Predictors Of Neonatal Mortality Research Articles

Umbilical blood gas analysis in preeclamptic versus healthy pregnancies with preterm birth

Objective: Comparing the value of umbilical cord arterial blood gas (UC-ABG) analysis in the prediction of neonatal mortality and morbidity in the preeclamptic versus healthy pregnancies with preterm birth. Methods: Eight hundred sixteen preterm (born at <37 gestational weeks) neonates with no other morbidities who were born by cesarean section were evaluated. Immediately after delivery, UC-ABG analysis was performed and the neonates were followed. Results: Preeclamptic women had lower umbilical cord blood (UCB) pH (7.2 4 ± 0.1 versus 7.2 7 ± 0.08, p = 0.008) and higher UCB base deficit (BD) (3.5 ± 3.7 versus 2.2 ± 3.4, p = 0.005) compared with controls. In the preeclamptic group, UCB metabolic acidosis (pH < 7.15 and B.D > 8) was not independently associated with neonatal morbidity or mortality, while in the control group UCB metabolic acidosis was independently associated with low 10-min Apgar (OR, 4.9; 95%CI 1.37–18.03), respiratory distress syndrome (OR, 2.37; 95%CI 1.05–6.17), intraventricular hemorrhage (OR, 3.01; 95%CI 1.13–7.99), and neonatal mortality (OR, 17.33; 95%CI 4.51–66.53). Conclusions: The preterm neonates born to preeclamptic mothers have lower UCB pH and higher BD. In these neonates, UCB acidosis is not independently associated with any adverse neonatal outcomes. In contrast, in the preterm neonates born to healthy mothers, UCB metabolic acidosis is independently associated with neonatal mortality and morbidity.

Predictors of mortality in neonates with meconium aspiration syndrome.

To identify risk factors for mortality in neonates with meconium aspiration syndrome. All neonates (2004-2010) with meconium aspiration syndrome, irrespective of gestation were included. Risk factors were compared between those who died and survived. Out of 172 included neonates, 44 (26%) died. Mean (SD) gestation and birth weight were 37.9 (2.3) weeks and 2545 (646g), respectively. Myocardial dysfunction [aOR 28.4; 95% CI (8.0-101); P<0.001] and higher initial oxygen requirement [aOR 1.04; 95% CI (1.02-1.07); P<0.001] increased odds of dying while a higher birth weight [aOR 0.998; 95% CI (0.997-1.00); P=0.005] reduced the odds of dying. Meconium aspiration syndrome is associated with significant mortality. Myocardial dysfunction, birth weight, and initial oxygen requirement are independent predictors of mortality.

Sildenafil Stimulates and Dexamethasone Inhibits Pulmonary Vascular Development in Congenital Diaphragmatic Hernia Rat Lungs

Background: A predictor of neonatal mortality in infants with congenital diaphragmatic hernia (CDH) is disrupted pulmonary vascular development, clinically expressed as pulmonary hypertension. Objective: To determine if prenatal corticosteroids and phosphodiesterase-5 (PDE-5) inhibitors have a beneficial effect on pulmonary vascular development in CDH lungs. Methods: We induced CDH in fetal rats by giving nitrofen. We then exposed them to dexamethasone or to sildenafil. We separated them into three groups: (1) DEX, 4 pregnant rats received dexamethasone at days E16, E18 and E20; (2) SILD, 4 pregnant rats received sildenafil and <smlcap>L</smlcap>-arginine between E14 and E22, and (3) placebo. We then analyzed the lung of each fetus with CDH at E22. We examined the number of arterioles and arteries, and their percent of medial wall thickness (%MWT). Results: We obtained 30 CDH-positive fetuses. We analyzed 3,560 arterioles and 211 arteries. SILD showed a significant increase in the number of arterioles, but no significant increase in the number of arteries. No change was noted in the arteriolar %MWT. In contrast, DEX showed significant decreases in the number of arterioles and arteries and a significant increase in %MWT. Conclusions: PDE-5 inhibitors may improve pulmonary arteriolar development in fetuses with CDH. In contrast, prenatal corticosteroids could have deleterious effects on arteriolar and arterial development in CDH lungs.

SNAP II and SNAPPE II as Predictors of Neonatal Mortality in a Pediatric Intensive Care Unit: Does Postnatal Age Play a Role?

Introduction. In developing countries, a lack of decentralization of perinatal care leads to many high-risk births occurring in facilities that do not have NICU, leading to admission to a PICU. Objective. To assess SNAP II and SNAPPE II as predictors of neonatal death in the PICU. Methodology. A prospective study of newborns divided into 3 groups according to postnatal age: Group 1 (G1), of 0 to 6 days; Group 2 (G2) of 7 to 14 days; and Group 3 (G3), of 15 to 28 days. Variables analyzed were SNAP II, SNAPPE II, perinatal data, and known risk factors for death. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test and the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve were used with SPSS 17.0 for statistical analysis. An Alpha error <5% was considered significant. Results. We analyzed 290 newborns, including 192 from G1, 41 from G2, and 57 from G3. Mortality was similar in all 3 groups. Median SNAP II was higher in newborns that died in all 3 groups (P < 0.05). The area under the ROC curve for SNAP II for G1 was 0.78 (CI 95% 0.70–0.86), for G2 0.66 (CI 95% 0.37–0.94), and for G3 0.74 (CI 95% 0.53–0.93). The area under the ROC curve for SNAPPE II for G1 was 0.76 (CI 95% 0.67–0.85), for G2 0.60 (CI 95% 0.30–0.90), and for G3 0.74 (CI 95% 0.52–0.95). Conclusions. SNAP II and SNAPPE II showed moderate discrimination in predicting mortality. The results are not strong enough to establish the correlation between the score and the risk of mortality.

Should we forget about centile charts? comparing definitions of fetal growth restriction to predict adverse outcome

BackgroundIntrauterine growth restriction has been linked with adverse outcomes including neonatal death, and diabetes and cardiovascular disease in adulthood. However, there is no consensus regarding definition of growth restriction.ObjectiveTo determine...

Determinantes da mortalidade neonatal: estudo caso-controle em Fortaleza, Ceará, Brasil

This case-control study with 132 cases and 264 controls aimed to determine predictors of neonatal mortality using hierarchical modeling. Cases were defined as newborns that died within 28 days of birth, and controls as the survivors, among infants of mothers living in Fortaleza, Ceará State, Brazil. Hierarchical logistic regression identified factors associated with neonatal death: maternal race, with brown/black race showing a protective effect (OR = 0.23; IC95%: 0.09-0.56), time spent from home to the hospital > 30 minutes (OR = 3.12; 95%CI: 1.34-7.25), time < 1h or > 10 hours between hospital admission and delivery (OR = 2.43; 95%CI: 1.24-4.76), inadequate prenatal care (OR = 2.03; 95%CI: 1.03-3.99), low birth weight (OR = 14.75; 95%CI: 5.26-41.35), prematurity (OR = 3.41; 95%CI: 1.29-8.98), and male gender (OR = 2.09; 95%CI: 1.09-4.03). In this case series, neonatal deaths were associated with the quality of prenatal care and direct care during labor.

459: Antenatal prediction of neonatal mortality after very preterm birth at 25-31 weeks of gestation

459: Antenatal prediction of neonatal mortality after very preterm birth at 25-31 weeks of gestation

Score for Neonatal Acute Physiology Perinatal Extension II (SNAPPE II) as the predictor of neonatal mortality hospitalized in neonatal intensive care unit

Background The assesment of severity of illness with scoringsystem has been used to predict neonatal mortality in neonatalintensive care unit (NICU). Score for Neonatal Acute PhysiologyPerinatal Extension II (SNAPPE II) is the best scoring systemalthough most of the studies were commonly conducted indeveloped countries.Objective To evaluate SNAPPE II as the predictor of neonatalmortality in NICU Hasan Sadikin General Hospital (HSGH)Ban dung.Methods This was a longitudinal observational study. All neonateshospitalized in NICU HSGH during the period of August toNovember 2008 were investigated according to SNAPPE IIrequirements. We excluded subjects admitted more than 48hours of age, who were discharged or moved to intermediatenewborn care ward less than 24 hours after admission. Predictionof mortality and determination of SNAPPE II cut-off point wereanalyzed using logistic regression. Discrimination was analyzedusing receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and calibration wasanalyzed using Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit.Results Forty subjects fulfilled the inclusion criteria. There was agood relation between SNAPPE II and mortality prediction (P =0.007). The cut-off point for predicting mortality was 51. SNAPPEII showed good discrimination with AUC 0.933 (95% CI 0.843to 1.0) and good calibration 1.69 (P = 0.97).Conclusion SNAPPE II can be used to predict neonatal mortalityin NICU similar to that found in developed countries.

Race, Gender, and Clinical Risk Index for Babies (CRIB) Score as Predictors of Severe Retinopathy of Prematurity

To determine whether race, gender, and the Clinical Risk Index for Babies (CRIB) illness severity score are predictors of threshold or severe prethreshold retinopathy of prematurity warranting surgery (ROP warranting surgery) and whether racial and gender differences in ROP are correlated with racial and gender differences in illness severity. This was a retrospective analysis of premature infants 401-1250 g at birth that were admitted to the University Hospital of Cincinnati (January 1998 to May 2003). Birth weight, gestational age, multiple birth, birth in the study hospital or elsewhere, race, gender, CRIB score, and eye findings were abstracted. The outcome variable was ROP warranting surgery. Of 299 patients (596 eyes) with adequate eye and CRIB data, 35 patients (11.7%) [66 eyes; 11.1%] developed ROP warranting surgery. Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that higher CRIB score (P < 0.0001; odds ratio [OR] 1.21), male gender (P < 0.005; OR: 2.68), nonblack race (P < 0.0005; OR: 4.32), lower gestational age, and multiple birth are predictive factors for ROP warranting surgery. Because birth weight and gestational age comprise 2 of the 6 components of the CRIB score, a CRIB subscore (CRIBSUB) consisting of the remaining 4 components was tested and remained a significant predictor (P < 0.00001). Birth weight was a significant predictor when CRIBSUB was in the model but not when the CRIB score was used. The CRIB score was a predictor of neonatal mortality, but race and gender did not predict the CRIB score or neonatal mortality. Nonblack race, male gender, and higher CRIB illness severity scores are predictors of ROP warranting surgery. In our population, there were no racial or gender differences in neonatal mortality or CRIB scores to explain the racial and gender differences in severity of ROP.

Antenatal predictors of neonatal outcome in fetal growth restriction with absent end-diastolic flow in the umbilical artery

Absent end-diastolic blood flow in the umbilical artery identifies growth-restricted fetuses at high risk of perinatal mortality and severe morbidity. We explored antenatal variables predictive of perinatal mortality or severe neonatal morbidity in such fetuses. We accessed a cohort of 39 singleton, non-malformed, growth-restricted fetuses with absent end-diastolic blood flow at less than 34 weeks between January 1995 and December 2004. The ratio of umbilical artery pulsatility index to middle cerebral artery pulsatility index was calculated to assess redistribution of the fetal arterial circulation. Prenatal and neonatal variables were compared between subjects with versus those without perinatal mortality or severe morbidity using unpaired Student t test or Fisher exact test. Statistical analysis included stepwise logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. P < .05 was considered significant. Stepwise logistic regression analysis demonstrated that the last umbilical artery/middle cerebral artery ratio (P = .02) and estimated fetal weight before delivery (P = .02) were independent predictors of adverse neonatal outcome, with an umbilical artery/middle cerebral artery ratio 1.9 or greater having a sensitivity of 75% and a 13% false-positive rate. Umbilical artery/middle cerebral artery ratio alone accounted for 54% of the variability in outcome. Among preterm growth-restricted fetuses with absent end-diastolic blood flow in the umbilical artery, the umbilical artery/middle cerebral artery ratio is the best predictor of neonatal mortality or severe morbidity.

A New Score for Predicting Neonatal Very Low Birth Weight Mortality Risk in the NEOCOSUR South American Network

To develop and validate a model for very low birth weight (VLBW) neonatal mortality prediction, based on commonly available data at birth, in 16 neonatal intensive care units (NICUs) from five South American countries. Prospectively collected biodemographic data from the Neonatal del Cono Sur (NEOCOSUR) Network between October 2000 and May 2003 in infants with birth weight 500 to 1500 g were employed. A testing sample and crossvalidation techniques were used to validate a statistical model for risk of in-hospital mortality. The new risk score was compared with two existing scores by using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The new NEOCOSUR score was highly predictive for in-hospital mortality (AUC=0.85) and performed better than the Clinical Risk Index for Babies (CRIB) and the NICHD risk models when used in the NEOCOSUR Network. The new score is also well calibrated - it had good predictive capability for in-hospital mortality at all levels of risk (HL test=11.9, p=0.85). The new score also performed well when used to predict in hospital neurological and respiratory complications. A new and relatively simple VLBW mortality risk score had a good prediction performance in a South American network population. This is an important tool for comparison purposes among NICUs. This score may prove to be a better model for application in developing countries.

Prenatal diagnosis of Cantrell's pentalogy with conventional and three-dimensional sonography

Omphaloceles and gastroschisis are the most common defects of the fetal anterior abdominal wall. The association of an omphalocele with an anterior thoracic wall defect could result from a variety of congenitalsyndromes of which Cantrell's pentalogy is the most common. For proper surgical scheduling of the neonate, early diagnosis of each of the components of this syndrome is important. The presence of a congenitalintracardiac anomaly is the best predictor of neonatal mortality. We present a case of Cantrell's pentalogy diagnosed prenatally with conventional and three-dimensional sonographic imaging, and confirmedat birth. We discuss this case and the reports in the world literature.

Utility of Tumor Necrosis Factor- and Interleukin-6 as Predictors of Neonatal Mortality in White-Tailed Deer

Utility of Tumor Necrosis Factor- and Interleukin-6 as Predictors of Neonatal Mortality in White-Tailed Deer

PREDICTING NEONATAL MORTALITY AND MORBIDITY: UTILITY OF THE CRIB SCORE.† 1628

The CRIB score (CS) is a risk-adjustment statistical model derived from minimum and maximum FiO2, maximum base deficit and congenital malformation data, as well as gestational age (GA) and birthweight (BW). In the UK CS at≤ 12 hrs of age has been proposed as a better predictor of neonatal mortality (Mort) and morbidity than BW alone.

Use of the CRIB (clinical risk index for babies) score in prediction of neonatal mortality and morbidity.

A prospective study of the outcome of care of a regional cohort of very low birthweight (< 1500 g) and very preterm (< 32 weeks) infants was carried out. Its aims were to assess the ability of the CRIB (clinical risk index for babies) score, rather than gestational age or birthweight, to predict mortality before hospital discharge, neurological morbidity, and length of stay, and to access CRIB score as an indicator of neonatal intensive care performance. 676 live births fulfilled the criteria and complete data were available for 643 (95%). Compared with gestation and birthweight, CRIB was better for the prediction of mortality, was as good for the prediction of morbidity, and was not as good for the prediction of length of stay. CRIB adjusted mortality did not demonstrate better performance in units providing the highest level of care. Either the CRIB score was not sensitive to performance or the level 3 hospitals in this study were performing badly. On the basis of this analysis purchasers and providers of neonatal intensive care cannot yet rely on the CRIB score as a performance indicator.

Predictors of Neonatal Mortality in 1,500???1,999 g Premature Infants with Respiratory Failure

Predictors of Neonatal Mortality in 1,500???1,999 g Premature Infants with Respiratory Failure

Predictors of Neonatal Mortality in 1,500-1,999 g Premature Infants with Respiratory Failure

Despite the introduction of new ventilation techniques and surfactant therapy, some premature infants still experience severe respiratory failure and either die or survive with severe bronchopulmonary dysplasia. Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation is currently not offered for preterm infants with a birth weight less than 2,000 g, mainly because of the potential high risk for intracranial hemorrhage. The aim of this study was to determine risk predictors for mortality alone and for mortality or major lung morbidity in 1,500-1,999 g premature infants with respiratory failure. We reviewed the medical records of all preterm infants (n = 459) with respiratory failure and a birth weight of 1,500-1,999 g treated at five medical centers from 1989 to 1991. Of those infants, 23 (5%) had severe respiratory failure, defined as a requirement for ventilatory support with the fraction of inspired oxygen > or = 0.8 or peak inspiratory pressure > or = 30 cmH2O for > or = 3 hr in the 1st week of life. A mortality of > or = 75% was associated with a single arterial/alveolar oxygen ratio < or = 0.04; pulmonary air leak alone or pulmonary air leak with a mean airway pressure > or = 12 cmH2O; and arterial oxygen tension < or = 50 mmHg. These risk predictors may provide a basis for the selection of patients for future clinical trials of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation in this high-risk group of 1,500-1,999 g premature infants with severe respiratory failure.

Predictors of neonatal mortality in 1,500-1,999 g premature infants with respiratory failure. Basis for ECMO Therapeutic Trial.

Despite the introduction of new ventilation techniques and surfactant therapy, some premature infants still experience severe respiratory failure and either die or survive with severe bronchopulmonary dysplasia. Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation is currently not offered for preterm infants with a birth weight less than 2,000 g, mainly because of the potential high risk for intracranial hemorrhage. The aim of this study was to determine risk predictors for mortality alone and for mortality or major lung morbidity in 1,500-1,999 g premature infants with respiratory failure. We reviewed the medical records of all preterm infants (n = 459) with respiratory failure and a birth weight of 1,500-1,999 g treated at five medical centers from 1989 to 1991. Of those infants, 23 (5%) had severe respiratory failure, defined as a requirement for ventilatory support with the fraction of inspired oxygen > or = 0.8 or peak inspiratory pressure > or = 30 cmH2O for > or = 3 hr in the 1st week of life. A mortality of > or = 75% was associated with a single arterial/alveolar oxygen ratio < or = 0.04; pulmonary air leak alone or pulmonary air leak with a mean airway pressure > or = 12 cmH2O; and arterial oxygen tension < or = 50 mmHg. These risk predictors may provide a basis for the selection of patients for future clinical trials of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation in this high-risk group of 1,500-1,999 g premature infants with severe respiratory failure.

Proportionality of small for gestational age babies as a predictor of neonatal mortality and morbidity

Proportionality of small for gestational age babies as a predictor of neonatal mortality and morbidity

Proportionality of small for gestational age babies as a predictor of neonatal mortality and morbidity

Neonatal mortality and morbidity of 2609 babies who weighed less than the fifth centile for gestational age were studied in order to evaluate the relationship between the type of intrauterine growth retardation and the short-term prognosis after birth. Of these babies, 1175 had both a birthweight and head circumference below the fifth centile ('proportionately small'); the others, whose body weight was below but head circumference above the fifth centile, were defined as 'disproportionately small'. The former group showed a consistently higher risk of death during the neonatal period. Morbidity defined by birth asphyxia, respiratory distress and neonatal infections was higher in those proportionately small babies who were delivered at term. The picture reversed for hyperbilirubinaemia, which was more frequent among disproportionately small babies. Proportionality, defined on the basis of the correspondence between birthweight and head circumference centiles, appears to be a simple and non-invasive clinical method to identify babies who are at higher risk of adverse outcome.