Predictors Of Clinical Remission Research Articles

Approach to loss of response to advanced therapies in inflammatory bowel disease.

Remarkable progress over the last decade has equipped clinicians with many options in the treatment of inflammatory bowel disease. Clinicians now have the unique opportunity to provide individualized treatment that can achieve and sustain remission in many patients. However, issues of primary non-response (PNR) and secondary loss of response (SLOR) to non-tumour necrosis factor inhibitor (TNFi) therapies remains a common problem. Specific issues include the choice of optimization of therapy, identifying when dose optimization will recapture response, establishing optimal dose for escalation and when to switch therapy. To explores the issues of PNR and SLOR to non-TNFi therapies. This review explores the current evidence and literature to elucidate management options in cases of PNR/SLOR. It will also explore potential predictors for response following SLOR/PNR to therapies including the role of therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM). In the setting of PNR and loss of response to alpha-beta7-integrin inhibitors and interleukin (IL)-12 and IL-23 inhibitors dose optimization is a reasonable option to capture response. For Janus kinase inhibitors dose optimization can be utilized to recapture response with loss of response. The role of TDM in the setting of advanced non-TNFi therapies to identify patients who require dose optimization and as a predictor for clinical remission is not yet established and this remains an area that should be addressed in the future.

Therapeutic Drug Monitoring as a Tool for the Clinical Outcome Prediction in Vedolizumab-Treated Patients: An Italian Pilot Study.

Over the years, vedolizumab (VDZ) has emerged as a more effective target therapy for inflammatory bowel disease. The aim of this work was to analyze a cohort of inflammatory bowel disease patients, evaluating the association between VDZ serum concentrations at 6 months from starting therapy and their clinical and biochemical indexes within one year of treatment, correlating drug levels with response and clinical remission. Forty patients treated with VDZ were enrolled. Drug concentrations were quantified through ELISA methods. VDZ levels correlated with hemoglobin levels at twelve months of therapy (p = 0.03) and with clinical remission at twelve months of therapy (p = 0.03); patients who reached clinical remission showed higher VDZ concentrations. A VDZ cut-off value of 43.1 μg/mL was suggested, predicting clinical remission at twelve months of therapy. A statistically significant association between VDZ levels at T6 and calprotectin <250 μg/g at T12 was found (p = 0.04). Furthermore, the optimal threshold value of VDZ levels at T6 associated with calprotectin <250 μg/g at T12 was identified: through levels higher than 45.2 µg/mL, we were able to predict remission one year after therapy. In the final regression multivariate model, no factor was retained as a predictor of clinical remission at one year of treatment. In conclusion, this is the first pilot study reporting a possible VDZ serum cut-off value able to predict not only the clinical remission at twelve months of therapy but also the calprotectin level, which is very important, as it is a surrogate marker of mucosal healing.

Effect of Azithromycin on Asthma Remission in Adults With Persistent Uncontrolled Asthma: A Secondary Analysis of a Randomized, Double-Anonymized, Placebo-Controlled Trial

BackgroundAsthma remission is a potential treatment goal. Research questionDoes adding azithromycin to standard therapy in patients with persistent uncontrolled asthma induce remission compared to placebo? Study Design and MethodsThis secondary analysis used data from the AMAZES clinical trial – a double-blind placebo-controlled trial that evaluated the safety and efficacy of azithromycin on asthma exacerbations. The primary remission definition (referred to as clinical remission) was zero exacerbations and zero oral corticosteroids (OCS) during the previous six months evaluated at 12 months and Asthma Control Questionnaire (ACQ-5) ≤1 at 12 months. Secondary remission definitions included clinical remission plus lung function criteria (post-bronchodilator FEV1≥80% or post-bronchodilator FEV1≤5% decline from baseline) and complete remission (sputum eosinophils<3% plus the above criteria). Sensitivity analyses explored the robustness of primary and secondary remission definitions. The predictors of clinical remission were identified. Results335 participants (41.5% male; median [Q1, Q3] age 61.01 [51.03, 68.73] years) who completed the 12-month treatment period were included in the analysis. Twelve months treatment with azithromycin induced asthma remission in a subgroup of patients, and a significantly higher proportion in the azithromycin arm achieved both clinical remission (50.6% vs 38.9%; p=0.032) and clinical remission plus lung function criteria (50.8% vs 37.1%; p=0.029) compared with placebo. In addition, a higher proportion of the azithromycin group achieved complete remission (23% vs 13.7%; p=0.058). Sensitivity analyses supported these findings. Baseline factors such as better asthma-related quality of life and absence of OCS burst in the previous year predicted the odds of achieving clinical remission. Azithromycin induced remission in both eosinophilic and noneosinophilic asthma. InterpretationAdults with persistent symptomatic asthma achieved a higher remission rate when treated with azithromycin. Remission on treatment may be an achievable treatment target in moderate/severe asthma, and future studies should consider remission as an outcome measure.

P276 Predictive value of changes in 3D volumetry in perianal fistulas in patients with Crohn’s disease under biologic therapy. A pilot study

Abstract Background Changes in the 3D volumetry of perianal fistulas measured by magnetic resonance (MR) could be an imaging biomarker of interest. The objective of the study is to determine the value of volumetric changes in perianal fistulas in patients with Crohn's disease (CD) after biological treatment to predict subsequent clinical outcomes. Methods Retrospective single-center pilot study. We have included CD patients with perianal fistulas who started biological therapy between 2012-2020 and have 1) both pre- and post-treatment (3-18 months) pelvic MR and 2) follow-up after post-treatment MR of at least 2 to 5 years. According to the last visit, patients were categorized as clinically active (perianal discharge) or in remission (absence of draining). Using an specific software (vEUA, Motilent, London), we calculated the 3D volumetry of the fistulas, the active component (hypersignal on T2) and the fibrotic component (hyposignal on T2). We compared MR volumetric changes between both pre and post treatment MRs and calculated the value of MR volumetric changes in predicting clinical remission using a multivariate stepwise logistic regression analysis. Results Among the 24 patients included, 13 were in perianal clinical remission in the last follow-up. The percentage (%) of volumetric changes in the active component was significantly higher in patients achieving perianal clinical remission compared to non-responder patients (82.5% vs 38.7%, p=0.007). The % of change of the fibrotic component was also significantly higher in patients achieving perianal remission (120% vs 34%, p=0.03). The % of change of the active component was identified as predictor of clinical remission (OR 1.06 [1.02-1.11] P=0.008). A reduction of ≥16% of the active MR component has a sensitivity of 85% and specificity of 82% to predict clinical perianal remission on the long-term. Conclusion Changes in the 3D volumetry on MR of perianal fistulas have value in predicting clinical response. The decrease in the active component could be therefore a good biomarker to define therapeutic targets in fistulizing perianal CD.

Prediabetes remission after bariatric surgery: a 4-years follow-up study

BackgroundBariatric surgery leads to weight loss and to cardiometabolic risk improvement. Although prediabetes remission after bariatric surgery is biologically plausible, data on this topic is scarce. We aimed to assess prediabetes remission rate and clinical predictors of remission in a 4 year follow up period.MethodsObservational longitudinal study including patients with obesity and prediabetes who had undergone bariatric surgery in our centre. Prediabetes was defined as having a baseline glycated haemoglobin (A1c) between 5.7% and 6.4% and absence of anti-diabetic drug treatment. We used logistic regression models to evaluate the association between the predictors and prediabetes remission rate.ResultsA total of 669 patients were included, 84% being female. The population had a mean age of 45.4 ± 10.1 years-old, body mass index of 43.8 ± 5.7 kg/m2, and median A1c of 5.9 [5.8, 6.1]%. After bariatric surgery, prediabetes remission rate was 82%, 73%, 66%, and 58%, respectively in the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and 4th years of follow-up. Gastric sleeve (GS) surgery was associated with higher prediabetes remission rate than Roux-en-Y gastric bypass surgery in the 3rd year of follow-up. Men had a higher remission rate than women, in the 1st and 3nd years of follow-up in the unadjusted analysis. Younger patients presented a higher remission rate comparing to older patients in the 3rd year of follow-up.ConclusionWe showed a high prediabetes remission rate after bariatric surgery. The remission rate decreases over the follow-up period, although most of the patients maintain the normoglycemia. Prediabetes remission seems to be more significant in patients who had undergone GS, in male and in younger patients.

Pretreatment asthma control test score as a predictive score for clinical remission after bronchial thermoplasty in younger patients with severe asthma and preserved lung function

Objective Bronchial thermoplasty (BT) decreases the incidence of asthma exacerbations, emergency room visits, and hospitalizations among patients with severe asthma. Predictors of BT effectiveness remain unclear as its mechanism of action and invasiveness remain obscure. This study aimed to identify factors that could predict BT outcomes. Methods Two respiratory physicians treated 20 consecutive patients with severe asthma using BT. The patients were assigned to groups based on clinical remission following an expert consensus proposed in 2020. Predictors of clinical remission were analyzed using asthma control test (ACT) score, pulmonary function and blood tests, and fractional exhaled nitric oxide. Results At baseline, the median age was 44 years (interquartile range [IQR], 31.0–52.8), and pre-bronchodilator (pre-BD) percent predicted forced expiratory volume in one second (%FEV1) was 85.9% (IQR, 74.8–100.5). Six (30%) patients achieved clinical remission. Among the patients treated with biologics, 20% had clinical remission, and 20% discontinued biologic therapy. The pre-BT ACT score was significantly lower in the group with than without remission (11.0 [IQR, 8.0–14.5] vs. 15.0 [IQR, 11.0–17.3], p = .016). Adverse events did not significantly differ between the groups. Conclusions To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to use clinical remission as a criterion for evaluating BT efficacy. The pre-BT ACT score might a the predict response to BT in younger adult patients with severe asthma and pre-BD %FEV1 ≥ 70%.

Thiopurines Maintenance Therapy in Children With Ulcerative Colitis: A Multicenter Retrospective Study.

Thiopurines are an established treatment for pediatric ulcerative colitis (UC). However, data regarding safety and efficacy are lacking. We aimed to determine short and long-term outcome following thiopurines use in children with UC. We conducted a retrospective review of children (2-18 years) with UC treated with thiopurines between January 2008 and January 2019 at 7 medical centers in Israel. The primary outcome was corticosteroid (CS)-free clinical remission at week 52 following thiopurines initiation without the need for rescue therapy (infliximab, calcineurin inhibitors, or colectomy). A total of 133 children were included [median age at diagnosis of 12.4 (interquartile range 11.0-15.8) years, 30 (23%) left-sided colitis, 113 (85%) with moderate or severe disease at diagnosis]. At diagnosis 58 patients (44%) were treated with 5-aminosalicylates and 72 (54%) with CS. Sixty patients (45%) received thiopurines as 1st line maintenance therapy. Seventy-four patients (56%) had CS-free clinical remission at week 52 without rescue therapy. Predictors of clinical remission were not identified. In a sub-analysis among patients with steroid-responsive moderate to severe UC, 59 (55%) patients achieved this outcome. The likelihood of remaining free of rescue therapy among thiopurines-treated patients was 83%, 62%, 45%, and 37% at 1, 2, 3, and 4 years, respectively. More than half of children with UC starting thiopurines without previous or concomitant biologic therapy have CS-free clinical remission at 52 weeks later without the need for rescue therapy. Thiopurines are effective in pediatric UC and could be considered prior to biologics.

Serum 14-3-3η as predictor of clinical remission and progression of structural damage in early rheumatoid arthritis following a treat-to-target strategy in a randomized controlled trial

Objective 14-3-3η is a proinflammatory mediator critical to joint destruction in rheumatoid arthritis (RA). We aimed to evaluate serum 14-3-3η for predicting disease activity and radiographic progression in patients with early RA in the double-blinded, randomized OPERA trial. Method 180 patients with early RA were randomized to receive methotrexate (MTX) + adalimumab or MTX + placebo in combination with glucocorticoid injections into swollen joints. Disease activity was measured using the 28-joint Disease Activity Score–C-reactive protein (DAS28-CRP). Clinical remission was defined as DAS28-CRP < 2.6. X-rays of hands and feet were evaluated by the Total Sharp van der Heijde score (TSS). Radiographic progression was defined as exceeding the smallest detectable change (1.8 TSS-units). Serum 14-3-3η was determined by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Multivariate logistic regression models were used to identify predictors of DAS28-CRP remission at 6 months and radiographic progression at 12 months. Results Baseline 14-3-3η was a borderline significant independent predictor of radiographic progression at 12 months (odds radio = 1.02, 95% confidence interval 1.00–1.03, p = 0.05). In anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibody (ACPA)-negative patients, a moderate/high baseline 14-3-3η concentration increased the risk of radiographic progression at 12 months [4/51 (8%) vs 3/9 (33%), χ2 = 4.823, p = 0.028]. No value of 14-3-3η for predicting achievement of clinical remission was found. Conclusion Serum 14-3-3η was a borderline significant predictor of radiographic progression, particularly in ACPA-negative patients, but not of predicting achievement of clinical remission. Optimal cut-off levels of 14-3-3η for predicting radiographic progression in RA need further clarification.

Prognostic value of contralateral suppression for remission after surgery in patients with primary aldosteronism.

Primary aldosteronism (PA) is the most common cause of endocrine hypertensionand adrenalectomy is the firstline treatment for unilateral PA. Suppression of aldosterone secretion of the nondominant adrenal gland at adrenal venous sampling (AVS), that is, contralateral suppression (CLS)has been suggested as a marker of disease severity. However, whether factors such as CLS, age, genderor comorbidities are associated with remission after surgery is controversial. The objective of this study is to investigate the prognostic value of CLS, age, gender, aldosterone-to-renin ratio, antihypertensives and comorbidities for clinical and biochemical remission following unilateral adrenalectomy in patients with PA. A retrospective study of patients with PA referred for AVS at Rigshospitalet from May 2011 to September 2020, who subsequently underwent adrenalectomy. Clinical remission was defined according to the PA surgical outcome criteria, whereascomplete biochemical remission was defined as normalization of hypokalaemia without potassium substitution. Eighty-four patients were available for analysis of primary outcome. Among patients with CLS, 28/58 (48.3%) obtained complete clinical remission after surgery compared with 10/26 (38.5%) without CLS (p = .40). Complete biochemical remission was obtained in 55/58 (94.8%) of patients with CLS compared with 25/28 (89.3%) without CLS (p = .44). Female gender and lower number of antihypertensives at baseline were associated with higher odds for complete clinical remission, whereasnone of the investigated variables were associated with biochemical remission. CLS was not significantly associated with complete clinical or biochemical remission in this cohort. Our results confirmed that female gender and lower number of antihypertensives were predictors of clinical remission.

Urinary coenzyme Q10 as a diagnostic biomarker and predictor of remission in a patient with ADCK4-associated Glomerulopathy: a case report

BackgroundAarF domain-containing kinase 4 (ADCK4)-associated glomerulopathy is a mitochondrial nephropathy caused by mutations in the ADCK4 gene, which disrupt coenzyme Q10 biosynthesis.Case presentationWe report the case of a 25-year-old female patient with ADCK4-associated glomerulopathy presenting with proteinuria (and with no additional systemic symptoms). A known missense substitution c.737G > A (p.S246N) and a novel frameshift c.577-600del (p.193-200del) mutation were found. We followed the patient for 24 months during supplementation with coenzyme Q10 (20 mg/kg/d – 30 mg/kg/d) and describe the clinical course. In addition, we measured serum and urine coenzyme Q10 levels before and after coenzyme Q10 supplementation and compared them with those of healthy control subjects. The patient’s urinary coenzyme Q10 to creatinine ratio was higher than that of healthy controls before coenzyme Q10 supplementation, but decreased consistently with proteinuria after coenzyme Q10 supplementation.ConclusionsAlthough the use of urinary coenzyme Q10 as a diagnostic biomarker and predictor of clinical remission in patients with ADCK4-associated glomerulopathy should be confirmed by larger studies, we recommend measuring urinary coenzyme Q10 in patients with isolated proteinuria of unknown cause, since it may provide a diagnostic clue to mitochondrial nephropathy.

Long-term outcomes in patients with polyarticular juvenile idiopathic arthritis receiving adalimumab with or without methotrexate

ObjectivesLong-term safety and efficacy of adalimumab among patients with juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) was evaluated through 6 years of treatment.MethodsChildren aged 4–17 years with polyarticular JIA were enrolled in a...

Normalization of long-term quality of life in Crohn's disease patients receiving ustekinumab.

ustekinumab is a fully human monoclonal antibody against IL-12/23, approved for induction and maintenance treatment of Crohn's disease (CD). Real-life data shows its true effectiveness in terms of clinical and endoscopic response. However, there is little information regarding health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in CD patients receiving ustekinumab. The main aim of this study was to define long-term clinical remission and HRQoL normalization. The clinical predictive factors of clinical remission were investigated as a secondary aim. a retrospective, observational study was performed in CD patients under ustekinumab treatment in the Hospital Vall d'Hebron, between January 2009 and January 2019. Clinical remission was defined using the Crohn's Disease Activity Index (CDAI) and HRQoL normalization was defined by the 36-item Inflammatory Bowel Disease Questionnaire (IBDQ). thirty-three patients were included. The average disease evolution was eleven years (standard deviation [SD]: 8), perianal disease was present in 13 patients (39 %), 30 patients (91 %) had previously been treated with alfa tumor necrosis factor antagonists (anti-TNF) agents and 22 patients (67 %) had a history of intestinal resection. Twenty-four patients (73 %) had undergone one year of treatment. Seventeen patients (51 %) reached clinical remission and six (18 %) restored the HRQoL. No predictors of clinical remission were identified. ustekinumab shows clinical effectiveness in real-life conditions similar to previous data. Normalization of HRQoL is low compared to clinical remission, which may be due to the inaccuracy of the indicator and the severe disease course. Such normalization is a challenge for physicians dealing with inflammatory bowel diseases.

Correction to: Clinical predictors of remission and low disease activity in Latin American early rheumatoid arthritis: data from the GLADAR cohort.

The original version of this article, unfortunately, contained an error. The first and family name of Loreto Massardo was interchanged and is now presented correctly in this article.

Impact of prior treatment on remission with intermittent theta burst versus high-frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation in treatment resistant depression

BackgroundMultiple prior treatment failures are associated with reduced rates of remission to subsequent antidepressant treatment, including rTMS. The degree of treatment resistance that is especially predictive of inferior outcome is uncertain. Intermittent theta burst stimulation (iTBS) is a newer form of rTMS where less is known regarding clinical predictors of remission. The THREE-D study demonstrated that iTBS is non-inferior to 10 Hz rTMS for the treatment of depression. ObjectiveDetermine if the number and type of prior pharmacotherapy trials affect the rate of remission with two types of rTMS. MethodCompare remission rates based on prior pharmacotherapy using data from the THREE-D trial (NCT01887782). ResultsNo differences in remission rates were noted between the three levels of treatment resistance, however, participants with 3 compared to <3 treatment failures had lower rates of remission: 17.3% versus 29.4% (χ2 4.87; df = 1; p = 0.03). ConclusionsThree or more treatment failures may be associated with lower remission rates with rTMS.

Real-world short-term effectiveness of ustekinumab in 305 patients with Crohn's disease: results from the ENEIDA registry.

There are limited data of ustekinumab administered according to the doses recommended in the UNITI studies. To assess the real-world, short-term effectiveness of ustekinumab in refractory Crohn's disease (CD) METHODS: Multicentre study of CD patients starting ustekinumab after June 2017 at the recommend dose (260, 390 or 520mg based on weight ~6mg/kg IV week 0 and 90mg subcutaneously week 8). Values for Harvey-Bradshaw Index (HBI), C-reactive protein (CRP) and faecal calprotectin (FC) were recorded at baseline and at weeks 8 and 14. Demographic and clinical data, previous treatments, AEs and hospitalisations were documented. Possible predictors of clinical remission were examined. Three hundred and five patients were analysed (≥2 previous anti-TNFα therapies 64% and vedolizumab 29%). At baseline, 217 (72%) had an HBI >4 points. Of these, 101 (47%) and 126 (58%) achieved clinical remission at weeks 8 and 14, respectively. FC levels returned to normal (<250µg/g) in 46% and 54% of the patients at weeks 8 and 14 respectively. CRP returned to normal (<3mg/L) in the 35% and 41% of the patients at week 8 and 14 respectively. AEs were recorded in 38, and 40 patients were hospitalised. Intolerance to the most recent anti-TNF agent and fewer previous anti-TNF agents were associated with clinical remission at week 14. Endoscopic severity was associated with poor response. This is the first study to show the real-world effectiveness and safety of ustekinumab administered according to the recommended induction regimen in a cohort of highly refractory CD patients.

Clinical predictors of remission and low disease activity in Latin American early rheumatoid arthritis: data from the GLADAR cohort.

To identify baseline predictors of remission and low disease activity (LDA) in early rheumatoid arthritis (RA) from the GLADAR (Grupo Latino Americano De estudio de la Artritis Reumatoide) cohort. Patients with 1- and 2-year follow-up visits were included. Remission and LDA were defined by DAS28-ESR (< 2.6 and ≤ 3.2, respectively). Baseline predictors examined were gender, ethnicity, age at diagnosis, socioeconomic status, symptoms' duration, DMARDs, RF, thrombocytosis, anemia, morning stiffness, DAS28-ESR (and its components), HAQ-DI, DMARDs and corticosteroid use, and Sharp-VDH score. Multivariable binary logistic regression models (excluding DAS28-ESR components to avoid over adjustment) were derived using a backward selection method (α-level set at 0.05). Four hundred ninety-eight patients were included. Remission and LDA/remission were met by 19.3% and 32.5% at the 1-year visit, respectively. For the 280 patients followed for 2years, these outcomes were met by 24.3% and 38.9%, respectively. Predictors of remission at 1year were a lower DAS28-ESR (OR 1.17; CI 1.07-1.27; p = 0.001) and HAQ-DI (OR 1.48; CI 1.04-2.10; p = 0.028). At 2years, only DAS28-ESR (OR 1.40; CI 1.17-1.6; p < 0.001) was a predictor. Predictors of LDA/remission at 1year were DAS28-ESR (OR 1.42; CI 1.26-1.61; p < 0.001), non-use of corticosteroid (OR 1.74; CI 1.11-2.44; p = 0.008), and male gender (OR 1.77; CI 1.2-2.63; p = 0.036). A lower baseline DAS28-ESR (OR 1.45; CI 1.23-1.70; p < 0.001) was the only predictor of LDA/remission at 2years. A lower disease activity consistently predicted remission and LDA/remission at 1 and 2years of follow-up in early RA patients from the GLADAR cohort. Key Points • In patients with early RA, a lower disease activity at first visit is a strong clinical predictor of achieving remission and LDA subsequently. • Other clinical predictors of remission and LDA to keep in mind in these patients are male gender, non-use of corticosteroids and low disability at baseline. • Not using corticosteroids at first visit is associated with a lower disease activity and predicts LDA/remission at 1year in these patients.

The PRINTO evidence-based proposal for glucocorticoids tapering/discontinuation in new onset juvenile dermatomyositis patients

BackgroundPrednisone (PDN) in juvenile dermatomyositis (JDM), alone or in association with other immunosuppressive drugs, namely methotrexate (MTX) and cyclosporine (CSA), represents the first-line treatment option for new onset JDM patients. No clear evidence based guidelines are actually available to standardize the tapering and discontinuation of glucocorticoids (GC) in JDM. Aim of our study was to provide an evidence-based proposal for GC tapering/discontinuation in new onset juvenile dermatomyositis (JDM), and to identify predictors of clinical remission and GC discontinuation.MethodsNew onset JDM children were randomized to receive either PDN alone or in combination with methotrexate (MTX) or cyclosporine (CSA). In order to derive steroid tapering indications, PRINTO/ACR/EULAR JDM core set measures (CSM) and their median absolute and relative percent changes over time were compared in 3 groups. Group 1 included those in clinical remission who discontinued PDN, with no major therapeutic changes (MTC) (reference group) and was compared with those who did not achieve clinical remission, without or with MTC (Group 2 and 3, respectively). A logistic regression model identified predictors of clinical remission with PDN discontinuation.ResultsBased on the median change in the CSM of 30/139 children in Group 1, after 3 pulses of methyl-prednisolone, GC could be tapered from 2 to 1 mg/kg/day in the first two months from onset if any of the CSM decreased by 50–94%, and from 1 to 0.2 mg/kg/day in the following 4 months if any CSM further decreased by 8–68%, followed by discontinuation in the ensuing 18 months. The achievement of PRINTO JDM 50–70-90 response after 2 months of treatment (ORs range 4.5–6.9), an age at onset > 9 years (OR 4.6) and the combination therapy PDN + MTX (OR 3.6) increase the probability of achieving clinical remission (p < 0.05).ConclusionsThis is the first evidence-based proposal for glucocorticoid tapering/discontinuation based on the change in JDM CSM of disease activity.Trial registrationTrial full title: Five-Year Single-Blind, Phase III Effectiveness Randomized Actively Controlled Clinical Trial in New Onset Juvenile Dermatomyositis: Prednisone versus Prednisone plus Cyclosporine A versus Prednisone plus Methotrexate. EUDRACT registration number: 2005–003956-37. Clinical Trial.gov is NCT00323960. Registered on 17 August 2005.

Vedolizumab exposure levels and clinical outcomes in ulcerative colitis: determining the potential for dose optimisation.

SummaryBackgroundProspectively designed studies assessing the exposure‐response profile of vedolizumab are lacking. Observational exposure‐response data for vedolizumab are limited and have not been adjusted for potential confounding factors, particularly those that may affect vedolizumab clearance.AimsTo (a) investigate the vedolizumab exposure‐response relationship after adjusting for potential confounding variables; (b) propose potential target serum vedolizumab concentrations for future study; (c) ascertain whether early vedolizumab serum concentrations were associated with short‐ and long‐term clinical outcomes in adults with ulcerative colitis in GEMINI 1.MethodsPropensity‐score‐based case‐matching analysis was performed using data from GEMINI 1 and an earlier large population pharmacokinetic study, with vedolizumab clearance or concentration as predictors of clinical remission and response, adjusted for age, weight, anti‐tumour necrosis factor alpha therapy history, serum albumin and faecal calprotectin concentrations. Potential vedolizumab concentration targets at weeks 6, 14 and steady state were proposed. Association between early vedolizumab concentrations at weeks 2, 4 and 6 and clinical remission at weeks 14 and 52 was evaluated.ResultsAmong 693 patients with pharmacokinetic data at week 6, potential target vedolizumab concentrations at weeks 6, 14 and steady state were 37.1, 18.4 and 12.7 µg/mL respectively. Week 6 was identified as the earliest time at which vedolizumab concentrations were consistently associated with clinical remission at weeks 14 and 52.ConclusionsIn this comprehensively adjusted analysis, vedolizumab concentrations at week 6 were associated with short‐ and long‐term remission. Potential induction and maintenance target concentrations were proposed for further study.

Ten-year follow up of patients with first-episode schizophrenia spectrum disorder from an early intervention service: Predictors of clinical remission and functional recovery

The long-term recovery rate of patients with schizophrenia-spectrum disorders has been persistently low despite the implementation of early intervention (EI) services internationally. It is, therefore, important to identify the modifiable factors during the early stage of the illness that predict long-term remission and recovery. The aim of this study is to explore the predictive value of the early stage clinical factors on the clinical remission and functional recovery at 10-year follow-up of patients with schizophrenia-spectrum disorders who received a 2-year EI service. Patients who received the EI service throughout the region of Hong Kong between 1st July 2001 and 30th June 2002 and with a diagnosis of schizophrenia-spectrum disorder were identified from the centralized hospital database (Clinical Management system, CMS). Semi-structured clinical interview was conducted at 10-year follow-up with a successful interview rate of 74.3% (n = 107). Clinical data was systematically retrieved each month for the first three years from the CMS and written clinical records using a standardized data entry form based on operationalized definitions. Results found shorter duration of untreated psychosis (DUP) predicted long-term clinical remission; higher educational level and shorter period of unemployment during the initial three years of the illness predicted functional recovery. Higher educational level, longer period of employment and planned medication discontinuation during the initial three years predicted complete recovery. The current study demonstrates the long-term impact of DUP and suggests improvement of employment during the early stage of illness could be a potential target for further improvement of the service.

F68. PREMORBID IQ, EDUCATIONAL LEVEL AND JUMPING TO CONCLUSIONS AS PREDICTORS OF CLINICAL OUTCOME AT FIRST ONSET OF PSYCHOSIS OVER THE NEXT 4 YEARS: THE GAP STUDY

BackgroundCognition and more recently social cognition, have been shown to be a strong predictor of clinical and functional outcome in psychosis. Jumping to Conclusions (JTC), which is defined as the proneness to require less information before forming beliefs or making a decision, has been related to the formation and maintenance of delusions. However, its relevance to longer-term outcome is unclear. On the other hand, there is evidence in the literature to suggest differences of patterns in clinical outcome and service based ethnicity. Using data from the GAP case-control study of first-episode psychosis (FEP), we set out to test whether the premorbid IQ, educational level and presence of JTC would predict poor clinical outcome at 4 year controlling for ethnicity.Methods431 FEP patients were assessed with the positive and negative syndrome scale (PANSS) and Global Assessment of Functioning (GAF). Premorbid IQ was measured by the National Adult Reading Test (NART) scale, probabilistic reasoning “Beads” task was applied and educational levels were recorded alongside with socio-occupational variables at the time of recruitment. Follow-up data over an average period of 4 years were obtained from the electronic psychiatric clinical records in the South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust (SLaM); including items concerning clinical course and outcomes (remission, intervention of police, use of involuntary treatment – the Mental Health Act (MHA) -, and inpatient days). We build different regression models using separately premorbid IQ, education level and JTC as predictors for each clinical outcome, both unadjusted and adjusted by ethnicity, age and gender.ResultsHigher educational level was predictor of clinical remission [adjusted OR=1.9, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.2–3, p=0.005]. FEP who presented JTC at baseline were more likely during the follow up period to be detained under the MHA [adjusted OR=11.23, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.64–47.76, p=0.001], require intervention by the police (adjusted OR=10.76, 95% CI 2.4–48.26, p=0.002) and have longer admissions (adjusted IRR=4.04, 95% CI 1.43–11.36, p=0.008). We couldn’t find any predictor effect for clinical outcome for premorbid IQ. The association with level of education and JTC was not accounted for by socio-demographic variables including ethnicity.DiscussionAlthough we did not find association with premorbid IQ, educational level as indirect proxy of neurocognition showed a predictor effect for clinical remission. JTC in FEP is associated with serious subsequent consequences in terms of social disturbance and a poor therapeutic alliance. Our findings raise the question of whether the implementation of specific interventions to reduce JTC, such as Metacognition Training, may be a useful addition in early psychosis intervention programs.