Predictor Of In-hospital Cardiac Events Research Articles

Role of myocardial performance index as predictor of in-hospital cardiac events in patients with acute myocardial infarction

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Background. Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) remains the leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Left ventricular dysfunction is a common consequence of acute coronary events and has important prognostic implications. Myocardial performance index (MPI) is an echocardiographic parameter that represent both left ventricular systolic and diastolic function that might provide substantial information essential to guide management and prognosis after AMI. Purpose. This study aims to determine the role of MPI as predictor of in-hospital cardiac events after AMI. Method. Seventy-five patients admitted with AMI were included in this study. Standard echocardiography and MPI calculation were conducted within 24 hours of hospital admission. MPI was calculated as (isovolumetric contraction time + isovolumetric relaxation time)/ejection time. All patients were followed during hospital stay and in-hospital cardiac events were recorded as heart failure, cardiogenic shock and all caused mortality. Results. Mean MPI values were significantly higher in patients with cardiac events compared with patients without events (0.696 ± 0.564 vs 0.558 ± 0.575; p = 0.016). MPI demonstrates fair discrimination for in-hospital cardiac events (AUC 0.644 95% CI 0.482-0.806). Conclusion. MPI might have minor role as predictive parameters for in-hospital cardiac events after AMI.

Newly Diagnosed Diabetes and Stress Glycaemia and Its' Association with Acute Coronary Syndrome.

BACKGROUND:Diabetes is diagnosed in 10-20% of patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) not known to be diabetics. Elevated blood glucose is an independent risk factor for cardiac events, regardless of presence of diabetes.AIM:Evaluating the prevalence of new-diagnosed DM among patients with ACS, and assessing the relationship between stress glycaemia and new diagnosed DM with in-hospital cardiac events.METHODS:Prospective observational study, in patients with ACS, in whom we analyzed parameters of glycemic metabolism, clinical data, and in-hospital cardiac events. We comparatively analyzed patients according to the HgbA1C and known DM in five groups: non-DM (< 5.6%), new pre-DM (5.6-6.5%), new DM (≥ 6.5%), controlled (<7%) and uncontrolled (≥7%) known DM.RESULTS:150 patients, (93 male and 57 female) were included. Impaired glucose metabolism was detected in 44.5% of patients, 7.9% of whom were newly-diagnosed DM. The highest levels of stress glycaemia were found in new and uncontrolled known DM. The in-hospital event rate was 20.7%, the mortality rate 7.3%, being the highest in new diagnosed and uncontrolled known DM patients.CONCLUSIONS:The prevalence of unknown DM was high among patients with ACS. Stress glycaemia and failure to achieve glycemic controlee, were an independent predictors of in-hospital cardiac events.

Impact of increased admission lipid levels on periprocedural myocardial injury following an elective percutaneous coronary intervention.

Periprocedural myocardial injury (PMI) is known to be a predictor of in-hospital cardiac events and long-term adverse outcomes following a percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). We aimed to evaluate the correlation between preprocedural serum lipid levels and PMI in patients undergoing elective PCI. The final study group included 195 patients (60.1±0.7 years old, 68 women and 127 men). Serum high-sensitive troponin T (hscTnT) concentrations were measured immediately before PCI and 12 h after PCI. Serum total cholesterol (TC), low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (LDL-C), high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (HDL-C), and triglyceride (TG) levels were determined immediately before PCI. Serum hscTnT concentrations were adjusted for the clinical and procedural characteristics of the patients using the weighted least-square regression analysis. The average preprocedural hscTnT concentration was 8.1±0.2 ng/l. The average serum hscTnT concentration increased to 34.1±2.8 ng/l (P<0.001) 12 h after PCI. Postprocedural hscTnT concentrations were correlated positively to serum concentrations of TC (r=0.435; P<0.001), LDL-C (r=0.349; P<0.001), and TG (r=0.517; P<0.001). There was also a positive correlation (r=0.205; P<0.01) between postprocedural hscTnT and lesion length. Mild-moderate PMI (postprocedural hscTnT≥14 to <70 ng/l) and severe PMI (postprocedural hscTnT≥70 ng/l) were observed in 122 (48.7%) and 27 (13.9%) patients, respectively. The patients with severe PMI had higher serum TC (P<0.001), LDL-C (P<0.001), and TG (P<0.001) concentrations. The present study indicates that increased preprocedural TC, LDL-C, and TG serum levels are associated with PMI and its severity following elective PCI.

Prognostic Power of Pre- and Postoperative B-Type Natriuretic Peptide Levels in Patients Undergoing Abdominal Aortic Surgery

The first aim of the present study was to evaluate the pre- and postoperative B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels in patients undergoing surgery for repair of an infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) and analyze their power as a predictor of in-hospital cardiac events. The second aim was to evaluate the association among pre- and postoperative BNP levels, postoperative patient complications, and length of hospital stay. Prospective observational study. A university hospital. Forty-five patients undergoing elective surgery for an abdominal aortic aneurysm. The plasma BNP level was assessed just before surgery and then on postoperative day 1. Cardiac troponin I levels were measured postoperatively on arrival to the intensive care unit (time 0) and then 12, 48, and 72 hours later. The preoperative BNP concentration in patients who developed an acute myocardial infarction was 209 (IQR 84-346) pg/mL compared with 74 (IQR 28-142) pg/mL in those who did not. The difference between groups was statistically significant (p = 0.04). The Spearman correlation showed that postoperative BNP levels correlated significantly with preoperative BNP levels (r = 0.73, p = 0.0001), length of hospital stay (r = 0.35, p = 0.04), and troponin I concentration at 0 hour (r = 0.42, p = 0.02), 12 hours (r = 0.51, p = 0.0052), and 48 hours (r = 0.40, p = 0.033). In contrast, preoperative BNP levels correlated with troponin I at only 12 hours (r = 0.34, p = 0.02). Postoperative BNP levels were influenced significantly by transfusions (p = 0.035) and cross-clamping times (p = 0.038). The present results confirm the high negative predictive value of preoperative BNP levels; and postoperative BNP levels showed a better correlation with postoperative troponin levels, blood transfusion, and postoperative cardiac events.

GRACE Risk Score Predicts Contrast-Induced Nephropathy in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndrome and Normal Renal Function

We evaluated the incidence, clinical predictors, and outcomes of contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) after coronary angiography in patients with myocardial infarction and normal kidney function. We studied 202 consecutive patients with glomerular filtration rate >60 mL/min/1.73 m(2). The CIN was defined according to 3 definitions: increases in serum creatinine (sCr) ≥25%, ≥0.3 mg/dL, and ≥0.5 mg/dL. The CIN occurred in 56 (27.7%), 42 (20.8%), and 13 (6.4%) patients, respectively. In multivariate analysis, the presence of a high Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score (>140) was an independent predictor of CIN in its milder forms (≥25% and ≥0.3 mg/dL of rise in sCr). Increase in sCr ≥0.3 mg/dL was an independent predictor of bleeding. Increase in sCr ≥0.5 mg/dL was an independent predictor of in-hospital cardiac events (mortality, myocardial infraction [MI], and heart failure). As conclusion, the GRACE score is a useful tool to predict CIN in patients with MI and normal renal function.

High-Sensitivity C-Reactive Protein is a Predictor of In-Hospital Cardiac Events in Acute Myocardial Infarction Independently of GRACE Risk Score

High-sensitivity CRP (hsCRP) is being increasingly used as a marker for cardiac risk assessment and as a prognostic tool in acute coronary syndrome. We analyzed the relation between hsCRP values at admission and in-hospital outcomes in 98 consecutive patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) undergoing catheterization. Patients with cardiac events had more advanced Killip class, more proportion of depressed left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), higher Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score, and higher hsCRP levels. High-sensitivity CRP and GRACE risk score showed a significant positive correlation (r = .320, P = .002). In multivariate analysis, hsCRP resulted as a predictor of worse in-hospital outcomes independently of GRACE risk score (OR 1.122, CI95%:1.005-1.252, P = .040). The hsCRP value showing the maximum likelihood ratio for predicting cardiac events was 1.45 mg/dL. High levels of hsCRP were also associated with development of contrast-induced nephropathy but not with bleeding events.

B-type natriuretic peptide as a predictor of anterior wall location in patients with non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction

OBJECTIVE:Involvement of the left ventricular anterior wall in ST-elevation myocardial infarction has a worse prognosis compared with other regions. In non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction, noninvasive methods of locating the ischemic myocardial territory have been limited. The objective of this report is therefore to determine what factors are predictive of the anterior location of the ischemic myocardial territory.METHODS:This study included 170 patients with non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction. Clinical, echocardiographic, and laboratory characteristics, including B-type natriuretic peptide measured within 24 hours of hospitalization, and coronary angiographic features were analyzed.RESULTS:The mean age was 64.5 ± 12.3 years, and 112 of the patients were male (66%). The median follow-up was 23 months. The territory involved, as determined from the angiogram, was divided into anterior [n = 80 (47%)] regions and inferior and lateral [n = 90 (53%)] regions. Multivariate analysis showed that B-type natriuretic peptide was the only independent predictor of an anterior wall infarct [OR = 3.70 (95% CI: 1.61 – 8.53); P = 0.002] in non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction patients. Multivariate analysis also showed that B-type natriuretic peptide was an independent predictor of in-hospital cardiac events during index admission [OR = 5.05 (95% CI: 1.49 – 17.12); P = 0.009] and of cardiac events occurring during follow-up [HR = 1.79 (95% CI: 1.05 – 3.04); P = 0.032].CONCLUSIONS:B-type natriuretic peptide was the only factor independently associated with anterior wall involvement in non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction, and the peptide levels upon admission predicted in-hospital and subsequent cardiac events.

Usefulness of N-Terminal Pro–Brain Natriuretic Peptide to Predict Postoperative Cardiac Complications and Long-Term Mortality After Emergency Lower Limb Orthopedic Surgery

After emergency orthopedic-geriatric surgery, cardiac complications are an important cause of morbidity and mortality. The utility of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-pro-BNP) for the prediction of cardiac complications and mortality was evaluated. NT-pro-BNP was tested pre- and postoperatively in 89 patients >60 years of age. They were followed for 2 years for cardiac complications (defined as acute myocardial infarction, congestive cardiac failure, atrial fibrillation or major arrhythmia) or death. Receiver operating characteristic curves were constructed to determine the optimal discriminatory level for cardiac events and death using NT-pro-BNP. Twenty-three patients (25.8%) sustained an in-hospital postoperative cardiac complication. Total all-cause mortality was 3 of 89 (3.4%) in hospital, 21 of 89 (23.6%) at 1 year, and 27 of 89 (30.3%) at 2 years. Median preoperative and postoperative NT-pro-BNP levels were higher in patients who had an in-hospital cardiac event compared to those without (387 vs 1,969 pg/ml, p <0.001; and 676 vs 7,052 pg/ml, p <0.001 respectively). The optimal discriminatory level for preoperative NT-pro-BNP was 842 pg/ml and that for postoperative NT-pro-BNP was 1,401 pg/ml for the prediction of in-hospital cardiac events and 1- and 2-year mortality. Preoperative NT-pro-BNP >/=842 pg/ml (odds ratio 11.6, 95% confidence interval 2.1 to 65.0, p = 0.005) was an independent predictor of in-hospital cardiac complications using multivariate analysis and pre- and postoperative NT-pro-BNP levels were independent predictors of 2-year cardiovascular events. Patients who had preoperative NT-pro-BNP >/=842 pg/ml or postoperative NT-pro-BNP >/=1,401 pg/ml had significantly worse survival using log-rank testing (p <0.001) and these variables independently predicted 2-year mortality. In conclusion, increase pre- and postoperative NT-pro-BNP levels are independent predictors of in-hospital cardiac events and 1- and 2-year mortality in older patients undergoing emergency orthopedic surgery.

Increased Body Temperature After Reperfused Acute Myocardial Infarction Is Associated With Adverse Left Ventricular Remodeling

Fever is frequently observed in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI); however, its prognostic significance remains to be determined. We sought to determine the prognostic significance of increased body temperature (BT) after AMI. We examined 156 consecutive patients with reperfused first anterior AMI. Axillary BT was serially measured every 6 hours for a week. Patients were divided into quartiles by peak BT from the lowest to highest levels. Peak BT within the first week showed a significant positive correlation with peak C-reactive protein level (P < .0001), but not with peak creatine kinase level. There were positive correlations of peak BT with the incidence of pump failure (P = .022), left ventricular (LV) aneurysm (P = .029), and readmission for heart failure (P = .006). Higher peak BT was associated with greater LV end-diastolic volume (P = .031), greater end-systolic volume (P = .008), and lower LV ejection fraction (P = .014) 2 weeks after AMI. Multiple logistic regression analyses revealed that peak BT quartile was an independent predictor of in-hospital cardiac events (odds ratio = 1.61/quartile, P = .008). Furthermore, peak BT quartile was a significant predictor of readmission for heart failure by Cox proportional hazard model analysis (P = .048). Increased BT after AMI was associated with a worse clinical outcome and infarct expansion, suggesting a relationship between systemic inflammatory response and LV remodeling.

Comparison of Usefulness of Left Ventricular Diastolic Versus Systolic Function as a Predictor of Outcome Following Primary Percutaneous Coronary Angioplasty for Acute Myocardial Infarction

Left ventricular (LV) diastolic function is an important predictor of morbidity and mortality after acute myocardial infarction (AMI). We evaluated the role of diastolic function in predicting in-hospital events and LV ejection fraction (EF) 6 months after a first AMI that was treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). We prospectively enrolled 59 consecutive patients who were 60 +/- 15 years of age (48 men), presented at our institution with their first AMI, and were treated with primary PCI. Patients underwent 2-dimensional and Doppler echocardiography, including tissue Doppler imaging of 6 basal mitral annular regions within 24 hours after primary PCI and were followed until discharge. Clinical and echocardiographic variables at index AMI were compared with a combined end point of cardiac death, ventricular tachycardia, congestive heart failure, or emergency in-hospital surgical revascularization. Follow-up echocardiographic assessment was performed at 6 months in 24 patients. During hospitalization, 3 patients died, 7 developed congestive heart failure, 4 had ventricular tachycardia, and 1 required emergency surgical revascularization. Stepwise logistic regression analysis showed the ratio of early mitral inflow diastolic filling wave (E) to peak early diastolic velocity of non-infarct-related mitral annulus (p < 0.01) (E') and mitral inflow E-wave deceleration time (p < 0.02) to be independent predictors of in-hospital cardiac events (generalized R2 = 0.66). In a stepwise multiple linear regression model, independent predictors of follow-up LVEF were mitral inflow deceleration time (R2 = 0.39, p = 0.002), baseline LVEF (R2 = 0.54, p < 0.02), and mitral inflow peak early velocity/mitral annular peak early velocity (or E/E') of infarct annulus (R2 = 0.66, p = 0.02). In conclusion, in patients who are treated with primary PCI for a first AMI, E/E' velocity ratio and mitral inflow E-wave deceleration time are strong predictors of in-hospital cardiac events and of LVEF at 6-month follow-up.

Myocardial global performance index as a predictor of in-hospital cardiac events in patients with first myocardial infarction

Objective We sought to assess the ability of a Doppler index of global myocardial performance (MPI), measured at entry, to predict inhospital cardiac events in a series of patients with first acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Methods A complete 2-dimensional and Doppler echocardiographic examination was performed within 24 hours of arrival at the coronary care department in 96 patients (81 men and 15 women; mean age 58 ± 9 years) with first AMI. Patients were divided a posteriori into 2 groups according to their inhospital course: group 1 comprised 75 patients with an uneventful course and group 2 comprised 21 patients with a complicated inhospital course (death, heart failure, arrhythmias, or post-AMI angina). Results There were no significant differences between the 2 groups with regard to history of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, hypercholesterolemia, site and size of infarction, and conventional parameters of diastolic function. However, patients with complications were significantly older (63 ± 10 vs 55 ± 8 years, P = .005) and had higher wall-motion score index and left ventricular end-systolic volume compared with patients without events (1.84 ± 0.27 vs 1.52 ± 0.30, P = .001; and 66 ± 29 vs 47 ± 21 mL, P = .009, respectively), whereas the ejection fraction was reduced (40 ± 10% vs 52 ± 10%, P = .0001). The mean value of the MPI was significantly higher in patients with cardiac events than in those without events (0.65 ± 0.20 vs 0.43 ± 0.16, P = .0001). A MPI ≥ 0.47 showed a sensitivity of 90% and specificity of 68% for identifying patients with events, on the basis of the receiver operator curve. In a multivariable model, the MPI at admission remained independently predictive of inhospital cardiac events (odds ratio 15.6, 95% confidence interval 2.4-99, P = .003). Conclusion These data suggest that in the acute phase of AMI, the MPI measured at entry may be useful to predict which patients are at high risk for inhospital cardiac events.

Prognostic significance of early ischemia after acute myocardial infarction in low-risk patients

Early postinfarction angina is generally believed to imply an unfavorable prognosis. However, most of the published information derives from data collected in the prethrombolytic era, with widely differing populations and definitions of early angina, and very little data pertinent to low-risk patients are available. This collaborative study prospectively assessed the incidence of early recurrent ischemia after thrombolysis, as well as its prognostic significance, in 453 consecutive patients aged ≤70 years with an uncomplicated course in the first 24 hours of a first myocardial infarction participating in the second Gruppo Italiano per lo Studio della Sopravvivenza nell'Infarto Miocardico (GISSI-2) trial. Early recurrent ischemia (spontaneous, transient ST depression or elevation of > 1 mm and/or T-wave inversion), assessed in the coronary care unit with continuous clinical and electrocardiographic monitoring, was documented in 35 of 453 patients (8%) and was unrelated to sex, age, electrocardiographic location, Q-wave or non-Q-wave infarction, thrombolytic agent and time to its administration, In-hospital cardiac events (7 deaths, 19 nonfatal reinfarctions and 8 urgent revascularizations) occurred in 15 of 35 patients (43%) with versus 19 of 418 without (4.5%) recurrent ischemia (p < 0.001). At the 6-month follow-up of 352 medically treated patients who did not have in-hospital events, the incidence of death, reinfarction and recurrent angina was comparable between patients with (2 of 18, 11%) and without (62 of 334, 19%) early ischemia (p = NS). With use of stepwise multivariate analysis, early ischemia was the only significant predictor of inhospital cardiac events (p < 0.01). By Mantel-Cox analysis, early ischemia turned out to be significantly associated with subsequent reinfarction (p < 0.0001) and total cardiac events (p < 0.0001). These results show that in patients aged ≤70 years with a first infarction, receiving thrombolytic therapy, the presence of early recurrent ischemia identified a subgroup with an unfavorable inhospital course. This readily available clinical marker could identify patients who may require a more aggressive therapeutic approach. Patients without early ischemia have a good in-hospital prognosis; therefore other early sophisticated stratification should not be routinely recommended.