The purpose of the study is to evaluate the effectiveness of the system for protecting a mobileprotected object from a small unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV). In connection with the peculiarityof the construction of the protection system for a mobile object, associated with the movementsynchronously with the object of the critical zone, into which the UAV should not fall, it was necessaryto develop a method and a mathematical model for assessing the effectiveness of the UAV. As an indicator of efficiency, the probability of diverting the UAV from the critical zone was taken.It is analyzed that the removal of the UAV from the critical zone is carried out due to the timelydetection of the UAV and its transition from navigation using the signals of satellite navigationsystems to the onboard inertial navigation system. The timeliness of detection is determined by thedetection range of the UA. The detection range is determined, first of all, by the parameters of thedetection means themselves, the topology of their placement, the size of the critical zone aroundthe protected object, and the direction of movement of the UAV. The size of the critical zone isdetermined by the danger of video filming from the UAV or payload drop. The direction of movementof the UAV most vulnerable to the protected object is the movement to the meeting point withthe protected object. The results of the analysis and the developed algorithms for the functioningof the protection system against a small UAV were taken into account when developing a mathematicalmodel for assessing the effectiveness of protecting a protected object. Due to the fact thatsome of the parameters of the BVS are not known in advance, their values were played withequiprobability. The method of statistical tests (Monte Carlo method) was used to calculate theefficiency indicator. In each test, random parameters of the UAV were played out, initial datawere set, the processes of movement of the protected object and the UAV, changes in the positionof the critical zone were reproduced, the UAV hitting the viewing areas of the detection tools,moving away from the general course of the UAV and getting into the limits of the critical zonewere evaluated. The developed method and mathematical model for evaluating the effectivenessmade it possible to conduct a numerical experiment aimed at assessing the influence of the UAVspeed on the protection efficiency of a mobile guarded object. The results of the work can be usedin the design and development of a system for protecting a protected object from UA, in a comparativeanalysis of alternative systems for protecting against UA. The proposed method and mathematicalmodel can also be used in the underwater marine environment when evaluating the effectivenessof protecting a protected inhabited / uninhabited object from marine robotic systems.
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