It is well known that tubular liners of stiff cavities such as grouted oil-well casing can be collapsed by external pressure. Collapse is initially local but can propagate at a relatively low pressure with catastrophic results. The paper presents a quantitative study of the lowest pressure at which confined collapse can propagate known as confined propagation pressure. Experiments and analysis are used to develop an improved expression relating this critical pressure to the material and geometric parameters of the liner tube. It is shown that these include the yield stress and post-yield characteristics of the material, and the tube D/ t. The new empirical relationship developed can provide engineering type estimates of the confined propagation pressure. The quasi-static initiation and propagation of confined collapse was also modeled using three-dimentional finite elements. The model accounts for the finite deformations and addresses the contact nonlinearities which govern the phenomenon. The material is modeled as a finitely deforming elastic–plastic solid. It is demonstrated that the model can predict the confined propagation pressure to a very significant degree of accuracy. It is thus a viable tool for obtaining accurate predictions of this critical pressure.
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