The parameters estimation problem of autoregressive with exogenous inputs models is considered. Our approach is based on the study of the optimal bounding ellipsoid (OBE) recurrent algorithm properties. It is assumed that the shape matrix of the initial ellipsoid in the OBE algorithm is proportional to a large positive parameter. Asymptotic expansions of the relations that describe the OBE algorithm are obtained. The limit recursive algorithm (diffuse) not depending on a large parameter which may lead the OBE algorithm to a divergence is proposed and explored. The robust properties of the proposed algorithm are illustrated by a numerical example. By simulation, it is shown that it may provide better the tracking ability compared to the diffuse least-squares (RLS) algorithm and the diffuse RLS algorithm with the sliding window.
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