We defined sagittal S-line tilt (SSLT) as the tilt of the line connecting the upper instrumented vertebra and the lower instrumented vertebra. This study aimed to: (1) examine the correlation between SSLT and proximal junctional angle (PJA) change values, and (2) determine the cut-off value of SSLT with respect to proximal junctional kyphosis (PJK) occurrence. Eighty-six consecutive patients (81 female and 5 male; mean age: 15.8years) with Lenke 5C AIS who underwent posterior selective spinal fusion. Pearson's correlation coefficients were used to examine the relationship between preoperative SSLT and changes in PJA from preoperative to 2years postoperative. The impact of SSLT on PJK at 2years after surgery was assessed using a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. We observed a moderate positive correlation between preoperative SSLT and change in PJA (R = 0.541, P < 0.001). We identified 18 patients (21%) with PJK at 2years postoperative. Mean preoperative SSLT in the PJK group and the non-PJK group differed significantly at 23.3 ± 4.1° and 16.1 ± 5.0°, respectively (P < 0.001). The cut-off value of preoperative SSLT for PJK at 2years postoperative was 18° in ROC curve analysis, with a sensitivity of 94%, specificity of 68%, and area under the ROC curve of 0.868. In selective lumbar fusion for AIS Lenke type 5C curves, preoperative SSLT was significantly correlated with PJA change from preoperative to 2years postoperative. SSLT was a predictor of PJK occurrence, with a cut-off value of 18°.