Multivariate Cox Proportional Hazards Analysis Research Articles

Preoperative systemic inflammatory response index as a prognostic marker for distal cholangiocarcinoma after pancreatoduodenectomy

BACKGROUND The relationship between preoperative inflammation status and tumorigenesis as well as tumor progression is widely acknowledged. AIM To assess the prognostic significance of preoperative inflammatory biomarkers in patients with distal cholangiocarcinoma (dCCA) who underwent pancreatoduodenectomy (PD). METHODS This single-center study included 216 patients with dCCA after PD between January 1, 2011, and December 31, 2022. The individuals were categorized into two sets based on their systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI) levels: A low SIRI group (SIRI < 1.5, n = 123) and a high SIRI group (SIRI ≥ 1.5, n = 93). Inflammatory biomarkers were evaluated for predictive accuracy using receiver operating characteristic curves. Both univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards analyses were performed to estimate SIRI for overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS). RESULTS The study included a total of 216 patients, with 58.3% being male and a mean age of 65.6 ± 9.6 years. 123 patients were in the low SIRI group and 93 were in the high SIRI group after PD for dCCA. SIRI had an area under the curve value of 0.674 for diagnosing dCCA, showing better performance than other inflammatory biomarkers. Multivariate analysis indicated that having a SIRI greater than 1.5 independently increased the risk of dCCA following PD, leading to lower OS [hazard ratios (HR) = 1.868, P = 0.006] and RFS (HR = 0.949, P < 0.001). Additionally, survival analysis indicated a significantly better prognosis for patients in the low SIRI group (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION It is determined that a high SIRI before surgery is a significant risk factor for dCCA after PD.

Elevated serum albumin-to-creatinine ratio as a protective factor on clinical outcomes among critically ill patients with sepsis: a retrospective study

BackgroundThe aim of this study was to examine the prognostic significance of serum albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) in critically ill patients with sepsis.MethodsThis retrospective study analyzed sepsis cases admitted to the Affiliated Hospital of Jiangsu University between January 2015 and November 2023. The patients were divided into four groups based on their ACR upon admission to the intensive care unit (ICU). Laboratory data were collected at the time of ICU admission, and the primary outcome measure was in-hospital all-cause mortality. Kaplan–Meier survival curves were generated to illustrate the differences in 30−/60-day mortality among the various groups. Multivariate Cox regression models and restricted cubic splines (RCS) were utilized to explore the association between ACR and all-cause mortality in sepsis patients. Subgroup analyses were conducted to examine the impact of other covariates on the relationship between ACR and all-cause mortality.ResultsA total of 1,123 eligible patients were included in the study, with a median ACR of 0.169. The in-hospital mortality rate was 33.7%, the ICU mortality rate was 31.9%, and the 30-day mortality rate was 28.1%. Kaplan–Meier survival analysis demonstrated that patients with higher ACR had a significantly lower risk of 30−/60-day mortality (log-rank p < 0.001). Multivariable Cox proportional hazards analyses revealed that ACR was an independent predictor of in-hospital death (HR: 0.454, 95% CI 0.271–0.761, p = 0.003), ICU death (HR: 0.498, 95% CI 0.293–0.847, p = 0.010), and 30-day death (HR: 0.399, 95% CI 0.218–0.730, p = 0.003). For each 1-unit increase in ACR, there was a 1.203-fold decrease in the risk of death during the hospital stay. The RCS curve illustrated a non-linear negative correlation between ACR and in-hospital mortality (p for non-linear =0.018), ICU mortality (p for non-linear =0.005), and 30-day mortality (p for non-linear =0.006). Sensitivity analysis indicated consistent effect sizes and directions in different subgroups, confirming the stability of the results.ConclusionLow ACR levels were identified as independent risk factors associated with increased in-hospital, ICU, and 30-day mortality in sepsis patients. ACR can serve as a significant predictor of the clinical outcome of sepsis.

Predicting the Time to Relapse Following Withdrawal from Different Biologics in Patients with Psoriasis who Responded to Therapy: A 12-Year Multicenter Cohort Study.

For patients with psoriasis, discontinuation of biologics following remission has become more common in daily practice. We aimed to identify predictors and construct a predictive model for time to relapse following withdrawal from biologics. This 12-year, multicenter, observational cohort study was performed in six dermatology centers between February 2011 and February 2024. We identified biological treatment episodes in patients with moderate-to-severe psoriasis and included only treatment episodes in which a clinical response (≥50% reduction in Psoriasis Area and Severity Index score [PASI 50] from baseline) was achieved and the patient withdrew from biological therapy with a well-controlled status (PASI <10 and ≥50% improvement in PASI from baseline). The primary outcome was time to relapse, which was defined as the period from the last biologic administration to relapse. An extended multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis (Prentice-Williams-Peterson Gap time model) was used to predict relapse and generate a predictive model. This study screened 1613 biological treatment episodes, and 991 treatment episodes were enrolled. The time to relapse decreased significantly as the number of previous withdrawals from biological treatment increased (p < 0.001). Similarly, the time to relapse decreased significantly as the number of previous biologics used increased (p < 0.001). The maximum PASI improvement during biological treatment decreased and the PASI score at withdrawal of biological treatment increased in parallel as the number of prior withdrawals from biologics increased. The time to relapse following withdrawal was longest for interleukin (IL)-23 inhibitors (IL-23i), followed by the IL-12/23i, IL-17 inhibitors (IL-17i), and tumor necrosis factor-α inhibitors. After adjustment, multivariate Cox regression identified the following significant predictors of relapse following withdrawal: the mechanisms of action of biologics (hazard ratio [HR] for IL-17i vs IL-12/23i, 1.59; HR for IL-23i vs IL-12/23i, 0.60), number of previous withdrawals from biological treatment (HR 1.23; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.13‒1.33), time to achieve PASI 50 (HR 1.01; 95% CI 1.00‒1.02), maximum PASI improvement on biologics (HR 0.98; 95% CI 0.98‒0.99), and PASI at the end of therapy (HR 1.03; 95% CI 1.01‒1.05). The model had good predictive and discriminative ability. These results have the potential to help physicians and patients make individualized treatment decisions; information on the risk of relapse of psoriasis at specific timepoints following the withdrawal of biologics is particularly valuable for patients considering discontinuation of biologics or as-needed biologic therapy. However, the benefit and risk of repeated withdrawals of biologics should be carefully weighed, as the treatment efficacy and duration of remission decline as the number of withdrawals increases.

Impact of Cardio-Ankle Vascular Index on Future Cancer in Patients With Coronary Artery Disease.

Cardiovascular risk factors are associated with increased risk of future cancer. However, the relationship between quantitative parameters of atherosclerosis and future cancer risk is unclear. A total of 1,057 consecutive patients with coronary artery disease was divided into 2 groups according to the cutoff value of the cardio-ankle vascular index (CAVI) derived by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis: low CAVI group (CAVI <8.82; n=487), and high CAVI group (CAVI ≥8.82; n=570). Patients in the high CAVI group were older and had a higher prevalence of diabetes, chronic kidney disease, anemia and history of stroke compared with patients in the low CAVI group. There were 141 new cancers during the follow-up period. The cumulative incidence of new cancer was significantly higher in the high CAVI group than in the low CAVI group (P=0.001). In a multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis, high CAVI was found to be an independent predictor of new cancer diagnosis (hazard ratio 1.62; 95% confidence interval 1.11-2.36; P=0.012). In the analysis of individual cancer types, high CAVI was associated with lung cancer (hazard ratio 2.85; 95% confidence interval 1.01-8.07; P=0.049). High CAVI was associated with the risk of future cancer in patients with coronary artery disease.

Predictors of Unplanned Health Care Utilization Among Children with Inflammatory Bowel Disease in a Rural Region of the Southeastern US.

Pediatric Inflammatory Bowel Disease (IBD) imposes significant healthcare costs and strains emergency services. This study aimed to identify factors associated with unplanned healthcare usage among children with IBD in a rural, medically underserved region in the southeastern United States. In this retrospective cohort study, we analyzed children (<18years) with moderate or severe IBD followed at an academic pediatric gastroenterology clinic between 2016 and 2021. Each planned visit was treated as a separate observation, and patients were followed after each planned visit until the occurrence of the earliest unplanned healthcare event, until the next planned visit, or until censoring. In our analysis of 471 planned visits from 70 children with IBD, we observed 84 (18%) unplanned visits within 12months, with 39 of these visits related to IBD. Unplanned visits occurred at a median interval of 39 days, predominantly to the emergency department (ED). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis revealed a higher hazard of unplanned visits among female patients, individuals with elevated C-reactive protein levels and anemia, those covered by Medicaid insurance, and those residing closer to the clinic. This study elucidates the challenges faced by children with IBD in rural settings. By identifying factors associated with unplanned healthcare utilization, we can better pinpoint patients who may benefit from targeted interventions to reduce such visits.

Retinoblastoma Outcomes Based on the 8th Edition American Joint Committee on Cancer Pathological Classification in 1411 Patients

PurposeTo evaluate the outcomes of retinoblastoma (RB) based on the 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) pathological classification in a global cohort of patients. DesignRetrospective, multicentre, intercontinental collaborative study Participants1411 patients Intervention(s)Primary enucleation with/without adjuvant chemotherapy/radiotherapy Main outcomes(s)Orbital tumor recurrence, tumor-related metastasis, tumor-related death ResultsBased on the 8th edition AJCC pathological classification, 645 (46%) eyes belonged to pT1, 164 (11%) to pT2, 493 (35%) to pT3, and 109 (8%) to pT4 categories. At a mean follow-up of 38 months (median, 35 months; <1-149 months), orbital tumor recurrence was seen in 8 (1%), 5 (3%), 22 (4%) and 25 (23%) of pT1, pT2, pT3, and pT4 (p<0.001) categories, respectively; tumor-related metastasis was seen in 7 (1%), 5 (3%), 40 (8%), and 46 (43%) of pT1, pT2, pT3, and pT4 (p<0.001) categories, respectively; tumor-related death was seen in 12 (2%), 7 (4%), 64 (13%), and 64 (59%) of pT1, pT2, pT3, and pT4 (p<0.001) categories, respectively. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis of outcomes revealed pT category and adjuvant therapy as independent predictors of outcomes. Categories pT3b (p=0.005), pT3c (p<0.001), pT3d (p<0.001), and pT4 (p<0.001) had a greater hazard for orbital recurrence; categories pT2a (p=0.015), pT3a (p<0.001), pT3b (p<0.001), pT3c (p<0.001), pT3d (p<0.001) and pT4 (p<0.001) had a greater hazard for tumor-related metastasis; and categories pT2a (p=0.068), pT2b (p=0.004), pT3a (p<0.001), pT3b (p<0.001), pT3c (p<0.001), pT3d (p<0.001) and pT4 (p<0.001) had a greater hazard for tumor-related death when compared to the pT1 category. Patients who did not receive adjuvant therapy had greater hazards of orbital tumor recurrence in categories pT3b (p=0.005), pT3c (p=0.003), and pT4 (p=0.002); greater hazards of tumor-related metastasis in categories pT3a (p=0.001), pT3b (p=0.01), pT3c (p=0.001), and pT4 (p=0.007); and tumor-related death in categories pT3a (p<0.001), pT3b (p=0.009), pT3c (p=0.018), and pT4 (p<0.001) when compared to those who received adjuvant therapy. ConclusionThe 8th edition AJCC pathological classification predicts outcomes in patients undergoing primary enucleation for RB, and adjuvant therapy is associated with a lower risk of orbital recurrence, tumor-related metastasis, and tumor-related death in the pT3 and pT4 categories.

Prognostic significance of ratio of P-wave duration to P-wave vector magnitude for mortality in acute anterior myocardial infarction

BackgroundThe impact of P-wave abnormality in acute anterior MI, where the culprit vessel is the left anterior descending artery, remains undetermined. This study aimed to elucidate the impact of P-wave morphology on clinical outcomes in acute anterior MI. MethodsPatients undergoing emergent percutaneous coronary intervention for acute anterior MI were enrolled between September 2014 and April 2019 (derivation cohort) and May 2019 through July 2023 (validation cohort). P-wave duration (Pd) and P-wave vector magnitude (Pvm) were measured. The Pvm was calculated as the square root of the sum of the squared P-wave magnitudes in leads II and V6 and one-half of the P-wave amplitude in V2. The patients were categorized into high and low Pd/Pvm groups using a statistically derived cut-off value. The endpoint comprised the composite of heart failure (HF) hospitalization and all-cause death. ResultsConsecutive 426 patients were enrolled in this study (derivation cohort, 213 patients; validation cohort, 216 patients). The calculated cut-off value of Pd/Pvm for predicting the clinical endpoint, determined through receiver operating curve analysis, was 793.5 ms/mV (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.85, sensitivity of 73.8 %, and specificity of 94.0 %) in the derivation cohort. Kaplan-Meier analyses revealed a significantly higher risk of the endpoint in patients with high Pd/Pvm than those with low Pd/Pvm in derivation and validation cohorts (Log-rank p < 0.001 and p < 0.001, respectively). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis identified advanced age, elevated Pd/Pvm, and reduced left ventricular ejection fraction as independent and significant factors associated with the endpoint in the validation cohort (p = 0.008, p < 0.001, and p < 0.001, respectively). ConclusionHigh Pd/Pvm was significantly associated with the composite of HF hospitalization and all-cause death after acute anterior MI.

Relationship between left atrial/left ventricular diameter ratio and outcomes in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy

BackgroundAlthough diastolic dysfunction is the main pathophysiological feature of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM), it remains to be clarified whether parameters of diastolic function can reliably determine HCM prognosis. In patients with reduced left ventricular (LV) distensibility, chronic elevation of LV diastolic pressure is seen with a smaller than expected LV size. Accordingly, patients with HCM with severe LV diastolic dysfunction typically demonstrate left atrial (LA) dilation and a disproportionately smaller left ventricle. Therefore, we investigated the relationship between LA/LV diameter ratio, as a potential indicator of disease progression, and outcomes in patients with HCM. MethodsWe included 468 patients in whom LA and LV end-diastolic diameter were successfully evaluated by echocardiography at the initial assessment. We divided the patients into two groups: those with an LA/LV diameter ratio > 1 and those with an LA/LV diameter ratio ≤ 1. We compared the HCM-related death rates between the two groups. ResultsOf the 468 patients, 96 patients (20.5 %) with HCM showed an LA/LV diameter ratio > 1. In the univariate analysis, patients with an LA/LV diameter ratio > 1 had a significantly greater likelihood of HCM-related death than patients with an LA/LV diameter ratio ≤ 1 (log-rank p = 0.002). In the multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis, when including LA/LV diameter ratio > 1 and imbalanced baseline variables, an LA/LV diameter ratio > 1 was an independent determinant of HCM-related death (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.87, 95 % confidence interval: 1.08–3.24; p = 0.024). ConclusionLA/LV diameter ratio can be easily evaluated and may be useful for risk stratification of HCM-related death in patients with HCM.

Association of Age and Neurological Severity at Intensive Care Unit Admission With Driving Resumption Within 30 Days of Stroke: A Single-Center Historical Cohort Study.

Objectives Guidelines in several countries recommend against driving soon after a stroke; however, some patients resume driving within one month after onset. This study aimed to examine the relationship between neurological and social background factors at intensive care unit (ICU) admission and resumption of motor vehicle driving within 30 days of the first acute stroke/cerebral hemorrhage. Materials and methods Data were extracted from medical records of a single center linked to the National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center Administration Office for Stroke Data Bank in Japan. The data included age, sex, Japan Coma Scale (JCS), National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS), employment status, family situation, and outcomes of driving resumption in patients with a valid driving license transported to the ICU within 24 hours of stroke onset. Time-to-event analysis was used to explore the associations between these factors and driving resumption, with data censored 30 days from onset. Results In total, 239 patients had complete medical records, of whom 66 resumed driving. A multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that fewer patients aged ≥65 years resumed driving than those aged <65 years (hazard ratio 0.46; 95% confidence interval: 0.25-0.84; p=0.009). Patients with NIHSS scores ≥5 and JCS scores ≥1 were also less likely to resume driving compared with those with scores <5 (0.22; 0.08-0.56; p=0.008) and 0 (0.13; 0.04-0.37; p<0.001), respectively. Conclusions Age, NIHSS score, and JCS score at ICU admission are independently associated with the likelihood of resuming driving within 30 days of stroke onset. These findings may aid with the provision of support and education to facilitate the efficient resumption of driving after an acute event.

Prognostic roles of neutrophil–lymphocyte, monocyte-lymphocyte and platelet-lymphocyte ratios for long-term all-cause mortality in heart failure

BackgroundHeart failure (HF) and inflammation have a bidirectional relation leading to activation and adaptation of multiple cellular lines, including leucocyte subtypes and platelets. We aimed to assess and compare the predictive value of the neutrophil–lymphocyte (NLR), monocyte-lymphocyte (MLR) and platelet-lymphocyte (PLR) ratios for all-cause long-term mortality in HF. MethodsThis is an observational retrospective cohort study that included patients from the HI-HF cohort that survived the initial hospitalization. Vital status and survival time were assessed in June 2020. ResultsWe analyzed 1018 HF patients with a mean age of 72.32 ± 10.29 years and 53.54 % women. All-cause long-term mortality was 38.21 % after a median follow-up time of 68 [38 – 82] months. NLR (AUC 0.667, 95 %CI 0.637 – 0.697), MLR (AUC 0.670, 95 %CI 0.640 – 0.700) and PLR (AUC 0.606, 95 %CI 0.574 – 0.636) were predictors of all-cause mortality. In multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis, NLR≥3.56 was the only hematological index independent predictor of fatality (HR 1.36, 95 %CI 1.05 – 1.76). ConclusionsOf the three hematological indices, NLR was the only independent predictor of all-cause long-term mortality of HF patients. We suggest NLR≥3.56 as an auxiliary prognostic biomarker for the evaluation of HF patients.

Long-term outcomes of laparoscopic versus open total gastrectomy in patients with advanced gastric cancer after neoadjuvant chemotherapy: a retrospective cohort study

BackgroundThis study was conducted to investigate the long-term outcomes of laparoscopic total gastrectomy (LTG) versus open total gastrectomy (OTG) in patients with advanced gastric cancer (AGC) after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT).MethodsPatients with AGC who received NACT before surgery were enrolled in either the LTG or OTG group. Propensity score matching (PSM) (1:2) was performed between the two groups based on the propensity score using a 0.15 calliper width. Three-year overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were compared between these two groups before and after PSM. OS and DFS rates were calculated by the Kaplan‒Meier method, and any differences in survival were evaluated with a log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards analyses were used to estimate the simultaneous effects of prognostic factors on survival and the hazard ratio (HR) between LTG and OTG patients.ResultsA total of 144 patients completed the follow-up, with 24 patients in the LTG group and 120 patients in the OTG group. After a mean follow-up of 64.40 months, there were no significant differences in the 3-year OS or DFS rates between the two groups before (P = 0.453 and P = 0.362, respectively) or after PSM (P = 0.972 and P = 0.884, respectively). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis indicated that ypN stage was an independent risk factor for worse OS (P = 0.013).ConclusionsThis study showed that LTG with D2 lymphadenectomy performed by an experienced surgical team resulted in comparable 3-year OS and DFS compared with OTG in patients with AGC after NACT.Trial registrationThis study is not registered.

Disparities in the access to atrial fibrillation ablation in Denmark: who gets ablated, who neglected?

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common arrhythmia associated with reduced quality of life that can lead to serious complications such as stroke and heart failure. Ablation is a safe and effective treatment for AF but is not offered equally to all patients. The aim of this study is to identify demographic groups more or less likely to undergo AF ablation. All patients with newly diagnosed AF between 2010 and 2018 were identified in the Danish nationwide registries. The association between gender, age, level of education and attachment to the job market, and the likelihood of receiving AF ablation was investigated using multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis. Cumulative incidence was calculated using the Aalen-Johansen estimator. A total of 176 248 patients were included. Men were more likely to receive ablation than women (7% vs. 3%). Patients aged 25-44 and 45-64 were most likely to receive ablation, while only 0.7% of patients aged 80 or above received ablation. The rate of ablation significantly decreased with decreasing level of education. Full-time employed patients were most likely to receive ablation, followed by self-employed, unemployed, on sick leave, undergoing education, and early retired patients. Retired patients were the least likely to receive ablation (3%). This study found that women, older patients, patients with lower levels of education, and patients on social benefits are less likely to receive AF ablation. These findings suggest that there are significant social and economic disparities in AF ablation treatment in Denmark.

Prognostic Factors in Japanese EGFR Mutation-Positive Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer: A Real-World Single-Center Retrospective Cohort Study.

The prognosis of patients with epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation-positive lung cancer has improved significantly since the advent of EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitors (EGFR-TKIs). We aimed to investigate the relationship between patient characteristics, EGFR genotype, therapeutic agents, and the prognosis of the patients with EGFR mutation-positive lung cancer. This retrospective cohort study analyzed 198 Japanese patients with unresectable EGFR mutation-positive lung cancer who were treated with EGFR-TKIs at Toho University Sakura Medical Center from April 2006 to December 2021. Factors associated with overall survival (OS) were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards analysis. Patients who received osimertinib had a significantly longer OS than did those not receiving it (median OS, 36.2 versus 20.7 months; p < 0.001).There were significant differences in OS between patients with EGFR mutation who received osimertinib as first-line treatment, T790M-positive patients who received osimertinib as second- or later-line treatment, and those who did not receive it (median OS, 28.2 versus 40.2 versus 20.7 months; p = 0.003). However, in T790M-negative patients, no significant difference in OS was noted between those who did and did not receive osimertinib as post-treatment (median OS, 28.0 versus 40.0 months; p = 0.619). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that osimertinib treatment was associated with longer OS (hazard ratio, 0.480; 95% confidence interval, 0.326-0.707; p < 0.001). The patients who were T790M-positive in the first-line treatment with first or second-generation EGFR-TKIs and were given osimertinib as the second or later line treatment had a better prognosis than the patients who were T790M-negative in the first-line treatment with first or second-generation EGFR-TKIs and could not receive osimertinib.

Different Associations between Lipid Levels and Risk for Heart Failure according to Diabetes Progression.

The relationship between circulating lipid levels and the risk for heart failure (HF) is controversial. We aimed to examine this association, and whether it is modified by the duration of diabetes or treatment regimens in people with type 2 diabetes mellitus. Individuals (n=2,439,978) who underwent health examinations in 2015 to 2016 were identified from the Korean National Health Information Database. Subjects were categorized according to the duration of diabetes (new-onset, <5, 5-10, or ≥10 years) and number of antidiabetic medications. Incident HF was defined according to the International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision (ICD-10) code I50 as the primary diagnosis during hospitalization. The risk for HF was estimated using multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis. During a median follow-up of 4.0 years, 151,624 cases of HF occurred. An inverse association between low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels and incident HF was observed in the new-onset diabetes group, with an approximately 25% lower risk in those with LDL-C levels of 100-129, 130-159, and ≥160 mg/dL, compared to those with levels <70 mg/dL. However, J-shaped associations were noted in the long-standing diabetes group, with a 16% higher risk in those with LDL-C level ≥160 mg/dL, compared to those with levels <70 mg/dL. Similar patterns were observed in the relationship between total cholesterol or non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and the risk for HF, and when subjects were grouped according to the number of antidiabetic medications instead of diabetes duration. Different associations between lipid levels and the risk for HF were noted according to disease progression status among individuals with diabetes.

Comparison of treatment strategies based on clinical and pathological nodal status in resectable gastric adenocarcinoma.

To determine the optimal multimodal treatment strategy between perioperative chemotherapy (PEC), postoperative chemoradiation therapy (POCR), and postoperative chemotherapy (POC) in resected gastric cancer (GC) patients based on nodal status. In this retrospective analysis, the National Cancer Database was used to identify resected non-metastatic GC (2006-2016). Patients were stratified by clinical nodal status-negative (cLN-) and positive (cLN+). In patients with cLN- disease who underwent upfront resection and were upstaged to pathological LN+, overall survival (OS) was compared between POC and POCR. In patients with cLN- and cLN+ disease, OS was compared between PEC, POCR, and POC. Kaplan-Meier survival estimate, log-rank test, and multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis were performed. We identified 7827 patients (cLN- 4828; cLN+ 2999). On multivariable analysis in patients with cLN- disease who underwent upfront resection (n = 4314) and were upstaged to pLN+ disease (70%), POCR (n = 2300, aHR 0.78, 95% CI 0.70-0.87, p < 0.001) was associated with improved OS compared to POC (n = 907). No significant difference was noted between POCR (n = 766, aHR 1.11, 95% CI 0.88-1.40, p = 0.39) and POC (n = 341) in patients with pLN- disease. On multivariable analysis in all patients with cLN- disease, POCR (n = 3066) was significantly associated with improved OS (aHR 0.84, 95% CI 0.75-0.92, p < 0.01) compared to POC (n = 1248). No significant difference was noted between POCR (aHR 1.0, 95% CI 0.70-1.01, p = 0.958) and PEC (n = 514). These results remained consistent in patients with cLN+ disease (POCR = 1602, POC = 720, PEC = 677). Postoperative chemoradiation is associated with improved survival in GC patients upstaged from clinically node-negative disease to pathologically node-positive disease. Negative clinical nodal disease status is not a reliable indicator of pathological nodal disease.

Monocyte to high-density lipoprotein ratio based prognostic nomogram for patients following allogeneic vascular replacement pancreaticoduodenectomy.

Preoperative immune-inflammatory condition influencing the metabolism of malignancies. We sought to investigate the prognostic value of a novel immune-inflammatory metabolic marker, the monocyte-to-high-density lipoprotein ratio (MHR), in patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer. A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 118 patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer and obstructive jaundice who underwent allogeneic vascular replacement pancreaticoduodenectomy in our hospital from Apr. 2011 to Dec. 2023. To assess the predictive capacity of immune-inflammatory metabolic marker, we utilized the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) and assessed the predictive potential of MHR in forecasting outcomes through both univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard analyses. The area under AUC for MHR in predicting 1-year postoperative survival was 0.714, with an optimal cutoff value of 1.184, yielding a sensitivity of 78.9% and specificity of 66.2%. Based on this cutoff value, patients were divided into a low MHR group (MHR ≤1.184, n = 61) and a high MHR group (MHR >1.184, n = 57). The median survival times for the low and high MHR groups were 27.0 months and 12.0 months, respectively (χ2 = 30.575, p < 0.001), and the median DFS were 18.0 months and 8.0 months, respectively (χ2 = 26.330, p < 0.001). Univariate and multivariate analyses indicated that preoperative MHR, preoperative creatinine, operation duration, and TNM stage were independent predictors of postoperative mortality, while preoperative MHR, preoperative creatinine, and TNM stage were independent predictors of postoperative recurrence risk. MHR, as an independent immune-inflammatory metabolic predictor of OS and DFS in patients with advanced PC after pancreaticoduodenectomy. Early monitoring and reduction of MHR may be of great significance in improving prognosis.

Malnutrition stratified by marasmus and kwashiorkor in adult patients with heart failure

Malnutrition is classified into marasmus and kwashiorkor in children. However, the clinical significance of these aspects is unclear in adult patients with heart failure (HF). We divided 2308 adult patients with HF into four groups according to marasmus type (body mass index < 18.5 kg/m2) and kwashiorkor type (serum albumin < 3.4 g/dL) malnutrition: Group C (no malnutrition, n = 1511, 65.5%), Group M (marasmus type malnutrition, n = 133, 5.8%), Group K (kwashiorkor type malnutrition, n = 554, 24.0%) and Group MK (marasmic-kwashiorkor type malnutrition, n = 110, 4.8%). Group M showed the lowest blood pressure. Groups K and MK showed higher levels of B-type natriuretic peptide. Right atrial pressure was lowest in Groups M and MK. Kaplan-Meir analysis demonstrated that Group MK had the lowest event-free rate of all-cause death and cardiac death. In the multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis, Groups M, K, and MK were associated with all-cause death (hazard ratio 1.790, 1.657 and 2.313, respectively) and cardiac death (hazard ratio 2.053, 1.855 and 3.001, respectively) compared to Group C as a reference. Marasmus type and kwashiorkor type malnutrition are associated with distinct profiles and high mortality, and marasmic-kwashiorkor type malnutrition has the poorest prognosis.

Risk Factors for Heart Failure and Coronary Artery Disease Mortality Based on the National Vital Statistics During a 25-Year Follow-up in Japan - NIPPON DATA90.

Prevention of heart failure (HF) is a public health issue. Using the National Vital Statistics, we explored risk factors for HF and coronary artery disease (CAD) mortality. Altogether, 7,556 Japanese individuals aged ≥30 years in 1990 were followed over 25 years; of these, 139 and 154 died from HF and CAD, respectively. In multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis, common risk factors for CAD and HF mortality were hypertension (hazard ratio [HR] 1.48 [95% confidence interval {CI} 1.00-2.20] and 2.31 [95% CI 1.48-3.61], respectively), diabetes (HR 2.52 [95% CI 1.63-3.90] and 2.07 [95% CI 1.23-3.50], respectively), and current smoking (HR 2.05 [95% CI 1.27-3.31) and 1.86 [95% CI 1.10-3.15], respectively). Specific risk factors for CAD were male sex, chronic kidney disease, history of cardiovascular disease, and both abnormal T and Q waves, with HRs (95% CIs) of 1.75 (1.05-2.92), 1.78 (1.19-2.66), 2.50 (1.62-3.88), and 11.4 (3.64-36.0), respectively. Specific factors for HF were current drinking (HR 0.43; 95% CI 0.24-0.78) and non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C; HR 0.81; 95% CI 0.67-0.98). There was an inverse association between non-HDL-C and HF in those aged ≥65 years (HR 0.71; 95% CI 0.56-0.90), but not in those aged <65 years. We identified common risk factors for HF and CAD deaths; a history of cardiovascular disease was a specific risk for CAD.

Exploring the diagnostic and prognostic significance of circulating tumor cells in stage II-IV colorectal cancer using a nano-based detection method.

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a leading cause of cancer mortality globally, underscoring the urgency for a noninvasive and effective biomarker to enhance patient prognosis. Circulating tumor cells (CTCs), a potential marker for real-time tumor monitoring, are limited in clinical utility due to the low sensitivity of existing detection methods. Previously, we introduced a novel Nano-based CTCs detection method that relies on the electrical properties of cell surfaces, thus eliminating thereby obviating the need for specific molecular biomarkers. In this study, we employed this technique to evaluate the diagnostic and prognostic value of CTCs in stage II-IV CRC. A total of 194 participants were included, consisting of 136 CRC patients and 58 healthy individuals. The peripheral blood of the participants was collected, and CTCs enumeration was performed utilizing the Nano-based detection method that we newly developed. The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve and multivariate Cox proportional-hazards analysis were employed to assess the effectiveness of CTCs for diagnosing CRC and predicting patient prognosis. The Nano-based method demonstrated an ability to differentiate CRC patients from healthy individuals with a sensitivity of 84.6% and a specificity of 94.8%. Furthermore, baseline CTCs levels were predictive of progression-free survival (PFS) in CRC patients, with lower levels associated with longer PFS compared to higher levels (4.5 months vs. 8.0 months at 15 CTCs/mL, p = 0.016; 4.4 months vs. 8.0 months at 20 CTCs/mL, p = 0.028). We also explored the dynamic changes in the number of CTCs after 1-5 cycles of chemotherapy. Patients with increasing CTCs levels typically experienced disease progression (PD), while those with decreasing levels often achieved a partial response (PR) or maintained stable disease (SD). These findings suggest that the dynamic fluctuations in CTCs counts are closely tied to the clinical course of the disease. Our study indicates the potential of Nano-based CTCs detection in diagnosing and predicting outcomes for patients with stage II-IV CRC.

Validation of an AI-based solution for breast cancer risk stratification using routine digital histopathology images

BackgroundStratipath Breast is a CE-IVD marked artificial intelligence-based solution for prognostic risk stratification of breast cancer patients into high- and low-risk groups, using haematoxylin and eosin (H&E)-stained histopathology whole slide images (WSIs). In this validation study, we assessed the prognostic performance of Stratipath Breast in two independent breast cancer cohorts.MethodsThis retrospective multi-site validation study included 2719 patients with primary breast cancer from two Swedish hospitals. The Stratipath Breast tool was applied to stratify patients based on digitised WSIs of the diagnostic H&E-stained tissue sections from surgically resected tumours. The prognostic performance was evaluated using time-to-event analysis by multivariable Cox Proportional Hazards analysis with progression-free survival (PFS) as the primary endpoint.ResultsIn the clinically relevant oestrogen receptor (ER)-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative patient subgroup, the estimated hazard ratio (HR) associated with PFS between low- and high-risk groups was 2.76 (95% CI: 1.63–4.66, p-value < 0.001) after adjusting for established risk factors. In the ER+/HER2- Nottingham histological grade (NHG) 2 subgroup, the HR was 2.20 (95% CI: 1.22–3.98, p-value = 0.009) between low- and high-risk groups.ConclusionThe results indicate an independent prognostic value of Stratipath Breast among all breast cancer patients, as well as in the clinically relevant ER+/HER2- subgroup and the NHG2/ER+/HER2- subgroup. Improved risk stratification of intermediate-risk ER+/HER2- breast cancers provides information relevant for treatment decisions of adjuvant chemotherapy and has the potential to reduce both under- and overtreatment. Image-based risk stratification provides the added benefit of short lead times and substantially lower cost compared to molecular diagnostics and therefore has the potential to reach broader patient groups.