Nonoperative Cohorts Research Articles

Nonoperative Versus Operative Treatment of Z-Type Comminuted Clavicle Fractures in Adolescents: A Prospective Substratified Cohort Analysis.

To compare the clinical, radiographic, and patient-reported outcomes of nonoperative and operative treatment of adolescents with comminuted "Z-type" midshaft clavicle fractures. Prospective observational cohort. Eight tertiary care pediatric centers. Patients aged 10-18 years who were treated either operatively or nonoperatively for a diaphyseal clavicle fracture between 2013 and 2017 were screened/enrolled at the time of injury. The current subcohort analysis was derived from a larger adolescent clavicle study population of 907 patients. Complications and validated patient-reported outcome measures (PROs):(ASES, QuickDASH, Marx Shoulder Activity Score, EQ-5D, EQ-VAS, and patient satisfaction score) were compared between operative and nonoperative cohorts. Eighty-one patients (69 male [85.2%], 12 female; average age 15 years [11.1-18.7]; 78 with sports participation [96.2%]) were followed through bony healing and return to sports, while 59 patients (73%) completed 2-year follow-up with PROs, 26 of whom were treated nonoperatively and 33 treated operatively. All demographic and fracture characteristics were similar (P > 0.05) between the 2-year follow-up cohorts except for fracture shortening, which was greater in the operative cohort (23 vs. 29 mm, P = 0.01). After controlling for this potential confounder through both regression and propensity matched subgroup analysis, nonoperative versus operative cohorts showed no difference in rates of nonunion (0%), delayed union (0% vs. 2.3%, P = 1.0), symptomatic malunion (2.7% vs. 0%, P = 0.4), refracture (2.7% vs. 2.2%, P = 1.0), unexpected subsequent surgery (5.4% vs. 11.4%, P = 0.45), or clinically significant complications (5.4% vs. 16%, P = 0.17). There were no differences in any PROs between cohorts, both before and after controlling for the difference in fracture shortening (all P-values >0.05). In this prospective comparison of complications and 2-year PROs in adolescents with comminuted Z-type clavicle fractures, nonoperative and operative treatment yielded similar outcomes. Therapeutic Level II. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Post-discharge Mental Healthcare and Emergency General Surgery Readmission for Patients with Serious Mental Illness.

To determine the association between post-discharge mental healthcare and odds of readmission after emergency general surgery (EGS) hospitalization for patients with serious mental illness (SMI). A mental health visit (MHV) after medical hospitalization is associated with decreased readmissions for patients with SMI. The impact of a MHV after surgical hospitalization is unknown. Using Medicare claims, we performed a retrospective cohort study of hospitalized EGS patients with SMI aged >65.5 (2016-2018). EGS included colorectal, general abdominal, hepatopancreatobiliary, hernia, intestinal obstruction, resuscitation, and upper gastrointestinal conditions. SMI was defined as schizophrenia spectrum, mood, or anxiety disorders. The exposure was MHV within 30 days of discharge. The primary outcome was 30-day readmission. Secondary outcomes included emergency department presentation and psychiatric admission. Inverse probability weighting was used to evaluated outcomes. Of 88,092 analyzed patients, 11,755 (13.3%) had a MHV within 30 days of discharge. 23,696 (26.9%) of patients were managed operatively, 64,395 (73.1%) non-operatively. After adjustment for potential confounders, patients with a post-discharge MHV had lower odds of acute care readmission than patients without a MHV in both operative (OR 0.60; 95% CI: [0.40-0.90]) and non-operative (OR 0.67; 95% CI [0.53-0.84]) cohorts. There was no association between post-discharge MHV and ED presentation or psychiatric admission in the operative or non-operative groups. Post-discharge MHV after EGS hospitalization was associated with decreased odds of readmission for patients with SMI managed operatively and nonoperatively. In older EGS patients with SMI, coordination of MHVs may be a mechanism to reduce readmission disparities.

Recovery of Shoulder, Elbow, and Forearm Movement After Nerve Reconstruction for Neonatal Brachial Plexus Palsy.

There is a relative dearth of published data with respect to recovery of upper extremity movement after nerve reconstruction for neonatal brachial plexus palsy (NBPP). This study aimed to demonstrate long-term recovery of active range of motion (AROM) at the shoulder, elbow, and forearm after nerve reconstruction for NBPP and to compare that with patients managed nonoperatively. We interrogated a prospectively collected database of all patients evaluated for NBPP at a single institution from 2005 to 2020. AROM measurements for shoulder, elbow, and forearm movements were collected at every visit up to 5 years of follow-up and normalized between 0 and 1. We used generalized estimated equations to predict AROM for each movement within local age windows over 5 years and compared the operative and nonoperative cohorts at each age interval. In total, >13 000 collected datapoints representing 425 conservatively and 99 operatively managed children were included for analysis. At 5 years, absolute recovery of AROM after nerve reconstruction was ∼50% for shoulder abduction and forward flexion, ∼65% for shoulder external rotation, and ∼75% for elbow flexion and forearm supination, with ∼20% loss of elbow extension AROM. Despite more limited AROM on presentation for the operative cohort, at 5 years, there was no significant difference between the groups in AROM for shoulder external rotation, elbow extension, or forearm supination, and, in Narakas grade 1-2 injury, shoulder abduction and forward flexion. We demonstrate recovery of upper extremity AROM after nerve surgery for NBPP. Despite more severe presenting injury, operative patients had similar recovery of AROM when compared with nonoperative patients for shoulder external rotation, elbow extension, forearm supination, and, for Narakas grade 1-2 injury, shoulder abduction and forward flexion.

Long-Term Outcomes at Skeletal Maturity of Combined Pelvic and Femoral Osteotomy for the Treatment of Legg-Calve-Perthes Disease.

Surgical treatment for Legg-Calve-Perthes disease (LCPD) is recommended for older children with moderate to severe disease. We sought to determine whether double osteotomies lead to improved radiologic outcomes compared to reported non-operative outcomes. Patients older than 6 years of age diagnosed with LCPD lateral pillar B or C who were treated with pelvic and femoral osteotomies were included. Radiologic outcomes and leg-length discrepancies were assessed using the Stulberg classification and were compared with the current literature. Fifteen hips in fourteen patients were treated with double osteotomy for LCPD, and seven had lateral pillar C disease (47%). The mean age at surgery was 8.6 years (range, 7.2-10.4) and the mean age at follow-up was 20.2 years (range, 14.2-35.6). At a mean 11.6-year follow-up (range: 6.3-25.2), double osteotomy resulted in 40% of patients having Stulberg I/II scores, 27% having Stulberg III scores, and 33% having Stulberg IV/V scores. The mean leg-length discrepancy was 1.4 cm in lateral pillar C patients compared to 0.8 cm in lateral pillar B patients. Four patients underwent additional surgeries, including two who required total hip arthroplasty. Double osteotomy as an alternative surgical procedure for the treatment of LCPD did not show improved outcomes when compared to historic non-operative cohorts.

Emergency Surgery, Multimorbidity and Hospital-Free Days: A Retrospective Observational Study

IntroductionAnalyzing hospital-free days (HFDs) offers a patient-centered approach to health services research. We hypothesized that, within emergency general surgery (EGS), multimorbidity would be associated with fewer HFDs, whether patients were managed operatively or nonoperatively. MethodsEGS patients were identified using national Medicare claims data (2015-2018). Patients were classified as multimorbid based on the presence of a Qualifying Comorbidity Set and stratified by treatment: operative (received surgery within 48 h of index admission) and nonoperative. HFDs were calculated through 180 d, beginning on the day of index admission, as days alive and spent outside of a hospital, an Emergency Department, or a long-term acute care facility. Univariate comparisons were performed using Kruskal–Wallis tests and risk-adjusted HFDs were compared between multimorbid and nonmultimorbid patients using multivariable zero-inflated negative binomial regression models. ResultsAmong 174,891 operative patients, 45.5% were multimorbid. Among 398,756 nonoperative patients, 59.2% were multimorbid. Multimorbid patients had fewer median HFDs than nonmultimorbid patients among operative and nonoperative cohorts (P < 0.001). At 6 mo, among operative patients, multimorbid patients had 6.5 fewer HFDs (P < 0.001), and among nonoperative patients, multimorbid patients had 7.9 fewer HFDs (P < 0.001). When length of stay was included as a covariate, nonoperative multimorbid patients still had 7.9 fewer HFDs than nonoperative, nonmultimorbid patients (P < 0.001). ConclusionsHFDs offer a patient-centered, composite outcome for claims-based analyses. For EGS patients, multimorbidity was associated with less time alive and out of the hospital, especially when patients were managed nonoperatively.

Midterm Outcomes of Operatively and Nonoperatively Managed Achilles Tendon Ruptures in Young Adults.

There continues to be controversy regarding treatment options for Achilles tendon ruptures (ATR). The aim of our study is to compare outcomes between operatively and nonoperatively managed Achilles ruptures in young adults (age 18-30 years), which has not been previously evaluated. At a single institution, all patients aged 18-30 years at time of injury who underwent treatment for an acute ATR from 2014 to 2021 were evaluated. Medical records were reviewed to collect demographics, dates of injury and treatment, smoking status, body mass index (BMI), Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), rate of deep venous thrombosis (DVT) after treatment, and rate of rerupture. Patients then completed Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS) physical function (PF) and pain interference (PI) questionnaires. Mann-Whitney nonparametric testing was used to evaluate for any statistical differences in PROMIS scores. Sixty-six operative patients qualified and 28 (42%) participated. Thirty-seven nonoperative patients qualified and 14 (38%) participated. All patients had a CCI of 0. One patient in the operative cohort and 2 in the nonoperative reported active smoking. In the operative and nonoperative cohorts, respectively, the average age was 24.4 and 27.8 years; average BMI 26.5 (SD = 4.8) and 27.3 (SD = 4.3, P = .52); DVT rates 4 (6.1%) and 2 (5.4%); and rerupture rates 2 (3.0%) and 1 (2.7%), respectively. PROMIS scores did not differ in the operative and nonoperative groups: PROMIS PF mean of 60.4 (SD = 9.8) and 62.9 (SD = 9.1), respectively (P = .33); as well as PROMIS PI mean of 44.6 (SD = 5.9) and 43.9 (SD = 6.5), respectively (P = .59). This study should be interpreted with the understanding that we had a considerable loss to follow-up rate. In the study cohort, we found that young adults with ATR may be considered for either operative or nonoperative management. Rates of DVT, rates of rerupture, and PROMIS scores were not dissimilar between the 2 cohorts. Level III, retrospective cohort study.

Return to play after rotator cuff tear in National Football League athletes

Rotator cuff tears are rare injuries in National Football League (NFL) athletes and there are limited data to help guide players and team physicians. The purpose of this study was to assess return to play (RTP) rates, performance levels, and career length following a rotator cuff tear during their playing career. Using publicly available data, we identified players who sustained a rotator cuff tear between 2000 and 2019. Demographic information, treatment (operative vs. nonoperative), RTP rate, preinjury and postinjury performance score, position, and career length were entered into the analysis. Twenty-nine athletes with a mean age of 27.4 years (±3.1) at the time of injury were included in this study. Forty-eight percent were offensive and 52% defensive players. 79.3% (23/29) were able to RTP at the same professional level for an average of 2.8±3.4 years. The average time to RTP after injury was 198.4±125.3 days. The average age of players who RTP was 26.7±2.5 years compared to those who did not (30.3±3.7, P=.02). Similarly, the preinjury NFL career length was 4.0±2.2 in players who RTP compared to those who did not (7.5±2.7, P=.01). Most injuries (82.2%) were treated surgically; however, there was no significant difference (P>.05) in RTP rates, performance score, or career longevity between operative and nonoperative cohorts. Overall RTP rates for NFL athletes following a rotator cuff injury are promising with approximately 80% returning at the same performance level regardless of treatment type. Older, veteran players particularly those over the age of 30 were significantly less likely to RTP and should be counseled accordingly.

Multicenter retrospective cohort study of the association between surgery for odontoid fractures in the elderly and in-hospital outcomes

Odontoid fractures are increasingly prevalent in older adults and associated with high morbidity and mortality. Optimal management remains controversial. Our study aims to investigate the association between surgical management of odontoid fractures and in-hospital mortality in a multi-center geriatric cohort. We identified patients 65 years or older with C2 odontoid fractures from the Trauma Quality Improvement Program database. The primary study outcome was in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes were in-hospital complications and hospital length of stay. Generalized estimating equation models were used to compare outcomes between operative and non-operative cohorts. Among the 13,218 eligible patients, 1100 (8.3%) were treated surgically. The risk of in-hospital mortality did not differ between surgical and non-surgical groups, after patient and hospital-level adjustment (OR: 0.94, 95%CI: 0.55–1.60). The risks of major complications and immobility-related complications were higher in the operative cohort (adjusted OR: 2.12, 95%CI: 1.53–2.94; and OR: 2.24, 95%CI: 1.38–3.63, respectively). Patients undergoing surgery had extended in-hospital length of stay compared to the non-operative group (9 days, IQR: 6–12 days vs. 4 days, IQR: 3–7 days). These findings were supported by secondary analyses that considered between-center differences in rates of surgery. Among geriatric patients with odontoid fractures surgical management was associated with similar in-hospital mortality, but higher in-hospital complication rates compared to non-operative management. Surgical management of geriatric patients with odontoid fractures requires careful patient selection and consideration of pre-existing comorbidities.

Prospective comparison of one-year survival in patients treated operatively and nonoperatively for spinal metastatic disease: results of the Prospective Observational study of Spinal metastasis Treatment (POST)

<h3>BACKGROUND CONTEXT</h3> Several investigations have touted that surgery for spinal metastases not only preserves ambulatory ability, but also improves survival. Many of these investigations may be confounded by selection and indication bias. Controversy remains regarding the utility of surgery for patients with spinal metastases and no neurologic deficits. <h3>PURPOSE</h3> We planned an analysis that accounted for confounding by indication and compared patients treated operatively and nonoperatively for spinal metastases who were enrolled in the Prospective Observational study of Spinal metastasis Treatment (POST). <h3>PATIENT SAMPLE</h3> We considered 87 instances of surgical intervention and 122 cases of nonoperative treatment enrolled between 2017-2019. <h3>OUTCOME MEASURES</h3> Survival at one year following treatment initiation. <h3>METHODS</h3> The primary outcome was survival at one year following treatment initiation. The primary predictor was treatment, categorized as operative or nonoperative management. Crossovers were handled via statistical cloning. Unadjusted comparisons between the operative and nonoperative cohorts were made using chi-square tests for categorical variables and the Wilcoxon rank-sum test for non-parametric, continuous data. Survival was assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves. We developed a propensity score around the likelihood for surgical intervention using age, biologic sex, co-morbidities, primary tumor, neurologic symptoms and NESMS at presentation based on our conceptual model. The propensity score was used in final adjusted models for survival at one year. <h3>RESULTS</h3> Fifty percent of the cohort died by one year following presentation. In the operative group, the mortality rate was 46% at one year, as compared to 54% in the nonoperative cohort. This represented a 25% reduction in the odds of mortality (OR 0.75; 95% CI 0.43, 1.30) but was not significantly different (p=0.3). Following propensity score adjustment, surgical intervention offered a 28% reduction in the odds of mortality (OR 0.72; 95% CI 0.40, 1.29) but still did not demonstrate statistical significance (p=0.27). <h3>CONCLUSIONS</h3> While it is interesting that propensity adjustment slightly increased the advantage for surgery, the estimated 25%-28% reduction in the odds of mortality should be balanced against the risks associated with these high-intensity interventions and the relatively high mortality rate, irrespective of treatment strategy. This may be especially important in instances where the metastatic process is largely asymptomatic. <h3>FDA DEVICE/DRUG STATUS</h3> This abstract does not discuss or include any applicable devices or drugs.

TH6.12 Predicting Mortality and Morbidity in Oesophageal perforation: A Review of Current Tools

Abstract Aim Oesophageal perforation is a challenging condition associated with high mortality and morbidity. There is a lack of consensus regarding the optimal treatment strategy, when and whom to operate on. The aim of this study is to identify the optimal morbidity and mortality risk prediction tool for patients with oesophageal perforation. Methods We compared and validated commonly used risk prediction models, including the Pittsburgh Severity Score (PSS), the National Emergency Laparotomy Audit score (NELA score), the Portsmouth Physiological and Operative Severity Score for the enumeration of Mortality (P-POSSUM), and the Surgical Outcome Risk Tool (SORT) using a dataset of 83 patients ranging from 2009 to 2021. The ability to predict morbidity was assessed using the comprehensive complication index (CCI). The CCI was calculated for both operative and non-operative cohorts. Results Of the scores assessed, NELA showed the most robust predictive value for in-hospital mortality, 30-day mortality, and 90 mortality (AUROC 0.812, 0.8602, 0.8302, respectively). The PSS also showed significant predictive value for in-hospital mortality, 30-day mortality, and 90 mortality (AUROC 0.792, 0.856, 0.813 respectively). Furthermore, NELA had the strongest correlation between score and CCI (rs 0.644 p&amp;lt;0.001). Conclusion Despite not being validated for oesophageal pathology, NELA appears to be the optimum scoring model to predict mortality and morbidity for this patient population. This is the first study to compare the efficacy of different risk prediction models in oesophageal perforations and could be used to inform shared decision making and peri-operative outcomes. Further large-scale validation of risk prediction tools is required to corroborate these findings.

Heterogeneity of pain-related psychological distress in patients seeking care for shoulder pathology.

Psychological distress is associated with disability and quality of life for patients with shoulder pain. However, uncertainty around heterogeneity of psychological distress has limited the adoption of shoulder care models that address psychological characteristics. In a cohort of patients with shoulder pain, our study sought to (1) describe the prevalence of various subtypes of psychological distress; (2) evaluate associations between psychological distress and self-reported shoulder pain, disability, and function; and (3) determine differences in psychological distress profiles between patients receiving nonoperative vs. operative treatment. The sample included 277 patients who were evaluated in clinic by a shoulder surgeon and completed the Optimal Screening for Prediction of Referral and Outcome Yellow Flag Assessment Tool (OSPRO-YF) from 2019 to 2021. This tool categorizes maladaptive and adaptive psychological traits, and the number of yellow flags (YFs) ranges from 0 to 11, with higher YF counts indicating higher pain-related psychological distress. Operative and nonoperative cohorts were compared using χ2 test and Student t test. Linear regression was used to evaluate the association between pain, disability, and YFs, whereas Poisson regression evaluated the association between operative treatment and psychological distress. K-means cluster analysis was performed to propose potential psychological distress phenotypes. Two hundred fifty-one patients (91%) had at least 1 YF on the OSPRO-YF tool, with a mean number of 6 ± 3.5 YFs. YFs in unhelpful coping (85%) and helpful coping domains (78%) were most prevalent. The number of YFs was significantly associated with baseline shoulder pain (P < .001), Single Assessment Numeric Evaluation (P < .001), and American Shoulder and Elbow Surgeons Standardized Shoulder Assessment Form (P < .001) scores. Comparing operative and nonoperative cohorts, the operative cohort had a significantly higher mean number of YFs (6.5 vs. 5.6, P = .035), presence of any YF (94.3% vs. 85.7%, P = .015), and presence of YFs within the unhelpful coping domain (91.8% vs. 75.6%, P < .001). Three phenotypes were described, corresponding to low, moderate, and severe psychological distress (P < .001), with females (P = .037) and smokers (P = .018) associated with higher psychological distress phenotypes. YFs, particularly within the unhelpful coping and helpful coping domains, were highly prevalent in a cohort of patients presenting to a shoulder surgeon's clinic. Additionally, operative patients were found to have a significantly higher rate of YFs across multiple dimensions of psychological distress. These findings stress the importance of routine attentiveness to multiple dimensions of pain-related psychological distress in shoulder populations, which can provide an opportunity to reinforce healthy interpretation of pain while minimizing distress in appropriately identified patients.

116 Determining factors associated with treatment outcomes in patients with shoulder arthritis

OBJECTIVES/GOALS: For shoulder osteoarthritis (OA), the understanding of the patient-specific factors that determine success of both non-operative and operative treatment options is limited. This study aims to identify key factors associated with the response and the heterogeneity of outcomes for both types of treatment. METHODS/STUDY POPULATION: Patients diagnosed with shoulder OA and treated with either reverse/anatomic total shoulder arthroplasty (rTSA/TSA) or non-operative management at the University of California, San Francisco were enrolled in this study. They were followed for a year to ascertain phenotypic traits and patient-reported outcomes (PROs). Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) was used to calculate the Shoulder Osteoarthritis Severity (SOAS) score, a semi-quantitative global assessment of shoulder OA, and to measure fat fractions of rotator cuff muscles. A Microsoft Kinect camera was used to determine the Reachable Workspace (RWS). Linear regression models were used to assess the associations between baseline demographic and radiographic factors on outcomes related to shoulder function. RESULTS/ANTICIPATED RESULTS: It is anticipated that the pre-operative MRI-based SOAS score will be inversely correlated with the magnitude of improvement in PROs 1 year after rTSA/TSA and non-operative management of shoulder OA for the surgical replacement and non-operative cohorts, respectively. Additionally, the non-operative patients who convert to rTSA/TSA within 1 year of observation will have higher SOAS scores compared to patients who continue with non-operative management. The surgical replacement patients with an infraspinatus fat fraction of more than 5% will have worse shoulder function, as measured by RWS, compared to patients with an infraspinatus fraction less than 5%. DISCUSSION/SIGNIFICANCE: MRI may be a novel technique to better predict prognosis of shoulder OA management. This will allow for the development of appropriate algorithms in the prescription of treatments and may be used to counsel patients regarding their expected outcomes or to recommend alternative treatments.

Surgical Intervention is Associated With Improvements in the ASIA Impairment Scale in Gunshot-induced Spinal Injuries of the Thoracic and Lumbar Spine.

Retrospective cohort study of patients from the National Spinal Cord Injury Statistical Center (NSCISC). The aim was to compare the outcomes of patients with gunshot-induced spinal injuries (GSIs) treated operatively and nonoperatively. The treatment of neurological deficits associated with gunshot wounds to the spine has been controversial. Treatment has varied widely, ranging from nonoperative to aggressive surgery. Patient demographics, clinical information, and outcomes were extracted. Surgical intervention was defined as a "laminectomy, neural canal restoration, open reduction, spinal fusion, or internal fixation of the spine." The primary outcome was the American Spinal Injury Association (ASIA) Impairment Scale. Statistical comparisons of baseline demographics and neurological outcomes between operative and nonoperative cohorts were performed. In total, 961 patients with GSI and at least 1-year follow-up were identified from 1975 to 2015. The majority of patients were Black/African American (55.6%), male (89.7%), and 15-29 years old (73.8%). Of those treated surgically (19.7% of all patients), 34.2% had improvement in their ASIA Impairment Scale score at 1 year, compared with 20.6% treated nonoperatively. Overall, surgery was associated with a 2.0 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.4-2.8] times greater likelihood of ASIA Impairment Scale improvement at 1 year. Specifically, benefit was seen in thoracic (odds ratio: 2.5; 95% CI: 1.4-4.6) and lumbar injuries (odds ratio: 1.7; 95% CI: 1.1-3.1), but not cervical injuries. While surgical indications are always determined on an individualized basis, in our review of GSIs, surgical intervention was associated with a greater likelihood of neurological recovery. Specifically, patients with thoracic and lumbar GSIs had a 2.5 and 1.7-times greater likelihood of improvement in their ASIA Impairment Scale score 1 year after injury, respectively, if they underwent surgical intervention.

P-EGS08 What is the Best Risk Prediction Model for Oesophageal Perforation?

Abstract Background Oesophageal perforation is a challenging surgical condition associated with high mortality and morbidity. There is a lack of consensus regarding the optimal treatment strategy, when and whom to operate on. Treatment options include primary repair, t-tube repair, emergency oesophagectomy, endoscopic therapy, and palliation. Whilst many risk prediction models exist, the only specific score to predict mortality in oesophageal perforations is the Pittsburgh Severity Score (PSS). However, there is limited evidence on its validity and even less literature to predict short and long-term morbidity in these patients. Methods We compared and validated commonly used risk prediction models, including the PSS, the National Emergency Laparotomy Audit score (NELA score), the Portsmouth Physiological and Operatic Severity Score for the enumeration of Mortality (P-POSSUM), and the Surgical Outcome Risk Tool (SORT) using a dataset of 83 patients ranging from 2009 to 2021. The power to predict mortality and morbidity was assessed using the comprehensive complication index (CCI). The CCI was calculated using complications for both operative and non-operative cohorts. Results Of the scores assessed, NELA showed the most robust predictive value for in-hospital mortality, 30-day mortality, and 90 mortality (AUROC 0.812, 0.8602, 0.8302, respectively). The PSS also showed significant predictive value for in-hospital mortality, 30-day mortality, and 90 mortality (AUROC 0.792, 0.856, 0.813 respectively). Furthermore, NELA had the strongest correlation between score and CCI (rs 0.644 p &amp;lt; 0.001). Conclusions Despite not being validated for oesophageal pathology, NELA appears to be the optimum scoring model to predict mortality and morbidity for this patient population. This is the first study to compare the efficacy of different risk prediction models in oesophageal perforations and could be used to inform shared decision making and peri-operative outcomes. Further large-scale validation of risk prediction tools is required to corroborate these findings.

Operative Versus Nonoperative Treatment of Z-Type Comminuted Clavicle Fractures in Adolescents: A Substratified Cohort Analysis

Purpose: There has been a recent shift towards operative management of mid-shaft clavicle fractures in adults and adolescents. This has been largely based on studies in the adult population that showed reduced rates of nonunion, symptomatic malunion and better short-term functional outcomes. For injuries with a comminuted “Z-type” fracture pattern, characterized by vertical positioning of a segmental fragment, it is commonly accepted to treat surgically due to concerns about healing and bony prominence. The purpose of this study was to assess the clinical, radiographic, and patient-reported outcome measures (PROs) in adolescents with comminuted Z-type mid-shaft clavicle fractures by comparing an operative and nonoperative cohort.&#x0D; Methods: Patients aged 10 to 18 years treated for a diaphyseal clavicle fracture between August 2013 and February 2016 at one of eight geographically diverse pediatric centers were screened and enrolled at the time of injury. Inclusion criteria were a comminuted Z-type fragment ≥1cm in size, with &gt;35 degrees of angulation relative to the long axis of the clavicle, and &gt;100% fracture displacement at time of presentation. Clinical course, complications, validated PROs, quality of life metrics, and satisfaction scores were analyzed and compared between the operative (Op) and nonoperative (NonOp) cohorts.&#x0D; Results: Eighty-two patients (37 NonOp, 45 Op) were included, 60 (73%) of whom provided 2-year PROs with similar response rates between treatment cohorts. There were no significant differences in demographics or fracture characteristics in the two cohorts other than fracture shortening being greater in the operative cohort (mean 29mm) compared to the nonoperative cohort (mean 23mm, p=0.01). This confounder was controlled for in both regression analysis and propensity score matching. There was no statistically significant difference in the rates of nonunion (none), delayed union (Op 2%, NonOp 0%, p=1.0), symptomatic malunion (Op 0%, NonOp 3%, p=0.4), refracture (Op 4%, NonOp 3%, p=1.0), unexpected surgery (Op 11% vs. NonOp 5%, p=0.45), or clinically significant complications (Op 16%, NonOp 5%, p=0.17) between cohorts. There were no differences in PROs (Table 1), even when controlling for fracture shortening.&#x0D; Conclusions: Z-type mid-shaft clavicle fractures are one of the most severe fracture patterns seen in adolescent shoulders. Yet, in this comparative investigation of 2-year PROs and complications, surgery appears to offer no benefit over nonoperative management. &#x0D; Significance: The comparable natural histories between this study’s operative and nonoperative cohorts are critical for surgeons and their adolescent patients to understand when deciding appropriate management, particularly when reviewing what are often very concerning appearing initial radiographs.

Surgical and non-surgical treatment of inguinal hernia during non-elective admissions in the Nationwide Readmissions Database.

Inguinal hernia repair is one of the most common surgical operations, yet the optimal treatment strategy remains undefined. Treatment of symptomatic inguinal hernias include both surgical and non-surgical approaches. The objective of this study was to determine differences in population, readmission rates, and costs between operative and non-operative approaches for patients admitted non-electively for an inguinal hernia in a national dataset. In addition, we sought to define the baseline characteristics of the two groups and identify potential predictive factors in the non-surgically managed subgroup who were readmitted and treated operatively within 90days of their first visit. This study was a retrospective review of data from the Nationwide Readmissions Database (NRD) from 2010 to 2014. Patients above age 18 who were admitted non-electively for a primary diagnosis of inguinal hernia were included. Patients whose length of stay was < 1% or > 95% percentile or died during the initial visit were excluded. Readmissions within 90days of the initial visit were flagged. Patients were classified according to initial management strategy: operative versus non-operative. Demographic, clinical, and organizational characteristics were compared between the two cohorts. 14,249 patients met inclusion criteria and were operative (n = 8996, 63.13%) and non-operative (n = 5255, 36.88%) cohorts. When comparing the two groups, readmission rate was lower (0.49% for surgical, 1.78% for non-surgical, p < 0.01), mean length of stay (LOS) longer (3.27 [SE = 0.05] days for surgical, 2.76days [SE = 0.06] for non-surgical, p < 0.01), and mean total cost higher ($9597 for surgical, $7167 for non-surgical, p < 0.01) in surgically treated patients. The non-surgical population was on average older (63.05 years for surgical, 64.52 years for non-surgical, p < 0.01) with more chronic conditions (3.57 for surgical, 4.05 for non-surgical, p < 0.01). Of the patients initially managed non-surgically, 1.78% (n = 91) were readmitted, and of them, 62.63% (n = 57) were readmitted and managed surgically within 90days of initial admission (i.e., crossed over from watchful waiting to surgical treatment). Average number of chronic conditions (3.79 versus 4.03, p = 0.74), average number of comorbidities (2.26 versus 2.18, p = 0.87), and average total number of ICD-9 discharge codes (7.44 versus 8.23 p = 0.54 did not differ significantly between the operative versus non-operative sample of the readmitted population. The total cost ($5562.38 versus $8737.28, p = 0.01) was greater in the operative versus non-operative sample. Watchful-waiting strategy is the most common treatment approach in patients admitted non-electively for symptomatic inguinal hernia. Readmission after non-elective hospitalization for inguinal hernia is rare, but surgical intervention decreased the likelihood of readmission compared to non-operative management, while also increasing LOS and cost of care. Our data supports a patient centric approach to the management; non-surgical treatment is a viable temporary option even in symptomatic inguinal hernias, while surgical treatment may reduce the likelihood of future readmission.

Breast Augmentation in the Transfemale Patient: Comprehensive Principles for Planning and Obtaining Ideal Results.

A growing number of transgender women present to plastic surgeons seeking breast augmentation. Despite some advocating their technical similarity, the authors have found substantially different planning and techniques are needed to obtain aesthetic results in transgender patients versus cosmetic breast augmentation. The authors sought to develop an approach for operative planning and technique to elucidate these differences and obtain consistent results. All patients who underwent breast augmentation at the Johns Hopkins Center for Transgender Health were included in this study. Anthropometric assessments were obtained and comparative statistics between operative and nonoperative cohorts were calculated. Outcomes were analyzed and a patient-reported survey was performed to evaluate patient satisfaction. Fifty-nine consecutive transfemale patients presented for evaluation. Anthropometric measurements included base width (median, 15.0 ± 2.1 cm), notch-to-nipple distance (median, 22.0 cm), nipple-to-midline distance (median, 12.0 cm), areolar diameter (median, 3.5 ± 1.5 cm), and upper pole pinch (mean, 1.8 ± 1.1 cm). Thirty-six patients underwent augmentation mammaplasty. Postoperative complications (8.3 percent) included a minor hematoma and grade III capsular contracture in two patients. Patients were asked to complete a brief outcomes survey and reported an improvement in psychosocial well-being and high satisfaction rate (100 percent) with the overall cosmetic result. Transgender female patients represent a unique patient population requiring special consideration of anatomical differences in key planning decisions. The authors delineate the first systematic algorithm that addresses these differences, emphasizing maneuvers such as routine inframammary fold lowering. This can allow experienced augmentation surgeons to obtain excellent aesthetic and patient-reported outcomes in this population. As with cosmetic breast augmentation, patient satisfaction rates are high. Therapeutic, IV.

Improved Functional Outcomes Following Operative Treatment of Midshaft Clavicle Fractures in an Active Duty Population

Clavicle fractures are common orthopedic injuries that occur in a young active population and are even more common in the military. Military fitness test data presents the unique opportunity to analyze functional ability with regard to military-specific activities. The primary goal of this study was to compare functional outcomes using military fitness test data between operative and non-operative treatment of midshaft clavicle fractures. We performed a retrospective review of active-duty U.S. Navy and Marine patients with midshaft clavicle fractures treated at our institution over a seven-year period. There were 94 and 153 patients in our operative and non-operative cohorts, respectively. Average follow-up time from the date of injury or surgery was 28 months.The rate of infection in the operative group (4%) was significantly greater than in the non-operative group (0%, p = 0.023). The rate of non-union in the operative group (3%) was significantly lower than in the non-operative group (14.5%, p = 0.004). The rate of symptomatic malunion in the operative group (0%) was significantly different from that in the non-operative group (4.6%, p = 0.036). There was no significant difference in the rate of revision surgery between the operative (9.2%) and non-operative (13.2%) groups (p = 0.105).A total of 51 marines met inclusion criteria for our functional outcome analysis using Marine Corps Physical Fitness Test (PFT) data. Of those who underwent operative fixation, 68% were able to meet or surpass their pre-injury average amount of pull-ups in their first PFT after surgery and 88% by the next PFT at least one year after surgery. While 69% of non-operative patients met their pre-injury average in their first PFT, only 57% maintained this level at least one year after surgery. This difference was statistically significant.In our functional outcome subgroup analysis, we found improved outcomes for pull-ups at least one year out when midshaft clavicle fractures are treated operatively compared to non-operatively. While similar findings in the literature are based on functional outcome questionnaires, physical fitness performance data has not been reported on to our knowledge.

POSSUM and P-POSSUM Scoring in Hip Fracture Mortalities.

Introduction:Physiological and Operative Severity Score for the enUmeration of Mortality and Morbidity (POSSUM) and Portsmouth POSSUM (P-POSSUM) are general surgical tools used to efficiently assess mortality and morbidity risk. Data suggest that these tools can be used in hip fracture patients to predict morbidity and mortality; however, it is unclear what score indicates a significant risk on a case-by-case basis. We examined the POSSUM and P-POSSUM scores in a group of hip fracture mortalities in order to assess their accuracy in identification of similar high-risk patients.Materials and Methods:Retrospective analysis of all consecutive mortalities in hip fracture patients at a single tertiary care center over 2 years was performed. Patient medical records were examined for baseline demographics, fracture characteristics, surgical interventions, and cause of death. Twelve physiological and 6 operative variables were used to retrospectively calculate POSSUM and P-POSSUM scores at the time of injury.Results:Forty-seven hip fracture mortalities were reviewed. Median patient age was 88 years (range: 56-99). Overall, 68.1% (32) underwent surgical intervention. Mean predicted POSSUM morbidity and mortality rates were 73.9% (28%-99%) and 31.1% (5%-83%), respectively. The mean predicted P-POSSUM mortality rate was 26.4% (1%-91%) and 53.2% (25) had a P-POSSUM predicted mortality of >20%. Subgroup analysis demonstrated poor agreement between predicted mortality and observed mortality rate for POSSUM in operative (χ2 = 127.5, P < .00001) and nonoperative cohorts (χ2 = 14.6, P < .00001), in addition to P-POSSUM operative (χ2 = 101.9, P < .00001) and nonoperative (χ2 = 11.9, P < .00001) scoring.Discussion/Conclusion:Hip fracture patients are at significant risk of both morbidity and mortality. A reliable, replicable, and accurate tool to represent the expected risk of such complications could help facilitate clinical decision-making to determine the optimal level of care. Screening tools such as POSSUM and P-POSSUM have limitations in accurately identifying high-risk hip fracture patients.

Mortality Rates of Humerus Fractures in the Elderly: Does Surgical Treatment Matter?

Multiple studies have shown the impact of hip fractures on geriatric mortality. Few evaluate mortality after proximal humerus (PH) or distal humerus (DH) fractures, and fewer determine differences in mortality based on management. We aim to evaluate a statewide cohort of elderly patients with PH or DH fractures to evaluate mortality, length of stay, discharge data, readmission, and differences based on management. The New York Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System database was used to identify patients 60 years and older admitted with a PH or DH fracture. Patient demographics, including age, gender, sex, race, weight, and insurance status, along with comorbid conditions using the Charlson Comorbidity Index, were determined. Seven-day, 30-day, and 1-year mortality was determined for operative and nonoperative cohorts. Logistic regression determined the competing risk of mortality when controlling for patient demographics, comorbid conditions, and treatment. Forty-two thousand five hundred eleven PH and 7654 DH fractures were evaluated. PH fractures had higher mortality than DH. Nonoperative treatment occurred in 76.2% of PH fractures and 53% of DH fractures. There were more comorbid conditions, longer length of stay, and higher mortality at 7 days, 30 days, and 1 year in patients treated nonoperatively. After controlling for patient demographics and comorbid conditions, there was no difference in mortality between PH and DH fractures, but operative treatment for either PH or DH was associated with lower mortality at all time points. Fewer PH than DH fractures were treated operatively. Operative treatment was associated with improved survival in patients hospitalized with PH or DH fracture even after controlling for patient demographic and comorbid factors. Prognostic Level III. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.