Certainly there is no more interesting topic from an industry economist's perspective than the evolution of the bargaining relationship between food manufacturers and retailers. This relationship is of crucial importanceit influences the relative profitability of food manufacturers and retailers, consumer prices, and thousands of jobs and millions of dollars in capital investment. Hamm and Grinnell do a good job of describing some of the recent developments in the food industry that influence the bargaining relationship between food manufacturers and retailers. Importantly, they forecast that bargaining power will shift more to food retailers in the coming years. This prediction is broader than, but similar to, that presented by Williams in a 1981 white paper prepared for the Office of Policy Planning of the Federal Trade Commission. In my comments I would like to do two things. First, although I do not necessarily disagree with the forecast made by Hamm and Grinnell, I do feel that there are other feasible scenarios which may evolve in the industry.1 These should be discussed to highlight the degree of uncertainty underlying the Hamm and Grinnell forecast. I will describe one alternative which I think has a nonzero probability of occurrence. My second objective is to identify areas of additional research needs in the context of food manufacturing and retailing bargaining relationships.
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