Low Equivalent Potential Temperature Air Research Articles

Combined Effects of Midlevel Dry Air and Vertical Wind Shear on Tropical Cyclone Development. Part II: Radial Ventilation

AbstractThis study demonstrates how midlevel dry air and vertical wind shear (VWS) can modulate tropical cyclone (TC) development via radial ventilation. A suite of experiments was conducted with different combinations of initial midlevel moisture and VWS environments. Two radial ventilation structures are documented. The first structure is positioned in a similar region as rainband activity and downdraft ventilation (documented in Part I) between heights of 0 and 3 km. Parcels associated with this first structure transport low–equivalent potential temperature air inward and downward left of shear and upshear to suppress convection. The second structure is associated with the vertical tilt of the vortex and storm-relative flow between heights of 5 and 9 km. Parcels associated with this second structure transport low–relative humidity air inward upshear and right of shear to suppress convection. Altogether, the modulating effects of radial ventilation on TC development are the inward transport of low–equivalent potential temperature air, as well as low-level radial outflow upshear, which aid in reducing the areal extent of strong upward motions, thereby reducing the vertical mass flux in the inner core, and stunting TC development.

Effect of Unidirectional Vertical Wind Shear on Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change—Lower‐Layer Shear Versus Upper‐Layer Shear

AbstractIn this study, a quadruply nested, nonhydrostatic tropical cyclone (TC) model is used to investigate how the structure and intensity of a mature TC respond differently to imposed lower‐layer and upper‐layer unidirectional environmental vertical wind shears (VWSs). Results show that TC intensity in both cases decrease shortly after the VWS is imposed but with quite different subsequent evolutions. The TC weakens much more rapidly for a relatively long period in the upper‐layer shear than in the lower‐layer shear, which is found to be related to the stronger storm‐relative asymmetric flow in the middle‐upper troposphere and the larger vertical vortex tilt in the former than in the latter. The stronger storm‐relative flow in the former imposes a greater ventilation of the warm core in the middle‐upper troposphere, leading to a more significant weakening of the storm. The storm in the lower‐layer shear only weakens initially after the VWS is imposed but then experiences a quasi periodic intensity oscillation with a period of about 24 hr. This quasi periodic behavior is found to be closely related to the boundary layer thermodynamic “discharge/recharge” mechanism associated with the activity of shear‐induced outer spiral rainbands. There is no significant intensity oscillation for the storm embedded in the upper‐layer shear, even though outer spiral rainbands develop quasi periodically also. The boundary layer inflow is very weak in that case and the low equivalent potential temperature air induced by downdrafts in outer spiral rainbands therefore cannot penetrate into the inner core but remains in the outer region.

Impacts of Evaporation of Rainwater on Tropical Cyclone Structure and Intensity—A Revisit

Abstract The impact of evaporation of rainwater on tropical cyclone (TC) intensity and structure is revisited in this study. Evaporative cooling can result in strong downdrafts and produce low–equivalent potential temperature air in the inflow boundary layer, particularly in the region outside the eyewall, significantly suppressing eyewall convection and reducing the final intensity of a TC. Different from earlier findings, results from this study show that outer rainbands still form but are short lived in the absence of evaporation. Evaporation of rainwater is shown to facilitate the formation of outer rainbands indirectly by reducing the cooling due to melting of ice particles outside the inner core, not by the cold-pool dynamics, as previously believed. Only exclusion of evaporation in the eyewall region or the rapid filamentation zone has a very weak effect on the inner-core size change of a TC, whereas how evaporation in the outer core affects the inner-core size depends on how active the inner rainbands are. More (less) active inner rainbands may lead to an increase (a decrease) in the inner-core size.

Mechanism of Concentric Eyewall Replacement Cycles and Associated Intensity Change*

Abstract To understand the mechanisms responsible for the secondary eyewall replacement cycles and associated intensity changes in intense tropical cyclones (TCs), two numerical experiments are conducted in this study with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. In the experiments, identical initial conditions and model parameters are utilized except that the concentration of ice particles is enhanced in the sensitivity run. With enhanced ice concentrations, it is found that the secondary eyewall forms at an increased radius, the time required for eyewall replacement is extended, and the intensity fluctuation is relatively large. The enhanced concentrations of ice particles at the upper tropospheric outflow layer produces a noticeable subsidence region (moat) surrounding the primary eyewall. The presence of the moat forces the secondary eyewall to form at a relatively large radius. The axisymmetric equivalent potential temperature budget analysis reveals that the demise of the inner eyewall is primarily due to the interception of the boundary layer inflow supply of entropy by the outer convective ring, whereas the advection of low entropy air from the middle levels to the boundary inflow layers in the moat is not essential. The interception process becomes inefficient when the secondary eyewall is at a large radius; hence, the corresponding eyewall replacement is slow. After the demise of the inner eyewall, the outer eyewall has to maintain a warm core not only in the previous eye, but also in the moat. The presence of low equivalent potential temperature air in the moat results in the significant weakening of storm intensity. The results found here suggest that monitoring the features of the moat and the outer eyewall region can provide a clue for the prediction of TC intensity change associated with eyewall replacement.

Impact of Secondary Eyewall Heating on Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change*

Abstract The primary goal of this study is to explore the factors that might influence the intensity change of tropical cyclones (TCs) associated with secondary eyewall replacement. Concentric eyewall structures in TCs with and without large intensity weakening are compared using the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) 2A12 and 2A25 data. It is found that the secondary eyewalls with a stratiform-type heating profile show a marked weakening, while those TCs with a convective-type heating weaken insignificantly or even intensify. This observed feature is supported by a set of sensitivity numerical experiments performed with the Weather Research and Forecasting model. With more active convection, the latent heat released in the outer eyewall and moat region can better sustain storm intensity. The prevailing stratiform precipitation results in low equivalent potential temperature air in the moat and reduces the entropy of the boundary layer inflow to the inner eyewall through persistent downdrafts, leading to a large intensity fluctuation. Comparison of observations and numerical model results reveals that the model tends to overproduce convective precipitation in the outer eyewall and the moat. It is possible that the model underestimates the storm intensity changes associated with eyewall replacement events.

Mesoscale Convective Vortices Observed during BAMEX. Part II: Influences on Secondary Deep Convection

Abstract Observations from the Bow Echo and Mesoscale Convective Vortex (MCV) Experiment are used to examine the role of the five mesoscale convective vortices described in Part I on heavy precipitation during the daytime heating cycle. Persistent widespread stratiform rain without deep convection occurs for two strong MCVs in conditionally stable environments with strong vertical shear. Two other MCVs in moderate-to-strong vertical shear have localized redevelopment of deep convection (termed secondary convection) on their downshear side, where conditional instability exists. The strongest of the five MCVs occurs in weak vertical shear and has widespread secondary convection, which is most intense on its conditionally unstable southeast periphery. The two MCVs with only localized secondary convection have well-defined mesoscale vertical motion couplets with downshear ascent and upshear descent above the planetary boundary layer (PBL). Although the amplitude is significantly greater, the kinematically derived vertical motion dipole resembles that implied by steady, vortex-relative isentropic flow, consistent with previous idealized (dry) simulations and diagnoses based on operational model analyses. In the other three cases with either widespread precipitation or weak environmental vertical shear, the kinematic and isentropic vertical motion patterns are poorly correlated. Vertical motions above the PBL provide a focus for secondary convection through adiabatic cooling downshear and adiabatic warming upshear of the MCV center. The MCVs occur within surface frontal zones with large temperature and moisture gradients across the environmental vertical shear vector (Part I). Thus, the effect of vertical motions on conditional instability is reinforced by horizontal advections of high equivalent potential temperature air downshear, and low equivalent potential temperature air upshear within the PBL. On average, the quadrant immediately right of downshear (typically southeast of the MCV center) best supports deep convection because of the juxtaposition of greatest mesoscale ascent, high equivalent potential temperature PBL air, and MCV-induced enhancement of the vertical shear.

A Modeling Study of Hurricane Landfall in a Dry Environment

Abstract The effects of dry air intrusion on landfalling hurricanes are investigated using eight numerical simulations. The simulations differ in the initial amount of moisture in the storm core and its horizontal extent from the storm center. The storms evolve very differently during the 36-h simulation. Storms with a small radial extent of moisture develop minimal rainbands, intensify rapidly in the first 3 h, and weaken as dry air from the 800–850-hPa layer wraps cyclonically and inward around the storm core. As the air approaches the core, it sinks (possibly by eyewall downdrafts or as a result of evaporative cooling), reaches the storm’s inflow layer, and entrains into the eyewall updrafts. Storms with large radial extent of moisture develop into larger storms with large rainbands, having smaller intensification rates initially, but continue to intensify for a longer period of time. Rainband downdrafts release low equivalent potential temperature air into the moat region. Low-level convergence into the rainbands reduces the magnitude of eyewall inflow. Both factors reduce storm intensification initially. Simultaneously, the rainbands act as a barrier between the moist core and the dry environment, preventing dry air from penetrating the storm core. As land is approached, inflowing air is no longer replenished with heat and moisture. Eventually, rainband convection erodes and dry air approaches the storm core from the landward side causing the storms to weaken. Without the presence of land, a hurricane can sustain itself in a dry environment, provided its moist envelope is large enough.

Use of METEOSAT water‐vapour images for the diagnosis of a vigorous stratospheric intrusion over the central Mediterranean

AbstractThe diagnosis of a vigorous dry intrusion over the central Mediterranean is performed using water‐vapour images from METEOSAT. This dry intrusion was located on the rear side of a cold front (propagating from Italy to Greece) and played an important role in the onset of thunderstorms over the western Greek coasts. A combination of satellite imagery and potential vorticity analyses showed that the dry air originated in the lower‐stratospheric and higher‐tropospheric layers. The interaction of the dry air with the moist air masses within the warm conveyor belt ahead of the cold front (overrun of warm air by low equivalent potential temperature air) produced a potentially unstable region over the area of reported thunderstorms. Copyright © 2000 Royal Meteorological Society

Regulation of Moist Convection over the West Pacific Warm Pool

Abstract The mechanisms that regulate moist convection over the warm tropical oceans are not well understood. One school of thought holds that convection is caused by the convergence of moisture, which in turn is produced by an independent dynamical mechanism. Another school maintains that convection occurs as needed to just balance the production of convective instability and that the timescales to establish this balance is much less than the timescales of tropical disturbances. This is called the quasiequilibrium hypothesis. This paper explores how convection is actually governed over the west Pacific warm pool. Convection appears to be initiated there when the boundary-layer equivalent potential temperature exceeds a threshold value that is determined by conditions just above cloud base. Given known surface flux values and the propensity for convection to inject low equivalent potential temperature air into the boundary layer, it is shown that under most circumstances convection is regulated by a balan...