2.4; 95 % CI: 1.4–4.3; P = 0.002), obesity (OR; 3.2; 95 % CI:1.2–8.7; P = 0.03) and having every fourth month and above follow up (OR; 2.3; 95 % CI:1.3–4.3; P = 0.049) were significantly associated with uncontrolled blood pressure. ConclusionsThe target blood pressure achieved was suboptimal. Hypertensive T2DM patients who were younger, non-adherent to their medications, not reducing dietary salt, obese, with a longer frequency of follow-up, and with poor glycemic control were more likely to have uncontrolled blood pressure. Improving medication adherence, dietary salt reduction, frequent follow up and glycemic control are important to control hypertension.

Oral health in Behçet’s disease and its association with disease severity: a case-control study

Background: Behçet’s disease is a chronic autoimmune disorder that affects various organs, including oral aphthae, genital ulceration, cutaneous manifestation, ocular involvement, and positive pathergy test according to the International Study Group for Behçet’s Disease criteria. This study aimed to investigate the oral health condition of patients with Behçet’s disease and to assess how it correlates with the patient’s gender, clinical symptoms, and severity of the disease. Methods: A total of 92 participants, including 42 patients with Behçet’s disease and 50 healthy controls, were enrolled in this case-control study. The periodontal indices were measured and compared between the two groups. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify potential risk factors for disease severity. The P value must be (P&lt;0.05) to be considered as significant. Results: This study assessed the periodontal health of patients with Behçet’s disease and found that they had significantly higher plaque, gingival, bleeding, and probing depth scores compared to healthy controls (P&lt;0.05). Logistic regression analysis revealed that plaque accumulation was a significant risk factor for higher severity scores in Behçet’s disease. Gender-specific approaches may be necessary in the management and treatment of periodontal disease in Behçet’s disease patients. Conclusions: The findings of this study suggest that patients with Behçet’s disease are at increased risk for periodontal disease and its associated symptoms. Specifically, plaque accumulation is a significant risk factor for more severe periodontal health issues in these patients. Therefore, it is important for clinicians to be aware of this increased risk and to develop tailored treatment plans that address both the underlying Behçet’s disease and the associated periodontal disease.

Trends in weight gain recorded in English primary care before and during the Coronavirus-19 pandemic: An observational cohort study using the OpenSAFELY platform.

Obesity and rapid weight gain are established risk factors for noncommunicable diseases and have emerged as independent risk factors for severe disease following Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection. Restrictions imposed to reduce COVID-19 transmission resulted in profound societal changes that impacted many health behaviours, including physical activity and nutrition, associated with rate of weight gain. We investigated which clinical and sociodemographic characteristics were associated with rapid weight gain and the greatest acceleration in rate of weight gain during the pandemic among adults registered with an English National Health Service (NHS) general practitioner (GP) during the COVID-19 pandemic. With the approval of NHS England, we used the OpenSAFELY platform inside TPP to conduct an observational cohort study of routinely collected electronic healthcare records. We investigated changes in body mass index (BMI) values recorded in English primary care between March 2015 and March 2022. We extracted data on 17,742,365 adults aged 18 to 90 years old (50.1% female, 76.1% white British) registered with an English primary care practice. We estimated individual rates of weight gain before (δ-prepandemic) and during (δ-pandemic) the pandemic and identified individuals with rapid weight gain (>0.5 kg/m2/year) in each period. We also estimated the change in rate of weight gain between the prepandemic and pandemic period (δ-change = δ-pandemic-δ-prepandemic) and defined extreme accelerators as the 10% of individuals with the greatest increase in their rate of weight gain (δ-change ≥1.84 kg/m2/year) between these periods. We estimated associations with these outcomes using multivariable logistic regression adjusted for age, sex, index of multiple deprivation (IMD), and ethnicity. P-values were generated in regression models. The median BMI of our study population was 27.8 kg/m2, interquartile range (IQR) [24.3, 32.1] in 2019 (March 2019 to February 2020) and 28.0 kg/m2, IQR [24.4, 32.6] in 2021. Rapid pandemic weight gain was associated with sex, age, and IMD. Male sex (male versus female: adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 0.76, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) [0.76, 0.76], p < 0.001), older age (e.g., 50 to 59 years versus 18 to 29 years: aOR 0.60, 95% CI [0.60, 0.61], p < 0.001]); and living in less deprived areas (least-deprived-IMD-quintile versus most-deprived: aOR 0.77, 95% CI [0.77, 0.78] p < 0.001) reduced the odds of rapid weight gain. Compared to white British individuals, all other ethnicities had lower odds of rapid pandemic weight gain (e.g., Indian versus white British: aOR 0.69, 95% CI [0.68, 0.70], p < 0.001). Long-term conditions (LTCs) increased the odds, with mental health conditions having the greatest effect (e.g., depression (aOR 1.18, 95% CI [1.17, 1.18], p < 0.001)). Similar characteristics increased odds of extreme acceleration in the rate of weight gain between the prepandemic and pandemic periods. However, changes in healthcare activity during the pandemic may have introduced new bias to the data. We found female sex, younger age, deprivation, white British ethnicity, and mental health conditions were associated with rapid pandemic weight gain and extreme acceleration in rate of weight gain between the prepandemic and pandemic periods. Our findings highlight the need to incorporate sociodemographic, physical, and mental health characteristics when formulating research, policies, and interventions targeting BMI in the period of post pandemic service restoration and in future pandemic planning.

Associations between COVID-19 and Glucose-6-Phosphate Dehydrogenase Activity in Brazil.

Glucose-6 phosphate dehydrogenase deficiency (G6PDd) was suggested as a risk factor for severe disease in patients with COVID-19. We evaluated clinical outcomes and glucose-6 phosphate dehydrogenase (G6PD) activity during and after illness in patients with COVID-19. This prospective cohort study included adult participants (≥18 years old) who had clinical and/or radiological COVID-19 findings or positive reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction results. Epidemiological and clinical data were extracted from electronic medical records. Glucose-6 phosphate dehydrogenase activity was measured using SD Biosensor STANDARD G6PD® equipment on admission and 1 year after discharge. Samples were genotyped for the three most common single nucleotide polymorphisms for G6PDd in the Brazilian Amazon. Seven hundred fifty-three patients were included, of whom 123 (16.3%) were G6PD deficient. There was no difference between groups regarding the risks of hospitalization (P = 0.740) or invasive mechanical ventilation (P = 0.31), but the risk of death was greater in patients with normal G6PD levels (P = 0.022). Only 29 of 116 participants (25%) carried the African G6PDd genotype. Of 30 participants tested as G6PD deficient during disease, only 11 (36.7%) results agreed 1 year after discharge. In conclusion, this study does not demonstrate an association of G6PDd with severity of COVID-19. Limitations of the test for detecting enzyme levels during COVID-19 illness were demonstrated by genotyping and retesting after the disease period. Care must be taken when screening for G6PDd in patients with acute COVID-19.

Associations between BMI and hospital resource use in patients hospitalised for COVID-19 in England: a community-based cohort study

Excess weight is a major risk factor for severe disease after infection with SARS-CoV-2. However, the effect of BMI on COVID-19 hospital resource use has not been fully quantified. This study aimed to identify the association between BMI and hospital resource use for COVID-19 admissions with the intention of informing future national hospital resource allocation. In this community-based cohort study, we analysed patient-level data from 57 415 patients admitted to hospital in England with COVID-19 between April 1, 2020, and Dec 31, 2021. Patients who were aged 20-99 years, had been registered with a general practitioner (GP) surgery that contributed to the QResearch database for the whole preceding year (2019) with at least one BMI value measured before April 1, 2020, available in their GP record, and were admitted to hospital for COVID-19 were included. Outcomes of interest were duration of hospital stay, transfer to an intensive care unit (ICU), and duration of ICU stay. Costs of hospitalisation were estimated from these outcomes. Generalised linear and logit models were used to estimate associations between BMI and hospital resource use outcomes. Patients living with obesity (BMI >30·0 kg/m2) had longer hospital stays relative to patients in the reference BMI group (18·5-25·0 kg/m2; IRR 1·07, 95% CI 1·03-1·10); the reference group had a mean length of stay of 8·82 days (95% CI 8·62-9·01). Patients living with obesity were more likely to be admitted to ICU than the reference group (OR 2·02, 95% CI 1·86-2·19); the reference group had a mean probability of ICU admission of 5·9% (95% CI 5·5-6·3). No association was found between BMI and duration of ICU stay. The mean cost of COVID-19 hospitalisation was £19 877 (SD 17 918) in the reference BMI group. Hospital costs were estimated to be £2736 (95% CI 2224-3248) higher for patients living with obesity. Patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19 with a BMI above the healthy range had longer stays, were more likely to be admitted to ICU, and had higher health-care costs associated with hospital treatment of COVID-19 infection as a result. This information can inform national resource allocation to match hospital capacity to areas where BMI profiles indicate higher demand. National Institute for Health Research.

Clinical Characteristics of 427 Unvaccinated Chinese Adult Patients with Maintenance Hemodialysis Infected with the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron Variant: A Retrospective Study

Background: Maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) patients constitute a distinctive population characterized by unique traits, such as hemodialysis-related immune disturbances, and increased vulnerability to infections, heart failure, particularly severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Despite considerable research on MHD patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), there is limited information available on the clinical characteristics and outcomes of unvaccinated adult MHD patients infected with the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant. Methods: A retrospective investigation was conducted in a cohort of 427 unvaccinated MHD patients diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2 Omicron infection. The clinical symptoms, laboratory results, and treatment regimens were comprehensively examined. Multivariate regression identified independent risk factors for disease severity, and two-month follow-up assessments were conducted. Results: The cohort exhibited a spectrum of disease severity, with 37.5% classified as mild, 35.3% as common, 22.5% as severe, and 4.7% as critical. Serum C-reactive protein level, procalcitonin level, and bicarbonate concentration are related to the severity of the disease. Tailored treatment strategies—including nutritional support, hemodialysis management, anti-bacterial interventions, and more—were implemented. There was a 5.6% mortality rate, with a higher prevalence of deaths in the critical subtype. Independent risk factors for disease severity included fever, age, cycle threshold values (Ct values) of ORF1ab gene, and arterial oxygen partial pressure. Follow-up assessments revealed a median duration of 11 days for the negative nucleic acid of SARS-CoV-2. Twelve patients presented a second positive ORF1ab gene during follow-up but remained asymptomatic. Conclusion: These findings suggest the intricate clinical characteristics and outcomes of MHD patients with the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron infection. Tailored treatment strategies, continuous surveillance, and understanding prognostic factors are imperative for managing this high-risk population. Further research is warranted to validate these findings.

Correlations Between the Expression of MicroRNA-155 and Suppressor of Cytokine Signaling 1 in Colonic Mucosal Tissue and Disease Severity in Patients With Ulcerative Colitis

Objective To explore the relationship between the expression levels of microRNA-155 (miR-155) and suppressor of cytokine signaling 1 (SOCS1) in the colonic mucosal tissue of patients with ulcerative colitis (UC) and the severity of the disease.Methods A total of 130 UC patients admitted to the Second Affiliated Hospital of Hebei North University from September 2021 to June 2023 were selected.According to the modified Mayo score system,the patients were assigned into an active stage group (n=85) and a remission stage group (n=45).According to the modified Truelove and Witts classification criteria,the UC patients at the active stage were assigned into a mild group (n=35),a moderate group (n=30),and a severe group (n=20).A total of 90 healthy individuals who underwent colonoscopy for physical examination or those who had normal colonoscopy results after single polypectomy and excluded other diseases were selected as the control group.The colonic mucosal tissues of UC patients with obvious lesions and the colonic mucosal tissue 20 cm away from the anus of the control group were collected.The levels of miR-155 and SOCS1 mRNA in tissues were determined by fluorescence quantitative PCR,and the expression of SOCS1 protein in tissues was determined by immunohistochemistry.The correlations of the levels of miR-155 and SOCS1 mRNA in the colonic mucosal tissue with the modified Mayo score of UC patients were analyzed.The values of the levels of miR-155 and SOCS1 mRNA in predicting the occurrence of severe illness in the UC patients at the active stage were evaluated.Results Compared with the control group and the remission stage group,the active stage group showed up-regulated expression level of miR-155,down-regulated level of SOCS1 mRNA,and decreased positive rate of SOCS1 protein in the colonic mucosal tissue (all P<0.001).The expression level of miR-155 and modified Mayo score in colonic mucosal tissues of UC patients at the active stage increased,while the mRNA level of SOCS1 was down-regulated as the disease evolved from being mild to severe (all P<0.001).The modified Mayo score was positively correlated with the miR-155 level and negative correlated with the mRNA level of SOCS1 in colonic mucosal tissues of UC patients (all P<0.001).The high miR-155 level (OR=2.762,95%CI=1.284-5.944,P=0.009),low mRNA level of SOCS1 (OR=2.617,95%CI=1.302-5.258,P=0.007),and modified Mayo score≥12 points (OR=3.232,95%CI=1.450-7.204,P=0.004) were all risk factors for severe disease in the UC patients at the active stage.The area under curve of miR-155 combined with SOCS1 mRNA in predicting severe illness in the UC patients at the active stage was 0.920.Conclusions The expression levels of miR-155 and SOCS1 mRNA were correlated with the disease severity in the UC patients at the active stage.The combination of the two indicators demonstrates good performance in predicting the occurrence of severe illness in UC patients at the active stage.

Acute vision threatening thyroid orbitopathy associated with cataract surgery: A case series and review of the literature

Thyroid eye disease can be associated via cataract surgery with devastating visual consequences. A systematic review of the clinical records of patients with aggravation of their thyroid orbitopathy after eye surgery at a tertiary facility was performed. Patients who had worsening of their thyroid orbitopathy within the post-operative period of cataract surgery were included. Clinical findings were reviewed including clinical examination and imaging. A literature review was also performed. Two patients who underwent cataract surgery and presented with newly diagnosed and severe thyroid orbitopathy post-operatively were identified. Both patients were male, averaging 71 years of age. Both patients noticed symptoms of diplopia within one week after cataract surgery and had clinical and imaging findings consistent with severe thyroid orbitopathy. Both patients required urgent bilateral orbital decompression due to compressive optic neuropathy. Visual acuity was preserved in both patients. The average follow-up was 6 years. Males who have activation of TED after cataract surgery appear to have a higher risk of developing compressive optic neuropathy and require immediate intervention, which is consistent with male gender as a risk factor for severe disease. Patients with thyroid disease should be counselled pre-operatively about the risk of disease aggravation after cataract surgery.

Clinical characteristics of liver transplant recipients with COVID-19 and analysis of risk factors for the severe disease.

Liver transplant (LT) recipients were at a high risk of infection during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Our purpose was to compare the clinical characteristics of severe and non-severe groups of LT recipients with COVID-19, and to analyze their risk factors for severe disease. 79 LT recipients with COVID-19 were divided into a non-severe group (n = 60) and a severe group (n = 19), and differences in clinical characteristics, laboratory tests, and chest computed tomography (CT) performance were analyzed. Logistic regression was used to identify risk factors with severe COVID-19. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted and the area under curve (AUC) values were calculated to assess the predictive value for severe COVID-19. Age was statistically different (p < 0.001) between the two groups. The difference in neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), serum creatinine (Scr), D-dimer, urea, C-reactive protein (CRP), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and the number of lung segments involved in inflammation between the two groups were statistically significant (p < 0.05). The results revealed that age (OR = 1.255, 95% CI 1.079-1.460), NLR (OR = 1.172, 95% CI 1.019-1.348), and Scr (OR = 1.041, 95% CI 1.016-1.066) were independent risk factors for severe COVID-19. The ROC results showed that high values for age, NLR and Scr predicted severe COVID-19, with AUC values of 0.775, 0.841 and 0.820, respectively, and 0.925 for the three factors combined. Advanced age, and elevated NLR and Scr are independent risk factors for severe COVID-19 in LT recipients.

Clinical and Laboratory Profile, Management and Outcome of Pediatric SARS-CoV-2 Infection Admitted at the Philippine General Hospital.

The Philippines has recorded over 470,000 COVID-19 cases in children, with over 1,500 deaths during the same period. Although a Philippine online pediatric COVID-19 registry exists, this only relies on passive surveillance. This study determined the clinical and laboratory profile, risk factors for severe COVID-19, and mortality, management, and outcome of pediatric SARS-CoV-2 patients admitted at the Philippine General Hospital (PGH) from April 2020 to June 2022 to fill in knowledge gaps on the epidemiology of COVID-19 infection in children. This was a retrospective cohort study of pediatric COVID-19 cases admitted at the PGH, a designated COVID referral center during the study period. Demographic and clinical profile, risk factors, comorbidities, laboratory and radiologic findings, management, and outcomes across different disease severity states were gathered by chart review and the data were analyzed using STATA 17. There were 448 pediatric patients admitted and diagnosed with COVID-19 during the study period. Most patients belonged to the 1-5-year age group (25.9%), had no known exposure to a COVID-19 case (65.4%), were mild cases (37.3%%), and did not receive any dose of the COVID-19 vaccine (96.7%). The most common presenting symptoms across all disease categories were fever (44.4%), cough (28.6%), and shortness of breath (26.6%). Multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C) presented with fever (100%) and rash (53.9%). The risk factors for severe disease were the presence of a congenital anomaly lung disease, and elevated procalcitonin. Most patients with MIS-C were previously well with no comorbidities. Laboratory findings which were markedly elevated among severe and critical cases were ESR, CRP, D-dimer, LDH, and IL-6. Ferritin, procalcitonin (PCT) and IL-6 were elevated only in severe to critical COVID-19 cases and remained within normal for the other disease categories. As to treatment, asymptomatic, mild, and moderate cases were given supportive medications (zinc, vitamin D, and vitamin C), while investigational drugs particularly corticosteroids, IVIG, and remdesivir, were used in severe cases.Antibiotics were given to 71.7% of patients at the outset. As to the outcomes, 89% recovered, while 8.9% died. The case fatality rate from COVID-19 infection was at 2.2%. Admitted pediatric COVID-19 cases are generally mild but admission is due to underlying illness or comorbidities. Those with severe to critical cases have underlying comorbidities and had either progression or complications due to COVID disease. D-dimer, LDH, IL-6, ferritin and procalcitonin were elevated among severe and critical cases which can be utilized as inflammatory markers.