Cedric and Frank Garland 1 observed that metropolitan states in the south-west of the US had lower mortality rates from colon cancer in 1959–61, on average ~10 per 100 000 per year ageadjusted in white males, than metropolitan states in the northwest, on average ~15 per 100 000. They reported that the rank order coefficient of correlation between colon cancer mortality and solar irradiance across the metropolitan states was 0.7. It was 0.6 across non-metropolitan states and the same values were obtained when cancer mortality rates for US counties in 1950–69 were used instead of the whole-of-state values. They noted, from broad regional data, that the probably mainly south to north gradient in colon cancer mortality did not appear to correlate well with patterns of dietary meat, fruit, or vegetable intake but acknowledged that its correlationwith solar irradiance might still be due to confounding with some other dietary, behavioural, or, perhaps, genetic factor. Apperly 2 had reported an association between mortality from all cancers and solar irradiance across the states of the US 40 years earlier and suggested ‘it may be possible to reduce our cancer deaths by exposing suitable skin areas to sunlight . . . insufficient to cause skin cancer’. While the Garlands did not acknowledge this work they can be reasonably excused for not having uncovered it. Unsurprisingly, the Garlands advanced the possibility that photolytic production of vitamin D in the skin might explain the correlation between colorectal cancer mortality and solar irradiance. This is the major source of vitamin D for most human populations. They advanced an argument about antiinflammatory effects of calcium (the absorption of which is promoted by vitamin D) in the bowel mucosa and evidence of a protective effect of milk against colon cancer in one US study (milk was and is mandatorily fortified with vitamin D in the US) in support of this possibility. The Garlands and others published papers reporting on correlations in the US between solar irradiance and cancers of the breast, 3 prostate, 4 and ovary 5 over the subsequent decade or so. None of these, or the original paper on colon cancer, initially attracted much attention. Indeed, the International Agency for Research on Cancer’s 1992 monograph on the carcinogenic risk of solar and ultraviolet radiation to humans stated that ‘no adequate data were available to the Working Group’ when referring to all cancers other than skin, lip, and ocular cancers. 6
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