The adoption of wind energy is pivotal for advancing sustainable power systems, particularly in off-grid microgrids where infrastructure limitations hinder conventional energy solutions. The inherent variability of wind generation, however, challenges grid reliability and demand–supply balance, necessitating accurate forecasting models. This study proposes a hybrid framework for short-term wind speed prediction, integrating deep learning (Long Short-Term Memory, LSTM) and ensemble methods (random forest, Extra Trees) to exploit their complementary strengths in modeling temporal dependencies. A multivariate approach is adopted using meteorological data (including wind speed, temperature, humidity, and pressure) to capture complex weather interactions through a structured time-series design. The framework also includes a feature selection stage to identify the most relevant predictors and a hyperparameter optimization process to improve model generalization. Three wind speed variables, maximum, average, and minimum, are forecasted independently to reflect intra-day variability and enhance practical usability. Validated with real-world data from Cuenca, Ecuador, the LSTM model achieves superior accuracy across all targets, demonstrating robust performance for real-world deployment. Comparative results highlight its advantage over tree-based ensemble techniques, offering actionable strategies to optimize wind energy integration, enhance grid stability, and streamline renewable resource management. These insights support the development of resilient energy systems in regions reliant on sustainable microgrid solutions.
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Jul 1, 2025
Racine Diatta + 2
Just Published
Open Access